New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.1 #232
Expected Predictive Rating -2.1 #200
Pace 72.2 #94
Improvement -3.8 #342

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #167 C- B B- D C-
Defense #300 C+ F D+ D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #188 1.05 #296 -2.3 #262
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #102 0.76 #166 +1.5 #96
Three Pointers 38% #247 1.05 #128 -0.9 #216
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #221 -1.7 #220
Freethrows 18.7 #111 76% #76 14.2 #90
Second Chance 35.4% #58 1.05 #173 0.37 #80
Turnovers 18.6% #291
Total Offense -0.1 #167

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #156 1.04 #50 +1.8 #112
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #248 0.91 #345 -0.5 #227
Three Pointers 42% #143 0.98 #147 +0.1 #184
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #131 +1.4 #131
Freethrows 21.4 #337 74% #249 15.8 #26
Second Chance 34.6% #312 1.05 #202 0.36 #282
Turnovers 14.1% #321
Total Defense -4.0 #300

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #250 0.8% #248
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.4% #212 -3.5% #116
Possession Length 17.5 #195 16.1 #30
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #211 0.19 #236
Improvement -0.6 #226 -3.2 #343

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 8.6% 12.4% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 41.6% 52.8% 26.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 1.5% 4.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 56.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 20 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 65 - 13
Quad 48 - 713 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 45 @TCU W 78-74 5%     11.5   1 - 0 +18.8 +8.7 +9.8
  Mon, Nov 10 43 @LSU L 58-93 5%     -16.7   1 - 1 -20.0 -10.8 -7.9
  Fri, Nov 14 176 @Tulane W 85-63 28%     10.6   2 - 1 +23.9 +18.0 +7.3
  Tue, Nov 18 267 @Pepperdine L 79-90 46%     -6.0   2 - 2 -14.0 +3.2 -16.6
  Fri, Nov 21 155 @Fresno St. L 76-85 25%     -4.4   2 - 3 -6.0 -0.6 -4.6
  Mon, Nov 24 66 @Mississippi St. L 78-81 OT 8%     3.9   2 - 4 +8.5 +2.9 +5.9
  Wed, Nov 26 17 @Texas Tech L 50-82 2%     -12.3   2 - 5 -12.4 -15.3 +3.2
  Wed, Dec 3 76 @Memphis L 70-86 9%     -15.5   2 - 6 -5.4 +4.9 -10.3
  Sat, Dec 6 294 Houston Christian L 76-85 73%     -4.0   2 - 7 0 - 1 -19.6 +1.5 -21.7
  Mon, Dec 8 165 Incarnate Word W 84-83 48%     8.1   3 - 7 1 - 1 -2.6 +9.2 -11.7
  Sat, Dec 13 11 @Houston L 57-99 2%     -25.2   3 - 8 -19.6 -2.1 -18.8
  Mon, Dec 29 216 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-69 35%     7.5   4 - 8 2 - 1 +15.8 +13.7 +2.2
  Wed, Dec 31 184 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-83 30%     -6.4   4 - 9 2 - 2 -12.6 +0.7 -13.5
  Sat, Jan 3 287 @Northwestern St. L 68-74 50%     4.9   4 - 10 2 - 3 -10.1 -3.6 -6.8
  Mon, Jan 5 325 East Texas A&M W 83-73 80%     8.2   5 - 10 3 - 3 -3.1 +5.2 -8.4
  Sat, Jan 10 211 Nicholls St. W 78-76 57%    
  Mon, Jan 12 257 @SE Louisiana L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 112 Stephen F. Austin L 72-77 32%    
  Mon, Jan 19 231 Lamar W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 86 @McNeese St. L 70-84 10%    
  Mon, Jan 26 211 @Nicholls St. L 75-79 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 287 Northwestern St. W 79-73 71%    
  Mon, Feb 2 325 @East Texas A&M W 78-75 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 216 UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-76 58%    
  Mon, Feb 9 184 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 294 @Houston Christian W 75-74 52%    
  Mon, Feb 16 165 @Incarnate Word L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 231 @Lamar L 71-74 39%    
  Mon, Feb 23 112 @Stephen F. Austin L 69-80 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 86 McNeese St. L 73-81 24%    
  Mon, Mar 2 257 SE Louisiana W 76-71 66%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 3.1 3.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.7 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 6.0 6.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 17.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.6 7.1 2.7 0.2 16.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.2 6.7 2.4 0.2 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.8 2.2 0.2 10.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.7 3.5 1.5 0.2 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.9 8.1 11.6 16.1 16.7 15.1 11.8 7.9 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-4 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-5 53.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-6 10.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 0.0% 0.0
18-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-5 0.1% 17.9% 17.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-6 0.6% 12.0% 12.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-7 1.8% 5.7% 5.7% 13.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7
14-8 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.0
13-9 7.9% 2.9% 2.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.6
12-10 11.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.6
11-11 15.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.1 0.2 14.8
10-12 16.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.6
9-13 16.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.1
8-14 11.6% 11.6
7-15 8.1% 8.1
6-16 3.9% 3.9
5-17 1.5% 1.5
4-18 0.3% 0.3
3-19 0.0% 0.0
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 98.8 0.0%