Providence
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +9.2 67
INCC Stats Results Rating +7.6 82
Consistency 0.13 60
Pace 76.6 18
Improvement +1.1 137

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 31 B+ B+ B- B+ B-
Defense C 156 C+ B- D+ B- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 127 B 64% 53 +3.6 57
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 293 B 43% 55 -1.5 257
Three Pointers 44% 106 B+ 38% 38 +4.3 49
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 79 B+ +5.4 31
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 26
Second Chance B- 34.0% 74 B+ 1.16 29 B+ 0.39 39
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 157
Other Turnovers B 5.9% 39
Turnovers B- 15.0% 84
Freethrows B 0.34 57 B 76% 51 B+ 0.26 38
Total Offense B+ +8.8 31

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 210 B 8.2% 38
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 306 C 5.3% 205
Three Pointers D- 76% 330 C+ 0.7% 128
Total C- 53% 238 B 4.4% 51


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 235 B- 54% 74 -2.3 101
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 47 C 38% 175 +1.7 315
Three Pointers 38% 275 C 34% 213 -1.4 126
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 67 C+ -1.2 131
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 111
Second Chance B- 28.1% 95 B- 0.98 110 B- 0.28 81
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 278
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 274
Turnovers D+ 14.8% 296
Freethrows B- 0.27 85 C+ 72% 154 B- 0.19 89
Total Defense C +0.5 156

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 110 B- 13.1% 87
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 94 D+ 3.2% 287
Three Pointers B 78% 44 D 0.3% 316
Total B 50% 55 C 5.8% 157

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.5 28 17.5 217
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 39 0.16 131
Consistency 0.12 150 0.10 14
Improvement -0.5 211 +1.7 104



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 328 Holy Cross W 89 - 79 98% +10  84% 1 - 0 C- -4 C- -3 C- C C+ C- -3 D A C
Sat, Nov 8 57 Virginia Tech L 101 - 107 OT 46% -0  37% 1 - 1 C+ +4 B+ +8 C+ B+ B D+ -3 C- C- D
Tue, Nov 11 145 Penn W 106 - 81 86% +10  93% 2 - 1 A +23 A+ +19 A+ A+ D B- +1 A C F+
Fri, Nov 14 65 Colorado L 88 - 97 38% -4  1% 2 - 2 C+ +3 B +7 C+ C- A- D+ -2 B- F C
Tue, Nov 18 350 New Hampshire W 98 - 66 99% +13  95% 3 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +17 A+ C- B+ C -3 B F B-
Sat, Nov 22 120 Penn St. W 77 - 65 73% +3  68% 4 - 2 B+ +15 C+ +0 F A- A+ A+ +15 A+ B- C+
Thu, Nov 27 22 Wisconsin L 83 - 104 22% -14  0% 4 - 3 C- -4 C +1 B B D+ D -2 C+ C D
Fri, Nov 28 4 Florida L 78 - 90 8% -9  1% 4 - 4 B+ +13 A- +11 A D+ A- C +2 A+ C F
