UC Irvine
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.8 122
Expected Predictive Rating +1.7 134
Pace 71.3 110
Improvement +1.3 134

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 261 D+ C C- C- D+
Defense B+ 36 B+ C+ C+ B B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 93 D 53% 298 -0.1 180
2 Pt. Jumpers 56% 28 C 38% 188 +3.1 44
Three Pointers 29% 360 C 33% 197 -6.2 344
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 289 D+ -2.3 262
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 278
Second Chance C 30.4% 182 C 1.04 155 C 0.32 165
Turnovers C- 17.3% 206
Freethrows C 0.30 202 D 68% 313 C- 0.20 244
Total Offense D+ -3.5 261

Assists Blocks (Opponent's)
Close Shots B- 54% 85 C- 11.9% 235
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 37% 37 B- 4.0% 106
Three Pointers B- 87% 125 D+ 1.3% 291
Total C+ 57% 138 D+ 6.5% 281

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 221 A+ 44% 2 -5.9 21
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 67 C 39% 200 +1.4 291
Three Pointers 39% 247 C+ 33% 140 -1.6 112
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 81 A- -5.4 25
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.90 32
Second Chance D+ 32.8% 283 B+ 0.89 27 C+ 0.29 127
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 131
Freethrows B 0.25 38 C+ 71% 111 B 0.18 36
Total Defense B+ +6.3 36

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 202 A 20.0% 9
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 33% 308 B- 6.6% 77
Three Pointers D+ 86% 125 D+ 0.5% 291
Total C- 58% 235 A 9.2% 15

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 124 17.1 148
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 158 0.17 188
Improvement +2.1 #84 -0.8 #243

