Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#166
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#253
Pace73.1#83
Improvement+3.2#25

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#81
First Shot+3.8#67
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#178
Layup/Dunks-6.8#345
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.9#2
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement+1.6#56

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#284
First Shot-1.8#235
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#282
Layups/Dunks-4.2#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#239
Freethrows+3.3#17
Improvement+1.6#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 16.8% 11.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 75.0% 88.9% 70.5%
.500 or above in Conference 89.8% 93.7% 88.6%
Conference Champion 13.3% 18.6% 11.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Four1.6% 1.0% 1.8%
First Round12.3% 16.4% 10.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 24.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 34 - 8
Quad 412 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 32   @ Colorado St. L 80-109 9%     0 - 1 -14.1 +4.8 -16.6
  Nov 20, 2021 338   @ Central Arkansas L 67-70 83%     0 - 2 -12.9 -14.8 +2.0
  Nov 26, 2021 40   Oklahoma St. L 77-78 OT 25%     0 - 3 +6.1 +3.8 +2.4
  Nov 29, 2021 138   Tulsa W 87-80 55%     1 - 3 +6.0 +14.3 -8.2
  Dec 02, 2021 91   @ TCU L 63-71 21%     1 - 4 +0.7 -0.3 +0.4
  Dec 04, 2021 354   @ Houston Baptist W 85-67 89%     2 - 4 +4.8 +2.8 +1.9
  Dec 11, 2021 101   @ Missouri St. L 75-82 24%    
  Dec 16, 2021 234   Texas Arlington W 78-71 74%    
  Dec 20, 2021 245   @ South Dakota W 78-76 56%    
  Dec 22, 2021 68   @ South Dakota St. L 81-91 18%    
  Dec 30, 2021 318   Denver W 82-69 87%    
  Jan 01, 2022 336   Nebraska Omaha W 85-69 93%    
  Jan 06, 2022 323   @ St. Thomas W 83-76 74%    
  Jan 08, 2022 159   @ Western Illinois L 80-83 38%    
  Jan 15, 2022 223   @ UMKC L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 20, 2022 332   North Dakota W 85-70 91%    
  Jan 22, 2022 194   North Dakota St. W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 27, 2022 336   @ Nebraska Omaha W 82-72 81%    
  Jan 29, 2022 318   @ Denver W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 03, 2022 159   Western Illinois W 83-80 59%    
  Feb 05, 2022 323   St. Thomas W 86-73 88%    
  Feb 12, 2022 223   UMKC W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 17, 2022 194   @ North Dakota St. L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 19, 2022 332   @ North Dakota W 82-73 79%    
  Feb 24, 2022 68   South Dakota St. L 84-88 37%    
  Feb 26, 2022 245   South Dakota W 81-73 75%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.3 3.5 1.4 0.3 13.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 3.8 8.2 7.9 3.5 0.5 24.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.4 8.4 5.4 1.2 0.0 21.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 5.3 6.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 17.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.2 4.2 1.5 0.1 11.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.8 5.0 8.1 11.5 14.4 15.4 14.8 12.0 7.8 4.0 1.4 0.3 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-2 86.7% 3.5    2.6 0.8 0.0
15-3 54.6% 4.3    2.2 1.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 24.8% 3.0    0.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
13-5 5.5% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.3% 13.3 7.4 4.8 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 49.6% 49.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.4% 40.3% 40.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8
16-2 4.0% 33.6% 33.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7
15-3 7.8% 27.1% 27.1% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 5.7
14-4 12.0% 20.9% 20.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.3 9.5
13-5 14.8% 15.8% 15.8% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.8 12.5
12-6 15.4% 10.7% 10.7% 15.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 13.7
11-7 14.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 13.3
10-8 11.5% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.1 0.5 10.9
9-9 8.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.9
8-10 5.0% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.2 4.9
7-11 2.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 2.8
6-12 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
5-13 0.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.8 4.7 4.1 87.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 9.6 3.7 3.7 11.1 11.1 22.2 3.7 22.2 14.8 7.4