Central Florida
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#55
Expected Predictive Rating+17.0#22
Pace74.0#65
Improvement+2.2#59

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#46
First Shot+4.5#66
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#46
Layup/Dunks+6.0#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#238
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement-0.6#229

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#82
First Shot+0.7#148
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#38
Layups/Dunks+3.8#55
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#229
Freethrows-4.1#356
Improvement+2.7#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 6.1% 6.5% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.1% 44.4% 28.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.8% 44.1% 28.6%
Average Seed 8.7 8.7 9.3
.500 or above 90.2% 91.8% 72.1%
.500 or above in Conference 38.6% 39.7% 26.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 5.5% 9.5%
First Four9.2% 9.2% 8.7%
First Round38.0% 39.3% 23.4%
Second Round17.2% 17.9% 9.4%
Sweet Sixteen3.9% 4.1% 1.3%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 91.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 25 - 38 - 12
Quad 36 - 115 - 12
Quad 44 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 115 Hofstra W 82-78 82%     1 - 0 +4.4 +6.5 -2.3
  Sat, Nov 8 10 Vanderbilt L 93-105 30%     1 - 1 +3.2 +21.1 -17.2
  Tue, Nov 11 334 Florida A&M W 97-60 98%     2 - 1 +23.3 +12.4 +8.7
  Fri, Nov 14 45 @Texas A&M W 86-74 34%     3 - 1 +26.2 +13.8 +11.6
  Mon, Nov 17 144 Oakland W 87-83 86%     4 - 1 +2.0 +6.2 -4.3
  Thu, Nov 20 102 Pittsburgh W 77-67 70%     5 - 1 +14.6 +13.4 +2.3
  Tue, Nov 25 157 Quinnipiac W 102-91 88%     6 - 1 +8.1 +18.2 -11.2
  Sat, Nov 29 331 VMI W 82-57 97%     7 - 1 +11.6 +3.7 +8.6
  Sun, Dec 7 137 Towson W 86-61 86%     8 - 1 +23.4 +20.3 +5.3
  Wed, Dec 17 170 Mercer W 81-63 90%     9 - 1 +14.1 +3.6 +10.0
  Sat, Dec 20 184 Florida Gulf Coast W 88-73 92%    
  Tue, Dec 23 118 Florida Atlantic W 85-78 73%    
  Sat, Jan 3 17 Kansas L 73-77 34%    
  Tue, Jan 6 51 @Oklahoma St. L 84-88 37%    
  Sun, Jan 11 69 Cincinnati W 78-73 68%    
  Wed, Jan 14 67 @Kansas St. L 84-86 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 3 Arizona L 77-87 18%    
  Tue, Jan 20 4 @Iowa St. L 72-87 8%    
  Sat, Jan 24 65 @Colorado L 81-83 43%    
  Tue, Jan 27 63 Arizona St. W 83-79 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 27 Texas Tech L 78-80 44%    
  Wed, Feb 4 8 @Houston L 65-78 12%    
  Sun, Feb 8 69 @Cincinnati L 75-76 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 68 West Virginia W 75-70 66%    
  Tue, Feb 17 54 TCU W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 119 @Utah W 83-79 64%    
  Tue, Feb 24 9 @BYU L 73-86 12%    
  Sat, Feb 28 32 Baylor L 83-84 48%    
  Tue, Mar 3 51 Oklahoma St. W 87-85 59%    
  Fri, Mar 6 68 @West Virginia L 72-73 46%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 3.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 3.1 1.3 0.1 6.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.3 2.3 0.2 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.4 4.1 5.0 1.0 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.3 5.3 1.6 0.1 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 5.1 3.2 0.2 9.4 10th
11th 0.2 3.6 4.6 0.7 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 4.9 1.7 0.1 8.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.8 2.7 0.2 7.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.9 0.5 0.0 6.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 5.2 15th
16th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.8 16th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.1 6.0 9.2 12.7 14.2 14.6 13.6 10.4 7.4 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 76.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 44.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 17.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 3.3% 96.7% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 4.3% 95.7% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.0% 99.7% 2.7% 97.0% 5.7 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-6 4.0% 98.7% 1.8% 96.9% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
11-7 7.4% 95.0% 1.3% 93.7% 7.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.4 94.9%
10-8 10.4% 89.4% 0.8% 88.7% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.0 1.9 0.7 1.1 89.3%
9-9 13.6% 74.7% 0.5% 74.3% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 3.4 1.8 0.0 3.4 74.6%
8-10 14.6% 45.6% 0.2% 45.4% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 2.3 3.3 0.1 7.9 45.5%
7-11 14.2% 15.8% 15.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 0.1 12.0 15.8%
6-12 12.7% 3.8% 3.8% 11.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 12.2 3.8%
5-13 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 9.2 0.3%
4-14 6.0% 6.0
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 43.1% 0.4% 42.6% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.3 4.8 6.7 8.5 8.6 7.9 0.4 56.9 42.8%