Tue, Dec 2 334 Fairleigh Dickinson W 94 - 64 98% +23  99% 5 - 4 B+ +15 A+ +17 A+ B+ C C -0 C- C A+
Sat, Dec 6 137 Rhode Island W 90 - 71 84% +5  72% 6 - 4 A- +18 A+ +18 A+ A- C- B- +0 F A+ A
Tue, Dec 9 297 Brown W 86 - 79 96% +6  94% 7 - 4 C- -4 B- +2 C+ C+ C- D -7 C+ C+ F
Sat, Dec 13 82 Butler L 110 - 113 2OT 44% +0  42% 7 - 5 0 - 1 B- +8 A+ +18 A B A+ F -10 C- D+ F
Fri, Dec 19 52 Seton Hall L 67 - 72 51% -3  10% 7 - 6 0 - 2 C+ +4 C +1 C D- A B- +3 C B B+
Sat, Jan 3 11 St. John's W 77 - 71 10% -5  8% 8 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +29 B +9 D A+ A A+ +19 A+ C+ B+
Wed, Jan 7 9 Connecticut L 98 - 103 OT 19% +5  79% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B+ +14 A+ +18 A+ A+ D+ D+ -3 D- A+ D+
Sat, Jan 10 86 Xavier L 84 - 97 47% -11  1% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C- -3 B- +0 C- C A+ D -1 C- B+ F
Tue, Jan 13 36 Villanova L 82 - 88 42% -7  6% 8 - 9 1 - 5 B- +5 A +12 A+ A B- D- -7 F A- C+
Fri, Jan 16 72 Creighton W 93 - 88 63% +1  53% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +11 A +12 C A+ B C+ -1 A F C-
Mon, Jan 19 76 Marquette L 104 - 105 OT 42% -3  15% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B +10 A+ +21 A+ A+ C F -11 D F F
Sat, Jan 24 68 Georgetown L 78 - 81 62% +9  86% 9 - 11 2 - 7 C+ +3 A- +12 B+ B A F -10 F A- F+
Tue, Jan 27 9 Connecticut L 81 - 87 8% -4  6% 9 - 12 2 - 8 A- +19 A+ +16 A A A B- +2 B B+ D
Fri, Jan 30 36 Villanova L 73 - 87 22% -10  5% 9 - 13 2 - 9 C+ +3 B +7 A- C C D+ -4 F+ A+ F
Wed, Feb 4 82 Butler W 97 - 87 2OT 67% -0  37% 10 - 13 3 - 9 B+ +15 A +12 A- B- A C+ +2 B- B+ D+
Sat, Feb 7 90 DePaul W 90 - 72 72% +14  98% 11 - 13 4 - 9 A +21 A+ +18 A+ A+ D B- +3 B+ D+ D-
Wed, Feb 11 52 Seton Hall L 80 - 87 29% +1  59% 11 - 14 4 - 10 B- +8 A+ +19 A+ B- D- F -11 D- C+ F
Sat, Feb 14 11 St. John's L 69 - 79 23% -7  7% 11 - 15 4 - 11 B- +7 D -2 D- C B A +10 A+ B F
Sat, Feb 21 90 DePaul W 71 - 68 50% +3  74% 12 - 15 5 - 11 B+ +12 B +7 B+ A+ F B+ +5 A- B+ F
Wed, Feb 25 86 Xavier W 94 - 84 70% +12  94% 13 - 15 6 - 11 B+ +14 A+ +18 A- A A+ F+ -4 C B- F
Sat, Feb 28 72 Creighton W 79 - 76 40% +2  79% 14 - 15 7 - 11 B+ +15 A +11 A C- A A- +4 B+ C C+
Wed, Mar 4 76 Marquette L 56 - 78 64% -15  0% 14 - 16 7 - 12 F+ -17 F -16 F D F C- -0 C C+ A
Sat, Mar 7 68 Georgetown L 79 - 80 39% -1  47% 14 - 17 7 - 13 B +11 B- +7 A+ B- F B +4 D+ A B
Wed, Mar 11 82 Butler W 91 - 81 56% -2  39% 15 - 17 A- +18 A+ +15 A+ A- A B- +3 B A F+
Thu, Mar 12 11 St. John's L 72 - 85 16% -15  0% 15 - 18 B- +7 C- +3 B+ F A+ B+ +5 B- A- C-
Totals 15 - 18 7 - 13 +9 B+ +9 C B+ B- C +0 B+ B B+


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B B B+ B+ 40% 28% 44% B- B+ B- B+ B+ B- B B B+ C B- C C C+ 37% 25% 38% B C+ B- B- B- D+ B- C+ B-
1.20 64% 43% 38% +5 +1 1.15 34% 1.2 .39 15% .34 76% .26 1.08 54% 38% 34% -1 -1 0.98 28% 1.0 .28 15% .27 72% .25
Nov
