Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#269
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#252
Pace72.2#89
Improvement+6.1#3

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#236
First Shot-2.8#262
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#153
Layup/Dunks-2.1#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#36
Freethrows-3.0#329
Improvement+2.7#18

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#294
First Shot-3.5#294
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks+0.3#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#321
Freethrows-2.3#314
Improvement+3.4#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 9.5% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 42.0% 58.2% 34.0%
.500 or above in Conference 62.3% 77.5% 54.8%
Conference Champion 9.6% 17.0% 6.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.6% 6.1%
First Four4.1% 5.1% 3.6%
First Round4.9% 6.9% 3.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 33.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 414 - 1015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 118   @ Temple L 70-81 14%     0 - 1 -5.2 -4.6 +0.1
  Nov 06, 2024 11   @ Connecticut L 56-92 2%     0 - 2 -17.5 -13.9 -2.3
  Nov 09, 2024 319   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 50%     0 - 3 -10.9 -5.0 -5.4
  Nov 15, 2024 326   Holy Cross L 75-82 63%     0 - 4 -16.3 +4.4 -21.5
  Nov 16, 2024 350   New Hampshire W 80-63 74%     1 - 4 +4.4 +10.0 -4.4
  Nov 17, 2024 164   @ Brown L 70-89 21%     1 - 5 -16.6 +1.3 -18.9
  Nov 21, 2024 240   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 55%     2 - 5 +5.7 -4.1 +10.3
  Dec 01, 2024 268   @ Boston University W 73-65 38%     3 - 5 +5.0 +1.4 +3.8
  Dec 06, 2024 274   Iona W 83-59 62%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +14.8 +4.1 +9.6
  Dec 08, 2024 245   @ Quinnipiac L 74-79 33%    
  Dec 18, 2024 237   Albany W 80-79 54%    
  Dec 22, 2024 198   @ Miami (OH) L 70-77 25%    
  Jan 05, 2025 345   Canisius W 79-70 81%    
  Jan 10, 2025 222   Merrimack W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 12, 2025 254   @ Mount St. Mary's L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 16, 2025 302   @ Siena L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 18, 2025 209   St. Peter's L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 23, 2025 345   @ Canisius W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 308   @ Niagara L 71-72 44%    
  Feb 02, 2025 313   Manhattan W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 06, 2025 257   Rider W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 283   @ Fairfield L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 14, 2025 245   Quinnipiac W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 16, 2025 302   Siena W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 21, 2025 222   @ Merrimack L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 23, 2025 209   @ St. Peter's L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 28, 2025 242   Marist W 70-69 55%    
  Mar 02, 2025 283   Fairfield W 75-72 62%    
  Mar 06, 2025 313   @ Manhattan L 76-77 47%    
  Mar 08, 2025 274   @ Iona L 71-74 40%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.7 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 9.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.3 3.0 4.6 1.4 0.1 9.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.0 1.9 0.1 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.4 0.8 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.7 1.6 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 2.6 0.2 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.9 0.6 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.4 0.9 0.0 5.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.7 6.7 9.8 12.1 12.9 12.6 11.5 9.7 7.1 4.3 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 95.6% 1.1    1.0 0.1
16-4 85.9% 2.2    1.7 0.5 0.0
15-5 63.4% 2.7    1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
14-6 32.0% 2.3    0.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 8.0% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 5.3 2.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 58.3% 58.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.4% 29.5% 29.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.1% 22.9% 22.9% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.6% 21.3% 21.3% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.0
15-5 4.3% 18.7% 18.7% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 3.5
14-6 7.1% 16.0% 16.0% 15.8 0.2 0.9 5.9
13-7 9.7% 12.8% 12.8% 15.9 0.1 1.2 8.5
12-8 11.5% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.5
11-9 12.6% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 11.7
10-10 12.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.4
9-11 12.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.8
8-12 9.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.6
7-13 6.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.7
6-14 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
5-15 2.6% 2.6
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.2 1.1 5.6 93.1 0.0%