New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#282
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#300
Pace78.1#28
Improvement-0.4#219

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#220
First Shot+0.1#184
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#281
Layup/Dunks+6.5#23
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#345
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement-0.6#241

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#318
First Shot-3.3#280
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#278
Layups/Dunks-5.6#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#232
Freethrows+0.7#147
Improvement+0.2#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.3% 26.9% 20.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 39.9% 66.2% 38.9%
.500 or above in Conference 86.2% 92.5% 86.0%
Conference Champion 22.4% 30.1% 22.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.4% 1.9%
First Four18.4% 20.5% 18.3%
First Round10.5% 14.9% 10.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 31 - 8
Quad 412 - 713 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 61   @ Mississippi L 61-82 6%     0 - 1 -10.3 -6.0 -3.5
  Nov 16, 2021 39   @ Northwestern L 67-83 4%     0 - 2 -2.3 +2.7 -5.3
  Nov 19, 2021 186   Rice L 78-83 40%     0 - 3 -8.9 -1.8 -7.1
  Nov 24, 2021 338   Central Arkansas W 90-63 81%     1 - 3 +11.1 -1.5 +9.7
  Nov 25, 2021 276   Presbyterian L 66-68 61%     1 - 4 -11.2 -10.6 -0.6
  Nov 26, 2021 227   VMI W 79-71 49%     2 - 4 +1.8 +2.1 -0.2
  Nov 30, 2021 76   @ Texas A&M L 65-85 7%     2 - 5 -10.3 -4.1 -5.4
  Dec 03, 2021 189   @ Louisiana L 67-80 21%     2 - 6 -11.0 -10.2 +0.6
  Dec 11, 2021 50   @ Utah St. L 67-86 4%    
  Dec 21, 2021 160   @ Tulane L 70-80 18%    
  Dec 28, 2021 22   @ Ohio St. L 66-89 2%    
  Jan 06, 2022 328   McNeese St. W 82-78 65%    
  Jan 15, 2022 230   Nicholls St. L 79-80 50%    
  Jan 20, 2022 315   SE Louisiana W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 22, 2022 340   Northwestern St. W 86-76 81%    
  Jan 27, 2022 354   @ Houston Baptist W 82-75 73%    
  Jan 29, 2022 328   @ McNeese St. W 81-80 55%    
  Feb 03, 2022 299   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-77 44%    
  Feb 05, 2022 351   @ Incarnate Word W 80-74 71%    
  Feb 10, 2022 299   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-74 65%    
  Feb 12, 2022 351   Incarnate Word W 83-71 86%    
  Feb 19, 2022 328   McNeese St. W 84-77 74%    
  Feb 24, 2022 315   @ SE Louisiana L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 26, 2022 340   @ Northwestern St. W 83-79 63%    
  Mar 02, 2022 354   Houston Baptist W 85-72 87%    
  Mar 05, 2022 230   @ Nicholls St. L 76-82 30%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.4 7.2 7.0 3.5 0.8 22.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.9 9.8 5.8 1.0 0.0 23.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 6.6 8.9 3.6 0.4 0.0 20.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.5 6.8 2.0 0.1 15.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.8 4.0 0.9 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.0 0.4 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.0 7.0 11.2 15.3 17.3 16.9 13.3 8.0 3.5 0.8 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
13-1 99.7% 3.5    3.2 0.3
12-2 87.4% 7.0    5.3 1.7 0.1
11-3 53.9% 7.2    3.3 3.2 0.6 0.0
10-4 20.4% 3.4    0.8 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
9-5 2.9% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 22.4% 22.4 13.4 6.9 1.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.8% 53.8% 53.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4
13-1 3.5% 49.0% 49.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.6 1.8
12-2 8.0% 42.5% 42.5% 16.0 0.1 3.3 4.6
11-3 13.3% 34.3% 34.3% 16.0 0.0 4.6 8.8
10-4 16.9% 25.5% 25.5% 16.0 0.0 4.3 12.6
9-5 17.3% 16.9% 16.9% 16.0 2.9 14.3
8-6 15.3% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 1.7 13.6
7-7 11.2% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.8 10.4
6-8 7.0% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.3 6.7
5-9 4.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 3.9
4-10 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 1.8
3-11 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.3% 20.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 20.0 79.7 0.0%