Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.2 269
Expected Predictive Rating -6.3 266
Pace 69.5 149
Improvement -1.7 252

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 219 D+ C+ B- D D+
Defense D 305 D+ D+ C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 267 D+ 54% 283 -3.1 289
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 91 C+ 39% 131 +1.6 91
Three Pointers 40% 196 D 31% 300 -2.1 254
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 269 D+ -3.0 292
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 292
Second Chance C+ 31.5% 153 B- 1.08 99 C+ 0.34 111
Turnovers B- 15.3% 84
Freethrows D+ 0.27 282 D- 68% 325 D 0.18 316
Total Offense C- -1.7 219

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 193 D+ 12.6% 271
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 272 B 2.9% 48
Three Pointers B- 88% 104 F+ 1.9% 348
Total C- 53% 232 C- 6.0% 219

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 33 C- 60% 242 +4.5 326
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 285 D+ 40% 265 -0.9 123
Three Pointers 38% 259 D+ 36% 259 -0.3 159
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 321 D+ +2.3 266
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 286
Second Chance C 30.1% 163 D- 1.15 329 D+ 0.35 267
Turnovers C- 16.2% 216
Freethrows D+ 0.33 275 D+ 74% 278 D+ 0.25 285
Total Defense D -4.4 305

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 282 C- 10.1% 205
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 90 D 1.9% 329
Three Pointers C- 85% 212 C- 0.7% 196
Total C- 57% 221 C- 5.1% 210

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 110 17.9 275
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 94 0.23 335
Improvement -1.3 #253 -0.4 #224

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 290 271 249
Conference Record 7 - 13 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 10 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Oakland (Away) - 21.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 49 - 711 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 257 Hampton W 90 - 86 59% +6  79% 1 - 0 C- -4 C+ +2 D B A D- -7 F+ C A-
 Sat, Nov 8 230 @Wofford L 76 - 86 30% -12  0% 1 - 1 D -11 D- -8 F+ F A C- -2 B- F B
 Mon, Nov 10 299 Arkansas Little Rock W 92 - 72 68% +7  87% 2 - 1 B +9 A +12 B+ A+ B C- -3 D+ D- B+
 Wed, Nov 12 37 @Indiana L 70 - 101 3% -13  2% 2 - 2 D- -14 C +0 A- C F F -14 F F F+
 Fri, Nov 14 18 @Texas Tech L 63 - 80 1% -4  29% 2 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +3 C- A+ D C+ +1 A F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 97 @Wichita St. L 58 - 75 10% -1  37% 2 - 4 D -9 F+ -9 F B- C+ C -0 C A D-
 Sat, Nov 29 76 @Akron L 81 - 105 7% -13  1% 2 - 5 D- -13 C -0 F A- B F -11 F C+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 177 Robert Morris W 74 - 72 42% -1  39% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C- -2 D -6 D+ F A B +3 B+ A+ F+
 Sun, Dec 14 211 Indiana St. L 68 - 70 49% -1  40% 3 - 6 D+ -8 D -6 F A A+ C- -2 F D A-
 Fri, Dec 19 206 South Dakota St. W 88 - 87 37% +1  52% 4 - 6 C- -2 A +13 B+ A- C+ F -15 F+ F D-
 Sun, Dec 21 312 @Cleveland St. W 81 - 71 50% -0  45% 5 - 6 2 - 0 C+ +4 B- +4 D- B- A+ C+ +1 A- C- F
