IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Florida
Big 12
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.7	#74
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.6	#12
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.5	#62

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.2	#85

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.2%	1.4%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	3.4%	3.9%	0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.9%	19.5%	6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	17.5%	19.0%	6.7%
Average Seed	8.3	8.3	8.9

.500 or above	52.2%	55.9%	27.1%
.500 or above in Conference	25.1%	26.8%	13.4%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	16.2%	14.7%	25.9%

First Four	4.1%	4.4%	1.9%
First Round	15.7%	17.1%	5.8%
Second Round	8.3%	9.1%	2.9%
Sweet Sixteen	2.2%	2.5%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Final Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 87.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 4	2 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 4	6 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	9 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 0	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	178	Hofstra	W	75-63	87%
Nov 08, 2025	41	Vanderbilt	L	79-81	44%
Nov 11, 2025	332	Florida A&M	W	86-65	97%
Nov 14, 2025	35	@ Texas A&M	L	71-80	22%
Nov 17, 2025	197	Oakland	W	79-66	88%
Nov 20, 2025	77	Pittsburgh	W	76-75	52%
Nov 25, 2025	215	Quinnipiac	W	88-74	89%
Nov 29, 2025	296	VMI	W	86-68	95%
Dec 07, 2025	131	Towson	W	76-67	78%
Dec 17, 2025	248	Mercer	W	87-72	91%
Dec 20, 2025	181	Florida Gulf Coast	W	79-67	85%
Jan 03, 2026	13	Kansas	L	73-80	28%
Jan 06, 2026	73	@ Oklahoma St.	L	80-83	40%
Jan 11, 2026	45	Cincinnati	L	72-73	46%
Jan 14, 2026	57	@ Kansas St.	L	73-78	34%
Jan 17, 2026	10	Arizona	L	78-85	27%
Jan 20, 2026	20	@ Iowa St.	L	70-82	16%
Jan 24, 2026	82	@ Colorado	L	74-76	43%
Jan 27, 2026	68	Arizona St.	W	79-77	58%
Jan 31, 2026	12	Texas Tech	L	72-79	28%
Feb 04, 2026	1	@ Houston	L	58-78	5%
Feb 08, 2026	45	@ Cincinnati	L	69-76	27%
Feb 14, 2026	61	West Virginia	W	72-71	54%
Feb 17, 2026	55	TCU	W	75-74	53%
Feb 21, 2026	88	@ Utah	L	77-78	46%
Feb 24, 2026	9	@ BYU	L	72-86	13%
Feb 28, 2026	23	Baylor	L	71-76	35%
Mar 03, 2026	73	Oklahoma St.	W	83-80	60%
Mar 06, 2026	61	@ West Virginia	L	69-74	35%
Projected Record						15 - 14	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd													0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.2	0.0					1.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	0.9	1.3	0.4	0.0						2.7	4th
5th										0.1	1.1	1.6	0.8	0.1							3.6	5th
6th									0.0	0.9	2.4	1.2	0.2								4.7	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	2.4	2.2	0.4									5.5	7th
8th								0.2	2.2	3.1	0.8	0.0									6.3	8th
9th							0.1	1.6	4.2	1.5	0.1	0.0									7.5	9th
10th						0.0	0.9	3.9	2.7	0.3	0.0										7.9	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	3.4	3.9	0.8	0.0											8.6	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	2.7	5.0	1.6	0.0												9.6	12th
13th			0.0	0.2	1.9	4.8	2.8	0.2	0.0												9.9	13th
14th			0.1	1.6	4.8	3.4	0.5	0.0													10.4	14th
15th		0.2	1.8	4.1	3.3	0.8	0.0														10.3	15th
16th	0.8	2.5	3.4	2.3	0.6	0.0															9.6	16th

Total	0.8	2.7	5.3	8.2	10.8	12.2	12.8	11.6	10.5	8.3	6.7	4.3	2.9	1.7	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0				Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	87.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	70.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	40.6%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	9.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	3.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		100.0%	37.2%	62.8%	1.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	0.2%		100.0%	21.6%	78.4%	3.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0												100.0%
15-3	0.4%		99.0%	11.5%	87.5%	3.8		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0		98.8%
14-4	0.8%		99.5%	8.8%	90.7%	4.9		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.4%
13-5	1.7%		97.5%	4.7%	92.9%	6.2			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.0		97.4%
12-6	2.9%		90.6%	2.8%	87.9%	7.4				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.0						0.3		90.4%
11-7	4.3%		79.1%	2.1%	77.0%	8.4				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0					0.9		78.7%
10-8	6.7%		59.1%	0.5%	58.6%	9.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.4	0.6						2.7		58.9%
9-9	8.3%		37.3%	0.2%	37.0%	9.7						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.2	0.7	0.0					5.2		37.1%
8-10	10.5%		13.3%	0.1%	13.2%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0					9.1		13.2%
7-11	11.6%		3.5%	0.1%	3.4%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0					11.2		3.4%
6-12	12.8%		0.4%		0.4%	11.0											0.0	0.0	0.0					12.7		0.4%
5-13	12.2%																							12.2
4-14	10.8%																							10.8
3-15	8.2%																							8.2
2-16	5.3%																							5.3
1-17	2.7%																							2.7
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		17.9%	0.5%	17.4%	8.3		0.1	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.9	1.3	2.0	2.5	3.1	4.4	2.3	0.1					82.1		17.5%