3		 Holy Cross C- A+ F+ F D+ 41% 17% 43% C+ C- D- A+ C C+ A+ C A+ C- F+ D+ C- D- 24% 27% 49% B- D C A+ A C D- A+ C
1.14 82% 33% 22% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.5 .33 13% .40 74% .29 1.01 64% 44% 34% +3 -2 1.05 21% 0.4 .09 17% .32 67% .22
Nov
8		 VA Tech B+ D+ B+ C B- 32% 26% 41% D+ C+ C- A+ B+ B A A+ A+ D+ D+ C- F+ D+ 38% 26% 36% B C- A- F C- D B- A B+
1.13 55% 44% 32% -1 -1 0.99 29% 1.3 .38 16% .33 88% .29 1.20 65% 39% 40% +6 -1 1.13 28% 1.4 .40 12% .28 68% .19
Nov
11		 Penn A+ A F A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ F A 23% 36% 41% A+ A B+ F C F+ D F F+
1.34 71% 22% 48% +11 +1 1.27 44% 1.4 .59 19% .36 91% .33 1.02 29% 23% 44% -6 -3 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 13% .35 79% .27
Nov
14		 Colorado B A- C F C 43% 17% 40% B+ C+ D+ B C- A- A+ B+ A+ D+ B- C- C+ B+ 60% 13% 27% F B- D+ F F C D- F F
1.11 65% 40% 25% -2 +1 1.00 23% 1.1 .25 13% .45 77% .35 1.22 58% 43% 33% 0 +3 1.07 34% 1.3 .43 14% .40 85% .34
Nov
18		 New Hamp A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 54% 5% 41% A+ A+ A+ F C- B+ B F C- C F B- A+ B- 29% 25% 46% A+ B F F F B- A+ F B
1.41 73% 33% 43% +14 +3 1.36 41% 0.7 .29 12% .36 64% .23 0.95 67% 31% 21% -8 -1 0.83 35% 1.2 .43 20% .16 89% .14
Nov
22		 Penn St. C+ C- A+ F F 40% 7% 53% A- F B A A- A+ A B+ A A+ A+ D D A+ 40% 25% 36% B+ A+ D- A+ B- C+ A- F+ B
1.10 57% 50% 19% -12 +2 0.83 33% 1.4 .45 10% .30 79% .24 0.92 24% 46% 37% -10 0 0.81 33% 0.9 .30 16% .27 81% .22
Nov
27		 Wisconsin C F+ A+ A- B 38% 21% 41% B B D A+ B D+ D+ A+ C D D+ F+ C+ B- 36% 9% 55% C- C+ C- C+ C D C A+ B
1.02 46% 54% 38% +1 0 1.05 19% 1.6 .31 17% .22 80% .18 1.27 65% 50% 34% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .37 10% .33 67% .22
Nov
28		 Florida A- C- A A+ A+ 38% 35% 27% C- A C+ F D+ A- A+ A- A+ C C A+ B- A+ 28% 21% 51% A+ A+ A+ F C F D- F F
1.06 50% 44% 43% +3 -2 1.04 24% 0.4 .11 14% .41 77% .31 1.22 63% 25% 31% -4 -1 0.93 32% 1.5 .49 11% .41 81% .34
Dec
2		 FDU A+ B B- A+ A+ 40% 13% 46% B A+ A C B+ C F A+ F C A+ A+ F C 42% 12% 46% F C- F A+ C A+ B F C
1.43 67% 43% 58% +21 +1 1.46 38% 1.0 .38 15% .20 82% .16 0.97 29% 17% 48% -5 +1 0.94 46% 0.6 .29 27% .23 82% .19
Dec
6		 Rhode Isl. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 13% 55% C+ A+ C+ A+ A- C- C- B C B- B+ A F F 32% 14% 54% C+ F B+ A+ A+ A A A+ A+
1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26 1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13
Dec
9		 Brown B- B+ F C C 42% 15% 44% B C+ B- C- C+ C- C A+ B D B+ A D- C+ 47% 21% 33% C+ C+ A F C+ F D F+ D-
1.13 65% 25% 33% +1 +1 1.05 34% 0.9 .32 18% .34 86% .29 1.04 48% 25% 37% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.4 .28 13% .30 75% .23
Dec
13		 Butler A+ C A A+ A 39% 16% 46% B A A D+ B A+ C+ A B- F D- A+ C- C- 48% 15% 37% C- C- F B D+ F F C+ F
