UC Irvine
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.0 116
Expected Predictive Rating +2.1 129
Pace 71.3 107
Improvement +1.5 131

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 272 D+ C C- C- D+
Defense B+ 32 A- C+ C+ B B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 82 D+ 53% 293 +0.2 172
2 Pt. Jumpers 56% 29 C 39% 153 +3.2 44
Three Pointers 29% 358 C 34% 185 -6.1 344
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 286 C- -1.8 241
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 266
Second Chance C 30.3% 184 C 1.02 190 C 0.31 182
Turnovers C- 17.8% 245
Freethrows C 0.30 192 D 68% 320 C- 0.21 234
Total Offense D+ -3.8 272

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 54% 86 C- 12.0% 244
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 37% 38 C+ 4.2% 123
Three Pointers B- 87% 117 D+ 1.2% 280
Total C+ 57% 140 D+ 6.6% 287

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 221 A+ 44% 2 -6.0 21
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 67 C 38% 180 +1.2 286
Three Pointers 39% 253 B- 32% 108 -2.1 93
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 83 A- -6.1 16
1st FG Attempt A- 0.89 17
Second Chance D+ 33.1% 290 B+ 0.91 37 C+ 0.30 156
Turnovers C+ 17.8% 119
Freethrows B 0.25 39 C+ 71% 119 B 0.18 41
Total Defense B+ +6.8 32

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 50% 202 A 20.0% 10
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 302 B- 6.9% 71
Three Pointers D+ 87% 264 D+ 0.5% 261
Total C- 58% 224 A 9.3% 13

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 121 17.1 145
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 168 0.17 178
Improvement +1.3 #122 +0.2 #178

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29% 32% 23%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 74% 83% 55%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round29% 32% 23%
Second Round2% 2% 2%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 66.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 37 - 78 - 11
Quad 412 - 120 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 139 California Baptist L 61 - 69 68% -3  38% 0 - 1 D -10 F -14 F D C+ B +4 C+ C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 224 Weber St. W 79 - 70 81% +8  91% 1 - 1 C+ +2 F+ -10 D- D+ C- A+ +11 A+ B C+
 Wed, Nov 19 95 @Utah Valley L 72 - 79 30% -6  2% 1 - 2 C +2 C +1 F B+ A C +0 C C F
 Sat, Nov 22 90 Northern Iowa L 69 - 70 OT 49% -3  15% 1 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -2 D A A B +5 A A D-
 Tue, Nov 25 157 New Mexico St. L 45 - 57 62% -5  4% 1 - 4 D- -12 F -32 F F F A+ +20 A+ D A+
 Wed, Nov 26 206 South Dakota St. W 64 - 52 71% +7  86% 2 - 4 B +9 F -16 F+ F F A+ +25 A+ A A-
 Sun, Nov 30 221 @San Jose St. W 72 - 63 63% +5  89% 3 - 4 B +9 C- -1 D C B- A +11 A A+ D
 Thu, Dec 4 279 UC Riverside W 73 - 60 88% +11  98% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C+ +3 D -4 C D C- A- +8 A+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 6 159 Cal St. Northridge W 85 - 71 72% -0  30% 5 - 4 2 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 C- A+ B- B- +2 B+ A F
 Fri, Dec 19 68 Belmont L 58 - 84 41% -8  18% 5 - 5 F -21 F -17 F F A D+ -4 D C+ B+
