Providence
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +8.7 69
Results Rating +7.1 87
Consistency 0.12 42
Pace 76.5 18
Improvement +0.8 153

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 34 B+ B+ B- B B-
Defense C 162 C+ B- D B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 126 B 64% 53 +3.6 56
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 289 B 43% 53 -1.4 254
Three Pointers 44% 107 B+ 37% 40 +4.1 53
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 81 B+ +5.4 31
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 29
Second Chance B- 34.1% 72 B+ 1.15 30 B+ 0.39 39
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 153
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 40
Turnovers B- 15.0% 84
Freethrows B 0.34 62 B 76% 54 B 0.26 41
Total Offense B+ +8.4 34

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 210 B 8.3% 41
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 313 C 5.3% 210
Three Pointers D- 75% 333 C+ 0.7% 124
Total C- 53% 242 B 4.4% 54


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 233 B- 54% 75 -2.2 101
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 50 C 38% 172 +1.6 313
Three Pointers 38% 272 C- 34% 220 -1.3 128
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 68 C+ -1.2 132
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 112
Second Chance B- 28.1% 93 B- 0.98 109 B- 0.28 83
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 281
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 278
Turnovers D 14.8% 296
Freethrows B- 0.27 87 C 72% 161 B- 0.20 88
Total Defense C +0.3 162

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 113 B- 13.0% 91
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 89 D+ 3.2% 286
Three Pointers B 79% 46 D 0.3% 319
Total B 50% 68 C 5.7% 161

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.5 29 17.5 215
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 37 0.16 137
Consistency 0.12 130 0.09 7
Improvement -0.7 220 +1.5 114



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 329 Holy Cross W 89 - 79 97% +10  84% 1 - 0 C- -4 D+ -2 C- C- C+ C- -3 D A- C
 Sat, Nov 8 57 Virginia Tech L 101 - 107 OT 45% -0  37% 1 - 1 C+ +4 B+ +8 C+ B+ B C- -3 C- C- D
 Tue, Nov 11 146 Penn W 106 - 81 85% +10  93% 2 - 1 A +23 A+ +19 A+ A+ D C+ +1 A C F+
 Fri, Nov 14 67 @Colorado L 88 - 97 38% -4  1% 2 - 2 C+ +3 B +6 C C- A- C- -2 B- F C
 Tue, Nov 18 349 New Hampshire W 98 - 66 98% +13  95% 3 - 2 B+ +15 A+ +17 A+ C- B+ C- -2 B F B-
 Sat, Nov 22 121 Penn St. W 77 - 65 72% +3  68% 4 - 2 B+ +15 C +0 F A- A+ A+ +14 A+ B- C+
 Thu, Nov 27 22 Wisconsin L 83 - 104 22% -14  0% 4 - 3 C- -4 C +1 B B D+ C- -2 C+ C D
 Fri, Nov 28 4 Florida L 78 - 90 8% -9  1% 4 - 4 B+ +13 A- +11 A D+ A- B- +2 A+ C F
 Tue, Dec 2 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 94 - 64 98% +23  99% 5 - 4 B+ +15 A+ +17 A+ A- C C -0 C- C A+
