Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.4 290
Expected Predictive Rating -8.0 294
Pace 71.6 101
Improvement +1.1 143

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 196 C- D+ D C C
Defense D- 336 D- D+ D B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% 356 C- 56% 207 -5.7 347
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 280 D- 32% 335 -2.3 293
Three Pointers 53% 6 C+ 35% 141 +7.0 17
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 214 C- -0.9 201
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 204
Second Chance D 26.0% 303 C 1.04 153 D+ 0.27 265
Turnovers D 18.9% 302
Freethrows D+ 0.28 266 B+ 78% 19 C 0.22 190
Total Offense C- -1.1 196

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 218 C+ 10.1% 130
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 101 C- 6.0% 249
Three Pointers C 83% 210 C 1.0% 204
Total B- 61% 67 B 4.5% 59

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 156 D- 65% 338 +3.4 290
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 339 C 38% 183 -2.1 29
Three Pointers 45% 56 D- 38% 328 +4.8 347
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 311 D- +5.1 348
1st FG Attempt D- 1.14 348
Second Chance C- 32.2% 255 D+ 1.09 276 D+ 0.35 285
Turnovers D 14.2% 329
Freethrows B- 0.27 68 C 72% 166 B 0.19 56
Total Defense D- -6.3 336

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 321 D 7.5% 316
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 35% 323 D+ 3.6% 256
Three Pointers D- 90% 337 D 0.3% 307
Total D- 65% 347 D 3.7% 324

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 135 17.0 142
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 193 0.22 321
Improvement +0.9 #139 +0.2 #175

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 307 291 269
Conference Record 8 - 12 9 - 11 10 - 10
Conference Finish 10 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 12% 63% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Marist (Away) - 19.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 410 - 1112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 110 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 10% -7  3% 0 - 1 D+ -5 B- +4 D C- B+ F+ -8 A F F
 Tue, Nov 11 31 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  4% 0 - 2 F+ -16 D+ -3 C+ B- F F -15 F D A
 Sat, Nov 15 204 @Queens L 64 - 81 23% -13  1% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F F D C -1 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 326 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 73% +9  91% 1 - 3 C -1 C -0 B F D+ C -0 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 292 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 39% -2  24% 1 - 4 D+ -6 A +12 A- C+ D F -18 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 115 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 11% -21  4% 1 - 5 F -25 F -22 F+ F F C -0 D- F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 285 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 38% +2  69% 2 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +3 A+ +15 D A+ D F -12 F+ F F
 Sun, Dec 7 249 Iona L 69 - 81 52% -4  19% 2 - 6 1 - 1 F -20 F+ -10 B- D- F F -10 D+ D- D-