1.28 59% 45% 41% +6 +1 1.16 37% 0.9 .33 10% .23 78% .18 1.32 67% 22% 35% +2 +2 1.10 43% 1.0 .43 8% .48 71% .34
Dec
19		 Seton Hall C B+ C- F C- 44% 7% 49% A C F C- D- A A+ A+ A+ B- B D+ C C+ 46% 22% 33% C- C B C+ B B+ F A+ F
0.96 60% 33% 23% -8 +2 0.91 20% 0.8 .17 19% .53 80% .42 1.04 52% 40% 33% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 19% .48 63% .30
Jan
3		 St. John's B D+ F F F+ 52% 19% 29% B+ D A A+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 40% 18% 42% B A+ F A+ C+ B+ F A F
1.03 48% 10% 27% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.5 .56 16% .44 75% .33 0.95 32% 40% 17% -21 0 0.62 46% 0.9 .41 16% .59 65% .38
Jan
7		 Uconn A+ C D- A+ A+ 44% 18% 39% B+ A+ B A+ A+ D+ A B- A D+ B+ B+ F F 29% 26% 45% A+ D- A+ B A+ D+ B+ F C+
1.19 52% 30% 55% +8 +1 1.19 30% 1.3 .39 21% .41 74% .30 1.25 56% 38% 57% +15 -1 1.29 27% 1.0 .27 15% .25 83% .21
Jan
10		 Xavier B- A B F C- 33% 22% 44% C- C- D- A+ C A+ B- D C D B- D+ F C 38% 20% 42% D- C- A+ F B+ F A- C+ A-
1.05 71% 43% 25% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.3 .25 11% .30 67% .20 1.21 58% 43% 41% +6 0 1.13 15% 1.3 .21 5% .20 73% .14
Jan
13		 Villanova A A+ A+ F A+ 41% 16% 43% A- A+ D+ A+ A B- B+ C B D- F C- F F 31% 24% 45% A- F F A+ A- C+ C F+ D+
1.18 90% 50% 24% +8 +1 1.20 26% 1.6 .41 19% .30 71% .21 1.27 81% 42% 43% +15 -1 1.29 41% 0.6 .26 14% .30 78% .24
Jan
16		 Creighton A B+ A+ F D+ 48% 14% 38% A C A+ A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ C+ B- A+ C+ A+ 35% 18% 47% C A F+ D- F C- F F+ F
1.22 63% 50% 19% -4 +2 0.96 45% 1.3 .57 13% .53 71% .38 1.15 60% 10% 33% -5 0 0.93 34% 1.1 .39 13% .44 83% .36
Jan
19		 Marquette A+ B C+ A+ A+ 46% 15% 38% B A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F F D A+ D- 56% 15% 30% C+ D C F F F F B+ D-
1.28 63% 38% 45% +8 +1 1.21 45% 1.2 .55 21% .51 88% .45 1.29 74% 44% 22% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.3 .41 7% .40 63% .25
Jan
24		 Georgetown A- B+ F A- B 44% 19% 38% A- B+ B+ C+ B A A+ A+ A+ F D- F C- F 33% 25% 42% B F B+ B+ A- F+ A+ B- A+
1.21 62% 22% 39% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.0 .35 12% .37 86% .32 1.25 67% 64% 35% +10 -1 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 11% .19 73% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Uconn A+ C- A+ B+ A- 57% 13% 30% A+ A B A+ A A A+ A- A+ B- C- A+ F B- 39% 22% 39% A- B B- A- B+ D F A+ F
1.12 50% 50% 36% -2 +2 1.02 29% 1.2 .35 15% .51 77% .39 1.21 65% 27% 40% +4 0 1.10 37% 0.9 .34 14% .45 64% .29
Jan
30		 Villanova B C+ A+ B- A- 34% 26% 40% C A- B D- C C C+ F+ C- D+ C F F F 30% 19% 52% B F+ A+ C+ A+ F D- A C-
1.06 59% 54% 35% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .28 20% .26 64% .16 1.27 63% 60% 43% +12 0 1.26 15% 1.0 .15 7% .35 64% .22
Feb