 Sat, Dec 6 135 Rhode Island W 90 - 71 83% +5  72% 6 - 4 A- +18 A+ +18 A+ A- C- C+ +0 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 9 293 Brown W 86 - 79 96% +6  94% 7 - 4 C- -4 C+ +2 C+ C+ C- D- -7 C+ C+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 82 @Butler L 110 - 113 2OT 44% +0  42% 7 - 5 0 - 1 B- +7 A+ +18 A B A+ F -10 C- D+ F
 Fri, Dec 19 52 Seton Hall L 67 - 72 52% -3  10% 7 - 6 0 - 2 C+ +3 C +1 C D- A B- +3 C B B+
 Sat, Jan 3 12 @St. John's W 77 - 71 11% -5  8% 8 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +28 B+ +10 D A+ A A+ +18 A+ C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 7 10 Connecticut L 98 - 103 OT 22% +5  79% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B+ +12 A+ +16 A+ A+ C- D+ -4 D- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 89 @Xavier L 84 - 97 47% -11  1% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C- -4 C -0 C- C A+ C- -2 C- B+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 38 Villanova L 82 - 88 43% -7  6% 8 - 9 1 - 5 C+ +5 A +12 A+ A B- D- -7 F A- C+
 Fri, Jan 16 70 Creighton W 93 - 88 62% +1  53% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +11 A +12 C A+ B C- -2 A F+ C-
 Mon, Jan 19 78 @Marquette L 104 - 105 OT 41% -3  15% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B +10 A+ +21 A+ A+ C F -11 D F F
 Sat, Jan 24 74 Georgetown L 78 - 81 63% +9  86% 9 - 11 2 - 7 C+ +2 A +12 B+ B A F+ -10 F A- F+
 Tue, Jan 27 10 @Connecticut L 81 - 87 10% -4  6% 9 - 12 2 - 8 A- +17 A+ +15 A A A B- +2 B A- D
 Fri, Jan 30 38 @Villanova L 73 - 87 23% -10  5% 9 - 13 2 - 9 C+ +3 B +7 A- C C D+ -4 F+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 82 Butler W 97 - 87 2OT 67% -0  37% 10 - 13 3 - 9 B+ +14 A- +11 A- B- A C+ +2 B- B+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 93 DePaul W 90 - 72 72% +14  98% 11 - 13 4 - 9 A +21 A+ +18 A+ A+ D B- +3 B+ D+ D-
 Wed, Feb 11 52 @Seton Hall L 80 - 87 29% +1  59% 11 - 14 4 - 10 B- +7 A+ +18 A+ B- D- F -11 D- C+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 12 St. John's L 69 - 79 23% -7  7% 11 - 15 4 - 11 B- +6 C- -2 D- C B A +9 A+ B F
 Sat, Feb 21 93 @DePaul W 71 - 68 50% +3  74% 12 - 15 5 - 11 B+ +12 B +7 B A+ F B +5 A- B+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 89 Xavier W 94 - 84 70% +12  94% 13 - 15 6 - 11 B+ +13 A+ +18 A- A A+ D+ -5 C B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 70 @Creighton W 79 - 76 39% +2  79% 14 - 15 7 - 11 B+ +15 A- +11 A C- A+ B +4 B+ C+ C+
 Wed, Mar 4 78 Marquette L 56 - 78 64% -15  0% 14 - 16 7 - 12 F+ -17 F -16 F D F C -1 C C+ A
 Sat, Mar 7 74 @Georgetown L 79 - 80 40% -1  47% 14 - 17 7 - 13 B +10 B +6 A+ B- F B +4 D+ A B
 Wed, Mar 11 82 Butler W 91 - 81 56% -2  39% 15 - 17 A- +17 A +15 A+ A- A B- +2 B A F+
 Thu, Mar 12 12 St. John's L 72 - 85 16% -15  0% 15 - 18 B- +6 C+ +3 B+ F A+ B +4 B- A- C-
