Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#269
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#294
Pace71.7#119
Improvement+0.8#127

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#205
First Shot-1.7#218
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#160
Layup/Dunks-7.2#354
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.5#9
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement-0.9#250

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#318
First Shot-3.6#301
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#258
Layups/Dunks-2.8#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#350
Freethrows+2.2#46
Improvement+1.7#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.1% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 22.2% 28.6% 10.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.6% 67.6% 39.5%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.6% 3.7%
First Four1.7% 1.8% 1.4%
First Round2.5% 3.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Away) - 64.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 412 - 914 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 118 @Duquesne L 80-92 13%     -6.9   0 - 1 -5.9 +4.9 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 11 33 @Villanova L 60-94 3%     -21.3   0 - 2 -16.9 -0.7 -18.5
  Sat, Nov 15 235 @Queens L 64-81 32%     -13.5   0 - 3 -18.1 -14.0 -4.2
  Fri, Nov 21 324 Holy Cross W 79-66 75%     9.4   1 - 3 +0.1 +2.7 -2.0
  Mon, Nov 24 281 @Central Connecticut St. L 106-108 OT 41%     -1.9   1 - 4 -5.5 +17.7 -22.9
  Sat, Nov 29 124 @Penn St. L 59-90 15%     -20.8   1 - 5 -25.6 -19.1 -3.6
  Wed, Dec 3 291 @Mount St. Mary's W 87-80 42%     2.9   2 - 5 1 - 0 +3.1 +17.8 -14.4
  Sun, Dec 7 178 Iona L 69-81 43%     -4.1   2 - 6 1 - 1 -16.2 -6.0 -10.1
  Sat, Dec 13 354 @NJIT W 65-49 67%     4.0   3 - 6 +5.6 -2.3 +9.7
  Tue, Dec 16 304 @Umass Lowell L 82-87 47%     0.3   3 - 7 -10.1 +1.8 -11.7
  Fri, Dec 19 250 Dartmouth W 85-63 58%     7.8   4 - 7 +14.1 +4.2 +8.7
  Mon, Dec 22 138 @Towson L 47-72 17%     -9.0   4 - 8 -20.6 -19.2 -3.3
  Mon, Dec 29 249 Merrimack L 72-80 58%     -8.1   4 - 9 1 - 2 -15.9 +0.6 -17.0
  Fri, Jan 2 352 @Niagara W 74-70 65%    
  Sun, Jan 4 346 @Canisius W 72-69 62%    
  Fri, Jan 9 157 Marist L 68-71 39%    
  Sun, Jan 11 158 Quinnipiac L 77-80 39%    
  Wed, Jan 14 183 @Siena L 70-77 24%    
  Mon, Jan 19 348 @Rider W 72-69 62%    
  Thu, Jan 22 346 Canisius W 75-66 81%    
  Sat, Jan 24 352 Niagara W 77-67 83%    
  Fri, Jan 30 158 @Quinnipiac L 74-83 21%    
  Sun, Feb 1 249 @Merrimack L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Feb 5 289 Fairfield W 79-75 64%    
  Sat, Feb 7 311 @Manhattan L 80-81 49%    
  Fri, Feb 13 285 St. Peter's W 73-69 63%    
  Sun, Feb 15 348 Rider W 75-66 81%    
  Fri, Feb 20 289 @Fairfield L 76-78 43%    
  Sun, Feb 22 157 @Marist L 65-74 21%    
  Fri, Feb 27 291 Mount St. Mary's W 77-73 63%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.1 0.1 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.6 0.3 5.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 5.4 4.7 1.2 0.1 12.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 5.7 6.1 1.7 0.1 15.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.8 6.4 2.4 0.1 14.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.8 6.0 2.6 0.2 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.9 2.5 0.3 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.3 1.9 0.2 7.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.1 0.2 3.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 13th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.3 4.3 7.9 11.9 15.0 16.3 15.5 11.4 8.0 4.1 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-4 72.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 20.1% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.2% 12.0% 12.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 14.0% 14.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.8% 14.6% 14.6% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.5
14-6 4.1% 11.6% 11.6% 15.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.6
13-7 8.0% 7.8% 7.8% 15.7 0.2 0.5 7.4
12-8 11.4% 5.2% 5.2% 15.8 0.1 0.5 10.8
11-9 15.5% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.5 14.9
10-10 16.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 15.9
9-11 15.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 14.7
8-12 11.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.8
7-13 7.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.8
6-14 4.3% 4.3
5-15 2.3% 2.3
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 96.6 0.0%