 Sat, Dec 13 315 @NJIT W 65 - 49 46% +4  71% 3 - 6 B +10 D -5 D- C+ D+ A+ +16 A B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 310 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 44% +0  46% 3 - 7 D -11 C -0 A- F+ F F -11 F C F
 Fri, Dec 19 255 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 54% +8  92% 4 - 7 B+ +14 C +1 F A+ C+ A+ +11 A+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 22 167 @Towson L 47 - 72 18% -9  6% 4 - 8 F -22 F -21 F C- F C- -3 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 162 Merrimack L 72 - 80 34% -8  0% 4 - 9 1 - 2 D -11 C +1 B+ D C- F -13 F C- D
 Fri, Jan 2 337 @Niagara L 61 - 64 55% -9  0% 4 - 10 1 - 3 D- -12 D -6 F C F D- -7 F B+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 343 @Canisius L 78 - 82 58% +4  79% 4 - 11 1 - 4 D- -13 C+ +2 C D+ D F -16 D- F F+
 Fri, Jan 9 184 Marist L 72 - 76 38% +2  57% 4 - 12 1 - 5 D -8 B +7 B+ B+ D- F -15 F F F+
 Sun, Jan 11 193 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 41% -0  40% 4 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -15 F -10 D D+ F D -6 D A F
 Wed, Jan 14 192 @Siena W 86 - 80 21% +4  97% 5 - 13 2 - 6 B- +7 A +14 F+ A+ A+ D- -6 C+ D F
 Mon, Jan 19 356 @Rider W 105 - 85 67% +12  96% 6 - 13 3 - 6 B +8 A +14 A+ F B D- -8 F A- F
 Thu, Jan 22 343 Canisius W 69 - 66 78% -2  29% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D- -12 F -10 C F D C- -2 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 337 Niagara W 71 - 70 76% -5  1% 8 - 13 5 - 6 D- -14 D- -7 B- F B- D- -7 F F B
 Fri, Jan 30 193 @Quinnipiac W 98 - 91 21% +1  56% 9 - 13 6 - 6 B- +8 A+ +19 A D- A+ F -11 D- F+ F
 Sun, Feb 1 162 @Merrimack L 58 - 75 17% -8  3% 9 - 14 6 - 7 D- -14 F+ -9 D+ F F D- -7 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 5 266 Fairfield L 87 - 92 56% -8  0% 9 - 15 6 - 8 D- -14 B- +4 D+ A+ A F -18 F F C
 Sat, Feb 7 321 @Manhattan L 68 - 80 49% +2  64% 9 - 16 6 - 9 F -19 F -15 F F C- D+ -4 D A- F
 Fri, Feb 13 235 St. Peter's W 78 - 71 49% +5  92% 10 - 16 7 - 9 C -0 B+ +8 A- C- B D- -7 B F F
 Sun, Feb 15 356 Rider W 86 - 75 84% +11  90% 11 - 16 8 - 9 D+ -7 C+ +3 C- B- D F -10 F C F
 Fri, Feb 20 266 @Fairfield L 68 - 78 33% -1  53% 11 - 17 8 - 10 D- -13 F+ -9 F+ C+ F+ D+ -4 F A+ F+
 Sun, Feb 22 184 @Marist L 67 - 76 20%
 Fri, Feb 27 285 Mount St. Mary's W 78 - 75 60%
Totals 12 - 18 9 - 11 -7 C- -1 F+ C- C D- -6 C+ B+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- D- C+ C- 29% 29% 53% C C- D C D+ D D+ B+ C D- D- C D- D- 39% 15% 45% D D- C- D+ D+ D B- C B
1.07 56% 32% 35% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.0 .27 19% .28 78% .22 1.18 65% 38% 38% +5 +1 1.14 32% 1.1 .35 14% .27 72% .20
Nov
7		 Duquesne B- A+ F F+ D- 28% 14% 58% B- D B+ F C- B+ A+ D A+ F+ F+ F A+ A+ 42% 5% 53% D+ A F F+ F F F B+ F
1.08 75% 0% 28% -6 0 0.91 35% 0.7 .26 15% .73 67% .49 1.24 70% 67% 17% -7 +2 0.93 38% 1.2 .44 9% .58 67% .39
Nov
11		 Villanova D+ D+ F A C+ 31% 17% 52% B C+ C- A- B- F F D+ F F F F F F 20% 6% 74% C- F F C+ D A A+ B+ A+
0.91 53% 13% 40% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 26% .06 67% .04 1.43 82% 67% 50% +24 +1 1.52 43% 1.0 .43 20% .11 67% .08
Nov
15		 Queens F F C C- F 33% 15% 53% C- F D+ F F D F C F C C A+ F F 30% 8% 62% C- F D+ B C A+ A+ F A+
0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14 1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13
Nov
