Merrimack
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.0 173
Results Rating +1.0 144
Consistency 0.16 217
Pace 61.3 347
Improvement +7.3 10

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 193 C- D- C+ A- B
Defense C 162 B- F B D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 142 D+ 54% 292 -1.0 218
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 339 C 37% 198 -3.2 322
Three Pointers 47% 50 D+ 32% 275 +1.8 121
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 44 D+ -3.2 289
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 240
Second Chance D- 23.5% 344 C- 1.00 228 D- 0.24 335
Opponents' Steals B 7.9% 43
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 254
Turnovers C+ 15.7% 116
Freethrows B 0.34 57 A- 79% 6 A- 0.27 15
Total Offense C- -1.2 193

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 305 D- 14.7% 344
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 165 D 7.4% 316
Three Pointers B- 88% 96 B- 0.6% 105
Total C 56% 171 D 7.1% 325


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 100 B 52% 41 -0.6 155
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 112 D 42% 317 +1.1 282
Three Pointers 36% 323 B- 32% 82 -3.8 32
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 164 B- -2.7 71
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 86
Second Chance F 40.7% 365 C 1.04 206 F 0.43 359
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.0% 30
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 229
Turnovers B 18.9% 60
Freethrows D 0.34 302 C- 73% 222 D 0.25 303
Total Defense C +0.2 162

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 58% 345 B 14.3% 59
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 43% 355 C+ 6.1% 98
Three Pointers F+ 92% 355 A+ 3.5% 1
Total D- 64% 335 A- 8.6% 21

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 307 18.5 331
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 185 0.12 33
Consistency 0.12 190 0.11 75
Improvement +4.6 14 +2.7 62

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 185 175 158
Results Rating Rank 157 150 123
Conference Record 17 - 3 17 - 3 17 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23% 34% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round23% 34% 0%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 419 - 322 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 213 South Dakota St. L 66 - 75 58% -2  31% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -12 F F C- C -0 C+ F+ A-
 Thu, Nov 6 40 @Auburn L 57 - 95 6% -18  3% 0 - 2 F -22 F -12 F D- B F -11 B F D
 Tue, Nov 11 225 @Tarleton St. L 62 - 76 49% -5  17% 0 - 3 F+ -15 F -14 F D- F C+ +0 D- D A-
 Sat, Nov 15 256 @Boston University W 91 - 79 55% +10  95% 1 - 3 B +10 A+ +19 A+ C+ F D- -8 D F D