Totals 15 - 18 7 - 13 +9 B+ +8 A+ B+ B- C +0 B+ B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B B B+ B+ 40% 28% 44% B- B+ B- B+ B+ B- B B B C B- C C- C+ 37% 25% 38% B- C+ B- B- B- D B- C B-
1.21 64% 43% 37% +5 +1 1.15 34% 1.2 .39 15% .34 76% .26 1.08 54% 38% 34% -1 -1 0.98 28% 1.0 .28 15% .27 72% .25
Nov
3		 Holy Cross D+ A+ F+ F D+ 41% 17% 43% C+ C- D- A+ C- C+ A+ C A+ C- F+ D+ C- D- 24% 27% 49% B- D C A+ A- C D- A+ C
1.14 82% 33% 22% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.5 .33 13% .40 74% .29 1.01 64% 44% 34% +3 -2 1.05 21% 0.4 .09 17% .32 67% .22
Nov
8		 Virginia Tech B+ D+ B+ C B- 32% 26% 41% D+ C+ C- A+ B+ B A A+ A+ C- D+ C- F+ D+ 38% 26% 36% B C- A- F C- D B- A B+
1.13 55% 44% 32% -1 -1 0.99 29% 1.3 .38 16% .33 88% .29 1.20 65% 39% 40% +6 -1 1.13 28% 1.4 .40 12% .28 68% .19
Nov
11		 Penn A+ A F A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F A 23% 36% 41% A+ A B+ F C F+ D F F+
1.34 71% 22% 48% +11 +1 1.27 44% 1.4 .59 19% .36 91% .33 1.02 29% 23% 44% -6 -3 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 13% .35 79% .27
Nov
14		 Colorado B A- C F C- 43% 17% 40% B+ C D+ B- C- A- A+ B+ A+ C- B- C- B- A- 60% 13% 27% F B- D+ F F C F+ F F
1.11 65% 40% 25% -2 +1 1.00 23% 1.1 .25 13% .45 77% .35 1.22 58% 43% 33% 0 +3 1.07 34% 1.3 .43 14% .40 85% .34
Nov
18		 New Hampshire A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 54% 5% 41% A+ A+ A+ F C- B+ B F C- C- F B- A+ B- 29% 25% 46% A+ B F F F B- A+ F B
1.41 73% 33% 43% +14 +3 1.36 41% 0.7 .29 12% .36 64% .23 0.95 67% 31% 21% -8 -1 0.83 35% 1.2 .43 20% .16 89% .14
Nov
22		 Penn St. C C- A+ F F 40% 7% 53% A- F B A A- A+ A B+ A A+ A+ D D A+ 40% 25% 36% B+ A+ D- A+ B- C+ A- F+ B
1.10 57% 50% 19% -12 +2 0.83 33% 1.4 .45 10% .30 79% .24 0.92 24% 46% 37% -10 0 0.81 33% 0.9 .30 16% .27 81% .22
Nov
27		 Wisconsin C F+ A+ A- B 38% 21% 41% B B D A+ B D+ D+ A+ C C- D+ F+ C+ B- 36% 9% 55% C- C+ C- C+ C D C- A+ B
1.02 46% 54% 38% +1 0 1.05 19% 1.6 .31 17% .22 80% .18 1.27 65% 50% 34% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .37 10% .33 67% .22
Nov
28		 Florida A- C- A A+ A+ 38% 35% 27% C- A C+ F D+ A- A+ A- A+ B- C A+ B- A+ 28% 21% 51% A+ A+ A+ F C F D- F F
1.06 50% 44% 43% +3 -2 1.04 24% 0.4 .11 14% .41 77% .31 1.22 63% 25% 31% -4 -1 0.93 32% 1.5 .49 11% .41 81% .34
Dec
2		 Fairleigh Dickinson A+ B B- A+ A+ 40% 13% 46% B A+ A C A- C F A+ F C A+ A+ F C 42% 12% 46% F C- F A+ C A+ B F C
1.43 67% 43% 58% +21 +1 1.46 38% 1.0 .38 15% .20 82% .16 0.97 29% 17% 48% -5 +1 0.94 46% 0.6 .29 27% .23 82% .19
Dec
6		 Rhode Island A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 13% 55% C+ A+ C+ A+ A- C- C- B C C+ B+ A F F 32% 14% 54% C+ F B+ A+ A+ A A A+ A+
1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26 1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13
Dec
9		 Brown C+ B+ F C C 42% 15% 44% B C+ B- C- C+ C- C A+ B D- B+ A D- C+ 47% 21% 33% C+ C+ A F C+ F D F+ D-
1.13 65% 25% 33% +1 +1 1.05 34% 0.9 .32 18% .34 86% .29 1.04 48% 25% 37% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.4 .28 13% .30 75% .23