21		 Holy Cross C C- A A B 23% 8% 70% C B C- F F D+ D- B- D C D+ F D- F+ 33% 13% 53% F F F+ A C A+ D+ B- C-
1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16 0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22
Nov
24		 Central Connecticut St. A C+ A A+ A 39% 16% 44% C- A- D A C+ D A+ A+ A+ F F D F+ F 46% 28% 26% F F C- F F D- F B- F
1.30 58% 50% 44% +9 +1 1.21 27% 1.2 .33 15% .37 96% .36 1.32 77% 44% 40% +13 0 1.26 28% 1.9 .52 13% .47 76% .35
Nov
29		 Penn St. F F F B- F+ 34% 18% 48% C F+ F F F F C- A+ B- C D- A+ F D- 55% 18% 27% D- D- F F F A+ F A+ F
0.76 47% 22% 38% -4 0 0.94 18% 0.7 .12 31% .21 91% .19 1.16 68% 11% 50% +7 +2 1.20 41% 1.4 .59 22% .48 66% .31
Dec
3		 Mount St. Mary's A+ D B D- D+ 18% 20% 61% D D A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ F F+ D C+ F+ 45% 9% 45% D- F+ C- F F F A- B- B+
1.29 50% 44% 30% -4 -1 0.91 44% 1.7 .74 16% .50 86% .42 1.19 68% 40% 32% +3 +2 1.13 30% 1.5 .45 15% .24 64% .16
Dec
7		 Iona F+ C+ F A B 27% 12% 61% C B- C- F D- F C+ C+ C+ F D F B- D+ 35% 7% 57% F+ D+ D- D D- D- D F F
0.98 62% 17% 40% +4 0 1.10 32% 0.7 .24 28% .28 71% .20 1.15 63% 50% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .30 83% .25
Dec
13		 NJIT D D+ F D F+ 51% 21% 28% C+ D- C C+ C+ D+ F A D- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% C- A D- A+ B+ C- B B+ B+
1.03 54% 20% 31% -7 +1 0.89 34% 1.1 .38 16% .26 79% .21 0.78 54% 22% 22% -14 -1 0.73 31% 0.5 .17 17% .27 64% .17
Dec
16		 Umass Lowell C C A+ A+ A+ 22% 24% 55% F A- F C F+ F F C- F F A- F F F 46% 11% 44% F F D- A- C F B+ A A-
1.12 58% 54% 43% +11 -2 1.22 22% 1.1 .25 19% .19 73% .13 1.19 46% 67% 44% +4 +2 1.14 36% 0.9 .31 12% .25 56% .14
Dec
19		 Dartmouth C D A+ F F 40% 10% 50% B F A+ A+ A+ C+ D- C+ D- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 9% 55% F+ A+ F A+ D A+ F A+ D
1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15 0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26
Dec
22		 Towson F F A+ F F 35% 10% 55% B+ F C D+ C- F F A+ F C- F F D+ F 31% 19% 50% D- F C- A+ A+ C B+ A+ A-
0.72 44% 60% 18% -16 +1 0.73 26% 0.9 .24 25% .02 100% .02 1.11 81% 50% 35% +10 0 1.21 37% 0.2 .09 17% .22 58% .13
Dec
29		 Merrimack C C+ A B- A- 30% 21% 49% D+ B+ D+ D+ D C- D+ C- D+ F D+ B F F 35% 6% 59% D+ F B- D- C- D D- A+ C-
1.09 57% 50% 35% +3 -1 1.06 37% 0.9 .34 20% .32 71% .23 1.21 59% 33% 41% +7 +2 1.18 22% 1.1 .25 14% .40 70% .28
Jan
2		 Niagara D C- F F F 44% 14% 42% B+ F A+ F C F A+ A- A+ D- D- D+ F F 37% 12% 51% C- F B- A+ B+ D- C- B+ C
1.05 58% 17% 22% -10 +1 0.84 46% 0.8 .37 24% .41 83% .34 1.10 63% 40% 45% +11 +1 1.26 19% 0.6 .12 15% .24 67% .16
Jan
4		 Canisius C+ A+ C D- C 27% 11% 61% C C F A+ D+ D A+ A+ A+ F F B- A+ F+ 35% 23% 43% C- D- B F F F+ F F F
1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43 1.20 79% 33% 24% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54
Jan
9		 Marist B C F A- B 37% 11% 52% A- B+ B B B+ D- A A+ A+ F F F B+ F 40% 21% 38% D- F F F F F+ C- A C+
1.13 59% 20% 38% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .38 22% .44 86% .38 1.20 74% 50% 28% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 14% .26 71% .18
Jan
11		 Quinnipiac F A- F C+ D+ 26% 20% 54% D D C- D D+ F C F D- D F+ B- F F+ 37% 35% 28% A D B A+ A F B B+ B+
0.93 67% 0% 36% -4 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 23% .28 57% .16 1.08 65% 32% 40% +3 -2 1.04 28% 0.8 .22 11% .24 64% .16
