Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#275
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#229
Pace68.9#186
Improvement-2.9#331

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#322
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#323
Layup/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#267
Freethrows+2.6#59
Improvement-1.4#288

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#196
First Shot-2.5#257
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#64
Layups/Dunks-4.3#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#77
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement-1.4#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 4.3% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 34.5% 56.2% 29.7%
.500 or above in Conference 27.6% 49.4% 22.8%
Conference Champion 1.0% 3.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 5.3% 15.1%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.7%
First Round2.0% 3.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 18.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 73 - 10
Quad 411 - 714 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 45   @ West Virginia L 59-87 4%     0 - 1 -14.1 -7.1 -6.6
  Nov 07, 2024 213   @ Delaware L 77-81 26%     0 - 2 -3.5 -3.6 +0.4
  Nov 14, 2024 336   Stonehill W 63-51 75%     1 - 2 -1.2 -13.4 +12.6
  Nov 15, 2024 354   Lindenwood W 67-53 83%     2 - 2 -2.3 -5.6 +4.9
  Nov 17, 2024 344   New Orleans W 73-62 80%     3 - 2 -4.2 -10.0 +5.4
  Nov 21, 2024 149   @ Cornell W 86-76 18%     4 - 2 +13.6 +9.6 +3.6
  Nov 27, 2024 345   Canisius W 72-64 80%     5 - 2 -7.2 -6.9 -0.1
  Nov 30, 2024 157   @ Ohio L 68-84 19%     5 - 3 -12.7 -5.5 -7.2
  Dec 04, 2024 229   Youngstown St. L 58-72 52%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -20.8 -17.3 -2.7
  Dec 08, 2024 150   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-79 18%    
  Dec 17, 2024 147   Towson L 60-64 35%    
  Dec 29, 2024 216   Northern Kentucky L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 02, 2025 298   @ Detroit Mercy L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 04, 2025 144   @ Oakland L 60-70 17%    
  Jan 08, 2025 259   Cleveland St. W 68-66 58%    
  Jan 12, 2025 136   Wright St. L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 17, 2025 310   @ Green Bay L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 19, 2025 172   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-77 22%    
  Jan 22, 2025 229   @ Youngstown St. L 65-70 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 144   Oakland L 63-67 36%    
  Jan 30, 2025 356   IU Indianapolis W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 02, 2025 136   @ Wright St. L 67-78 17%    
  Feb 05, 2025 298   Detroit Mercy W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 12, 2025 259   @ Cleveland St. L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 150   Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 21, 2025 310   Green Bay W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 23, 2025 172   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 27, 2025 356   @ IU Indianapolis W 72-68 64%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.4 0.8 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.1 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.9 5.6 1.8 0.1 0.0 14.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.9 5.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 15.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.7 6.0 5.2 1.8 0.2 16.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.8 3.5 1.1 0.1 13.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.2 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.2 6.2 9.1 11.9 13.9 13.6 12.7 10.1 7.6 4.9 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 93.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 77.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 56.4% 0.3    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-6 24.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 17.2% 17.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 23.1% 23.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.6% 17.8% 17.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-6 1.3% 13.5% 13.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-7 2.8% 9.8% 9.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.5
12-8 4.9% 7.7% 7.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 4.5
11-9 7.6% 5.4% 5.4% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 7.2
10-10 10.1% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.7
9-11 12.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 12.6
8-12 13.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.4
7-13 13.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.8
6-14 11.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.9
5-15 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-16 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-17 3.2% 3.2
2-18 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 97.6 0.0%