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27% 29% 22%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 47% 56% 27%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round27% 29% 22%
Second Round2% 2% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Away) - 69.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 41 - 4
Quad 37 - 78 - 11
Quad 412 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 135 California Baptist L 61 - 69 66% -3  38% 0 - 1 D -10 F -14 F D C+ B +5 C+ C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 229 Weber St. W 79 - 70 82% +8  91% 1 - 1 C+ +2 F+ -10 D D+ C- A+ +11 A+ B C
 Wed, Nov 19 102 @Utah Valley L 72 - 79 31% -6  2% 1 - 2 C +1 C +1 F B A C+ +0 C C F
 Sat, Nov 22 91 Northern Iowa L 69 - 70 OT 51% -3  15% 1 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -2 D A A B +4 A- A D-
 Tue, Nov 25 155 New Mexico St. L 45 - 57 61% -5  4% 1 - 4 D- -12 F -32 F F F A+ +20 A+ D A+
 Wed, Nov 26 202 South Dakota St. W 64 - 52 70% +7  86% 2 - 4 B +9 F -16 F+ F F A+ +25 A+ A A-
 Sun, Nov 30 222 @San Jose St. W 72 - 63 62% +5  89% 3 - 4 B +9 C- -2 D C B- A +11 A A+ D
 Thu, Dec 4 294 UC Riverside W 73 - 60 89% +11  98% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C+ +2 D -5 C- D C- A- +8 A+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 6 164 Cal St. Northridge W 85 - 71 72% -0  30% 5 - 4 2 - 0 B +11 B+ +8 D+ A+ B- B- +3 B+ A F
 Fri, Dec 19 69 Belmont L 58 - 84 41% -8  18% 5 - 5 F -21 F -17 F F A D+ -4 D C+ B+
 Sun, Dec 21 140 North Dakota St. W 74 - 73 56% +3  72% 6 - 5 C+ +2 C+ +3 C+ B B C -0 C F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 304 Norfolk St. W 89 - 70 85% +16  97% 7 - 5 B +11 A +13 B- A+ B C- -2 C- F B+
 Thu, Jan 1 322 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 81 - 77 83% +6  98% 8 - 5 3 - 0 C- -3 C+ +3 B- A- F+ D -6 C- D- F
 Sat, Jan 3 212 @Cal St. Fullerton W 86 - 64 60% +9  80% 9 - 5 4 - 0 A +22 A +13 A A+ D- A +10 A+ C- D+
 Thu, Jan 8 260 Long Beach St. W 74 - 64 85% +7  75% 10 - 5 5 - 0 C +1 D- -7 F+ F A A- +8 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 108 @Hawaii L 66 - 67 35% -2  21% 10 - 6 5 - 1 B- +6 D+ -4 F+ A- F A +9 B A- C+
 Sat, Jan 17 179 @UC Davis L 72 - 75 54% -2  9% 10 - 7 5 - 2 C -1 C +0 C- C+ D+ C -1 A+ F F+
 Thu, Jan 22 294 @UC Riverside W 80 - 66 76% +10  97% 11 - 7 6 - 2 B +9 C+ +3 C- B F A- +7 A+ D C+
 Sat, Jan 24 139 @UC San Diego W 61 - 59 44% +1  59% 12 - 7 7 - 2 B- +6 F -10 D- D B- A+ +16 A- A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 29 108 Hawaii W 87 - 76 OT 58% +2  67% 13 - 7 8 - 2 B+ +12 C +0 C+ B D A +10 A- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 322 Cal St. Bakersfield W 78 - 62 93% +5  68% 14 - 7 9 - 2 C+ +3 D- -7 F+ F A+ A +9 A+ D- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 143 @UC Santa Barbara L 79 - 84 45% -6  35% 14 - 8 9 - 3 C -1 C +1 C- D- B- C- -2 D+ D+ B-
 Thu, Feb 12 248 @Cal Poly L 73 - 79 67% +2  48% 14 - 9 9 - 4 D+ -8 F -13 D- F F B+ +6 B- F A
 Sat, Feb 14 212 Cal St. Fullerton W 86 - 65 79% +7  67% 15 - 9 10 - 4 A- +15 B- +5 A+ C+ D+ A +9 A+ F+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 260 @Long Beach St. W 73 - 68 69%
 Sat, Feb 21 139 UC San Diego W 70 - 66 66%
 Thu, Feb 26 164 @Cal St. Northridge W 77 - 76 51%
 Sat, Feb 28 143 UC Santa Barbara W 74 - 69 67%
 Thu, Mar 5 248 Cal Poly W 84 - 74 84%
 Sat, Mar 7 179 UC Davis W 74 - 67 75%
Totals 19 - 11 14 - 6 +3 D+ -3 A+ D+ D+ B+ +6 C D C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D C C D+ 42% 56% 29% D+ D+ C C C C- C D C- B+ A+ C C+ A- 37% 24% 39% B- B+ D+ B+ C+ C+ B C+ B
1.04 53% 38% 33% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.0 .32 17% .30 68% .20 1.00 44% 39% 33% -5 -1 0.90 33% 0.9 .29 18% .25 71% .21