 Wed, Nov 19 342 Maine W 72 - 65 90% +3  77% 2 - 3 D -8 C+ +3 D- B+ B F -10 B- F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 3 @Florida L 45 - 80 1% -24  0% 2 - 4 D+ -7 F -13 F D+ C+ B +4 A+ F B
 Fri, Nov 28 160 @Penn L 65 - 77 36% -4  29% 2 - 5 D -9 D -6 F D A+ D+ -4 D+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 103 Hofstra L 58 - 78 31% -12  2% 2 - 6 F+ -16 F -13 D+ F C+ D+ -4 C- C+ A
 Sun, Nov 30 209 La Salle W 66 - 60 57% +4  88% 3 - 6 C+ +3 C- -2 D+ D B- B+ +5 C F+ A+
 Thu, Dec 4 356 Rider W 68 - 66 94% +1  63% 4 - 6 1 - 0 F+ -16 D- -8 C- F B D- -8 D- F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 264 Fairfield W 74 - 63 77% +10  98% 5 - 6 2 - 0 C+ +2 C +0 B F B- B- +3 C B+ A-
 Wed, Dec 10 240 @Princeton W 59 - 56 52% +2  71% 6 - 6 C +2 D -5 F+ F A A- +7 A+ F C-
 Sun, Dec 14 237 @Vermont L 59 - 66 51% -7  0% 6 - 7 D -8 D -6 F C D- D+ -4 B+ D- F+
 Mon, Dec 29 287 @Sacred Heart W 80 - 72 62% +8  99% 7 - 7 3 - 0 C+ +4 B- +5 B- D- C C -1 D+ D- B-
 Fri, Jan 2 270 Mount St. Mary's W 75 - 65 78% +4  74% 8 - 7 4 - 0 C +1 C- -1 D+ D+ C B- +2 A C- C+
 Sun, Jan 4 325 Manhattan W 73 - 66 88% +4  80% 9 - 7 5 - 0 D+ -6 F+ -9 C F B B- +2 B- B- D
 Fri, Jan 9 207 @Siena W 63 - 59 44% +9  94% 10 - 7 6 - 0 C+ +5 B +6 C+ D+ A- C -0 B- F B
 Sun, Jan 11 228 @St. Peter's L 63 - 76 49% -9  0% 10 - 8 6 - 1 D- -14 D+ -2 F B- C F -13 F F A
 Sat, Jan 17 214 Quinnipiac W 83 - 71 69% +12  90% 11 - 8 7 - 1 B- +6 A- +10 A B D+ D+ -4 B+ F+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 196 @Marist W 68 - 55 43% +6  88% 12 - 8 8 - 1 B+ +14 B- +4 B F C A +11 A+ D B+
 Thu, Jan 22 243 @Iona L 60 - 61 52% -1  29% 12 - 9 8 - 2 C- -2 D -5 D B+ F B- +2 B- C+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 228 St. Peter's W 67 - 59 71% +11  97% 13 - 9 9 - 2 C +1 D+ -3 D+ D+ B B +5 A+ F A+
 Sun, Feb 1 287 Sacred Heart W 75 - 58 81% +8  93% 14 - 9 10 - 2 B- +7 C- -1 F A- A+ A +9 B+ B- A+
 Thu, Feb 5 270 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 70 58% +10  90% 15 - 9 11 - 2 B+ +14 A +12 A+ F C C+ +1 C+ D- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 356 @Rider W 73 - 47 85% +16  98% 16 - 9 12 - 2 B+ +14 B+ +8 B A+ F A+ +11 A+ F+ D-
 Thu, Feb 12 196 Marist W 81 - 56 66% +6  55% 17 - 9 13 - 2 A +20 A +13 A+ F A+ A- +8 A+ F B
 Sun, Feb 15 214 @Quinnipiac W 56 - 49 46% +0  54% 18 - 9 14 - 2 B- +7 F -13 F F C A+ +21 A+ F A+
 Fri, Feb 20 207 Siena W 79 - 72 OT 67% -1  37% 19 - 9 15 - 2 C +2 B+ +9 C+ C A- D- -7 D F+ B
 Sun, Feb 22 243 Iona W 88 - 86 2OT 73% +5  81% 20 - 9 16 - 2 D+ -5 B +6 C F A+ F -11 C- F D+
 Fri, Feb 27 340 @Canisius L 62 - 67 78% +2  67% 20 - 10 16 - 3 D- -14 D -6 F+ F A- F+ -9 F+ F C
 Sun, Mar 1 332 @Niagara W 73 - 66 77% +4  51% 21 - 10 17 - 3 C -2 B- +5 B- C- D- D -5 D+ F A+
