Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#261
Expected Predictive Rating-11.4#330
Pace78.4#17
Improvement+4.0#14

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#194
First Shot-1.3#202
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#162
Layup/Dunks-4.4#321
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#80
Freethrows+2.1#66
Improvement+2.9#20

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#322
First Shot-3.6#305
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#258
Layups/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#261
Freethrows-2.4#329
Improvement+1.1#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.6% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 16.7% 27.7% 9.6%
.500 or above in Conference 50.4% 67.1% 39.5%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.4% 5.0%
First Four2.0% 2.2% 1.9%
First Round2.6% 3.6% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Away) - 39.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 411 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 356 Western Illinois W 80-75 85%     1 - 0 -11.8 +10.1 -21.2
  Tue, Nov 11 21 @North Carolina L 74-89 2%     1 - 1 +4.0 +0.4 +5.8
  Sat, Nov 15 153 Wright St. L 59-92 28%     1 - 2 -32.6 -15.0 -16.5
  Sun, Nov 16 334 Cleveland St. L 82-87 69%     1 - 3 -15.5 -10.7 -4.1
  Tue, Nov 18 90 @South Carolina L 58-87 9%     1 - 4 -19.8 -10.6 -8.8
  Fri, Nov 21 120 UNC Wilmington L 73-81 30%     1 - 5 -8.2 -1.3 -6.9
  Mon, Nov 24 42 @SMU L 72-89 4%     1 - 6 -1.9 -2.6 +2.4
  Wed, Dec 3 207 Southern Miss L 75-82 52%     1 - 7 -13.0 -5.9 -6.7
  Sun, Dec 7 361 St. Francis (PA) W 89-56 88%     2 - 7 +14.5 +8.8 +6.0
  Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107-77 93%     3 - 7 +7.8 +13.4 -8.6
  Thu, Dec 18 118 @William & Mary L 83-96 14%     3 - 8 -6.9 +2.5 -7.7
  Sun, Dec 21 332 VMI W 97-90 77%     4 - 8 -6.3 +11.2 -17.8
  Wed, Dec 31 264 @South Carolina Upstate L 78-81 39%    
  Wed, Jan 7 286 Presbyterian W 76-72 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 232 UNC Asheville W 80-78 57%    
  Wed, Jan 14 362 @Gardner-Webb W 87-80 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 298 Longwood W 84-79 68%    
  Wed, Jan 21 125 @Winthrop L 81-92 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 101 High Point L 82-90 24%    
  Thu, Jan 29 239 @Charleston Southern L 81-85 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 286 @Presbyterian L 73-75 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 125 Winthrop L 84-89 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 101 @High Point L 79-93 10%    
  Sat, Feb 14 239 Charleston Southern W 84-82 57%    
  Thu, Feb 19 362 Gardner-Webb W 90-77 88%    
  Sat, Feb 21 232 @UNC Asheville L 77-81 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 264 South Carolina Upstate W 81-78 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 298 @Longwood L 81-82 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.8 1.8 0.5 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 6.8 6.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 18.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.8 8.1 5.9 1.3 0.1 18.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 7.8 5.3 0.7 0.0 16.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.3 7.4 4.7 0.6 0.0 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.6 3.8 0.5 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.8 10.2 14.2 15.9 16.3 14.1 9.8 5.7 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 85.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 57.2% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0
12-4 24.9% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 25.0% 25.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
13-3 1.2% 17.2% 17.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
12-4 2.9% 11.4% 11.4% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.6
11-5 5.7% 8.2% 8.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.2
10-6 9.8% 6.2% 6.2% 15.8 0.1 0.5 9.2
9-7 14.1% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.6 13.5
8-8 16.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 15.8
7-9 15.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 15.6
6-10 14.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.0
5-11 10.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.1
4-12 5.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-13 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-14 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.8 96.5 0.0%