Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#142
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#218
Pace63.0#328
Improvement+4.8#7

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#86
First Shot+3.0#97
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#160
Layup/Dunks+2.5#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#44
Freethrows-3.9#347
Improvement+1.3#86

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#251
First Shot-3.1#279
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#127
Layups/Dunks-1.0#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#222
Freethrows-2.9#331
Improvement+3.5#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.8% 17.0% 12.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.6 14.1
.500 or above 64.6% 76.9% 54.3%
.500 or above in Conference 84.0% 87.7% 80.8%
Conference Champion 18.2% 21.5% 15.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four0.8% 0.3% 1.2%
First Round14.5% 16.9% 12.4%
Second Round1.3% 1.7% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Away) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 410 - 316 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 105   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 28%     0 - 1 -1.9 +9.2 -12.3
  Nov 13, 2024 248   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 60%     0 - 2 -4.6 +1.7 -6.6
  Nov 16, 2024 2   @ Duke L 35-86 3%     0 - 3 -27.4 -22.7 -9.2
  Nov 22, 2024 133   St. Thomas W 81-73 48%     1 - 3 +9.5 +9.8 -0.1
  Nov 23, 2024 172   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 45%     1 - 4 +0.2 +5.9 -5.8
  Nov 24, 2024 256   Portland St. L 74-79 73%     1 - 5 -10.3 +0.2 -10.6
  Dec 01, 2024 214   North Alabama W 74-54 74%     2 - 5 +14.4 +0.8 +14.3
  Dec 04, 2024 221   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 76%     3 - 5 +17.8 +18.0 +1.2
  Dec 07, 2024 173   @ Elon L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 16, 2024 127   @ College of Charleston L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 18, 2024 137   @ Saint Louis L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 01, 2025 160   UNC Greensboro W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 135   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-72 37%    
  Jan 08, 2025 263   Western Carolina W 78-68 82%    
  Jan 11, 2025 119   @ Furman L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 200   @ Chattanooga L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 18, 2025 232   Mercer W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 22, 2025 325   The Citadel W 74-61 88%    
  Jan 25, 2025 121   @ Samford L 79-84 34%    
  Jan 29, 2025 346   VMI W 80-64 93%    
  Feb 01, 2025 160   @ UNC Greensboro L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 05, 2025 200   Chattanooga W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 08, 2025 232   @ Mercer W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 12, 2025 325   @ The Citadel W 71-64 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 121   Samford W 82-81 56%    
  Feb 19, 2025 346   @ VMI W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 22, 2025 135   East Tennessee St. W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 26, 2025 263   @ Western Carolina W 75-71 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 119   Furman W 71-70 55%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.4 4.9 2.8 1.0 0.2 18.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 5.2 6.9 3.5 0.7 0.1 17.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.7 6.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 5.4 6.0 1.9 0.1 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.5 5.2 1.6 0.1 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 3.7 1.2 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.4 0.7 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.3 7.4 10.2 13.3 14.5 14.5 12.6 9.2 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.2 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0
16-2 97.5% 2.8    2.6 0.3
15-3 86.9% 4.9    3.7 1.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 58.5% 5.4    2.9 2.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 25.4% 3.2    0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.2% 18.2 11.3 5.1 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 54.1% 54.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.0% 51.7% 51.7% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.9% 38.0% 38.0% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8
15-3 5.6% 31.7% 31.7% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.8
14-4 9.2% 27.1% 27.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.7
13-5 12.6% 21.5% 21.5% 13.7 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 9.9
12-6 14.5% 15.9% 15.9% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.1 12.2
11-7 14.5% 11.0% 11.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 12.9
10-8 13.3% 8.3% 8.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 12.2
9-9 10.2% 6.1% 6.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.6
8-10 7.4% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.2
7-11 4.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.2
6-12 2.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.2 4.3 3.2 1.3 85.3 0.0%