UC Irvine
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#132
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#151
Pace71.3#131
Improvement-0.7#236

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#258
First Shot-4.1#296
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#124
Layup/Dunks+0.5#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#326
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+2.8#18

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#51
First Shot+5.6#37
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#232
Layups/Dunks+2.6#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement-3.5#352
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 14.7% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.6
.500 or above 89.9% 93.6% 79.0%
.500 or above in Conference 92.3% 95.4% 83.0%
Conference Champion 15.1% 18.0% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round13.5% 14.7% 10.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Away) - 74.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 67 - 11
Quad 412 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 137 California Baptist L 61-69 62%     0 - 1 -9.4 -13.5 +4.3
  Sat, Nov 15 224 Weber St. W 79-70 79%     1 - 1 +2.2 -6.2 +7.5
  Wed, Nov 19 85 @Utah Valley L 72-79 23%     1 - 2 +2.6 +5.4 -2.7
  Sat, Nov 22 94 Northern Iowa L 69-70 OT 45%     1 - 3 +2.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 127 New Mexico St. L 45-57 48%     1 - 4 -9.8 -26.4 +16.5
  Wed, Nov 26 170 South Dakota St. W 64-52 60%     2 - 4 +11.3 -13.2 +23.7
  Sun, Nov 30 195 @San Jose St. W 72-63 54%     3 - 4 +9.7 +2.1 +8.1
  Thu, Dec 4 271 UC Riverside W 73-60 84%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +4.1 -3.4 +7.8
  Sat, Dec 6 207 Cal St. Northridge W 85-71 77%     5 - 4 2 - 0 +8.0 +8.3 -0.2
  Fri, Dec 19 70 Belmont L 58-84 38%     5 - 5 -21.1 -13.0 -8.2
  Sun, Dec 21 156 North Dakota St. W 74-73 56%     6 - 5 +1.3 +5.9 -4.6
  Mon, Dec 22 255 Norfolk St. W 89-70 75%     7 - 5 +13.6 +18.3 -4.1
  Thu, Jan 1 307 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-67 75%    
  Sat, Jan 3 261 @Cal St. Fullerton W 79-75 66%    
  Thu, Jan 8 275 Long Beach St. W 77-66 85%    
  Sun, Jan 11 108 @Hawaii L 65-70 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 176 @UC Davis L 71-72 50%    
  Thu, Jan 22 271 @UC Riverside W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Jan 24 81 @UC San Diego L 68-76 22%    
  Thu, Jan 29 108 Hawaii W 68-67 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 307 Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-64 88%    
  Sat, Feb 7 149 @UC Santa Barbara L 70-72 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 257 @Cal Poly W 81-77 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 261 Cal St. Fullerton W 82-72 83%    
  Thu, Feb 19 275 @Long Beach St. W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 81 UC San Diego L 71-73 43%    
  Thu, Feb 26 207 @Cal St. Northridge W 78-76 56%    
  Sat, Feb 28 149 UC Santa Barbara W 73-69 65%    
  Thu, Mar 5 257 Cal Poly W 84-74 82%    
  Sat, Mar 7 176 UC Davis W 74-68 70%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.7 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.1 15.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.3 7.3 4.4 1.2 0.1 22.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 4.6 8.1 6.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 24.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.7 6.7 4.2 1.1 0.1 18.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.4 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 4.2 7.0 10.6 13.6 15.3 15.1 12.7 9.5 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.0
18-2 93.7% 2.2    1.9 0.3
17-3 76.9% 4.1    2.8 1.2 0.1
16-4 49.7% 4.7    2.3 2.0 0.4 0.0
15-5 19.8% 2.5    0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1
14-6 4.6% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 8.7 5.1 1.2 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 58.3% 55.6% 2.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6.3%
19-1 0.8% 43.2% 43.2% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4
18-2 2.3% 35.9% 35.9% 12.4 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.5
17-3 5.3% 32.8% 32.8% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.6
16-4 9.5% 26.8% 26.8% 13.0 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.0 6.9
15-5 12.7% 21.2% 21.2% 13.3 0.3 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.0
14-6 15.1% 13.9% 13.9% 13.5 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.1 13.0
13-7 15.3% 10.6% 10.6% 13.7 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 13.7
12-8 13.6% 6.1% 6.1% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 12.8
11-9 10.6% 4.2% 4.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.1
10-10 7.0% 2.8% 2.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.8
9-11 4.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 4.1
8-12 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.0
7-13 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
6-14 0.4% 0.4
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.9 4.1 1.0 0.1 86.5 0.0%