Totals 21 - 10 17 - 3 -1 C- -1 D- D+ B C +0 D+ A- A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C D+ D+ 40% 22% 47% B C- D- C- D- C+ B A- A- C B D B- B- 42% 22% 36% C B- F C F B D C- D
1.07 54% 37% 32% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.0 .24 16% .34 79% .27 1.08 52% 42% 32% -3 0 0.97 41% 1.0 .43 19% .34 73% .25
Nov
3		 South Dakota St. F F F F 49% 0% 51% A+ F D F F C- A+ A A+ C A- B F B- 44% 23% 33% C C+ F C+ F+ A- F F+ F
0.94 38% 28% -15 +3 0.80 23% 0.7 .15 16% .46 81% .37 1.07 48% 33% 41% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.0 .39 20% .46 77% .36
Nov
6		 Auburn F F+ F F F 31% 12% 57% B F D D- D- B A+ D+ A+ F C- F A B- 34% 21% 45% A- B F F F D F B- F
0.84 47% 17% 25% -14 +1 0.76 23% 0.9 .20 16% .42 71% .30 1.41 63% 60% 29% +3 0 1.06 60% 1.2 .74 12% .62 73% .45
Nov
11		 Tarleton St. F D- F F F 42% 9% 49% A- F B F D- F A- A- A C+ C F A+ F+ 45% 37% 18% B+ D- F B+ D A- F B- F
0.84 53% 25% 18% -15 +2 0.76 38% 0.7 .26 29% .46 79% .36 1.03 57% 58% 22% +4 -2 1.06 42% 0.8 .35 23% .44 72% .32
Nov
15		 Boston University A+ B- F A+ A+ 33% 13% 53% C+ A+ B C- C+ F C+ A+ A- D- D- D F F+ 27% 20% 53% B+ D C+ F F D F+ A D+
1.41 60% 17% 67% +24 +1 1.51 35% 1.0 .35 17% .30 88% .26 1.23 67% 44% 42% +10 -1 1.20 25% 1.6 .41 16% .35 63% .22
Nov
19		 Maine C+ B- A+ F F+ 40% 14% 47% B- D- D A+ B+ B A+ D- A+ F D B A+ B 47% 18% 35% D- B- F D- F A+ F D- F
1.16 65% 50% 20% -5 +1 0.93 32% 1.5 .48 16% .60 65% .38 1.05 63% 33% 17% -8 +1 0.88 47% 1.1 .53 27% .67 70% .47
Nov
21		 Florida F D F F F 40% 16% 44% A F D+ D- D+ C+ F+ A+ D+ B A+ D+ D A+ 40% 19% 40% A- A+ F D F B F D- F
0.69 45% 13% 18% -20 +1 0.64 17% 0.6 .10 17% .20 82% .16 1.22 37% 44% 37% -6 0 0.91 51% 1.2 .59 18% .43 78% .34
Nov
28		 Penn D C B F F 40% 16% 44% C+ F F+ C- D A+ C- A C+ D+ C F A+ D+ 46% 29% 25% D+ D+ F+ F+ F C- F A+ B-
0.96 61% 44% 12% -12 +1 0.79 23% 0.9 .21 7% .24 73% .17 1.13 55% 64% 25% +3 -1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .40 52% .21
Nov
29		 Hofstra F F F D+ D- 30% 11% 59% B+ D+ F+ F F C+ D- A+ C- D+ F A+ F C- 33% 24% 43% C C- D A- C+ A F F F
0.86 44% 17% 31% -9 +1 0.85 22% 0.4 .10 13% .24 86% .21 1.16 69% 8% 43% +2 -1 1.04 37% 0.9 .33 21% .38 85% .32
Nov
30		 La Salle C- D- D+ C D+ 34% 17% 49% C D+ C- D- D B- D- B+ D+ B+ D A+ B C 48% 21% 31% D C F B+ F+ A+ F+ D- F
1.04 50% 33% 35% -3 0 0.96 27% 1.0 .27 16% .21 73% .15 0.95 60% 22% 31% -4 +1 0.95 50% 0.8 .41 30% .41 78% .32
Dec
4		 Rider D- D A+ C+ C- 34% 12% 54% D+ C- F C F B F F+ F D- A- F B- D+ 52% 25% 23% F D- F F F A+ F+ A- D+
1.08 53% 67% 37% +4 +1 1.12 15% 1.0 .15 13% .20 64% .13 1.05 43% 55% 30% -5 0 0.93 48% 1.2 .59 24% .33 63% .21
Dec
7		 Fairfield C C B+ A+ B+ 40% 16% 44% D+ B F F F B- A+ A A+ B- B- A+ F+ C- 38% 23% 38% C C F+ A+ B+ A- D- A C-
1.15 59% 43% 42% +6 +1 1.16 15% 0.5 .08 14% .49 81% .40 0.98 50% 27% 39% -3 0 0.96 40% 0.6 .25 20% .31 63% .20
