New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#184
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#28
Pace72.2#114
Improvement+0.2#160

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#190
First Shot-0.6#199
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#182
Layup/Dunks-6.6#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#114
Freethrows+3.5#39
Improvement+0.0#186

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#194
First Shot+3.4#81
After Offensive Rebounds-4.6#346
Layups/Dunks-1.9#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#15
Freethrows-2.1#287
Improvement+0.1#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 9.4% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 48.6% 61.5% 35.3%
.500 or above in Conference 65.7% 72.8% 58.4%
Conference Champion 7.6% 9.9% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 2.4% 5.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round7.3% 9.4% 5.2%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Away) - 50.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 21 - 22 - 7
Quad 34 - 56 - 12
Quad 410 - 516 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 74 @TCU W 78-74 12%     1 - 0 +15.0 +6.4 +8.3
  Mon, Nov 10 43 @LSU L 58-93 7%     1 - 1 -20.4 -10.7 -8.5
  Fri, Nov 14 145 @Tulane W 85-63 31%     2 - 1 +25.3 +17.6 +9.1
  Tue, Nov 18 255 @Pepperdine W 75-74 51%    
  Fri, Nov 21 208 @Fresno St. L 76-78 42%    
  Mon, Nov 24 48 @Mississippi St. L 70-86 7%    
  Wed, Nov 26 17 @Texas Tech L 64-85 3%    
  Wed, Dec 3 82 @Memphis L 71-83 14%    
  Sat, Dec 6 278 Houston Christian W 73-66 74%    
  Mon, Dec 8 174 Incarnate Word W 73-71 59%    
  Sat, Dec 13 2 @Houston L 55-81 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 183 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-80 39%    
  Wed, Dec 31 239 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 285 @Northwestern St. W 73-71 55%    
  Mon, Jan 5 331 East Texas A&M W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 272 Nicholls St. W 76-69 73%    
  Mon, Jan 12 233 @SE Louisiana L 70-71 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 120 Stephen F. Austin L 72-73 47%    
  Mon, Jan 19 209 Lamar W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 101 @McNeese St. L 67-76 21%    
  Mon, Jan 26 272 @Nicholls St. W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 285 Northwestern St. W 76-68 74%    
  Mon, Feb 2 331 @East Texas A&M W 75-71 64%    
  Sat, Feb 7 183 UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-77 60%    
  Mon, Feb 9 239 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 75-70 68%    
  Sat, Feb 14 278 @Houston Christian W 70-69 54%    
  Mon, Feb 16 174 @Incarnate Word L 70-74 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 209 @Lamar L 69-71 43%    
  Mon, Feb 23 120 @Stephen F. Austin L 69-76 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 101 McNeese St. L 70-73 38%    
  Mon, Mar 2 233 SE Louisiana W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.9 3.4 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.0 3.6 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.6 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.7 3.0 0.7 0.1 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.3 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.6 6.2 7.8 9.2 10.4 11.0 10.6 9.3 8.1 6.4 4.6 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
20-2 96.3% 0.7    0.7 0.0
19-3 87.0% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
18-4 65.4% 1.9    1.3 0.6 0.1
17-5 39.8% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
16-6 17.0% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
15-7 5.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.6 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.2% 50.5% 49.5% 0.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.8%
20-2 0.7% 44.1% 44.1% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
19-3 1.5% 36.2% 36.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.2%
18-4 2.9% 30.1% 30.1% 12.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
17-5 4.6% 26.4% 26.4% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4
16-6 6.4% 20.1% 20.1% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.1
15-7 8.1% 12.5% 12.5% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 7.1
14-8 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.4
13-9 10.6% 5.3% 5.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.1
12-10 11.0% 2.7% 2.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.7
11-11 10.4% 1.6% 1.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.2
10-12 9.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
9-13 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.8
8-14 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
7-15 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
6-16 3.0% 3.0
5-17 1.9% 1.9
4-18 1.0% 1.0
3-19 0.5% 0.5
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.1 92.6 0.0%