Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#185
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#135
Pace64.8#307
Improvement-0.2#193

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#177
First Shot-4.2#299
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#22
Layup/Dunks-3.7#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#160
Freethrows-2.3#315
Improvement+0.8#116

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#205
First Shot-0.3#176
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#257
Layups/Dunks-0.6#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#86
Freethrows-4.5#358
Improvement-1.0#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 12.4% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 94.3% 97.1% 88.7%
.500 or above in Conference 86.6% 92.0% 76.1%
Conference Champion 12.4% 16.0% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round10.8% 12.3% 7.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 65.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 55 - 8
Quad 415 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 18 @Iowa L 69-101 4%     0 - 1 -12.5 +6.9 -20.0
  Thu, Nov 6 143 @Drake W 81-79 OT 29%     1 - 1 +6.2 +4.6 +1.5
  Thu, Nov 20 116 @St. Bonaventure L 61-75 22%     1 - 2 -7.7 -7.8 -0.2
  Sun, Nov 23 224 @Monmouth L 70-71 OT 47%     1 - 3 -1.9 -2.0 +0.1
  Wed, Nov 26 200 Illinois-Chicago W 88-74 64%     2 - 3 +8.6 +15.2 -6.1
  Fri, Nov 28 319 Southern Utah W 61-54 84%     3 - 3 -5.4 -11.4 +6.6
  Sun, Nov 30 349 Stetson W 80-62 89%     4 - 3 +2.6 +11.5 -6.2
  Thu, Dec 4 283 @Green Bay W 80-78 57%     5 - 3 1 - 0 -1.6 +5.7 -7.2
  Sat, Dec 6 210 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-74 44%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -2.2 -4.1 +1.9
  Sat, Dec 13 170 Toledo W 75-70 58%     6 - 4 +1.3 -1.4 +2.9
  Wed, Dec 17 163 Youngstown St. W 80-77 OT 56%     7 - 4 2 - 1 -0.4 +10.4 -10.7
  Sat, Dec 20 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 79-70 84%     8 - 4 -3.5 +8.8 -11.4
  Mon, Dec 29 208 Northern Kentucky W 75-71 66%    
  Fri, Jan 2 296 @Detroit Mercy W 73-70 60%    
  Sun, Jan 4 137 @Oakland L 76-82 28%    
  Sun, Jan 11 199 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-73 64%    
  Thu, Jan 15 354 @IU Indianapolis W 87-78 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 208 @Northern Kentucky L 72-74 44%    
  Thu, Jan 22 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-72 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 283 Green Bay W 74-66 77%    
  Wed, Jan 28 354 IU Indianapolis W 90-75 91%    
  Sat, Jan 31 199 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-76 42%    
  Wed, Feb 4 153 Wright St. W 71-70 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 163 @Youngstown St. L 68-72 34%    
  Thu, Feb 12 334 @Cleveland St. W 78-72 70%    
  Sun, Feb 15 137 Oakland L 78-79 48%    
  Sun, Feb 22 153 @Wright St. L 68-73 32%    
  Wed, Feb 25 296 Detroit Mercy W 76-67 77%    
  Sat, Feb 28 334 Cleveland St. W 81-69 86%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.7 4.0 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 12.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.5 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 16.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 7.4 4.2 0.8 0.1 16.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 7.4 4.3 0.5 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 6.3 3.9 0.6 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.7 7.1 10.9 13.9 16.0 16.0 12.9 9.0 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 99.4% 0.6    0.6 0.0
17-3 92.4% 1.9    1.7 0.2
16-4 74.1% 3.8    2.4 1.2 0.2
15-5 44.7% 4.0    1.6 1.8 0.6 0.0
14-6 13.1% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.4% 12.4 6.6 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 36.4% 36.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.6% 34.3% 34.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-3 2.1% 25.4% 25.4% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
16-4 5.1% 25.2% 25.2% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 3.8
15-5 9.0% 20.6% 20.6% 14.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 7.2
14-6 12.9% 15.5% 15.5% 14.3 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.0 10.9
13-7 16.0% 11.3% 11.3% 14.6 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.1 14.2
12-8 16.0% 8.8% 8.8% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.2 14.6
11-9 13.9% 7.0% 7.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 12.9
10-10 10.9% 4.1% 4.1% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 10.4
9-11 7.1% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.9
8-12 3.7% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 3.6
7-13 1.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
6-14 0.7% 0.7
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.2 4.0 1.0 89.2 0.0%