Carmel
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 29.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 89.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.0%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/3 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 169 336 180 186 222 169 196 151 234 235 202 142
Team Adjusted Rating 170 174 177 170 162 196 151 177 184 202 142
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
13  Kole Mathison 9 15:54 15:50 15:59 15:59 15:46 15:56 15:55 16:02 15:59 15:49
15  Grant Moon 12 15:58 15:57 16:00 15:56 16:03 16:04 16:01 16:01 15:52
63  Austin Throckmorton 12 16:25 16:41 16:30 16:36 16:29 16:22 16:30 16:20 16:47 16:38 16:18
73  William Murphy 12 16:28 16:43 16:28 16:40 16:26 16:48 16:21
76  Ben Myers 12 16:28 18:10 16:28 16:29 16:46 16:35 16:31 16:33 16:32 16:21
89  Charlie Schuman 10 16:33 17:30 16:36 16:22 16:43 16:43 16:09 16:27 16:59 16:26
107  Hudson Alden 11 16:38 16:31 16:44 16:43 16:34 16:29 16:31 16:36 16:40 17:03
130  Will Anderson 11 16:46 16:26 16:42 16:42 16:35 16:55 16:54 16:55
172  Jake Fisher 11 16:53 16:34 16:30 17:00 17:14
187  Nick Schuster 12 16:55 16:44 17:07 16:52 17:02 16:57 16:56 16:50
218  Sam Hooton 12 17:00 16:45 18:58 17:04 16:57 17:00 16:56 16:54 17:00
239  Benjamin Johnson 12 17:04 17:31 17:16 16:41 17:00
260  Caleb Leinheiser 12 17:07 17:06 16:56 16:42 16:48 17:21 18:08
268  Bing Hudson 11 17:09 18:17 17:01 16:46 17:12 17:12 17:09
270  Kurt Stephens 12 17:10 17:03 17:00 17:03 16:51 17:25 17:27
314  Nate Seketa 11 17:14 17:21 17:08 17:19 17:24 17:31 17:05 17:05
320  TK Shishikura 12 17:15 17:07 16:56 17:06 17:03 17:21 17:39 17:25
353  Charlie Leedke 9 17:19 17:17 17:43 17:36 17:17 17:13 17:17 17:12
432  Connor Heagy 10 17:28 17:26 17:56 17:28 17:26 17:32 17:30 17:19
532  Quavion Hooks 9 17:37 17:21 17:21 17:26 19:25 17:10 18:14
543  Alec Wrobleski 11 17:38 17:52 17:37 17:31 17:39 17:57 17:24 17:38
549  Josh Bubp 10 17:38 17:44 17:38 17:35 17:33 17:37 17:34 17:55
555  Dan Montgomery 9 17:39 18:07 17:29 18:32 17:34 17:24 17:33
652  Kj Sweeney 9 17:48 17:42 17:42 17:24 18:23 17:25 18:29
700  Dan Schrader-Dobris 11 17:52 17:31 19:10 17:22 18:23 17:39 17:55
704  Ryle Worland 9 17:53 17:55 17:26 17:38 17:40 18:16 17:50 18:32
709  James Gastineau 11 17:53 18:09 17:13 18:03 17:46 17:27 18:07 18:23
721  Owen Urtel 11 17:54 17:35 17:54 17:45 17:56 17:57 18:17 17:53
733  Miles Simmons 11 17:55 17:31 17:34 18:03 17:47 18:07 18:20
749  Owen Booth 12 17:57 17:42 18:31 17:53 17:48 17:54 18:11
830  Noah Bergsma 12 18:04 18:02 17:54 18:13 18:12 17:54 18:11
841  Adi Friedman 12 18:05 17:57 19:49 19:06 17:53 17:39 17:54
921  Quavion Galbreath 9 18:11 18:12
959  Peyton Sandlin 12 18:14 19:34 18:15 18:10 18:06 18:16 18:13 18:11
972  Dylan Zhou 12 18:15 18:16 17:36 18:30 18:10 18:40 18:22 18:09
984  Sam Eiteljorge 10 18:16 18:33 17:37 18:08 18:07 18:29 18:34
1,029  Ethan R. Smith 12 18:20 18:31 17:50 18:16 18:16 18:22 18:23 18:33
