Carmel
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 27.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 80.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.8%
Advance to State Finals 99.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional
Date 8/24 9/3 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12
Team Rating 192 336 179 188 222 171 198 151 241
Team Adjusted Rating 188 179 188 179 171 198 151 187
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional
12  Kole Mathison 9 15:55 15:49 15:59 16:00 15:46 15:57 15:55 16:04
16  Grant Moon 12 16:01 15:56 16:01 15:56 16:04 16:04
66  Austin Throckmorton 12 16:29 16:40 16:29 16:37 16:29 16:23 16:31 16:21
80  Hudson Alden 11 16:35 16:30 16:45 16:43 16:34 16:29 16:31
86  William Murphy 12 16:36 16:43 16:28 16:41
88  Charlie Schuman 10 16:37 17:30 16:37 16:23 16:43 16:44 16:09 16:29
105  Ben Myers 12 16:42 18:09 16:29 16:29 16:47 16:35 16:32
119  Will Anderson 11 16:45 16:25 16:41 16:43 16:35 16:56 16:54 16:57
137  Jake Fisher 11 16:48 16:33 16:30 17:00 17:14
177  Nick Schuster 12 16:56 16:43 17:08 16:53 17:03 16:58 16:56
219  Sam Hooton 12 17:01 16:45 18:57 17:05 16:57 17:00 16:57 16:54 17:01
236  Benjamin Johnson 12 17:05 17:32 17:16 16:43
239  Caleb Leinheiser 12 17:05 17:06 16:56 16:43 16:48 17:22 18:08
246  Kurt Stephens 12 17:06 17:03 17:00 17:04 16:52 17:26 17:27
256  Bing Hudson 11 17:08 18:16 17:02 16:46 17:12 17:12 17:09
307  TK Shishikura 12 17:14 17:07 16:55 17:07 17:03 17:21 17:40 17:25
331  Nate Seketa 11 17:17 17:20 17:07 17:19 17:24 17:31 17:05 17:05
351  Charlie Leedke 9 17:20 17:17 17:42 17:37 17:18 17:13 17:17 17:12
446  Connor Heagy 10 17:30 17:25 17:56 17:28 17:26 17:32 17:30 17:19
482  Quavion Hooks 9 17:34 17:20 17:22 17:26 19:26 17:11 18:14
513  Alec Wrobleski 11 17:37 17:51 17:37 17:31 17:39 17:58 17:25 17:38
536  Josh Bubp 10 17:40 17:43 17:37 17:36 17:33 17:37 17:34 17:55
570  Dan Montgomery 9 17:42 18:06 17:28 18:32 17:35 17:24 17:33
601  Kj Sweeney 9 17:45 17:41 17:41 17:24 18:23 17:26 18:29
661  Ryle Worland 9 17:51 17:54 17:25 17:38 17:40 18:16 17:51 18:32
664  Miles Simmons 11 17:51 17:30 17:33 18:04 17:47 18:07 18:21
666  James Gastineau 11 17:51 18:08 17:12 18:03 17:46 17:27 18:07 18:23
676  Owen Urtel 11 17:52 17:35 17:53 17:45 17:56 17:57 18:17 17:53
709  Dan Schrader-Dobris 11 17:54 17:31 19:09 17:23 18:24 17:39 17:55
710  Owen Booth 12 17:54 17:41 18:30 17:54 17:48 17:54 18:12
816  Adi Friedman 12 18:05 17:56 19:49 19:06 17:54 17:39 17:54
831  Noah Bergsma 12 18:06 18:01 17:53 18:14 18:12 17:54 18:12
894  Quavion Galbreath 9 18:10 18:11
946  Peyton Sandlin 12 18:15 19:33 18:14 18:11 18:06 18:16 18:13 18:11
954  Dylan Zhou 12 18:15 18:15 17:35 18:31 18:10 18:41 18:23 18:09
974  Sam Eiteljorge 10 18:17 18:32 17:36 18:08 18:08 18:29 18:34
1,002  Ian Miller 10 18:19 18:21 18:22 18:31 18:05 18:28
1,003  Ethan R. Smith 12 18:19 18:30 17:49 18:16 18:16 18:22 18:24 18:33