 Mon, Dec 29 259 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77 - 55 59% +19  91% 6 - 6 3 - 0 B+ +13 C +0 F+ A+ F A+ +14 A A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 29 @Wisconsin L 60 - 80 2% -14  0% 6 - 7 C- -2 F -13 F C- F+ A+ +12 B A+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 149 @Wright St. L 70 - 76 19% -7  5% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C- -3 C +0 D C A+ D+ -3 A- F+ F+
 Mon, Jan 5 228 @Green Bay L 76 - 79 30% -8  13% 6 - 9 3 - 2 C- -4 B- +5 A+ F D F+ -9 F B+ D-
 Fri, Jan 9 195 Northern Kentucky L 67 - 85 46% -13  4% 6 - 10 3 - 3 F -23 D -5 F+ C A+ F -20 C+ F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 323 IU Indianapolis W 95 - 83 75% -0  33% 7 - 10 4 - 3 C -1 A +12 A- A+ B F -14 D C- D-
 Thu, Jan 15 170 Oakland L 60 - 73 40% -9  0% 7 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -17 F -24 F C- D A +9 A F A+
 Sun, Jan 18 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 82 - 100 36% -9  0% 7 - 12 4 - 5 F -21 C+ +2 C+ F B- F -22 F F F
 Thu, Jan 22 177 @Robert Morris L 76 - 88 22% -7  14% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D -10 C +0 B F B- F -11 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 196 @Youngstown St. W 65 - 64 25% -1  47% 8 - 13 5 - 6 C+ +2 D- -8 D- C B A +10 A- A A-
 Fri, Jan 30 149 Wright St. L 69 - 76 37% -5  15% 8 - 14 5 - 7 D -10 F -12 F+ D+ B+ B- +2 B F+ B
 Sun, Feb 1 312 Cleveland St. L 88 - 90 72% -4  0% 8 - 15 5 - 8 D- -14 C+ +2 C B+ C+ F -16 F F D
 Wed, Feb 4 252 Detroit Mercy L 63 - 76 57% -8  0% 8 - 16 5 - 9 F -21 F -12 F+ D- D+ F -11 F F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 195 @Northern Kentucky L 62 - 67 25% -2  37% 8 - 17 5 - 10 C- -4 D -6 D D+ B C+ +1 C+ C- C+
 Tue, Feb 10 323 @IU Indianapolis W 92 - 88 55% -2  36% 9 - 17 6 - 10 C- -3 C+ +3 F A+ B D -6 C- C+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 228 Green Bay W 75 - 72 52% -3  5% 10 - 17 7 - 10 C- -4 C+ +3 C- F A D -6 F A B-
 Fri, Feb 20 252 @Detroit Mercy L 86 - 91 35% -2  25% 10 - 18 7 - 11 D+ -7 B+ +8 B+ A+ D+ F -15 F C+ D+
 Sun, Feb 22 170 @Oakland L 78 - 87 21%
 Wed, Feb 25 196 Youngstown St. L 75 - 76 46%
Totals 11 - 19 8 - 12 -6 C- -2 A+ D+ D+ D -4 D D- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C+ D D+ 36% 46% 40% D+ D+ C+ B- C+ B- D+ D- D D C- D+ D+ D+ 44% 17% 38% D D+ C D- D+ C- D+ D+ D+
1.06 54% 39% 31% -3 -1 0.95 31% 1.1 .34 15% .27 68% .18 1.15 60% 40% 36% +2 +1 1.08 30% 1.1 .35 16% .33 74% .20
Nov
3		 Hampton C+ C+ F D D- 40% 18% 42% C+ D A+ D- B A A+ F A D- B+ F F F+ 40% 21% 38% F+ F+ D B C A- F C- F
1.13 64% 20% 30% -3 0 0.96 41% 0.9 .37 11% .60 55% .33 1.08 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.8 .30 23% .55 74% .41
Nov
8		 Wofford D- F F B+ F+ 45% 24% 31% D F+ F B+ F A C- C+ C- C- C+ D A+ B 57% 13% 30% F+ B- F F+ F B F F F
1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22 1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40
Nov
10		 Arkansas Little Rock A A C+ A+ A- 30% 16% 54% D B+ D+ A+ A+ B A+ A A+ C- B A+ F C 52% 20% 28% F D+ B+ F D- B+ D C- D
1.32 73% 38% 44% +13 0 1.28 33% 1.7 .56 16% .39 78% .31 1.04 54% 20% 43% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.5 .39 22% .28 67% .18
Nov
12		 Indiana C B- A+ F A+ 27% 47% 25% F A- A- F C F C+ F F F D A+ F F 42% 8% 50% D+ F F D F F+ F A D
0.99 57% 58% 23% +5 -4 1.04 35% 0.8 .30 21% .32 39% .13 1.43 68% 25% 50% +15 +2 1.37 38% 1.2 .45 10% .42 70% .30
Nov
14		 Texas Tech C+ B+ A- F C+ 23% 43% 34% F+ C- B A+ A+ D C+ A- B C+ D A C A 24% 26% 50% B+ A F+ D F C- C+ F D