Dec
13		 Butler A+ C A A A 39% 16% 46% B- A A D+ B A+ C+ A B- F D- A+ C- C- 48% 15% 37% C- C- F B D+ F F C+ F
1.28 59% 45% 41% +6 +1 1.16 37% 0.9 .33 10% .23 78% .18 1.32 67% 22% 35% +2 +2 1.10 43% 1.0 .43 8% .48 71% .34
Dec
19		 Seton Hall C B+ C- F C- 44% 7% 49% A C F C- D- A A+ A+ A+ B- B D+ C C+ 46% 22% 33% C- C B C+ B B+ F A+ F
0.96 60% 33% 23% -8 +2 0.91 20% 0.8 .17 19% .53 80% .42 1.04 52% 40% 33% -3 0 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 19% .48 63% .30
Jan
3		 St. John's B+ D+ F F D- 52% 19% 29% B+ D A A+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 40% 18% 42% B A+ F A+ C+ B+ F A F
1.03 48% 10% 27% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.5 .56 16% .44 75% .33 0.95 32% 40% 17% -21 0 0.62 46% 0.9 .41 16% .59 65% .38
Jan
7		 Connecticut A+ C D- A+ A+ 44% 18% 39% B A+ B A+ A+ C- A B- A D+ B+ A- F F 29% 26% 45% A+ D- A+ B A+ D+ B F C+
1.19 52% 30% 55% +8 +1 1.19 30% 1.3 .39 21% .41 74% .30 1.25 56% 38% 57% +15 -1 1.29 27% 1.0 .27 15% .25 83% .21
Jan
10		 Xavier C A B F C- 33% 22% 44% C- C- D- A+ C A+ B- D C C- B- D+ F C 38% 20% 42% D- C- A+ F B+ F A- C+ B+
1.05 71% 43% 25% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.3 .25 11% .30 67% .20 1.21 58% 43% 41% +5 0 1.13 15% 1.3 .21 5% .20 73% .14
Jan
13		 Villanova A A+ A+ F A+ 41% 16% 43% A- A+ D+ A+ A B- B+ C B D- F C- F F 31% 24% 45% A- F F A+ A- C+ C F+ D+
1.18 90% 50% 24% +8 +1 1.20 26% 1.6 .41 19% .30 71% .21 1.27 81% 42% 43% +15 -1 1.29 41% 0.6 .26 14% .30 78% .24
Jan
16		 Creighton A B+ A+ F D+ 48% 14% 38% A+ C A+ A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ C- C+ A+ C+ A+ 35% 18% 47% C A F+ D- F+ C- F F+ F
1.22 63% 50% 19% -4 +2 0.96 45% 1.3 .57 13% .53 71% .38 1.15 60% 10% 33% -5 0 0.93 34% 1.1 .39 13% .44 83% .36
Jan
19		 Marquette A+ B C+ A+ A+ 46% 15% 38% B A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F F D A+ D- 56% 15% 30% C+ D C- F F F F B+ D-
1.28 63% 38% 45% +8 +1 1.21 45% 1.2 .55 21% .51 88% .45 1.29 74% 44% 22% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.3 .41 7% .40 63% .25
Jan
24		 Georgetown A B+ F A- B 44% 19% 38% A- B+ B+ C B A A+ A+ A+ F+ D- F C- F 33% 25% 42% B F B+ B+ A- F+ A+ B- A+
1.21 62% 22% 39% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.0 .35 12% .37 86% .32 1.25 67% 64% 35% +10 -1 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 11% .19 73% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Connecticut A+ C- A+ B A- 57% 13% 30% A+ A B A+ A A A+ A- A+ B- C- A+ F B 39% 22% 39% B+ B B- A- A- D F A+ F
1.12 50% 50% 36% -2 +2 1.02 29% 1.2 .35 15% .51 77% .39 1.21 65% 27% 40% +4 0 1.10 37% 0.9 .34 14% .45 64% .29
Jan
30		 Villanova B C+ A+ B- A- 34% 26% 40% C A- B D- C C C+ F+ C- D+ C F F F 30% 19% 52% B F+ A+ C+ A+ F D- A C-
1.06 59% 54% 35% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .28 20% .26 64% .16 1.27 63% 60% 43% +12 0 1.26 15% 1.0 .15 7% .35 64% .22
