Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#290
Expected Predictive Rating-14.6#335
Pace72.2#94
Improvement-0.6#235

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#231
First Shot-1.4#211
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#217
Layup/Dunks-1.3#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#267
Freethrows-0.3#212
Improvement+0.7#105

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#316
First Shot-4.0#298
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#251
Layups/Dunks-7.2#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#152
Freethrows+1.3#104
Improvement-1.3#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.2% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 10.1% 16.4% 5.5%
.500 or above in Conference 33.5% 47.6% 23.1%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.3% 4.6% 17.8%
First Four1.5% 1.9% 1.1%
First Round1.4% 2.1% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Away) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 49 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 65   @ Central Florida L 59-69 6%     0 - 1 +0.4 -7.0 +7.1
  Nov 12, 2021 12   @ Kentucky L 60-100 2%     0 - 2 -21.4 -6.1 -14.4
  Nov 15, 2021 72   @ Ohio L 71-85 7%     0 - 3 -4.1 -2.0 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2021 293   Mount St. Mary's L 70-74 OT 62%     0 - 4 -14.2 -13.9 +0.2
  Nov 27, 2021 84   @ Davidson L 70-88 7%     0 - 5 -8.7 +0.2 -9.0
  Dec 02, 2021 300   @ Green Bay L 71-73 42%    
  Dec 04, 2021 267   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-74 34%    
  Dec 11, 2021 191   Florida Gulf Coast L 77-80 41%    
  Dec 19, 2021 226   @ Bowling Green L 74-81 25%    
  Dec 22, 2021 269   @ St. Francis (PA) L 74-78 36%    
  Dec 30, 2021 122   @ Oakland L 66-79 12%    
  Jan 01, 2022 228   @ Detroit Mercy L 74-81 27%    
  Jan 05, 2022 278   Youngstown St. W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 07, 2022 167   Cleveland St. L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 09, 2022 275   Purdue Fort Wayne W 79-77 58%    
  Jan 13, 2022 206   Wright St. L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 15, 2022 197   Northern Kentucky L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 21, 2022 275   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 23, 2022 167   @ Cleveland St. L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 27, 2022 267   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 29, 2022 300   Green Bay W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 03, 2022 254   @ Illinois-Chicago L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 05, 2022 336   @ IUPUI W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 09, 2022 228   Detroit Mercy L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 11, 2022 122   Oakland L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 13, 2022 278   @ Youngstown St. L 72-76 38%    
  Feb 17, 2022 336   IUPUI W 71-63 76%    
  Feb 19, 2022 254   Illinois-Chicago W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 24, 2022 197   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 26, 2022 206   @ Wright St. L 73-81 24%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 9 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.4 2.4 4.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.1 5.1 2.5 0.6 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 3.3 4.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 12.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.7 3.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 13.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.1 4.5 6.6 8.6 10.1 11.9 10.9 10.5 10.3 8.0 5.9 3.9 2.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-4 61.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1
17-5 48.8% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
16-6 23.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 8.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
14-8 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.3% 19.4% 19.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-5 0.8% 12.5% 12.5% 15.4 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-6 1.4% 11.5% 11.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.2
15-7 2.7% 10.0% 10.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.4
14-8 3.9% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.7
13-9 5.9% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.5
12-10 8.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.3 7.7
11-11 10.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 9.9
10-12 10.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.4
9-13 10.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.8
8-14 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.9
7-15 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
6-16 8.6% 8.6
5-17 6.6% 6.6
4-18 4.5% 4.5
3-19 2.1% 2.1
2-20 1.1% 1.1
1-21 0.3% 0.3
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.9 97.8 0.0%