 Sun, Dec 21 132 North Dakota St. W 74 - 73 55% +3  72% 6 - 5 C+ +3 C+ +3 C+ B B C -0 C F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 306 Norfolk St. W 89 - 70 86% +16  97% 7 - 5 B +10 A +13 B- A+ B C- -2 C- F B
 Thu, Jan 1 331 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 81 - 77 85% +6  98% 8 - 5 3 - 0 C- -4 C+ +3 B- A- F D- -7 C- F+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 205 @Cal St. Fullerton W 86 - 64 61% +9  80% 9 - 5 4 - 0 A +22 A +12 A A+ D- A +11 A+ C- D+
 Thu, Jan 8 264 Long Beach St. W 74 - 64 86% +7  75% 10 - 5 5 - 0 C +1 D- -6 F+ F A A- +7 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 117 @Hawaii L 66 - 67 39% -2  21% 10 - 6 5 - 1 B- +5 D+ -4 F+ A- F A +9 B A- C+
 Sat, Jan 17 179 @UC Davis L 72 - 75 55% -2  9% 10 - 7 5 - 2 C -1 C- -1 D+ C+ D+ C -0 A+ F D-
 Thu, Jan 22 279 @UC Riverside W 80 - 66 74% +10  97% 11 - 7 6 - 2 B +10 C+ +3 C B F A- +7 A+ D C+
 Sat, Jan 24 137 @UC San Diego W 61 - 59 44% +1  59% 12 - 7 7 - 2 B- +6 F -10 D- D B A+ +16 A- A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 29 117 Hawaii W 87 - 76 OT 62% +2  67% 13 - 7 8 - 2 B +11 C +0 C+ B D- A +9 A- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 331 Cal St. Bakersfield W 78 - 62 94% +5  68% 14 - 7 9 - 2 C+ +2 D- -7 F+ F A+ A- +8 A F+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 144 @UC Santa Barbara L 79 - 84 46% -6  35% 14 - 8 9 - 3 C -1 C +1 C F+ B- C- -2 D+ D+ B-
 Thu, Feb 12 231 @Cal Poly L 73 - 79 64% +2  48% 14 - 9 9 - 4 D+ -7 F -13 D F F B+ +7 B- F A
 Sat, Feb 14 205 Cal St. Fullerton W 86 - 65 80% +7  67% 15 - 9 10 - 4 A- +15 B- +4 A+ C+ D+ A +11 A+ F+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 264 @Long Beach St. W 69 - 58 71% +7  98% 16 - 9 11 - 4 B +8 F -10 A+ F F A+ +18 A+ F A-
 Sat, Feb 21 137 UC San Diego W 70 - 65 66%
 Thu, Feb 26 159 @Cal St. Northridge W 76 - 75 51%
 Sat, Feb 28 144 UC Santa Barbara W 73 - 68 69%
 Thu, Mar 5 231 Cal Poly W 83 - 73 82%
 Sat, Mar 7 179 UC Davis W 74 - 67 74%
Totals 19 - 11 14 - 6 +3 D+ -4 A- C- D+ B+ +7 C D C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ C C C- 42% 56% 29% D+ D+ C C C C- C D C- B+ A+ C B- A- 37% 24% 39% B- A- D+ B+ C+ C+ B C+ B
1.03 53% 39% 34% -2 -1 0.97 30% 1.0 .31 18% .30 68% .21 0.99 44% 38% 32% -6 -1 0.89 33% 0.9 .30 18% .25 71% .22
Nov
7		 California Baptist F F F A+ F+ 40% 36% 25% F+ F D+ F D C+ B+ F D+ B A+ F F+ B- 48% 17% 35% D+ C+ F A C A+ B- B+ B
0.85 33% 26% 46% -10 -2 0.79 23% 0.7 .17 14% .37 57% .21 0.96 32% 56% 39% -7 +1 0.90 48% 0.7 .33 24% .28 67% .18
Nov
15		 Weber St. F+ C+ F+ F D 48% 28% 24% D D- C+ F D+ C- A+ D- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 23% 29% B A+ C- A B C+ D+ C D+
1.02 64% 31% 27% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 17% .59 68% .40 0.90 56% 15% 19% -13 0 0.77 33% 0.8 .24 17% .37 71% .26
Nov
19		 Utah Valley C D D+ F F 34% 32% 34% F+ F C- A+ B+ A B- B- B C C A+ C+ B- 71% 10% 18% F C C- C C F F A+ B-
1.02 50% 35% 22% -10 -2 0.79 29% 1.3 .39 16% .35 76% .27 1.12 60% 20% 33% -1 +4 1.08 38% 1.1 .41 16% .42 44% .19
Nov
22		 Northern Iowa D+ D F C+ D+ 44% 38% 18% F D C A+ A A A+ F A B A+ D C A 35% 21% 44% B+ A D A+ A D- A C A-
0.96 50% 26% 33% -8 -2 0.82 25% 1.4 .35 13% .42 62% .26 0.98 41% 46% 33% -5 0 0.92 24% 0.5 .12 11% .16 70% .11
Nov
