Radford
Big South
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#247
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#198
Pace64.4#296
Improvement+2.3#34

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#293
First Shot-5.1#316
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#138
Layup/Dunks-1.1#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#312
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#211
Freethrows-0.1#195
Improvement+1.8#31

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#176
First Shot-2.0#244
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#70
Layups/Dunks+3.4#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#232
Freethrows-5.7#351
Improvement+0.5#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 9.9% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.9 15.5
.500 or above 28.4% 57.9% 26.7%
.500 or above in Conference 68.3% 81.6% 67.5%
Conference Champion 6.1% 11.2% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.2% 1.8%
First Four2.3% 1.3% 2.4%
First Round5.2% 9.2% 5.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: West Virginia (Away) - 5.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 411 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 39   @ Virginia L 52-73 5%     0 - 1 -7.3 -3.8 -6.7
  Nov 15, 2021 27   @ Virginia Tech L 39-65 4%     0 - 2 -9.8 -24.1 +13.7
  Nov 19, 2021 101   @ Furman L 64-81 13%     0 - 3 -9.4 -7.2 -2.4
  Nov 20, 2021 102   Navy L 33-47 19%     0 - 4 -9.5 -32.8 +22.3
  Nov 24, 2021 333   William & Mary W 67-54 82%     1 - 4 -1.5 -6.3 +5.9
  Nov 28, 2021 161   Eastern Kentucky W 88-75 42%     2 - 4 +10.4 +6.9 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2021 48   @ West Virginia L 57-74 5%    
  Dec 11, 2021 164   @ James Madison L 64-72 24%    
  Dec 13, 2021 266   @ George Washington L 63-65 42%    
  Dec 18, 2021 84   @ Davidson L 58-72 11%    
  Dec 20, 2021 165   @ Akron L 59-67 25%    
  Dec 29, 2021 210   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-70 31%    
  Jan 05, 2022 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 08, 2022 279   N.C. A&T W 68-63 67%    
  Jan 12, 2022 209   Longwood W 62-61 52%    
  Jan 15, 2022 182   @ Campbell L 56-63 28%    
  Jan 19, 2022 338   Hampton W 71-60 84%    
  Jan 22, 2022 271   UNC Asheville W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 26, 2022 285   @ High Point L 62-63 48%    
  Jan 29, 2022 187   @ Gardner-Webb L 62-68 28%    
  Feb 02, 2022 348   Charleston Southern W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 05, 2022 283   Presbyterian W 63-58 68%    
  Feb 09, 2022 146   @ Winthrop L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 338   @ Hampton W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 16, 2022 182   Campbell L 59-60 47%    
  Feb 19, 2022 285   High Point W 65-60 68%    
  Feb 23, 2022 209   @ Longwood L 59-65 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 279   @ N.C. A&T L 65-66 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 3.2 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.8 4.1 5.2 1.5 0.2 11.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.8 6.4 2.0 0.1 12.7 4th
5th 0.3 3.1 6.6 2.8 0.2 12.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 6.9 3.2 0.3 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 5.5 3.9 0.5 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 4.2 3.5 0.7 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.7 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 2.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.0 5.2 9.4 12.4 14.9 14.8 14.4 10.9 7.2 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 96.2% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 85.1% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0
13-3 55.4% 2.1    1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-4 22.5% 1.6    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
11-5 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.1
15-1 0.5% 20.8% 20.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 1.7% 25.3% 25.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.3
13-3 3.8% 20.6% 20.6% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 3.0
12-4 7.2% 14.5% 14.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 6.2
11-5 10.9% 10.4% 10.4% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.8
10-6 14.4% 8.3% 8.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 13.2
9-7 14.8% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.1 0.7 14.0
8-8 14.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 14.4
7-9 12.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 12.1
6-10 9.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.4
5-11 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.2
4-12 3.0% 3.0
3-13 1.2% 1.2
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.9 93.7 0.0%