0.97 64% 45% 19% -4 -4 0.87 30% 1.3 .40 20% .29 73% .21 1.23 67% 31% 36% +2 -2 1.02 42% 1.1 .47 14% .25 93% .23
Nov
22		 Wichita St. F+ D+ F F F 30% 32% 38% D+ F C- A+ B- C+ C F+ C- C A+ F F C 45% 24% 31% C+ C B- A A D- F C F
0.87 53% 25% 26% -10 -2 0.78 26% 1.2 .31 16% .29 63% .18 1.12 41% 50% 40% -2 0 0.98 36% 0.8 .28 12% .47 68% .32
Nov
29		 Akron C D- F D F 38% 11% 51% B F B+ B+ A- B C- F D- F F F F F 52% 7% 41% F F A F C+ A- D+ F+ D-
1.04 50% 0% 31% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.2 .44 17% .26 59% .15 1.35 75% 75% 50% +21 +3 1.50 26% 1.5 .39 19% .29 83% .24
Dec
6		 Robert Morris D C F D+ D+ 37% 14% 49% C+ D+ D F F A A- D B B B B C+ B+ 42% 29% 29% B- B+ A+ B A+ F+ F+ F F
1.04 58% 29% 32% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.6 .15 11% .44 71% .32 1.01 50% 33% 33% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 14% .31 89% .28
Dec
14		 Indiana St. D F A- F F 35% 26% 39% D+ F C+ A+ A A+ A- A A C- F F B+ F 38% 17% 45% A F A- F D A- A+ C+ A+
1.04 37% 50% 19% -13 -1 0.74 36% 1.3 .47 9% .32 79% .25 1.07 72% 88% 29% +10 0 1.23 20% 1.6 .32 23% .12 67% .08
Dec
19		 South Dakota St. A F A+ A+ A 30% 28% 42% D- B+ A+ F A- C+ D A+ C F D+ D F+ F+ 38% 13% 50% D F+ D- F F D- C+ A+ A-
1.28 25% 67% 50% +8 -2 1.15 50% 0.8 .42 15% .26 87% .22 1.27 62% 43% 39% +6 +1 1.16 33% 1.3 .42 13% .25 53% .13
Dec
21		 Cleveland St. B- B C- D+ D 25% 25% 51% F+ D- B+ D+ B- A+ F B- F C+ A+ B D- A- 29% 25% 45% A- A- A+ F C- F D- B D
1.25 69% 38% 33% +2 -1 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 8% .17 80% .13 1.10 40% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 17% 1.7 .28 11% .38 73% .28
Dec
29		 Purdue Fort Wayne C D- C D+ F+ 37% 22% 41% D F+ A+ A A+ F C+ B+ B- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 9% 54% D A A+ A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A
1.14 53% 36% 33% -3 0 0.96 54% 1.3 .69 24% .29 80% .23 0.82 62% 20% 23% -9 +1 0.88 11% 0.0 .00 13% .17 60% .10
Dec
30		 Wisconsin F F B+ F F 33% 29% 38% D+ F B F C- F+ A C A A+ F+ F A+ B+ 47% 14% 39% D+ B A+ A+ A+ C F A+ D-
0.80 35% 47% 15% -16 -1 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 20% .35 71% .25 1.07 71% 57% 20% 0 +2 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 12% .49 63% .30
Jan
1		 Wright St. C F C A- D+ 35% 41% 24% F D C- B- C A+ F F F D+ A C C A 47% 28% 26% B- A- F+ D+ F+ F+ F F F
1.08 47% 41% 38% -1 -3 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 9% .19 64% .12 1.17 45% 38% 33% -6 0 0.89 37% 1.2 .43 12% .44 84% .37
Jan
5		 Green Bay B- A+ B- A+ A+ 20% 33% 47% F A+ C F F D D+ D D+ F+ F C+ C+ F 60% 19% 21% D- F A+ F B+ D- F A- F
1.20 89% 40% 48% +16 -3 1.29 30% 0.8 .23 16% .32 71% .22 1.25 80% 38% 33% +13 +2 1.31 14% 1.3 .19 13% .52 69% .36
Jan
9		 Northern Kentucky D B- C F F 37% 20% 43% C- F+ D A- C A+ C F D F D+ F A+ B 39% 4% 57% F+ C+ F F F D- C F D
1.05 61% 40% 24% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .37 14% .35 58% .20 1.33 63% 50% 25% -5 +2 0.96 49% 1.4 .68 14% .29 81% .24
Jan
11		 IU Indianapolis A A+ A+ D+ A- 53% 6% 41% B+ A- A+ A- A+ B B F C- F C+ F C+ D+ 48% 14% 38% F D C- D+ C- D- D- F F
1.37 78% 67% 33% +12 +3 1.31 48% 1.4 .66 17% .44 64% .28 1.20 57% 63% 32% +2 +2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 13% .23 93% .22
Jan