Dec
10		 Princeton D C- F F F 43% 14% 43% B F+ F D+ F A A A+ A+ A- A+ A+ B A+ 55% 9% 36% F A+ F C- F C- F F+ F
1.02 58% 17% 26% -8 +1 0.89 10% 1.0 .10 9% .38 90% .34 0.97 25% 0% 31% -23 +3 0.61 45% 1.0 .45 17% .44 81% .36
Dec
14		 Vermont D F A+ F F 48% 11% 41% A F C C- C D- C A B- D+ F+ F A+ A- 38% 19% 43% C B+ F B D- F+ F F F
1.01 43% 60% 28% -9 +2 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 15% .32 81% .26 1.13 69% 50% 17% -5 0 0.93 34% 0.9 .31 12% .47 83% .39
Dec
29		 Sacred Heart B- C- D A C+ 35% 6% 59% B- B- F B- D- C A+ C- A+ C C F C D 30% 21% 49% B- D+ F B D- B- D- A- C-
1.21 59% 33% 41% +7 +2 1.18 22% 1.1 .25 14% .40 70% .28 1.09 57% 50% 35% +3 -1 1.06 37% 0.9 .34 20% .32 71% .23
Jan
2		 Mount St. Mary's C- C- C+ F D- 36% 12% 52% B+ D+ F A+ D+ C A+ B A+ B- B F A+ A+ 54% 13% 33% D- A F A+ C- C+ F C- F
1.08 53% 40% 27% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.3 .26 14% .67 78% .52 0.93 52% 50% 13% -12 +2 0.83 43% 0.8 .32 23% .52 68% .35
Jan
4		 Manhattan F+ A+ A F D+ 41% 8% 51% B+ C F D F B A F B+ B- A F A+ B- 51% 28% 21% C- B- D A+ B- D A+ F A+
1.09 75% 50% 28% +3 +2 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 13% .34 65% .22 0.98 41% 56% 25% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.8 .26 13% .14 88% .12
Jan
9		 Siena B F F A+ C- 48% 9% 43% A+ C+ C+ F D+ A- C A- C+ C D+ C- A B- 30% 33% 37% B+ B- F A+ F B A D+ A
1.16 43% 25% 47% 0 +2 1.07 32% 0.8 .26 13% .28 77% .21 1.09 62% 43% 25% -2 -2 0.93 55% 0.8 .42 18% .20 78% .16
Jan
11		 St. Peter's D+ C- A+ F F 43% 17% 39% C+ F C B+ B- C C+ A- B+ F F+ C+ F F 38% 38% 24% A F F D F A F B F
1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34 1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44
Jan
17		 Quinnipiac A- F F A+ A 37% 9% 53% B A D+ A+ B D+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A- C+ A A 53% 24% 22% D- B+ B- F F+ D- F D F
1.24 44% 25% 52% +8 +1 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 18% .49 74% .36 1.06 46% 33% 27% -10 +1 0.84 29% 1.4 .42 13% .45 73% .33
Jan
19		 Marist B- A- A+ F B 39% 24% 37% C+ B F C+ F C A+ A+ A+ A B+ B+ A+ A+ 41% 27% 32% D+ A+ F B- D B+ F F F
1.05 69% 60% 20% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.0 .13 19% .51 81% .42 0.85 50% 33% 14% -14 -1 0.73 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 86% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Iona D F B+ D+ D- 48% 16% 36% B D B+ C+ B+ F C- F D- B- A+ A+ F B- 24% 18% 58% B B- F+ A+ C+ C D B D+
0.99 48% 43% 31% -6 +1 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 22% .25 58% .15 1.01 27% 25% 42% -3 -1 0.96 31% 0.8 .25 18% .30 67% .20
Jan
24		 St. Peter's D+ F F A+ D- 56% 7% 37% A D+ F A D+ B A A+ A+ B A A- A+ A+ 36% 22% 42% C A+ F A F A+ F B F