Nov
7		 California Baptist F F F A+ F+ 40% 36% 25% F+ F C- F D C+ B+ F D+ B A+ F F+ B- 48% 17% 35% D+ C+ F A C+ A+ B- B+ B
0.85 33% 26% 46% -9 -2 0.79 23% 0.7 .17 14% .37 57% .21 0.96 32% 56% 39% -7 +1 0.90 48% 0.7 .33 24% .28 67% .18
Nov
15		 Weber St. F+ C+ D- F D 48% 28% 24% D D C+ F D+ C- A+ D A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 23% 29% B A+ C- A B C D+ C D+
1.02 64% 31% 27% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 17% .59 68% .40 0.90 56% 15% 19% -13 0 0.77 33% 0.8 .24 17% .37 71% .26
Nov
19		 Utah Valley C D D+ F F 34% 32% 34% F+ F C- A+ B A C+ B- B- C+ C A+ C+ B- 71% 10% 18% F C C- C+ C F F A+ B-
1.02 50% 35% 22% -10 -2 0.79 29% 1.3 .39 16% .35 76% .27 1.12 60% 20% 33% -1 +4 1.08 38% 1.1 .41 16% .42 44% .19
Nov
22		 Northern Iowa D+ D F C+ D+ 44% 38% 18% F+ D C+ A+ A A A+ F A B A+ D- C A- 35% 21% 44% B+ A- D A+ A D- A C A
0.96 50% 26% 33% -8 -2 0.82 25% 1.4 .35 13% .42 62% .26 0.98 41% 46% 33% -5 0 0.92 24% 0.5 .12 11% .16 70% .11
Nov
25		 New Mexico St. F D+ F F F 27% 34% 39% F F F C F F A+ F A+ A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 37% 34% A- A+ F C+ D A+ F B- F
0.64 55% 21% 13% -19 -3 0.59 17% 1.2 .20 26% .56 66% .37 0.82 50% 47% 7% -13 -3 0.71 41% 0.9 .38 30% .55 70% .39
Nov
26		 South Dakota St. F A F F F 37% 21% 42% C F+ D F F F A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 21% 36% C A+ A A- A A- C- A+ B-
0.86 69% 22% 22% -7 0 0.88 25% 0.6 .16 27% .52 75% .39 0.70 43% 27% 16% -18 0 0.66 21% 0.9 .19 20% .29 59% .17
Nov
30		 San Jose St. C- D- A F D 55% 24% 22% C+ D C- B- C B- D F F A A+ A+ F+ A 31% 31% 38% C+ A F A+ A+ D B+ D+ B
1.08 54% 50% 27% -2 +1 1.00 33% 1.3 .42 17% .25 57% .14 0.95 38% 25% 40% -7 -2 0.85 40% 0.5 .21 14% .23 77% .17
Dec
4		 UC Riverside D F A A+ C- 46% 20% 34% C C- F A- D C- A+ D A A- A+ A+ A- A+ 50% 15% 35% F+ A+ D A B- F F B+ F
1.07 35% 50% 53% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.1 .24 16% .45 65% .30 0.88 35% 25% 28% -17 +2 0.71 31% 0.6 .20 15% .48 68% .33
Dec
6		 Cal St. Northridge B+ F B B+ D+ 42% 27% 31% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ B- B+ F C+ B- A+ A F A- 48% 19% 33% C B+ A A- A F B- B+ B
1.22 45% 43% 38% -2 -1 0.96 41% 1.9 .76 14% .35 67% .23 1.02 43% 27% 42% -5 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .19 10% .29 61% .18
Dec
19		 Belmont F F F D+ F 25% 27% 48% D- F F F F A C F D- D+ A+ F F D 49% 9% 43% D D D+ A- C+ B+ C F D+
0.83 38% 21% 32% -11 -2 0.77 23% 0.8 .19 13% .28 59% .17 1.21 48% 75% 55% +12 +2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 22% .31 76% .24
Dec
21		 North Dakota St. C+ B+ B- C- C+ 46% 24% 30% C+ C+ B- B+ B B B- F C- C B+ B F C 31% 27% 42% B- C F D+ F A+ F A+ B-
1.12 70% 42% 33% +6 0 1.14 33% 1.0 .33 17% .29 63% .18 1.11 50% 33% 42% +1 -1 1.02 51% 1.1 .54 29% .36 47% .17
Dec
22		 Norfolk St. A A- A+ D B- 44% 16% 40% C B- A- A+ A+ B D+ A+ B C- B+ B+ F D- 28% 41% 30% A+ C- A F F B+ D+ F F
1.31 73% 50% 30% +6 +1 1.16 41% 1.3 .55 15% .34 85% .29 1.03 46% 32% 50% +1 -3 0.98 23% 1.9 .43 22% .38 80% .30
Jan
1		 Cal St. Bakersfield C+ D+ D+ A+ A 29% 47% 24% F B- D A+ A- F+ A D B+ D B+ B+ F C- 40% 40% 19% B- C- F B+ D- F B+ D B-
1.16 54% 38% 64% +10 -4 1.13 32% 1.6 .50 22% .46 68% .31 1.10 48% 30% 45% -4 -2 0.89 47% 0.9 .40 13% .30 78% .23
Jan
3		 Cal St. Fullerton A B+ F A+ A 40% 10% 50% B A A A+ A+ D- B F C- A A+ A+ F A+ 28% 31% 41% A+ A+ D- B- C- D+ A+ D A
1.24 68% 20% 46% +11 +1 1.27 39% 1.5 .61 22% .35 58% .20 0.92 27% 24% 41% -9 -2 0.80 30% 0.9 .28 14% .20 75% .15
Jan
8		 Long Beach St. D- D+ B F F+ 46% 32% 22% D F+ D- F F A A B- A+ A- A- F+ C C 37% 41% 22% B+ C+ A A+ A+ C+ B+ D+ B