15		 Oakland F F D- F F 46% 25% 30% C+ F C+ D+ C- D B+ F C- A C+ A+ A+ A+ 54% 16% 30% F+ A C F F A+ F D F
0.81 50% 36% 6% -17 0 0.68 36% 0.9 .32 17% .29 56% .16 0.98 56% 13% 20% -12 +2 0.82 31% 1.5 .44 21% .41 79% .32
Jan
18		 Purdue Fort Wayne C+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 25% 30% D C+ D F F B- A B+ A F F B- F F 46% 21% 33% C F C- F F F D F F+
1.12 50% 62% 44% +7 0 1.15 29% 0.7 .21 18% .35 81% .28 1.37 69% 33% 53% +13 0 1.30 23% 1.6 .35 10% .29 79% .23
Jan
22		 Robert Morris C C- D A+ B+ 33% 22% 44% D B F+ F F B- D F F F F+ B F F 49% 14% 37% F F F+ F+ F A F B F
1.08 56% 33% 46% +6 -1 1.13 22% 0.8 .17 14% .33 65% .22 1.25 67% 33% 56% +16 +2 1.37 41% 1.3 .52 23% .50 63% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Youngstown St. D- F A+ F F 56% 8% 36% A+ D- D A C B D- F+ F+ A B+ F A A 47% 4% 49% F A- D+ A+ A A- F D F
0.96 50% 50% 28% -7 +3 0.94 26% 1.2 .31 16% .28 69% .19 0.95 52% 50% 27% -7 +3 0.93 32% 0.6 .21 24% .39 75% .29
Jan
30		 Wright St. F C A F F 43% 14% 43% B F+ C+ F+ D+ B+ F F F B- F A+ A+ A- 47% 8% 45% F B C+ F F+ B F+ A+ C+
0.95 58% 50% 21% -7 +1 0.91 32% 0.9 .27 14% .19 50% .10 1.04 72% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 30% 1.5 .43 19% .39 57% .22
Feb
1		 Cleveland St. C+ C A+ B- C+ 23% 21% 56% D- C C- A+ B+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F C F F F 31% 4% 64% F F F+ F F D F C- F
1.26 64% 60% 37% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.4 .48 14% .45 78% .35 1.29 57% 100% 45% +13 +2 1.31 32% 1.4 .45 16% .44 77% .34
Feb
4		 Detroit Mercy F B A+ F D- 35% 25% 40% F+ F+ D D D- D+ F+ C+ D- F F B F F 43% 33% 24% F+ F C+ F F B- D+ D- D
0.99 65% 50% 16% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 16% .28 73% .20 1.19 70% 33% 45% +8 -1 1.15 31% 1.4 .42 17% .30 81% .25
Feb
7		 Northern Kentucky D D- F B+ D- 43% 17% 39% C+ D F A+ D+ B F F+ F C+ C- D+ B C+ 31% 12% 57% C+ C+ B F C- C+ F D+ F
0.99 50% 25% 39% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.4 .32 18% .21 64% .14 1.07 62% 40% 29% -3 +1 0.98 26% 1.3 .32 18% .45 74% .33
Feb
10		 IU Indianapolis C+ C F F F 50% 17% 33% C- F B- A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ D F A+ D C- 38% 21% 41% D+ C- B C- C+ F F D F
1.19 61% 25% 20% -8 +1 0.89 39% 1.6 .61 17% .64 76% .48 1.14 74% 8% 36% +1 0 1.03 24% 1.1 .26 9% .28 75% .21
Feb
15		 Green Bay C+ C+ F A+ C- 38% 26% 36% C- C- F+ F+ F A A+ A- A+ D B F F F 48% 14% 38% D F C+ A+ A B- C D+ C-
1.22 63% 9% 47% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 10% .67 81% .54 1.17 50% 83% 50% +12 +1 1.29 23% 0.7 .15 18% .36 78% .28
Feb
20		 Detroit Mercy B+ C A+ B- B 50% 9% 41% B+ B+ B+ A+ A+ D+ D+ F F F C+ F F F 40% 20% 40% F F C C+ C+ D+ F D- F
1.23 59% 60% 36% +4 +2 1.15 38% 1.5 .57 16% .32 47% .15 1.30 55% 70% 45% +12 0 1.26 32% 0.9 .29 14% .43 81% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 2.2 2.2 7th
8th 27.9 8.0 35.9 8th
9th 32.3 18.6 50.9 9th
10th 10.2 0.5 10.8 10th
11th 11th
Total 42.6 47.1 10.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 10.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.1
8-12 47.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.7 46.4
7-13 42.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.5 42.1
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 98.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 16.0 2.6 97.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 26.7%