Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#220
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#176
Pace68.1#220
Improvement-0.1#194

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#209
First Shot-2.4#236
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#116
Layup/Dunks-3.6#305
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
Freethrows+2.5#48
Improvement+0.2#157

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#241
First Shot-3.0#284
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#124
Layups/Dunks-5.6#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#93
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement-0.3#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 9.9% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 72.2% 82.3% 60.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.9% 80.6% 57.7%
Conference Champion 8.2% 11.8% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.7% 3.6%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round7.8% 9.5% 5.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Carolina (Away) - 53.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 76 @George Mason L 46-70 10%     0 - 1 -13.6 -17.7 +2.3
  Sat, Nov 8 222 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86-76 62%     1 - 1 +3.3 +2.3 +0.3
  Tue, Nov 11 34 @Auburn L 62-93 4%     1 - 2 -14.7 -6.5 -7.7
  Sat, Nov 15 276 @Bellarmine W 94-86 48%     2 - 2 +4.9 +15.9 -11.1
  Wed, Nov 19 350 North Florida W 86-78 86%     3 - 2 -7.4 -0.9 -6.9
  Wed, Nov 26 199 @Northern Kentucky L 83-93 34%     3 - 3 -9.3 +6.1 -14.8
  Sat, Nov 29 238 @Eastern Kentucky W 83-77 42%     4 - 3 +4.4 +6.2 -1.9
  Wed, Dec 3 280 Presbyterian W 63-56 70%     5 - 3 -2.2 -5.3 +3.9
  Sat, Dec 6 166 Elon L 52-73 49%     5 - 4 -24.5 -18.8 -8.9
  Mon, Dec 15 362 @Gardner-Webb W 83-57 80%     6 - 4 +13.5 +5.4 +8.4
  Wed, Dec 17 101 @Wichita St. L 73-84 14%     6 - 5 -3.3 +8.6 -12.5
  Wed, Dec 31 302 @Western Carolina W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 354 @The Citadel W 75-68 75%    
  Wed, Jan 7 292 UNC Greensboro W 77-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 10 173 @Mercer L 74-80 30%    
  Wed, Jan 14 253 Chattanooga W 75-70 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 151 @Furman L 69-76 24%    
  Wed, Jan 21 227 Samford W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 173 Mercer W 78-77 51%    
  Thu, Jan 29 253 @Chattanooga L 72-73 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 142 East Tennessee St. L 72-74 42%    
  Wed, Feb 4 331 @VMI W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 302 Western Carolina W 79-72 74%    
  Wed, Feb 11 227 @Samford L 73-76 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 292 @UNC Greensboro W 74-73 51%    
  Wed, Feb 18 331 VMI W 79-69 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 151 Furman L 72-73 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 142 @East Tennessee St. L 69-77 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 354 The Citadel W 78-65 88%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.7 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.0 4.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.1 6.1 5.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 7.0 5.7 1.4 0.1 16.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.7 5.0 1.0 0.1 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.4 3.9 0.7 0.0 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.4 2.7 5.3 8.7 11.3 13.7 14.9 14.2 11.3 7.7 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 96.3% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 83.2% 1.9    1.4 0.5 0.0
14-4 56.9% 2.7    1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 24.4% 1.9    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1
12-6 5.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.2% 8.2 4.3 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 32.1% 32.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 28.2% 28.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.2% 24.9% 24.9% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.7
14-4 4.8% 21.5% 21.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 3.8
13-5 7.7% 16.2% 16.2% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 6.5
12-6 11.3% 12.7% 12.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 9.8
11-7 14.2% 8.9% 8.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 12.9
10-8 14.9% 6.8% 6.8% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.6 13.9
9-9 13.7% 4.9% 4.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 13.1
8-10 11.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 10.9
7-11 8.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 8.5
6-12 5.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.3
5-13 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-14 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.7 2.6 91.8 0.0%