IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.1	#250
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.7	#265

Pace	71.8	#117
Improvement	+1.8	#80

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#210

First Shot	-2.2	#232
After Offensive Rebound	+0.6	#137

Layup/Dunks	-7.0	#355
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.7	#327
3 Pt Jumpshots	+8.4	#8
Freethrows	-0.8	#236

Improvement	-1.3	#274

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#295

First Shot	-2.6	#261
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.9	#260

Layups/Dunks	-2.7	#281
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.5	#20
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.8	#338
Freethrows	+2.4	#42

Improvement	+3.0	#19

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.0%	6.1%	3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.5	15.7

.500 or above	38.1%	46.8%	23.6%
.500 or above in Conference	72.7%	81.3%	58.4%
Conference Champion	3.4%	4.8%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.4%	1.6%

First Four	1.7%	1.8%	1.4%
First Round	4.2%	5.2%	2.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 62.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 10
Quad 4	13 - 7	15 - 17

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Fri, Nov 7	121 @Duquesne	L	80-92	16%	0 - 1			-6.5	+4.8	-10.6
Tue, Nov 11	32 @Villanova	L	60-94	3%	0 - 2			-17.0	-0.7	-18.5
Sat, Nov 15	211 @Queens	L	64-81	32%	0 - 3			-17.3	-13.7	-3.7
Fri, Nov 21	326 Holy Cross	W	79-66	77%	1 - 3			+0.1	+2.7	-2.0
Mon, Nov 24	278 @Central Connecticut St.	L	106-108 OT	43%	1 - 4			-5.3	+17.8	-22.8
Sat, Nov 29	126 @Penn St.	L	59-90	16%	1 - 5			-25.7	-18.9	-3.8
Wed, Dec 3	300 @Mount St. Mary's	W	87-80	48%	2 - 5	1 - 0		+2.4	+16.4	-13.7
Sun, Dec 7	165 Iona	L	69-81	43%	2 - 6	1 - 1		-15.4	-6.5	-8.8
Sat, Dec 13	353 @NJIT	W	65-49	69%	3 - 6			+5.7	-2.4	+9.8
Tue, Dec 16	304 @Umass Lowell	L	82-87	50%	3 - 7			-10.0	+1.9	-11.7
Fri, Dec 19	247 Dartmouth	W	85-63	61%	4 - 7			+14.1	+4.4	+8.5
Mon, Dec 22	128 @Towson	L	47-72	17%	4 - 8			-19.8	-18.7	-3.0
Mon, Dec 29	263 Merrimack	W	73-69	63%
Fri, Jan 2	352 @Niagara	W	74-69	68%
Sun, Jan 4	347 @Canisius	W	72-68	65%
Fri, Jan 9	157 Marist	L	69-71	42%
Sun, Jan 11	160 Quinnipiac	L	78-80	42%
Wed, Jan 14	179 @Siena	L	69-76	26%
Mon, Jan 19	344 @Rider	W	72-68	63%
Thu, Jan 22	347 Canisius	W	75-65	82%
Sat, Jan 24	352 Niagara	W	77-66	85%
Fri, Jan 30	160 @Quinnipiac	L	75-83	23%
Sun, Feb 1	263 @Merrimack	L	70-72	42%
Thu, Feb 5	277 Fairfield	W	78-74	65%
Sat, Feb 7	313 @Manhattan	W	80-79	52%
Fri, Feb 13	297 St. Peter's	W	73-68	68%
Sun, Feb 15	344 Rider	W	75-65	81%
Fri, Feb 20	277 @Fairfield	L	75-77	43%
Sun, Feb 22	157 @Marist	L	66-74	23%
Fri, Feb 27	300 Mount St. Mary's	W	77-72	69%
Projected Record					14 - 16	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0			3.4	1st
2nd													0.1	0.7	2.1	2.4	1.0	0.1	0.0				6.4	2nd
3rd												0.1	1.1	3.6	3.7	1.5	0.2	0.0					10.3	3rd
4th											0.1	1.5	4.9	5.2	1.9	0.2	0.0						13.7	4th
5th										0.1	1.9	6.3	6.6	2.2	0.2	0.0							17.4	5th
6th									0.1	1.5	5.7	5.8	1.8	0.2									15.0	6th
7th								0.0	0.9	4.2	4.9	1.6	0.1										11.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	2.9	3.9	1.4	0.1											8.8	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.6	2.8	1.3	0.1	0.0											6.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.1	0.9	1.8	0.9	0.1	0.0												3.8	10th
11th					0.1	0.4	1.0	0.6	0.1														2.2	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0															1.0	12th
13th			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0																0.3	13th

Total			0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.4	4.5	7.7	11.1	14.2	15.3	14.7	11.8	8.2	5.1	2.4	0.8	0.2	0.0				Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	98.0%	0.2		0.1	0.0
17-3	84.4%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
16-4	49.8%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
15-5	19.5%	1.0		0.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	3.8%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0							0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.4%	3.4		1.4	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
18-2	0.2%		19.6%	19.6%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-3	0.8%		21.5%	21.5%		14.5															0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6
16-4	2.4%		18.1%	18.1%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	2.0
15-5	5.1%		14.2%	14.2%		15.3															0.1	0.4	0.3	4.4
14-6	8.2%		10.6%	10.6%		15.5															0.0	0.4	0.4	7.3
13-7	11.8%		7.6%	7.6%		15.7															0.0	0.3	0.6	10.9
12-8	14.7%		5.3%	5.3%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	13.9
11-9	15.3%		3.4%	3.4%		15.9																0.0	0.5	14.8
10-10	14.2%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.3	13.9
9-11	11.1%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	10.9
8-12	7.7%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
7-13	4.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
6-14	2.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
5-15	1.1%																							1.1
4-16	0.4%																							0.4
3-17	0.1%																							0.1
2-18	0.0%																							0.0
1-19
0-20

Total	100%		5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.0	0.3	1.6	3.1	95.0		0.0%