Feb
4		 Butler A- A+ A C+ A 33% 20% 47% C A- A+ F B- A A+ D A+ C+ A F C+ B- 47% 21% 32% B- B- A C B+ D+ F B+ F
1.23 72% 45% 35% +7 0 1.15 40% 0.8 .30 13% .57 67% .38 1.10 48% 58% 33% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.1 .31 13% .49 68% .33
Feb
7		 DePaul A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 35% B+ A+ A+ A A+ D A+ F B+ B- C+ F A+ A- 48% 17% 34% D- B+ C- C- D+ D- A+ A- A+
1.26 62% 78% 44% +15 +1 1.33 46% 1.2 .54 22% .45 60% .27 1.01 57% 50% 20% -6 +1 0.93 33% 1.1 .37 14% .18 64% .11
Feb
11		 Seton Hall A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 10% 67% C A+ B C B- D- C- A+ A F A+ F C F 40% 31% 29% A- D- A+ F C+ F F+ D F+
1.17 60% 75% 46% +16 0 1.36 35% 0.9 .31 26% .34 94% .32 1.27 43% 75% 33% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.3 .35 7% .39 76% .30
Feb
14		 St. John's C- C- F F D 33% 33% 35% F+ D- A- F C B A+ A+ A+ A A A+ A+ A+ 42% 28% 30% A+ A+ A+ F B F D- B D+
0.91 50% 22% 26% -12 -2 0.75 35% 0.8 .26 18% .39 83% .32 1.04 48% 24% 22% -14 -1 0.73 25% 1.5 .36 7% .42 70% .30
Feb
21		 DePaul B A+ F B- B+ 43% 30% 28% C B A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+ B C+ B A A- 36% 23% 42% B- A- D+ A+ B+ F F A+ B-
1.06 71% 25% 36% +2 -1 1.05 41% 1.6 .67 27% .43 62% .26 1.01 58% 33% 27% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.8 .27 10% .40 50% .20
Feb
25		 Xavier A+ D A+ A+ A- 52% 17% 31% A- A- C A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ D- F A+ C 38% 31% 31% C+ C C B+ B- F B- C+ B-
1.35 54% 56% 47% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.5 .39 6% .38 76% .29 1.21 68% 61% 22% +6 -1 1.10 28% 0.9 .25 7% .23 73% .17
Feb
28		 Creighton A- D A+ A+ A 42% 26% 32% C+ A F+ A+ C- A+ F A+ D B F A C+ B 28% 32% 40% A+ B+ D+ B+ C+ C+ D+ F F+
1.16 50% 53% 44% +6 0 1.12 19% 1.3 .25 10% .13 88% .11 1.12 73% 29% 33% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 15% .29 88% .26
Mar
4		 Marquette F F F F F 28% 17% 55% C- F C+ F D F A+ D A+ C F+ A C+ C- 37% 14% 49% A C C+ C C+ A F+ F F
0.79 46% 25% 23% -15 0 0.72 33% 0.7 .24 27% .40 71% .29 1.10 68% 29% 32% +1 +1 1.06 29% 1.0 .29 20% .37 81% .30
Mar
7		 Georgetown B F A+ A+ A+ 33% 13% 54% A- A+ A+ F B- F A F+ B B C- F C D 41% 32% 27% B+ D+ A+ F A B A F B
1.08 44% 67% 46% +9 +1 1.21 41% 0.8 .32 30% .35 67% .24 1.10 61% 50% 33% +5 -1 1.09 17% 1.6 .28 16% .25 87% .21
Mar
11		 Butler A B F A+ A+ 38% 22% 40% C A+ C A+ A- A C- C- C- B- B- B- C+ B 48% 25% 27% B+ B A+ C- A F+ B D B-
1.25 64% 23% 52% +10 0 1.21 27% 1.3 .36 12% .20 69% .14 1.12 56% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 11% .33 76% .25
Mar
12		 St. John's C+ D+ B B B 51% 23% 26% B- B+ F C+ F A+ A+ D+ A B D- C+ A- C+ 43% 23% 34% A- B- D A+ A- C- A+ B- A+
0.95 48% 42% 36% -4 +1 0.96 11% 1.0 .11 15% .39 68% .26 1.13 65% 36% 29% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.8 .34 12% .26 71% .18