1,052  Carter Lindfelt 11 18:22 18:30 18:27 18:34 18:17 17:54 18:20 18:38
1,054  Drew Miller 11 18:23 18:03 18:18 18:00 18:45 18:27 19:27
1,062  Will Campbell 11 18:23 18:20 18:09 18:17 18:18 18:41 18:50 18:30
1,121  Trevor Johnson 12 18:27 18:57 18:23 18:15 18:21 18:38
1,269  Everett Carlisle 9 18:38 18:58 18:19 18:33 18:36 19:18 18:30 18:33
1,299  Kyle Mundy 11 18:40 18:01 20:30 18:39 18:58 18:33 18:23
1,305  Brett Barnhart 11 18:41 19:06 18:47 19:04 18:37 18:14 18:25
1,333  Reece Colvin 10 18:43 18:39 19:06 19:08 18:37 18:22 18:32 18:54
1,334  Jerry Huang 11 18:43 18:45 18:23 18:37 18:43 18:51 19:00
1,337  Logan Sandlin 12 18:43 18:54 18:53 18:39 18:52 18:21 18:44
1,430  Suraj Chandramouli 11 18:49 18:51 18:52 18:55 18:48 18:41
1,436  Neil Fairman 9 18:50 19:14 18:40 19:02 18:47 18:24 18:55 18:51
1,440  Aiden Ascioti 12 18:50 19:02 19:08 19:02 18:41 18:51 18:45 18:45
1,442  Tomas Balcius 9 18:51 18:55 18:24 19:46 18:50 18:29 18:56
1,474  Amit Manchella 10 18:52 18:47 18:52 18:59
1,505  Camden Wien 10 18:54 19:12 19:06 19:00 18:46 18:57 18:38 18:53
1,558  Dan Musapatika 11 18:58 19:12 19:19 19:22 18:45 18:27 18:52
Quinn Bright 11 19:03 19:00 19:05 19:07 19:10 19:00 18:52 19:05
JT Underhill 11 19:03 19:07 18:32 19:49 18:48 20:25 18:57 18:57
Drake Snider 9 19:05 19:40 19:10 19:05 19:04 18:46 19:09 18:55
Drew Steele 10 19:13 19:15 19:01 19:17 19:18 18:54 19:31
Tyler Young 11 19:13 19:19 19:16 18:57 18:13 20:52 19:48
Jack Lappin 10 19:13 19:48 19:37 19:26 19:10 18:54 18:38
Charlie Ernst 10 19:15 19:34 19:01 19:34 19:30 19:19 18:57 18:51
Jake Gottlieb 10 19:15 19:44 19:06 18:56 20:28 18:19 19:22
Drew Zetzl 12 19:15 19:16 18:41 19:01 19:34 19:40 19:21
Pranav Jothirajah 11 19:18 18:46 19:38 19:40 19:16 19:10
Charlie Stuelpe 9 19:31 19:12 19:11 19:01 19:41 20:00 19:47 19:44
Adrian Baldoni 11 19:40 19:49 19:56 18:41 19:47 19:49
Ryan Abshire 12 19:42 19:58 22:27 18:54 19:33 20:04 19:31
Jack Snelling 11 19:50 20:08 19:02 19:25 19:42 20:26 20:04 19:59
Paul Lee 11 20:16 20:02 18:54 20:17 20:17 20:43 21:18 20:13
Gavin Holmes 9 20:52 21:16 21:31 17:26 20:49 21:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.8% 3.5 171 27.4 19.9 14.3 10.9 7.9 5.9 4.4 3.3 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.7 91 61.8 20.2 10.4 4.9 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.3 52 74.0 20.1 5.4 0.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.2 33 82.4 16.5 1.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 13.7 0.4 1.1 1.4 2.1 3.2 4.1 4.6 4.3 4.5 5.2 5.5 5.1 5.5 5.0 4.6 3.7 3.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 2.5 2.4 2.9 1.9 1.8 100.0% 99.7%
Grant Moon 100.0% 19.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 4.1 3.7 4.4 3.6 3.9 3.4 4.2 3.3 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.8 2.6 75.0% 98.5%
Austin Throckmorton 99.8% 67.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.0% 37.9%
Hudson Alden 99.8% 81.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 21.7%
