Merrimack
Northeast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#229
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#211
Pace60.2#346
Improvement+1.3#70

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#325
First Shot-1.5#214
After Offensive Rebound-4.2#351
Layup/Dunks-1.1#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#96
Freethrows-1.0#249
Improvement+2.6#12

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#96
First Shot+5.5#34
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#328
Layups/Dunks+6.4#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows+0.3#169
Improvement-1.3#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 73.8% 82.9% 62.1%
.500 or above in Conference 85.2% 88.6% 80.9%
Conference Champion 19.2% 22.3% 15.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 56.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 415 - 616 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 256   @ NJIT W 61-54 45%     1 - 0 +5.0 -8.5 +13.6
  Nov 13, 2021 96   @ Rutgers L 35-48 14%     1 - 1 -4.6 -24.2 +16.8
  Nov 17, 2021 223   @ Army L 51-74 37%     1 - 2 -22.7 -21.4 -0.8
  Nov 19, 2021 313   Lehigh W 55-45 79%     2 - 2 -1.6 -15.2 +14.8
  Nov 21, 2021 27   @ Virginia Tech L 43-72 5%     2 - 3 -12.8 -13.3 -4.7
  Nov 23, 2021 265   Hartford W 75-60 70%     3 - 3 +6.4 +6.8 +1.6
  Nov 28, 2021 141   @ Boston University L 60-61 22%     3 - 4 +3.8 +2.8 +0.7
  Dec 04, 2021 207   Umass Lowell W 63-61 56%    
  Dec 07, 2021 216   Brown W 60-58 58%    
  Dec 09, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 55-83 1%    
  Dec 12, 2021 32   @ Indiana L 51-69 4%    
  Dec 21, 2021 352   @ Maine W 60-51 81%    
  Dec 29, 2021 332   St. Francis Brooklyn W 69-58 84%    
  Dec 31, 2021 281   LIU Brooklyn W 68-62 72%    
  Jan 06, 2022 325   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 08, 2022 347   @ Central Connecticut St. W 66-58 76%    
  Jan 15, 2022 269   St. Francis (PA) W 67-61 69%    
  Jan 17, 2022 293   Mount St. Mary's W 60-53 74%    
  Jan 21, 2022 238   Bryant W 67-63 63%    
  Jan 23, 2022 155   Wagner L 60-61 47%    
  Jan 27, 2022 238   @ Bryant L 64-66 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 311   @ Sacred Heart W 64-62 57%    
  Feb 03, 2022 293   @ Mount St. Mary's W 57-56 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 269   @ St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 49%    
  Feb 10, 2022 347   Central Connecticut St. W 69-55 89%    
  Feb 12, 2022 155   @ Wagner L 57-64 28%    
  Feb 17, 2022 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 71-61 80%    
  Feb 19, 2022 311   Sacred Heart W 67-59 76%    
  Feb 24, 2022 281   @ LIU Brooklyn W 65-64 50%    
  Feb 26, 2022 332   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 66-61 66%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.1 5.1 5.4 3.1 1.3 0.3 19.2 1st
2nd 0.2 2.3 6.5 7.5 5.2 1.5 0.1 23.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.6 6.8 5.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 18.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 5.9 4.7 1.1 0.1 14.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.9 3.2 0.8 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.6 0.3 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.3 4.1 6.9 8.8 12.2 14.7 14.1 13.1 10.7 6.9 3.2 1.3 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.1
16-2 96.6% 3.1    2.8 0.3
15-3 77.7% 5.4    4.0 1.3 0.1
14-4 47.6% 5.1    2.6 2.0 0.5
13-5 23.4% 3.1    1.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
12-6 6.3% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.2% 19.2 12.1 5.5 1.4 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 0.3
17-1 1.3% 1.3
16-2 3.2% 3.2
15-3 6.9% 6.9
14-4 10.7% 10.7
13-5 13.1% 13.1
12-6 14.1% 14.1
11-7 14.7% 14.7
10-8 12.2% 12.2
9-9 8.8% 8.8
8-10 6.9% 6.9
7-11 4.1% 4.1
6-12 2.3% 2.3
5-13 1.0% 1.0
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%