1,041  Ian Miller 10 18:21 18:22 18:21 18:31 18:05 18:28
1,056  Carter Lindfelt 11 18:22 18:31 18:28 18:34 18:16 17:54 18:20 18:38
1,130  Will Campbell 11 18:26 18:21 18:10 18:17 18:17 18:41 18:49 18:30
1,155  Trevor Johnson 12 18:28 18:58 18:24 18:14 18:21 18:37
1,166  Drew Miller 11 18:29 18:04 18:19 17:59 18:45 18:27 19:26
1,280  Brett Barnhart 11 18:37 19:07 18:48 19:04 18:37 18:14 18:25
1,287  Everett Carlisle 9 18:37 18:59 18:20 18:32 18:35 19:18 18:29 18:33
1,302  Kyle Mundy 11 18:38 18:02 20:32 18:39 18:58 18:33 18:23
1,358  Logan Sandlin 12 18:42 18:55 18:52 18:39 18:52 18:21 18:44
1,362  Reece Colvin 10 18:42 18:40 19:07 19:07 18:37 18:22 18:32 18:54
1,387  Jerry Huang 11 18:44 18:46 18:24 18:37 18:43 18:51 19:00
1,434  Suraj Chandramouli 11 18:48 18:50 18:51 18:55 18:48 18:41
1,440  Neil Fairman 9 18:49 19:15 18:41 19:01 18:47 18:24 18:54 18:51
1,451  Tomas Balcius 9 18:49 18:56 18:25 19:45 18:50 18:29 18:56
1,455  Aiden Ascioti 12 18:50 19:03 19:09 19:02 18:41 18:51 18:45 18:45
1,488  Amit Manchella 10 18:52 18:48 18:51 18:59
1,494  Camden Wien 10 18:53 19:13 19:07 18:59 18:46 18:57 18:37 18:53
1,525  Dan Musapatika 11 18:54 19:13 19:20 19:22 18:45 18:26 18:53
Quinn Bright 11 19:02 19:01 19:06 19:07 19:10 19:00 18:52 19:05
Drake Snider 9 19:03 19:41 19:11 19:04 19:04 18:45 19:09 18:55
JT Underhill 11 19:05 19:08 18:33 19:48 18:48 20:25 18:56 18:57
Jack Lappin 10 19:09 19:49 19:38 19:26 19:10 18:53 18:37
Charlie Ernst 10 19:12 19:35 19:02 19:33 19:30 19:19 18:57 18:51
Drew Steele 10 19:13 19:16 19:02 19:16 19:18 18:54 19:31
Jake Gottlieb 10 19:13 19:45 19:07 18:56 20:28 18:19 19:22
Drew Zetzl 12 19:18 19:17 18:42 19:00 19:34 19:39 19:21
Pranav Jothirajah 11 19:18 18:47 19:38 19:40 19:16 19:11
Tyler Young 11 19:21 19:20 19:17 18:56 18:13 20:52 19:47
Charlie Stuelpe 9 19:34 19:13 19:12 19:00 19:41 20:00 19:47 19:44
Adrian Baldoni 11 19:40 19:50 19:57 18:40 19:47 19:48
Ryan Abshire 12 19:43 19:59 22:29 18:53 19:33 20:04 19:30
Jack Snelling 11 19:52 20:09 19:03 19:25 19:42 20:26 20:03 19:59
Paul Lee 11 20:18 20:03 18:55 20:17 20:17 20:43 21:17 20:14
Gavin Holmes 9 20:52 21:18 21:30 17:26 20:49 21:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 2.9 149 29.1 26.2 16.3 11.4 6.4 4.3 1.8 1.9 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.6 83 61.5 23.7 9.8 3.5 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.4 48 67.4 29.4 3.1 0.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 28 95.9 4.1 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100.0% 13.0 0.4 1.4 2.7 2.9 3.7 4.0 4.9 5.3 4.8 5.3 4.8 5.4 4.8 4.3 4.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 2.8 2.3 2.6 2.1 1.5 1.6 50.0% 99.5%
Grant Moon 100.0% 16.9 0.1 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.0 3.4 3.3 4.3 4.2 4.8 4.9 4.3 3.9 5.3 3.7 3.2 3.0 3.9 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.9 50.0% 98.5%
Austin Throckmorton 99.9% 61.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.0% 49.3%