1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42 0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36
Feb
1		 Sacred Heart C- D F F F 46% 12% 42% B F B- A A- A+ A- A+ A+ A A F A B 33% 33% 35% A B+ A F B- A+ F F F
1.18 57% 17% 24% -10 +2 0.86 36% 1.3 .46 8% .32 84% .27 0.91 46% 46% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.2 .23 25% .38 89% .33
Feb
5		 Mount St. Mary's A A A+ A A+ 30% 10% 60% B A+ F C- F C A A+ A+ C+ A+ F+ F C+ 52% 15% 33% D+ C+ F+ C- D- D- F A+ F
1.23 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.24 13% 1.0 .13 14% .41 84% .35 0.99 42% 43% 40% -5 +2 0.96 35% 1.1 .38 20% .51 55% .28
Feb
7		 Rider B+ A- A D B- 59% 10% 31% B+ B A+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 32% 41% 27% A- A+ D+ F F+ D- F A+ F+
1.27 70% 50% 33% +8 +3 1.23 45% 1.3 .60 19% .45 76% .34 0.82 14% 39% 17% -21 -3 0.55 33% 1.1 .37 14% .47 52% .24
Feb
12		 Marist A A+ A+ A A+ 40% 14% 46% A- A+ F F F A+ A D- B+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 23% 30% F+ A+ F F F B D+ A C
1.22 75% 57% 39% +13 +1 1.30 14% 0.5 .07 14% .44 64% .28 0.85 36% 27% 21% -18 0 0.66 33% 1.4 .45 20% .26 71% .19
Feb
15		 Quinnipiac F D- C+ F F 48% 19% 33% B- F F C- F C A A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 30% 41% 30% A+ A+ F A- F A+ F D- F
0.86 50% 38% 21% -10 +1 0.83 11% 1.0 .11 17% .37 90% .33 0.75 46% 11% 8% -26 -3 0.43 52% 0.9 .45 25% .39 74% .28
Feb
20		 Siena B+ F D- A+ C 40% 13% 48% B+ C+ C+ C C A- A+ A+ A+ D- B F C+ D 38% 23% 40% D D F C F+ B F D F
1.25 37% 33% 48% +1 +1 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 13% .47 100% .47 1.14 53% 67% 31% +3 0 1.08 38% 1.0 .38 19% .47 79% .37
Feb
22		 Iona B C D+ C+ C 29% 16% 55% C C F C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ F C F+ C D+ 29% 20% 52% B C- F F F D+ C D- C-
1.19 59% 33% 34% 0 0 1.02 16% 1.0 .16 5% .40 89% .36 1.16 56% 45% 34% +1 -1 1.04 35% 1.3 .45 16% .26 75% .19
Feb
27		 Canisius D B D F F 38% 6% 55% B+ F+ F F F A- A+ B- A+ F+ A+ D F F 43% 27% 30% C- F+ D F F C F+ F F
1.02 67% 33% 23% -6 +2 0.94 20% 0.8 .17 12% .45 75% .33 1.10 37% 42% 54% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.4 .41 20% .35 94% .33
Mar
1		 Niagara B- C F A C+ 43% 9% 48% A B- C D+ C- D- D A+ C+ D B D C+ 58% 0% 42% F D+ F F F A+ F F F
1.20 60% 25% 41% +5 +2 1.15 34% 1.0 .34 18% .26 92% .24 1.09 50% 38% -2 +4 1.05 35% 1.5 .52 26% .43 89% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 23.0% 23.0% 14.7 0.5 8.4 12.9 1.3 77.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 23.0% 23.0% 0.0% 14.7 77.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 23.0% 100.0% 14.7 2.0 36.4 55.9 5.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 14.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 30.0%
Lose Out 32.6%