Radford
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#189
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#70
Pace61.7#345
Improvement+0.7#143

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#160
First Shot-0.6#191
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#106
Layup/Dunks-4.7#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#189
Freethrows+4.0#18
Improvement-2.7#347

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#235
First Shot-3.6#296
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#71
Layups/Dunks+5.0#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#339
Freethrows-1.8#286
Improvement+3.4#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 15.3% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.4
.500 or above 85.3% 89.5% 72.8%
.500 or above in Conference 74.0% 76.4% 66.8%
Conference Champion 18.2% 19.7% 13.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.5% 4.1%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round14.2% 15.1% 11.6%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Home) - 75.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 45 - 9
Quad 414 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 36   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 7%     0 - 1 -24.7 -11.1 -13.1
  Nov 08, 2024 219   William & Mary W 89-77 68%     1 - 1 +5.9 +10.1 -4.2
  Nov 12, 2024 317   Old Dominion W 87-75 84%     2 - 1 +0.2 +8.6 -8.5
  Nov 16, 2024 243   @ Evansville W 92-81 50%     3 - 1 +9.7 +28.9 -18.1
  Nov 21, 2024 28   @ Clemson L 51-79 6%     3 - 2 -11.9 -8.8 -5.6
  Nov 25, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 63-48 88%     4 - 2 +0.7 -7.5 +10.0
  Nov 26, 2024 150   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-56 43%     5 - 2 +13.6 -1.1 +15.6
  Dec 01, 2024 339   @ St. Francis (PA) W 79-70 73%     6 - 2 +1.3 +10.5 -8.3
  Dec 05, 2024 281   @ NC Central W 70-67 58%     7 - 2 -0.4 -6.5 +6.1
  Dec 08, 2024 260   Bucknell W 70-63 75%    
  Dec 14, 2024 60   @ Utah L 65-79 10%    
  Dec 17, 2024 99   @ Colorado St. L 62-72 18%    
  Dec 22, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 61-74 12%    
  Jan 02, 2025 141   @ High Point L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 179   Winthrop W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 11, 2025 343   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-71 75%    
  Jan 15, 2025 221   Gardner-Webb W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 18, 2025 276   @ Charleston Southern W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 22, 2025 202   Longwood W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 248   @ Presbyterian W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 29, 2025 193   @ UNC Asheville L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 343   South Carolina Upstate W 81-68 88%    
  Feb 05, 2025 141   High Point W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 202   @ Longwood L 68-70 41%    
  Feb 12, 2025 179   @ Winthrop L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 19, 2025 193   UNC Asheville W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 248   Presbyterian W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 26, 2025 221   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-71 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 276   Charleston Southern W 73-65 76%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.3 5.8 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.1 18.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 5.2 7.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 5.4 6.8 2.3 0.2 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.4 6.7 1.9 0.1 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.8 6.2 1.9 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.1 1.8 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.5 1.5 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 0.8 0.1 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.3 7.3 11.1 13.3 15.1 14.7 12.7 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
14-2 98.4% 2.4    2.2 0.1
13-3 89.3% 5.0    4.1 1.0 0.0
12-4 63.0% 5.8    3.1 2.3 0.4 0.0
11-5 26.1% 3.3    0.8 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0
10-6 5.2% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 18.2% 18.2 11.1 5.1 1.6 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 44.8% 44.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.8% 45.6% 45.6% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 2.4% 36.3% 36.3% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5
13-3 5.7% 32.9% 32.9% 13.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.8
12-4 9.2% 23.8% 23.8% 13.5 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.2 7.0
11-5 12.7% 21.4% 21.4% 13.9 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.6 0.0 10.0
10-6 14.7% 15.8% 15.8% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 12.4
9-7 15.1% 10.8% 10.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 13.5
8-8 13.3% 8.3% 8.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 12.2
7-9 11.1% 6.7% 6.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 10.3
6-10 7.3% 4.3% 4.3% 15.6 0.1 0.2 7.0
5-11 4.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.2
4-12 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-13 0.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-14 0.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 5.3 3.8 0.9 85.6 0.0%