William Murphy 99.8% 84.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0% 18.3%
Charlie Schuman 99.8% 85.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 17.5%
Ben Myers 99.8% 96.1 0.0% 8.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 6.2 2.8 6.7 8.6 9.6 11.3 9.1 9.5 9.4 7.2 5.2 5.1 4.6 3.2 2.1 1.8 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Grant Moon 100% 8.7 0.5 1.4 3.7 5.5 7.7 8.7 9.0 8.3 8.1 7.7 6.9 6.6 5.1 4.3 3.4 3.7 2.5 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Austin Throckmorton 100% 26.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.2 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.8 4.7 4.8 99.0%
Hudson Alden 100% 32.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.2 1.6 1.3 1.7 2.6 2.0 3.0 2.6 3.3 97.4%
William Murphy 100% 34.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.3 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 2.1 1.8 2.3 2.9 2.8 95.8%
Charlie Schuman 100% 34.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.8 95.4%
Ben Myers 100% 40.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.8 89.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 4.1 3.6 8.4 17.0 19.6 22.5 15.8 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Grant Moon 100% 5.3 0.7 3.9 6.8 13.9 17.4 23.2 17.6 9.7 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Austin Throckmorton 100% 12.2 0.4 0.5 1.8 4.8 7.3 11.2 12.2 10.1 9.1 7.2 6.8 5.8 4.3 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.2 1.4 1.3 1.4 0.8 100.0%
Hudson Alden 100% 15.5 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.7 4.7 5.6 6.7 7.9 8.9 8.1 7.5 6.6 5.8 4.6 4.9 4.2 3.5 3.4 2.5 2.5 100.0%
William Murphy 100% 16.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 2.1 3.9 4.6 6.4 7.4 8.2 6.9 6.8 7.5 6.5 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.3 3.7 3.0 2.1 100.0%
Charlie Schuman 100% 16.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.8 5.2 5.7 6.6 7.1 7.7 7.6 6.5 7.3 5.7 6.1 4.9 3.1 3.7 2.9 2.2 100.0%
Ben Myers 100% 19.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.3 2.4 3.6 4.6 5.2 5.5 6.6 7.0 7.3 5.6 6.1 5.0 5.1 4.2 3.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 2.0 24.9 23.8 33.0 13.7 3.5 1.0 0.2
Grant Moon 3.1 8.3 16.9 22.9 37.5 10.4 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
Austin Throckmorton 7.4 0.2 1.1 10.2 16.0 16.0 16.7 12.2 8.4 7.0 4.6 3.0 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Hudson Alden 9.4 0.2 2.4 6.6 10.0 12.2 13.1 12.7 10.1 8.1 7.3 5.6 3.4 2.3 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1
William Murphy 10.1 0.2 1.9 4.6 7.5 10.5 11.2 12.7 11.7 10.5 7.7 6.3 4.3 3.1 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2
Charlie Schuman 10.2 0.1 1.7 4.1 7.2 10.2 12.6 11.6 11.4 10.5 8.0 5.9 4.5 3.8 2.5 2.2 1.4 0.3 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
Ben Myers 12.2 0.1 0.7 1.2 2.8 3.8 6.1 8.8 11.5 12.6 11.3 8.2 9.3 5.9 5.2 3.2 2.7 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.6