25		 New Mexico St. F D+ F F F 27% 34% 39% F F F C F F A+ F A+ A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 37% 34% A A+ F C+ D A+ F B- F
0.64 55% 21% 13% -19 -3 0.59 17% 1.2 .20 26% .56 66% .37 0.82 50% 47% 7% -13 -3 0.71 41% 0.9 .38 30% .55 70% .39
Nov
26		 South Dakota St. F A- F F F 37% 21% 42% C F+ D+ F F F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 21% 36% C A+ A A- A A- C- A+ B-
0.86 69% 22% 22% -7 0 0.88 25% 0.6 .16 27% .52 75% .39 0.70 43% 27% 16% -18 0 0.66 21% 0.9 .19 20% .29 59% .17
Nov
30		 San Jose St. C- D- A+ F D 55% 24% 22% C+ D C- B- C B- D F F A A+ A+ F+ A 31% 31% 38% C+ A F A+ A+ D B+ D+ B
1.08 54% 50% 27% -2 +1 1.00 33% 1.3 .42 17% .25 57% .14 0.95 38% 25% 40% -7 -2 0.85 40% 0.5 .21 14% .23 77% .17
Dec
4		 UC Riverside D F A A+ C- 46% 20% 34% C C F A- D C- A+ D- A A- A+ A+ A A+ 50% 15% 35% F+ A+ D- A B- F F B+ F
1.07 35% 50% 53% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.1 .24 16% .45 65% .30 0.88 35% 25% 28% -17 +2 0.71 31% 0.6 .20 15% .48 68% .33
Dec
6		 Cal St. Northridge B+ F B B+ C- 42% 27% 31% C- C- A+ A+ A+ B- B F C B- A+ A F B+ 48% 19% 33% C B+ A A- A F B- B+ B-
1.22 45% 43% 38% -2 -1 0.96 41% 1.9 .76 14% .35 67% .23 1.02 43% 27% 42% -5 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .19 10% .29 61% .18
Dec
19		 Belmont F F F D+ F 25% 27% 48% D- F F F F A C F D- D+ A+ F F D 49% 9% 43% D D D+ A- C+ B+ C F D+
0.83 38% 21% 32% -11 -2 0.77 23% 0.8 .19 13% .28 59% .17 1.21 48% 75% 55% +12 +2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 22% .31 76% .24
Dec
21		 North Dakota St. C+ B+ B- C- C+ 46% 24% 30% C+ C+ B- B+ B B B- F C- C A- B F C 31% 27% 42% B- C F D+ F A+ F A+ B-
1.12 70% 42% 33% +6 0 1.14 33% 1.0 .33 17% .29 63% .18 1.11 50% 33% 42% +1 -1 1.02 51% 1.1 .54 29% .36 47% .17
Dec
22		 Norfolk St. A A- A+ D B- 44% 16% 40% C B- A- A+ A+ B D+ A+ B C- B+ B+ F D- 28% 41% 30% A+ C- A F F B D+ F F
1.31 73% 50% 30% +6 +1 1.16 41% 1.3 .55 15% .34 85% .29 1.03 46% 32% 50% +1 -3 0.98 23% 1.9 .43 22% .38 80% .30
Jan
1		 Cal St. Bakersfield C+ D+ D+ A+ A 29% 47% 24% F B- D A+ A- F A D- B+ D- B+ B+ F D+ 40% 40% 19% B- C- F B F+ F B+ D+ B
1.16 54% 38% 64% +10 -4 1.13 32% 1.6 .50 22% .46 68% .31 1.10 48% 30% 45% -4 -2 0.89 47% 0.9 .40 13% .30 78% .23
Jan
3		 Cal St. Fullerton A B+ F A+ A 40% 10% 50% B A A A+ A+ D- B F D+ A A+ A+ F A+ 28% 31% 41% A+ A+ D B- C- D+ A+ D A
1.24 68% 20% 46% +11 +1 1.27 39% 1.5 .61 22% .35 58% .20 0.92 27% 24% 41% -9 -2 0.80 30% 0.9 .28 14% .20 75% .15
Jan
8		 Long Beach St. D- D+ B- F F+ 46% 32% 22% D F+ D- F F A A B A+ A- A- F+ C C 37% 41% 22% B+ C+ A A+ A+ C+ B+ D+ B
1.04 57% 44% 18% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 13% .45 79% .35 0.90 50% 45% 33% 0 -3 0.96 19% 0.3 .05 18% .22 77% .17
Jan
10		 Hawaii D+ F C+ F F 68% 20% 12% A F+ A+ D- A- F D A+ C A A F A+ B+ 48% 13% 38% D+ B D+ A+ A- C+ A+ B A+
0.93 41% 40% 17% -14 +2 0.78 44% 0.9 .39 21% .27 80% .21 0.94 48% 71% 25% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.7 .23 20% .23 69% .16
Jan
17		 UC Davis C- D B B+ C- 46% 28% 26% D D+ C- B C+ D+ F A+ C C A A+ C+ A+ 28% 21% 51% B- A+ F+ F F D- F A F
1.05 52% 43% 38% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 20% .24 100% .24 1.09 46% 20% 33% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.2 .41 15% .51 67% .34