William Murphy 99.9% 67.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.0% 39.4%
Ben Myers 99.9% 69.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0% 36.9%
Charlie Schuman 99.9% 80.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0% 24.7%
Hudson Alden 99.9% 91.7 0.1 0.1 0.0% 11.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 5.6 3.2 7.8 9.9 10.8 10.8 12.5 9.5 7.4 6.1 5.2 4.3 3.6 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Grant Moon 100% 7.5 1.5 2.5 5.2 6.8 9.6 9.6 9.9 10.5 8.8 7.1 4.8 4.5 4.0 3.2 2.2 1.8 2.0 1.6 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Austin Throckmorton 100% 25.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.4 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.8 3.2 4.6 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.6 99.7%
William Murphy 100% 28.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.7 2.5 3.5 2.8 4.1 3.8 4.0 3.7 99.4%
Ben Myers 100% 28.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 0.7 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.4 3.8 2.7 3.2 3.0 3.4 3.9 3.0 99.4%
Charlie Schuman 100% 33.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.4 1.5 2.8 2.5 97.7%
Hudson Alden 100% 39.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.4 1.1 95.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 3.3 8.8 14.8 20.5 19.1 16.2 9.8 5.9 2.2 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Grant Moon 100% 4.4 2.7 7.9 14.6 17.0 17.6 16.6 10.2 6.3 3.4 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Austin Throckmorton 100% 12.4 0.2 0.3 2.0 4.3 5.7 7.0 8.0 9.4 9.0 11.0 9.2 7.4 6.2 4.8 3.8 2.8 2.6 1.6 1.5 0.8 0.9 0.4 100.0%
William Murphy 100% 13.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 2.3 3.7 5.2 6.5 6.4 7.6 8.9 9.6 8.1 8.4 7.8 5.8 4.2 4.0 2.7 1.9 1.8 1.0 1.1 100.0%
Ben Myers 100% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.5 4.1 6.0 7.3 7.8 9.0 9.9 8.2 8.3 8.4 5.6 4.5 3.4 3.3 2.2 1.5 0.9 1.0 100.0%
Charlie Schuman 100% 16.5 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.6 2.5 4.3 5.2 6.2 7.3 8.9 7.3 8.6 7.7 7.3 5.9 3.7 3.8 4.2 3.1 2.2 100.0%
Hudson Alden 100% 19.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.4 2.6 2.3 4.2 5.1 6.8 7.9 8.9 7.7 7.6 6.9 6.6 5.5 4.2 3.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 1.6 31.9 28.3 23.9 12.6 2.7 0.7
Grant Moon 2.4 12.4 25.9 26.6 26.3 7.2 1.6 0.2 0.1
Austin Throckmorton 6.5 1.0 4.1 13.4 20.0 21.1 15.0 10.7 6.7 3.7 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
William Murphy 7.5 0.4 0.9 8.1 13.6 17.9 18.4 14.2 10.8 7.3 4.2 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Ben Myers 7.8 0.4 1.9 7.4 12.4 14.5 17.6 16.6 12.4 6.9 4.3 2.5 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Charlie Schuman 9.1 0.4 3.4 6.0 9.8 12.3 15.8 17.7 14.4 7.7 5.3 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Hudson Alden 10.6 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.1 5.5 10.6 16.5 19.9 13.5 9.7 5.8 5.0 3.6 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1