Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.8 230
Expected Predictive Rating -1.4 184
Pace 69.3 157
Improvement -0.3 196

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 143 C- D+ B- C+ B-
Defense D 310 D+ D+ D+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 125 D+ 54% 286 -0.6 202
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 276 C 37% 200 -2.1 281
Three Pointers 44% 117 C 33% 210 +1.3 138
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 75 D+ -2.2 260
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 215
Second Chance C- 28.2% 244 D+ 0.97 273 D+ 0.27 263
Turnovers B- 15.1% 75
Freethrows B- 0.33 109 C 72% 191 C+ 0.24 120
Total Offense C +0.8 143

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 50% 154 C- 12.0% 242
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 259 C+ 4.5% 143
Three Pointers C- 81% 255 D- 1.8% 338
Total C 57% 156 C- 6.3% 260

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 14 C+ 56% 137 +3.7 307
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 271 D+ 41% 291 -0.5 151
Three Pointers 36% 318 D 37% 315 -0.7 148
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 331 C- +1.5 243
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 259
Second Chance C 30.4% 177 D- 1.15 331 D+ 0.35 278
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 274
Freethrows C 0.30 182 F 78% 362 C- 0.24 244
Total Defense D -4.7 310

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 156 C- 9.9% 210
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 286 D- 1.3% 349
Three Pointers D+ 87% 278 A- 2.2% 22
Total C 56% 194 C 5.6% 173

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 224 16.5 51
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 318 0.17 176
Improvement +3.3 #43 -3.6 #334