4		 Butler A A+ A C+ A 33% 20% 47% C A- A+ F B- A A+ D A+ C+ A F C+ B- 47% 21% 32% B- B- A C B+ D+ F B+ F
1.23 72% 45% 35% +7 0 1.15 40% 0.8 .30 13% .57 67% .38 1.10 48% 58% 33% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.1 .31 13% .49 68% .33
Feb
7		 DePaul A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 35% B+ A+ A+ A A+ D A+ F B+ B- C+ F A+ A- 48% 17% 34% D- B+ C- C- D+ D- A+ A- A+
1.26 62% 78% 44% +15 +1 1.33 46% 1.2 .54 22% .45 60% .27 1.01 57% 50% 20% -6 +1 0.93 33% 1.1 .37 14% .18 64% .11
Feb
11		 Seton Hall A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 10% 67% C A+ B C B- D- C- A+ A F A+ F C F 40% 31% 29% A- D- A+ F C+ F F+ D F
1.17 60% 75% 46% +16 0 1.36 35% 0.9 .31 26% .34 94% .32 1.27 43% 75% 33% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.3 .35 7% .39 76% .30
Feb
14		 St. John's D C- F F D 33% 33% 35% F+ D- A- F C B A+ A+ A+ A A A+ A+ A+ 42% 28% 30% A+ A+ A+ F B F D- B- D+
0.91 50% 22% 26% -12 -2 0.75 35% 0.8 .26 18% .39 83% .32 1.04 48% 24% 22% -14 -1 0.73 25% 1.5 .36 7% .42 70% .30
Feb
21		 DePaul B A+ F B- B+ 43% 30% 28% C B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+ B+ C+ B A A- 36% 23% 42% B- A- D+ A+ B+ F F A+ B-
1.06 71% 25% 36% +2 -1 1.05 41% 1.6 .67 27% .43 62% .26 1.01 58% 33% 27% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.8 .27 10% .40 50% .20
Feb
25		 Xavier A+ D A+ A+ A- 52% 17% 31% A- A- C A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ D- F A+ C 38% 31% 31% C+ C C B+ B- F B- C+ B-
1.35 54% 56% 47% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.5 .39 6% .38 76% .29 1.21 68% 61% 22% +6 -1 1.10 28% 0.9 .25 7% .23 73% .17
Feb
28		 Creighton A D A+ A+ A 42% 26% 32% C+ A F+ A+ C- A F A+ D A- F A C+ B 28% 32% 40% A+ B+ D+ B+ C C+ D+ F F+
1.16 50% 53% 44% +6 0 1.12 19% 1.3 .25 10% .13 88% .11 1.12 73% 29% 33% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 15% .29 88% .26
Mar
4		 Marquette F F F F F 28% 17% 55% C- F C+ F D F A+ D A+ C- F+ A C+ C- 37% 14% 49% A C C+ C C+ A F+ F F
0.79 46% 25% 23% -15 0 0.72 33% 0.7 .24 27% .40 71% .29 1.10 68% 29% 32% +1 +1 1.06 29% 1.0 .29 20% .37 81% .30
Mar
7		 Georgetown B- F A+ A+ A+ 33% 13% 54% A- A+ A+ F B- F A F+ B B C- F C+ D 41% 32% 27% B+ D+ A+ F A B A F B
1.08 44% 67% 46% +9 +1 1.21 41% 0.8 .32 30% .35 67% .24 1.10 61% 50% 33% +5 -1 1.09 17% 1.6 .28 16% .25 87% .21
Mar
11		 Butler A+ B F A+ A+ 38% 22% 40% C A+ C A+ A- A C- C- C- B- B- B- C+ B 48% 25% 27% B+ B A+ C- A F+ B D B-
1.25 64% 23% 52% +10 0 1.21 27% 1.3 .36 12% .20 69% .14 1.12 56% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 11% .33 76% .25
Mar
12		 St. John's C- D+ B B B 51% 23% 26% B B+ F C+ F A+ A+ C- A B+ D- C+ A C+ 43% 23% 34% A- B- D A+ A- C- A+ B- A+
0.95 48% 42% 36% -4 +1 0.96 11% 1.0 .11 15% .39 68% .26 1.13 65% 36% 29% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.8 .34 12% .26 71% .18