New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#268
Expected Predictive Rating+22.1#3
Pace72.2#80
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#294
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 7.7% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 22.1% 52.8% 20.6%
.500 or above in Conference 44.5% 67.5% 43.4%
Conference Champion 3.7% 9.0% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 5.2% 10.8%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round3.7% 7.8% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 21 - 7
Quad 32 - 64 - 13
Quad 49 - 612 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 85   @ TCU W 78-74 9%     1 - 0 +13.1 +5.5 +7.3
  Nov 10, 2025 56   @ LSU L 66-84 5%    
  Nov 14, 2025 111   @ Tulane L 69-81 13%    
  Nov 18, 2025 246   @ Pepperdine L 74-78 36%    
  Nov 21, 2025 202   @ Fresno St. L 75-81 29%    
  Nov 24, 2025 32   @ Mississippi St. L 64-86 3%    
  Nov 26, 2025 16   @ Texas Tech L 61-87 1%    
  Dec 03, 2025 55   @ Memphis L 68-86 6%    
  Dec 06, 2025 285   Houston Christian W 72-68 64%    
  Dec 08, 2025 233   Incarnate Word W 73-72 56%    
  Dec 13, 2025 1   @ Houston L 51-83 0.3%   
  Dec 29, 2025 257   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-79 38%    
  Dec 31, 2025 224   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 03, 2026 252   @ Northwestern St. L 67-71 38%    
  Jan 05, 2026 332   East Texas A&M W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 10, 2026 232   Nicholls St. W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 12, 2026 259   @ SE Louisiana L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 17, 2026 215   Stephen F. Austin W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 19, 2026 218   Lamar W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 24, 2026 104   @ McNeese St. L 64-77 14%    
  Jan 26, 2026 232   @ Nicholls St. L 71-76 35%    
  Jan 31, 2026 252   Northwestern St. W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 02, 2026 332   @ East Texas A&M W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 07, 2026 257   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-76 58%    
  Feb 09, 2026 224   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 14, 2026 285   @ Houston Christian L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 16, 2026 233   @ Incarnate Word L 70-75 35%    
  Feb 21, 2026 218   @ Lamar L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 23, 2026 215   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 28, 2026 104   McNeese St. L 67-74 30%    
  Mar 02, 2026 259   SE Louisiana W 74-71 59%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.7 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.3 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 3.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.5 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.2 4.7 6.8 7.9 9.5 10.0 10.0 9.5 8.7 7.5 6.1 4.8 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
20-2 96.6% 0.3    0.2 0.0
19-3 85.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
18-4 66.3% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
17-5 42.9% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
16-6 19.7% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-7 7.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.3% 39.7% 39.7% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
19-3 0.6% 37.0% 37.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-4 1.2% 29.6% 29.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
17-5 2.2% 23.0% 23.0% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7
16-6 3.5% 15.8% 15.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.0
15-7 4.8% 13.5% 13.5% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.2
14-8 6.1% 7.1% 7.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.6
13-9 7.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.1
12-10 8.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.5
11-11 9.5% 1.4% 1.4% 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.4
10-12 10.0% 0.7% 0.7% 17.1 0.1 9.9
9-13 10.0% 0.4% 0.4% 17.9 0.0 0.0 10.0
8-14 9.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.5
7-15 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.9
6-16 6.8% 6.8
5-17 4.7% 4.7
4-18 3.2% 3.2
3-19 2.0% 2.0
2-20 1.0% 1.0
1-21 0.4% 0.4
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 96.3 0.0%