Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#305
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#323
Pace69.6#168
Improvement+0.7#137

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#261
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#186
Layup/Dunks-2.7#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#258
Freethrows+2.6#57
Improvement-0.4#223

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#308
First Shot-4.4#316
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#174
Layups/Dunks+2.0#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#292
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#219
Freethrows-3.9#345
Improvement+1.2#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.4% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 18.8% 25.5% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 44.8% 49.9% 38.0%
Conference Champion 6.5% 8.1% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 15.6% 12.9% 19.2%
First Four4.8% 5.5% 3.9%
First Round3.9% 4.9% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 412 - 1313 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 101   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 8%     0 - 1 +0.9 -6.2 +7.3
  Nov 08, 2024 241   Harvard W 85-80 49%     1 - 1 -2.3 +6.4 -8.9
  Nov 12, 2024 257   Rider L 79-90 53%     1 - 2 -19.3 +3.2 -22.6
  Nov 17, 2024 278   Campbell L 66-86 57%     1 - 3 -29.4 -9.8 -19.3
  Nov 19, 2024 245   Quinnipiac L 63-74 50%     1 - 4 -18.4 -9.9 -9.0
  Nov 29, 2024 279   @ Penn W 86-78 35%     2 - 4 +4.6 +8.0 -3.4
  Nov 30, 2024 173   Elon L 63-69 26%     2 - 5 -6.8 -8.9 +1.9
  Dec 01, 2024 211   Maine L 66-71 31%     2 - 6 -7.4 -1.1 -6.5
  Dec 07, 2024 347   @ NJIT W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 15, 2024 129   @ Virginia Tech L 65-77 13%    
  Dec 21, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 73-64 81%    
  Dec 29, 2024 219   @ William & Mary L 77-84 25%    
  Jan 02, 2025 236   American L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 05, 2025 231   Lafayette L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 326   @ Holy Cross L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 15, 2025 246   Colgate W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 22, 2025 268   Boston University W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 26, 2025 282   @ Army L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 251   @ Lehigh L 73-78 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 260   Bucknell W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 05, 2025 268   @ Boston University L 68-72 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 231   @ Lafayette L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 12, 2025 251   Lehigh W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 282   Army W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 19, 2025 246   @ Colgate L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 23, 2025 326   Holy Cross W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 26, 2025 236   @ American L 65-71 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 73-67 69%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.1 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.9 4.8 1.6 0.1 9.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 5.8 2.3 0.2 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.0 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.2 4.2 0.5 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.8 3.9 0.7 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.4 3.7 0.9 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 3.0 2.0 0.6 0.0 9.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.1 5.5 8.3 10.9 12.1 13.5 12.8 11.0 8.3 5.8 3.7 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.7% 0.3    0.3
15-3 95.9% 0.9    0.8 0.1
14-4 81.5% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 55.2% 2.0    1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 22.3% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 34.0% 34.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 32.5% 32.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.0% 28.2% 28.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7
14-4 1.9% 23.2% 23.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4
13-5 3.7% 19.5% 19.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0
12-6 5.8% 14.7% 14.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8 5.0
11-7 8.3% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9 7.3
10-8 11.0% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.0
9-9 12.8% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.9 11.9
8-10 13.5% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.6 13.0
7-11 12.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.8
6-12 10.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.8
5-13 8.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.3
4-14 5.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.8 93.7 0.0%