Wofford
Southern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#118
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#105
Pace64.7#291
Improvement+0.2#154

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#100
First Shot+1.9#128
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#123
Layup/Dunks+0.4#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#92
Freethrows+2.1#57
Improvement+0.2#149

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#155
First Shot-0.6#192
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#105
Layups/Dunks+3.0#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#257
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement+0.0#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.0% 20.8% 15.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.3 13.0 13.6
.500 or above 87.2% 93.8% 81.3%
.500 or above in Conference 85.3% 89.0% 82.0%
Conference Champion 22.4% 26.2% 18.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.6% 1.7%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round17.7% 20.3% 15.3%
Second Round2.7% 3.6% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Home) - 47.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 37 - 59 - 10
Quad 411 - 220 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 47   @ Clemson L 68-76 18%     0 - 1 +4.7 +1.3 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2021 338   Hampton W 77-60 95%     1 - 1 +1.4 -2.3 +3.8
  Nov 21, 2021 180   Georgia Southern W 70-52 75%     2 - 1 +14.2 +7.3 +9.5
  Nov 23, 2021 99   @ South Carolina L 74-85 32%     2 - 2 -3.0 +5.5 -8.2
  Nov 28, 2021 159   @ Georgia W 68-65 48%     3 - 2 +6.5 +0.2 +6.4
  Dec 01, 2021 80   Richmond L 72-73 47%    
  Dec 05, 2021 277   Kennesaw St. W 74-62 88%    
  Dec 08, 2021 187   @ Gardner-Webb W 68-67 55%    
  Dec 12, 2021 227   @ Coastal Carolina W 72-69 61%    
  Dec 18, 2021 283   @ Presbyterian W 67-60 74%    
  Dec 22, 2021 194   @ Duquesne W 71-69 56%    
  Dec 29, 2021 257   VMI W 74-63 85%    
  Jan 01, 2022 173   @ UNC Greensboro W 63-62 52%    
  Jan 05, 2022 109   Chattanooga W 64-62 57%    
  Jan 08, 2022 123   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-68 40%    
  Jan 12, 2022 241   Samford W 80-70 81%    
  Jan 15, 2022 301   @ Western Carolina W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 19, 2022 240   The Citadel W 78-68 81%    
  Jan 22, 2022 101   Furman W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 26, 2022 109   @ Chattanooga L 61-65 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 173   UNC Greensboro W 66-60 71%    
  Jan 31, 2022 196   @ Mercer W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 123   East Tennessee St. W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 09, 2022 241   @ Samford W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 12, 2022 301   Western Carolina W 80-66 89%    
  Feb 16, 2022 240   @ The Citadel W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 19, 2022 101   @ Furman L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 23, 2022 257   @ VMI W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 196   Mercer W 73-65 75%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.2 5.8 6.0 4.3 1.7 0.4 22.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.2 6.8 4.7 1.4 0.2 19.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 6.1 6.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 5.3 5.1 1.5 0.1 14.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 4.4 3.7 1.0 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.2 4.1 6.2 9.0 11.6 13.8 13.7 12.6 10.9 7.4 4.5 1.7 0.4 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.7    1.6 0.0
16-2 96.2% 4.3    3.9 0.4
15-3 81.3% 6.0    4.5 1.5 0.1
14-4 53.5% 5.8    2.9 2.4 0.6 0.0
13-5 25.8% 3.2    1.0 1.6 0.5 0.2
12-6 6.4% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.4% 22.4 14.4 6.2 1.4 0.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 71.1% 55.3% 15.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 35.3%
17-1 1.7% 53.3% 47.3% 6.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.8 11.5%
16-2 4.5% 44.2% 40.6% 3.6% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.5 6.0%
15-3 7.4% 36.7% 36.3% 0.4% 12.6 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.7 0.6%
14-4 10.9% 27.9% 27.7% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 7.9 0.3%
13-5 12.6% 21.9% 21.9% 13.6 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 9.8
12-6 13.7% 18.4% 18.4% 13.8 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 11.2
11-7 13.8% 11.8% 11.8% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 12.1
10-8 11.6% 9.1% 9.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 10.5
9-9 9.0% 6.5% 6.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.4
8-10 6.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 5.9
7-11 4.1% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.0
6-12 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 2.2
5-13 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.0% 17.6% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 3.3 5.5 4.7 2.7 0.6 82.1 0.4%