1.04 57% 44% 18% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 13% .45 79% .35 0.90 50% 45% 33% 0 -3 0.96 19% 0.3 .05 18% .22 77% .17
Jan
10		 Hawaii D+ F C+ F F 68% 20% 12% A F+ A+ D- A- F D A+ C+ A A F A+ B+ 48% 13% 38% D+ B D+ A+ A- C+ A+ B A+
0.93 41% 40% 17% -14 +2 0.78 44% 0.9 .39 21% .27 80% .21 0.94 48% 71% 25% -5 +2 0.94 33% 0.7 .23 20% .23 69% .16
Jan
17		 UC Davis C D B+ B+ C 46% 28% 26% D C- C- B C+ D+ F A+ C C A A+ C+ A+ 28% 21% 51% B- A+ F+ F F F+ F A F
1.05 52% 43% 38% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 20% .24 100% .24 1.09 46% 20% 33% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.2 .41 15% .51 67% .34
Jan
22		 UC Riverside C+ C A+ F C- 47% 19% 34% C+ C- A+ F B F A+ C+ A+ A- A+ F A A+ 45% 13% 42% F+ A+ F B- D C+ C+ F D-
1.13 59% 67% 25% +1 +1 1.06 49% 0.8 .37 20% .55 71% .39 0.93 33% 57% 27% -13 +1 0.79 36% 0.8 .29 20% .28 94% .26
Jan
24		 UC San Diego F F+ C D- D 40% 35% 25% F+ D- F+ B- D B- D- F F A+ A- C B A- 31% 19% 50% A A- A A+ A+ F+ A+ C+ A+
0.87 45% 37% 29% -7 -2 0.84 20% 1.1 .23 14% .22 54% .12 0.84 50% 36% 31% -5 0 0.91 18% 0.0 .00 13% .15 67% .10
Jan
29		 Hawaii C F+ A+ F C+ 53% 31% 17% C- C+ B+ C B D A+ D+ A A A+ A+ F A 40% 10% 50% D+ A- A+ A+ A+ D+ A F C+
1.02 45% 61% 20% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.0 .33 19% .42 66% .28 0.90 32% 0% 42% -8 +2 0.89 19% 0.4 .09 18% .27 89% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- C- B F F 57% 20% 23% B F+ C+ F F A+ A+ F C A A+ C A+ A 28% 54% 18% A+ A+ D- D D- A+ B+ F D+
1.07 56% 45% 15% -6 +1 0.93 40% 0.6 .23 10% .47 58% .27 0.85 29% 37% 22% -12 -5 0.68 37% 1.1 .39 26% .30 94% .28
Feb
7		 UC Santa Barbara C A+ D- B+ B- 36% 41% 23% F C- D F D- B- F A+ F+ C- D F A D 36% 28% 36% A- D+ F B D+ B- F C+ F
1.11 75% 35% 38% +6 -3 1.09 23% 0.9 .19 15% .22 92% .20 1.18 65% 69% 29% +9 -1 1.17 39% 0.9 .36 20% .44 76% .33
Feb
12		 Cal Poly F F F A+ D 34% 22% 44% D D- D F F F D- C- D- B+ C A+ C- C+ 28% 10% 62% B+ B- F D- F A C B+ B-
0.92 45% 23% 42% -2 -1 0.97 28% 0.5 .15 21% .22 71% .16 0.99 57% 0% 35% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .43 26% .31 72% .22
Feb
14		 Cal St. Fullerton B- B- A+ A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% F+ A+ C- B C+ D+ F F F A A+ F A+ A+ 22% 31% 47% A+ A+ B+ F F+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.17 65% 73% 43% +18 -1 1.35 28% 1.1 .32 20% .17 60% .10 0.88 15% 56% 26% -10 -2 0.78 20% 1.7 .34 15% .14 56% .08



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1.0 11.9 22.7 11.6 47.2 1st
2nd 0.3 9.3 18.0 5.8 33.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.4 8.1 1.3 11.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.5 1.1 4.9 4th
5th 0.9 1.0 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.2 1.8 7.2 19.6 31.1 28.5 11.6 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 11.6    9.3 2.3
15-5 79.8% 22.7    11.4 11.0 0.4
14-6 38.1% 11.9    1.9 6.2 3.4 0.4 0.0
13-7 5.2% 1.0    0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 47.2% 47.2 22.6 19.6 4.2 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 11.6% 39.6% 39.6% 12.6 0.0 2.0 2.4 0.2 7.0
15-5 28.5% 34.5% 34.5% 13.1 1.3 6.5 1.9 0.1 18.7
14-6 31.1% 27.4% 27.4% 13.4 0.5 4.6 3.3 0.2 22.6
13-7 19.6% 16.1% 16.1% 13.5 0.1 1.5 1.3 0.2 16.5
12-8 7.2% 9.7% 9.7% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 6.5
11-9 1.8% 5.3% 5.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
10-10 0.2% 6.1% 6.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 26.9% 26.9% 0.0% 13.2 73.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.6% 100.0% 12.6 0.8 42.9 52.0 4.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.6%