Jan
22		 UC Riverside C+ C A+ F C- 47% 19% 34% C+ C A+ F B F A+ C+ A+ A- A+ F A A+ 45% 13% 42% F+ A+ F B- D C+ C+ F D-
1.13 59% 67% 25% +1 +1 1.06 49% 0.8 .37 20% .55 71% .39 0.93 33% 57% 27% -13 +1 0.79 36% 0.8 .29 20% .28 94% .26
Jan
24		 UC San Diego F F+ C- D- D 40% 35% 25% F+ D- F+ B- D B D- F F A+ A- C+ B A- 31% 19% 50% A A- A A+ A+ F+ A+ C+ A+
0.87 45% 37% 29% -8 -2 0.84 20% 1.1 .23 14% .22 54% .12 0.84 50% 36% 31% -5 0 0.91 18% 0.0 .00 13% .15 67% .10
Jan
29		 Hawaii C F+ A+ F C+ 53% 31% 17% C- C+ B+ C B D- A+ D+ A A A+ A+ F A 40% 10% 50% D+ A- A+ A+ A+ D+ A F C+
1.02 45% 61% 20% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.0 .33 19% .42 66% .28 0.90 32% 0% 42% -8 +2 0.89 19% 0.4 .09 18% .27 89% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- C- B F F 57% 20% 23% B F+ C+ F F A+ A+ F C+ A- A+ C- A+ A- 28% 54% 18% A+ A D- D F+ A+ B+ F C-
1.07 56% 45% 15% -6 +1 0.93 40% 0.6 .23 10% .47 58% .27 0.85 29% 37% 22% -12 -5 0.68 37% 1.1 .39 26% .30 94% .28
Feb
7		 UC Santa Barbara C A+ D B+ B- 36% 41% 23% F C D F F+ B- F A+ F+ C- D F A D- 36% 28% 36% A- D+ F B D+ B- F C+ F
1.11 75% 35% 38% +6 -3 1.09 23% 0.9 .19 15% .22 92% .20 1.18 65% 69% 29% +9 -1 1.17 39% 0.9 .36 20% .44 76% .33
Feb
12		 Cal Poly F F F A+ D 34% 22% 44% D D D F F F F+ C- D- B+ C A+ C- C+ 28% 10% 62% B+ B- F F+ F A C+ B+ B-
0.92 45% 23% 42% -2 0 0.97 28% 0.5 .15 21% .22 71% .16 0.99 57% 0% 35% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .43 26% .31 72% .22
Feb
14		 Cal St. Fullerton B- B- A+ A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% F+ A+ C- B C+ D+ F F F A A+ F A+ A+ 22% 31% 47% A+ A+ B+ F F+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.17 65% 73% 43% +18 -1 1.35 28% 1.1 .32 20% .17 60% .10 0.88 15% 56% 26% -10 -2 0.78 20% 1.7 .34 15% .14 56% .08
Feb
19		 Long Beach St. F B- A+ A+ A+ 55% 23% 23% B- A+ C- F F F A+ F A- A+ A+ A A+ A+ 36% 36% 28% B- A+ F F F A- D+ F D-
0.94 64% 67% 44% +13 +1 1.30 27% 0.3 .08 30% .50 65% .33 0.79 37% 26% 7% -23 -2 0.51 33% 1.3 .42 22% .29 82% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 2.4 21.3 33.7 16.3 73.6 1st
2nd 0.2 7.2 8.9 16.3 2nd
3rd 1.3 5.4 0.8 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 0.2 2.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.4 5th
6th 0.2 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.4 3.6 15.1 31.0 33.7 16.3 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 16.3    16.3
15-5 100.0% 33.7    24.4 8.7 0.6
14-6 68.6% 21.3    5.8 10.9 4.3 0.2
13-7 15.7% 2.4    0.1 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.1
12-8 0.6% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 73.6% 73.6 46.5 20.0 6.0 0.9 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 16.3% 40.3% 40.3% 12.7 0.1 2.2 3.8 0.5 9.7
15-5 33.7% 35.2% 35.2% 13.2 1.3 7.3 3.1 0.1 21.8
14-6 31.0% 26.6% 26.6% 13.4 0.3 4.6 3.1 0.2 22.8
13-7 15.1% 13.7% 13.7% 13.5 0.0 0.9 1.0 0.1 13.0
12-8 3.6% 11.0% 11.0% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.2
11-9 0.4% 2.7% 2.7% 14.0 0.0 0.4
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 29.1% 29.1% 0.0% 13.2 70.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.6% 100.0% 12.7 0.8 33.9 57.8 7.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.3%