Oakland
Horizon
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#249
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#240
Pace69.1#149
Improvement+1.9#14

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#186
First Shot+2.1#102
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#337
Layup/Dunks-1.0#221
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#60
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#159
Freethrows+0.1#168
Improvement-0.3#248

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#306
First Shot-2.0#243
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#346
Layups/Dunks+2.9#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#350
Freethrows+3.2#12
Improvement+2.2#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.8% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 7.8% 13.7% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 92.8% 98.0% 87.6%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.1% 2.3% 1.8%
First Round1.3% 1.6% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 50.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 14
Quad 49 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 243   Bowling Green L 82-87 59%     0 - 1 -12.0 +2.6 -14.5
  Nov 13, 2022 35   Oklahoma St. L 62-91 10%     0 - 2 -19.8 -4.3 -14.6
  Nov 16, 2022 104   @ Toledo L 90-112 14%     0 - 3 -15.1 +5.6 -18.5
  Nov 19, 2022 302   Eastern Michigan W 92-90 OT 71%     1 - 3 -8.5 +0.5 -9.2
  Nov 25, 2022 165   Long Beach St. L 70-78 32%     1 - 4 -7.8 -6.8 -0.6
  Nov 26, 2022 119   San Jose St. L 67-80 24%     1 - 5 -10.3 -2.2 -8.9
  Nov 27, 2022 136   Missouri St. L 64-76 27%     1 - 6 -10.2 -1.0 -10.4
  Dec 01, 2022 180   @ Cleveland St. L 64-80 25%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -13.6 -4.4 -10.0
  Dec 03, 2022 204   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-79 OT 29%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -5.0 -6.0 +1.5
  Dec 06, 2022 75   @ Syracuse L 66-95 10%     1 - 9 -19.3 -10.4 -5.8
  Dec 18, 2022 36   @ Boise St. L 57-77 5%     1 - 10 -5.5 -4.9 -0.7
  Dec 21, 2022 39   @ Michigan St. L 54-67 5%     1 - 11 +1.2 -6.9 +7.0
  Dec 29, 2022 214   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-61 51%     2 - 11 1 - 2 +17.0 +8.9 +8.3
  Dec 31, 2022 362   Green Bay W 81-65 92%     3 - 11 2 - 2 -4.0 -0.5 -3.3
  Jan 06, 2023 210   @ Northern Kentucky W 64-63 30%     4 - 11 3 - 2 +1.7 +0.5 +1.3
  Jan 08, 2023 201   @ Wright St. W 75-73 29%     5 - 11 4 - 2 +3.1 +5.2 -2.0
  Jan 12, 2023 242   Robert Morris W 69-65 59%     6 - 11 5 - 2 -2.9 -1.9 -0.8
  Jan 14, 2023 131   Youngstown St. L 69-85 34%     6 - 12 5 - 3 -16.6 -13.2 -2.4
  Jan 19, 2023 359   @ IUPUI W 83-77 OT 79%     7 - 12 6 - 3 -7.0 -2.0 -5.4
  Jan 23, 2023 222   @ Detroit Mercy W 76-67 33%     8 - 12 7 - 3 +8.8 +1.2 +8.0
  Jan 27, 2023 131   @ Youngstown St. L 73-77 18%     8 - 13 7 - 4 +0.9 +5.9 -5.5
  Jan 29, 2023 242   @ Robert Morris L 63-68 38%     8 - 14 7 - 5 -6.5 -5.0 -1.8
  Feb 02, 2023 204   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 04, 2023 180   Cleveland St. L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 09, 2023 362   @ Green Bay W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 11, 2023 214   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-78 31%    
  Feb 17, 2023 359   IUPUI W 79-65 91%    
  Feb 17, 2023 222   Detroit Mercy W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 23, 2023 201   Wright St. L 77-78 50%    
  Feb 25, 2023 210   Northern Kentucky W 66-65 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.0 0.7 1.8 1st
2nd 0.1 2.6 3.6 0.4 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.0 8.2 1.9 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 2.1 12.5 5.7 0.2 20.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 12.8 9.9 0.7 0.0 24.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 6.3 9.5 0.8 0.0 16.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 6.5 1.4 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 1.7 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.1 1.2 5.9 15.7 25.8 26.2 17.3 6.7 1.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 62.0% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 14.6% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 1.1% 5.1% 5.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.1
14-6 6.7% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.3
13-7 17.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 16.6
12-8 26.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7 25.5
11-9 25.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 25.4
10-10 15.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 15.6
9-11 5.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.9
8-12 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
7-13 0.1% 0.1
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 2.2 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 5.1% 15.3 3.3 1.8
Lose Out 0.1%