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 254 227 196
Conference Record 10 - 8 12 - 6 13 - 5
Conference Finish 3 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 11% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 8% 13% 3%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round9% 11% 8%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Furman (Home) - 51.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 417 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 105 @George Mason L 46 - 70 15% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -23 F D F B +4 B D B
 Sat, Nov 8 269 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 70% +12  98% 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 F+ A- C- C+ +1 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 33 @Auburn L 62 - 93 3% -19  2% 1 - 2 D- -13 F -10 F+ D- C C- -3 C F+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 287 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 52% +8  84% 2 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +9 A+ F D+ D -5 C- F+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 339 North Florida W 86 - 78 85% +1  41% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -5 D- A- D+ C- -2 D- A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 195 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 32% -2  21% 3 - 3 D -9 C+ +3 F+ D- A F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 278 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 50% +8  91% 4 - 3 C+ +2 C +1 F+ D A+ C+ +1 A- F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 272 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 70% +4  76% 5 - 3 C- -2 F+ -9 F D- A+ A- +8 A D- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 203 Elon L 52 - 73 57% -21  0% 5 - 4 F -27 F -22 F F C+ F+ -8 F+ A B-
 Mon, Dec 15 363 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 86% +11  89% 6 - 4 B +11 C +1 F+ A+ C- A +10 B+ A- B+
 Wed, Dec 17 97 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 13% -7  0% 6 - 5 C- -3 B+ +8 C- A- B+ F -11 F C D
 Wed, Dec 31 254 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 44% +3  74% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +3 C- -1 C- C- D+ B +4 B+ B- B
 Sat, Jan 3 342 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 70% +8  94% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -0 A+ +20 A+ F C F -20 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 300 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 75% +11  92% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 A +14 D A+ A+ F -13 F+ F D
 Sat, Jan 10 175 @Mercer L 97 - 109 29% -7  3% 9 - 6 3 - 1 D -10 A +12 B- B+ B F -21 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 282 Chattanooga L 67 - 76 72% +2  61% 9 - 7 3 - 2 F -19 F -13 F+ F A- D -6 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 17 181 @Furman W 74 - 70 30% -3  18% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B- +6 B+ +8 B C+ B C- -2 A F C
 Wed, Jan 21 187 Samford W 88 - 78 54% +1  55% 11 - 7 5 - 2 B- +5 A+ +15 A+ C- B F+ -9 F+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 175 Mercer W 80 - 77 51% +1  60% 12 - 7 6 - 2 C -1 C +1 C- A- B C- -2 C- A+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 282 @Chattanooga W 81 - 55 51% +13  88% 13 - 7 7 - 2 A +22 B+ +7 C D+ A A+ +16 A+ B C-
 Sun, Feb 1 131 East Tennessee St. L 72 - 86 40% -5  4% 13 - 8 7 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +2 C- B- A- F -18 B F F
 Wed, Feb 4 358 @VMI W 81 - 67 80% +12  93% 14 - 8 8 - 3 C +1 C +0 C+ F A C+ +1 D A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 254 Western Carolina W 77 - 66 66% +5  75% 15 - 8 9 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -4 B- F F+ B+ +7 A D D+
 Wed, Feb 11 187 @Samford L 80 - 97 31% -13  1% 15 - 9 9 - 4 F+ -16 C +1 C- F+ A+ F -16 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 300 @UNC Greensboro L 89 - 99 55% -12  0% 15 - 10 9 - 5 F+ -15 B+ +8 C+ A C- F -23 F B F
 Wed, Feb 18 358 VMI W 82 - 76 91% +3  60% 16 - 10 10 - 5 D- -13 D+ -3 B D C+ F+ -10 D+ D- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 181 Furman W 75 - 74 51%
 Wed, Feb 25 131 @East Tennessee St. L 71 - 80 21%
 Sat, Feb 28 342 The Citadel W 79 - 67 86%
Totals 18 - 11 12 - 6 -4 C +1 F D+ B- D -5 C C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C C D+ 40% 29% 44% B- C- C- D+ D+ B- B- C C+ D C+ D+ D C- 46% 18% 36% D D+ C D- D+ D+ C F C-
1.10 54% 37% 33% -2 +1 0.99 28% 1.0 .27 15% .33 72% .24 1.15 56% 41% 37% +1 +1 1.07 30% 1.1 .35 15% .30 78% .26
Nov
3		 George Mason F B- F F F 19% 19% 62% C- F C- F D F A F B- B C+ B B- B 42% 25% 33% C+ B B F D B A D+ B+
0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20 1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23
Nov
8		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- D B- F F 57% 13% 30% B+ F+ A C A- C- A+ A+ A+ C+ A- A F B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ A+ F A F C- F D
1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40 1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22
Nov
11		 Auburn F C- C- F F 40% 20% 40% B- F+ D D- D- C F A- F C- C+ F D D+ 35% 22% 44% A- C F B- F+ B A+ A A+
0.87 55% 36% 23% -8 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14 1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20
Nov
15		 Bellarmine B+ B- F A+ A+ 38% 4% 57% A A+ F F F D+ A+ B- A+ D D+ F A- C- 57% 11% 31% F+ C- F C F+ F F D+ F
1.33 67% 0% 59% +23 +2 1.53 24% 0.2 .04 17% .50 76% .38 1.22 65% 67% 29% +5 +3 1.17 28% 1.1 .31 11% .42 81% .34
Nov
19		 North Florida D C- A+ F F 50% 4% 46% A D- C A+ A- D+ A+ F+ A- C- C A F D- 36% 12% 53% C- D- A+ D- A+ D- A+ B A+
1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25 1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10
Nov
26		 Northern Kentucky C+ F F A D- 37% 26% 37% D F+ D+ F D- A A+ B+ A+ F F+ A C D- 55% 22% 24% C- D- C F F F F D- F
1.12 47% 25% 41% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 15% .68 74% .51 1.25 68% 27% 33% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.4 .42 12% .52 76% .40
Nov
