William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#219
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#284
Pace76.9#25
Improvement-2.9#333

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#140
First Shot+0.9#152
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#151
Layup/Dunks-1.6#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#59
Freethrows+1.0#120
Improvement-0.8#243

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#313
First Shot-3.5#292
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#248
Layups/Dunks+1.5#120
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#319
Freethrows-1.3#266
Improvement-2.1#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 22.7% 31.1% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 49.7% 55.6% 42.8%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.4% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 4.2% 7.4%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 0.7%
First Round3.6% 4.5% 2.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Home) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 84 - 12
Quad 49 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 189   @ Radford L 77-89 32%     0 - 1 -10.3 +3.6 -13.9
  Nov 12, 2024 153   Norfolk St. W 84-73 48%     1 - 1 +8.4 +6.9 +1.1
  Nov 15, 2024 179   @ Winthrop L 85-86 31%     1 - 2 +1.0 +4.4 -3.3
  Nov 16, 2024 281   NC Central L 76-78 62%     1 - 3 -8.4 -2.9 -5.4
  Nov 17, 2024 235   Georgia Southern W 102-87 53%     2 - 3 +11.0 +15.2 -6.1
  Nov 22, 2024 72   @ North Carolina St. L 61-84 10%     2 - 4 -12.2 -10.5 -0.1
  Nov 24, 2024 163   @ Appalachian St. L 76-79 29%     2 - 5 -0.5 +9.8 -10.5
  Dec 02, 2024 317   @ Old Dominion L 83-88 60%     2 - 6 -10.8 +2.4 -12.9
  Dec 18, 2024 186   Richmond W 77-76 54%    
  Dec 22, 2024 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-84 7%    
  Dec 29, 2024 305   Navy W 84-77 75%    
  Jan 02, 2025 156   @ Hofstra L 72-78 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 327   @ Stony Brook W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 09, 2025 173   Elon W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 311   N.C. A&T W 90-82 77%    
  Jan 16, 2025 264   @ Hampton L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 20, 2025 140   @ UNC Wilmington L 74-81 25%    
  Jan 23, 2025 264   Hampton W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 287   Monmouth W 82-76 72%    
  Jan 30, 2025 278   @ Campbell W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 127   College of Charleston L 82-84 43%    
  Feb 06, 2025 167   @ Drexel L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 213   @ Delaware L 82-86 37%    
  Feb 13, 2025 156   Hofstra L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 167   Drexel W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 20, 2025 140   UNC Wilmington L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 173   @ Elon L 75-80 32%    
  Feb 27, 2025 147   @ Towson L 67-74 27%    
  Mar 01, 2025 152   Northeastern L 76-77 48%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.0 0.9 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 2.9 1.0 0.2 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 3.8 1.6 0.2 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.8 0.4 8.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.3 4.2 0.8 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.3 1.9 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.1 3.4 0.2 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.5 0.6 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.6 1.4 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.0 2.0 0.1 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.0 0.3 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 4.2 7.1 10.0 12.1 13.7 13.7 12.0 9.7 6.7 4.1 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 84.8% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 50.3% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 35.0% 35.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 28.7% 28.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 24.8% 24.8% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.2% 17.6% 17.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8
13-5 4.1% 14.3% 14.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.5
12-6 6.7% 10.8% 10.8% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 6.0
11-7 9.7% 6.6% 6.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 9.0
10-8 12.0% 3.9% 3.9% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.5
9-9 13.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 13.3
8-10 13.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.5
7-11 12.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.0
6-12 10.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.9
5-13 7.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.1
4-14 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-15 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.2 96.1 0.0%