Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.2 #196
Expected Predictive Rating +0.2 #159
Pace 65.3 #287
Improvement -0.6 #226

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #181 C- F B C D
Defense #219 C- F C+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #294 1.06 #287 -4.4 #315
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #92 0.82 #106 +2.4 #67
Three Pointers 41% #178 1.03 #157 +0.6 #162
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #213 -1.5 #218
Freethrows 14.1 #319 68% #293 9.6 #328
Second Chance 36.1% #44 1.08 #140 0.39 #60
Turnovers 17.3% #223
Total Offense -0.6 #181

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #51 1.19 #207 -3.8 #299
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #250 0.70 #119 +1.4 #88
Three Pointers 38% #262 1.04 #225 +1.0 #155
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #221 -1.4 #220
Freethrows 24.3 #358 72% #171 17.6 #358
Second Chance 30.1% #156 0.98 #105 0.29 #126
Turnovers 15.4% #259
Total Defense -1.6 #219

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.8% #290 1.5% #303
Shot Type Make Effect -1% #190 1.3% #208
Possession Length 18.3 #283 17.1 #179
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #340 0.17 #160
Improvement +0.7 #131 -1.4 #284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 11.4% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.8
.500 or above 89.5% 95.2% 82.6%
.500 or above in Conference 78.6% 87.6% 67.6%
Conference Champion 8.6% 12.3% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round9.7% 11.3% 7.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Away) - 54.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 8
Quad 414 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 19 @Iowa L 69-101 3%     -21.5   0 - 1 -12.4 +6.7 -19.7
  Thu, Nov 6 148 @Drake W 81-79 OT 29%     2.3   1 - 1 +5.6 +4.7 +0.8
  Thu, Nov 20 115 @St. Bonaventure L 61-75 20%     -4.4   1 - 2 -7.5 -8.5 +0.8
  Sun, Nov 23 234 @Monmouth L 70-71 OT 46%     1.4   1 - 3 -2.3 -2.0 -0.3
  Wed, Nov 26 199 Illinois-Chicago W 88-74 62%     12.8   2 - 3 +8.5 +15.5 -6.4
  Fri, Nov 28 329 Southern Utah W 61-54 85%     11.0   3 - 3 -6.3 -11.7 +6.1
  Sun, Nov 30 342 Stetson W 80-62 88%     11.8   4 - 3 +3.1 +11.9 -6.2
  Thu, Dec 4 256 @Green Bay W 80-78 50%     -1.3   5 - 3 1 - 0 -0.3 +6.8 -7.0
  Sat, Dec 6 197 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-74 39%     1.1   5 - 4 1 - 1 -1.2 -2.8 +1.6
  Sat, Dec 13 177 Toledo W 75-70 57%     -6.2   6 - 4 +0.9 -1.4 +2.4
  Wed, Dec 17 184 Youngstown St. W 80-77 OT 59%     -3.1   7 - 4 2 - 1 -1.5 +9.3 -10.8
  Sat, Dec 20 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 79-70 83%     1.9   8 - 4 -3.6 +8.7 -11.4
  Mon, Dec 29 209 Northern Kentucky L 77-79 65%     0.6   8 - 5 2 - 2 -8.2 +0.6 -8.8
  Fri, Jan 2 277 @Detroit Mercy W 73-72 55%    
  Sun, Jan 4 141 @Oakland L 77-83 28%    
  Sun, Jan 11 248 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-71 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 354 @IU Indianapolis W 87-79 78%    
  Sat, Jan 17 209 @Northern Kentucky L 72-74 42%    
  Thu, Jan 22 197 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 256 Green Bay W 73-67 72%    
  Wed, Jan 28 354 IU Indianapolis W 90-76 90%    
  Sat, Jan 31 248 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-75 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 138 Wright St. L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 184 @Youngstown St. L 69-73 37%    
  Thu, Feb 12 325 @Cleveland St. W 79-74 68%    
  Sun, Feb 15 141 Oakland L 79-80 49%    
  Sun, Feb 22 138 @Wright St. L 68-74 28%    
  Wed, Feb 25 277 Detroit Mercy W 76-69 75%    
  Sat, Feb 28 325 Cleveland St. W 82-71 83%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 8.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.9 6.7 2.5 0.3 15.3 3rd
4th 0.5 4.7 7.8 2.3 0.3 15.5 4th
5th 0.4 3.8 7.6 2.6 0.1 14.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 6.5 2.9 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.5 3.0 0.2 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.5 0.4 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.1 6.3 9.9 14.2 16.4 16.2 13.5 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.7 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 97.0% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-4 87.3% 1.9    1.1 0.7 0.0
15-5 58.1% 3.2    1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0
14-6 22.1% 2.2    0.4 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-7 4.4% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.6% 8.6 3.7 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.7% 25.4% 25.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
16-4 2.1% 25.5% 25.5% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.6
15-5 5.5% 22.0% 22.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 4.3
14-6 9.8% 18.7% 18.7% 14.3 0.1 1.1 0.6 0.0 8.0
13-7 13.5% 14.7% 14.7% 14.5 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.0 11.5
12-8 16.2% 10.3% 10.3% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.2 14.5
11-9 16.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.2 0.2 0.7 0.4 15.2
10-10 14.2% 4.7% 4.7% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 13.5
9-11 9.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.1 0.2 9.7
8-12 6.3% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.1
7-13 3.1% 3.1
6-14 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.2 1.2 90.2 0.0%