29		 Eastern Kentucky C C D+ D- F 29% 20% 51% C- F+ D+ D+ D A+ A+ B- A+ C+ B- A+ B+ A 28% 20% 52% D+ A- D F F D- C F D+
1.15 60% 40% 31% -1 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36 1.07 53% 17% 29% -10 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21
Dec
3		 Presbyterian F+ F C D F 39% 10% 51% B- F B- F D- A+ C+ B B- A- A+ A+ C- A+ 69% 11% 20% F A D- D+ D- C- B- B+ B
1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22 0.89 39% 20% 33% -16 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20
Dec
6		 Elon F F+ F F F 32% 4% 64% A- F D- F F C+ C F D F+ B- F F F 52% 9% 39% D F+ F A+ A B- B- F C
0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17 1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22
Dec
15		 Gardner-Webb C F+ B- C F 39% 20% 41% D+ F+ A+ B A+ C- B+ F C+ A B F A+ B+ 48% 22% 30% C+ B+ A+ D+ A- B+ D- F F
1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22 0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28
Dec
17		 Wichita St. B+ D- A+ F+ D+ 37% 18% 45% B+ C- A+ C A- B+ A+ B- A+ F F F+ C F 42% 24% 33% C+ F B+ F C D F D+ F
1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32 1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43
Dec
31		 Western Carolina C- F A+ B+ C- 32% 12% 56% B- C- D B C- D+ A- F+ B- B B- A+ A+ A+ 61% 4% 35% F B+ F A+ B- B F C F
1.11 44% 67% 39% +3 +1 1.10 24% 1.1 .26 17% .39 70% .27 1.04 52% 0% 22% -12 +4 0.86 43% 0.7 .30 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
3		 The Citadel A+ D+ D A+ A+ 38% 6% 56% B- A+ B+ F F C A- A- A F C- A- F F 43% 14% 43% F+ F F F F B- D+ F F
1.43 58% 33% 61% +22 +2 1.50 38% 0.5 .21 15% .35 75% .27 1.29 57% 29% 48% +7 +1 1.18 41% 1.7 .70 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 UNC Greensboro A F A B D- 39% 14% 46% B D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F A- A- F F+ 44% 19% 37% F+ F+ D- F F D C+ B- B-
1.40 45% 50% 38% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.8 .60 6% .40 73% .29 1.23 48% 30% 53% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 13% .35 67% .23
Jan
10		 Mercer A F C A+ C+ 41% 8% 51% A- B- C A+ B+ B A B- A F F A+ F F 54% 10% 35% F F B- F F C+ F F F
1.27 38% 40% 50% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.2 .40 16% .34 77% .26 1.42 73% 20% 59% +19 +2 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 17% .49 87% .42
Jan
14		 Chattanooga F F F C F+ 35% 17% 48% C F+ F F F A- B+ F C D C F F F 38% 14% 48% D- F A- A+ A C- D- C+ D
0.97 47% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 10% .40 64% .26 1.10 58% 57% 42% +8 +1 1.20 14% 0.8 .10 15% .32 74% .24
Jan
17		 Furman B+ B+ A D B 44% 16% 40% B+ B D+ A+ C+ B C- B C C- A+ F A A- 23% 26% 51% A+ A F F F C C- F D-
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18 1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23
Jan
21		 Samford A+ A A+ A+ A+ 55% 19% 26% A+ A+ F A+ C- B A+ C A+ F+ D- F B+ D- 41% 12% 47% F F+ D+ F D- D+ A+ F A-
1.34 69% 56% 50% +16 +1 1.36 14% 2.0 .29 11% .41 75% .31 1.19 67% 67% 29% +4 +1 1.12 27% 1.3 .33 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
24		 Mercer C D- D+ A+ C- 52% 21% 27% B- C- B A- A- B C B+ C+ C- C+ D- C+ C 43% 13% 44% F C- A A+ A+ D+ D+ F F
1.15 48% 36% 50% +1 +1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .26 80% .20 1.10 57% 43% 33% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.2 .06 14% .37 86% .32
Jan
29		 Chattanooga B+ D+ F+ B+ C- 48% 13% 39% B+ C A- F D+ A C- F D A+ B C+ A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% D+ A+ D A+ B C- F+ A+ C+
1.22 54% 29% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 9% .33 65% .22 0.83 53% 38% 21% -12 0 0.80 24% 0.7 .17 15% .34 58% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 East Tennessee St. C+ D- A+ D- D 58% 8% 34% A C- F A+ B- A- C- A- C+ F B+ A B- A- 59% 14% 27% F B F F F F F F F
1.11 52% 75% 29% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 15% .29 81% .24 1.32 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.94 38% 1.7 .66 9% .47 93% .44
Feb
4		 VMI C A+ F A C+ 27% 22% 51% D C+ F F F A A B- A C+ C B- C- D- 42% 17% 40% C- D B+ A+ A+ F D+ D+ D+
1.20 79% 27% 42% +10 -1 1.20 22% 0.5 .11 12% .40 75% .30 0.99 55% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 21% 0.4 .08 12% .32 74% .23
Feb
7		 Western Carolina D+ A- B- D+ C+ 49% 17% 34% B B- F C- F F+ F A+ D- B+ A A+ A A+ 51% 7% 42% F A B- F D D+ A+ A+ A+
1.12 69% 44% 33% +6 +1 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 19% .22 92% .20 0.96 43% 25% 26% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Samford C D+ B C C- 32% 30% 38% C- C- F A+ F+ A+ B+ F C+ F F F F F 35% 18% 47% C- F C+ F F A- C D- D+
1.10 53% 44% 35% +1 -2 1.00 11% 1.8 .19 5% .35 67% .23 1.33 78% 56% 50% +21 0 1.45 23% 2.0 .45 18% .37 73% .27
Feb
14		 UNC Greensboro B+ A- A+ D C+ 39% 18% 43% B- C+ A+ C+ A C- A+ D A+ F C+ F F F 40% 22% 38% D+ F B+ C B F F F F
1.27 70% 56% 32% +6 0 1.16 43% 1.1 .49 14% .47 68% .32 1.41 55% 64% 53% +15 0 1.32 21% 1.0 .21 4% .57 76% .43
Feb
18		 VMI D+ A- A+ B- B- 31% 4% 64% B+ B F B- D C+ A+ C- A+ F+ C+ C- B- D+ 47% 15% 38% D- D+ B- F D- C- D- F F
1.19 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.27 30% 1.1 .33 16% .48 71% .35 1.10 52% 38% 30% -5 +1 0.94 23% 1.4 .31 16% .35 95% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1.5 6.6 8.1 1st
2nd 0.1 21.7 42.5 3.5 67.8 2nd
3rd 1.6 18.4 20.0 3rd
4th 2.7 2.7 4th
5th 1.4 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 5.9 40.1 43.9 10.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 65.5% 6.6    1.5 5.1
12-6 3.4% 1.5    0.5 1.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 8.1% 8.1 1.5 5.6 1.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 10.1% 13.9% 13.9% 14.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 8.7
12-6 43.9% 10.8% 10.8% 15.3 0.4 2.5 1.8 39.2
11-7 40.1% 8.0% 8.0% 15.6 0.1 1.2 2.0 36.9
10-8 5.9% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 5.6
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 15.3 90.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 14.7 2.8 33.0 58.3 5.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.7%
Lose Out 3.4%