Jan
14		 Siena A F B C F+ 27% 24% 49% D+ F+ C A+ A+ A+ F A+ C D- F B- A B- 33% 22% 45% D+ C+ C F D F A+ F A
1.27 31% 43% 34% -6 -1 0.88 32% 1.6 .51 7% .21 100% .21 1.19 70% 38% 26% -1 0 0.98 30% 1.2 .35 4% .16 90% .14
Jan
19		 Rider A A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% C- A+ F F F B A C A D- D+ C+ F F 47% 22% 31% F F A+ C A- F C+ B B-
1.36 78% 29% 58% +24 +1 1.52 14% 0.8 .10 12% .38 69% .26 1.10 57% 36% 40% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .20 10% .25 65% .16
Jan
22		 Canisius F F F A+ C- 39% 6% 56% A- C F F F D F F F C- A+ F F F 45% 9% 45% F F A- A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11 0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Niagara D- A- B B- B 25% 22% 53% D B- F F F B- C- F D D- F B- F F 51% 13% 36% D- F C+ F F B A A+ A+
1.08 69% 45% 37% +7 -1 1.14 13% 0.5 .06 14% .28 69% .19 1.06 71% 33% 41% +10 +2 1.26 21% 2.0 .42 21% .13 14% .02
Jan
30		 Quinnipiac A+ C A+ A A 29% 11% 60% C+ A F A- D- A+ A+ A A+ F D F B D 32% 12% 56% D- D- D F F+ F F C- F+
1.30 56% 50% 42% +8 +1 1.20 20% 1.2 .23 9% .45 81% .36 1.20 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .43 12% .36 71% .26
Feb
1		 Merrimack F+ F+ B+ D- C 33% 33% 35% F+ D+ F A F F B- A+ A+ D- C A+ A+ A- 46% 12% 42% D+ B+ F F F F C+ D- C
0.91 46% 46% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.2 .23 25% .38 89% .33 1.18 57% 17% 24% -10 +2 0.86 36% 1.3 .46 8% .32 84% .27
Feb
5		 Fairfield B- D- C B- C- 30% 15% 56% D D+ C- A+ A+ A A+ F+ B+ F F F F F 43% 11% 45% F F B- F F C C- D- D+
1.22 50% 38% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.6 .49 11% .40 68% .27 1.29 70% 50% 42% +12 +2 1.28 31% 1.4 .45 15% .27 75% .20
Feb
7		 Manhattan F C+ F F F 30% 20% 50% D+ F F A+ F C- C- A+ C+ D+ C D+ C- D 39% 21% 40% D+ D A B A- F D+ F F+
0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20 1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29
Feb
13		 St. Peter's B+ F F+ A+ A 31% 17% 52% D+ A- F A+ C- B A+ B+ A+ D- B A+ B+ B+ 48% 17% 35% F B F+ F F F B A- B+
1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43 1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19
Feb
15		 Rider C+ B F+ B- C 29% 12% 59% D C- C+ B B- D A+ A+ A+ F C- B- F F 34% 44% 22% A F D+ B- C F A D A-
1.25 64% 33% 38% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.1 .38 16% .40 87% .34 1.09 55% 35% 54% +4 -3 1.03 33% 0.8 .28 10% .18 73% .13
Feb
20		 Fairfield F+ B+ F F+ F+ 35% 13% 52% D+ F+ F+ A+ C+ F+ F A D D+ C+ F+ F F 31% 28% 41% B+ F A A+ A+ F+ D+ A+ B-
0.99 67% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.5 .35 19% .21 83% .18 1.13 53% 47% 50% +11 -1 1.20 24% 0.4 .11 12% .28 53% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 3.5 3.5 6th
7th 4.7 7.5 12.2 7th
8th 22.2 1.4 23.6 8th
9th 16.7 27.5 0.0 44.2 9th
10th 16.0 0.7 16.7 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 32.6 55.0 12.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 12.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 12.0
9-11 55.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.8 54.2
8-12 32.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.4 32.2
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 98.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%
Lose Out 18.3%