George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#80
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#116
Pace73.8#66
Improvement-4.6#358

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#51
First Shot+5.4#52
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#103
Layup/Dunks+3.6#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#59
Freethrows+1.2#104
Improvement-2.9#352

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#140
First Shot+0.6#148
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#184
Layups/Dunks-3.3#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#145
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows+2.0#71
Improvement-1.7#303
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 11.8% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.2 11.0 11.4
.500 or above 96.8% 99.0% 94.5%
.500 or above in Conference 89.1% 95.3% 82.9%
Conference Champion 9.9% 14.9% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
First Round9.3% 11.3% 7.2%
Second Round2.4% 3.1% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 50.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 311 - 10
Quad 49 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 334 Maine W 67-47 96%     1 - 0 +6.2 -4.9 +12.1
  Sat, Nov 8 85 South Florida W 99-95 53%     2 - 0 +10.6 +11.2 -1.2
  Wed, Nov 12 250 American W 107-67 92%     3 - 0 +31.9 +22.1 +6.8
  Sat, Nov 15 207 Old Dominion W 96-73 89%     4 - 0 +17.0 +15.4 +0.5
  Wed, Nov 19 288 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-52 93%     5 - 0 +27.3 +9.1 +17.7
  Sun, Nov 23 71 McNeese St. L 86-92 48%     5 - 1 +1.9 +13.0 -10.7
  Mon, Nov 24 159 Middle Tennessee W 92-79 75%     6 - 1 +13.1 +17.8 -5.0
  Tue, Nov 25 96 Murray St. L 95-96 58%     6 - 2 +4.3 +19.0 -14.7
  Tue, Dec 2 330 @Army W 84-70 91%     7 - 2 +6.5 +11.1 -4.1
  Sat, Dec 6 120 William & Mary W 99-86 76%     8 - 2 +13.0 +16.4 -4.7
  Wed, Dec 10 287 Delaware L 58-70 93%     8 - 3 -21.6 -17.6 -4.3
  Sat, Dec 13 13 Florida L 70-80 16%     8 - 4 +7.7 +5.0 +3.0
  Wed, Dec 31 104 @Richmond W 81-80 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 233 La Salle W 82-67 91%    
  Tue, Jan 6 61 @Dayton L 76-81 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 290 Loyola Chicago W 87-70 95%    
  Wed, Jan 14 133 Davidson W 80-71 79%    
  Mon, Jan 19 77 @George Mason L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 104 Richmond W 83-77 71%    
  Tue, Jan 27 33 @Saint Louis L 80-89 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 198 Fordham W 80-67 88%    
  Wed, Feb 4 171 @Saint Joseph's W 79-74 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 136 @Duquesne W 86-83 61%    
  Tue, Feb 10 116 Rhode Island W 81-74 73%    
  Fri, Feb 13 77 George Mason W 76-73 59%    
  Tue, Feb 17 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 77-84 27%    
  Tue, Feb 24 233 @La Salle W 79-70 78%    
  Fri, Feb 27 61 Dayton W 79-78 55%    
  Wed, Mar 4 112 St. Bonaventure W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Mar 7 290 @Loyola Chicago W 84-73 85%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.7 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.1 9.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.4 5.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 15.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 6.3 6.4 1.8 0.1 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.4 6.5 1.7 0.1 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.1 6.3 1.8 0.1 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.6 2.2 0.2 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.9 2.6 0.2 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.1 5.6 9.3 13.7 15.8 16.4 14.3 10.4 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.0% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-2 85.9% 2.1    1.5 0.5 0.0
15-3 60.1% 3.6    1.8 1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 25.7% 2.7    0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.1% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 4.8 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 81.1% 24.3% 56.8% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.0%
17-1 0.7% 51.7% 23.9% 27.8% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 36.5%
16-2 2.4% 33.2% 23.2% 10.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.6 13.0%
15-3 6.0% 23.4% 19.8% 3.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.1 4.6 4.4%
14-4 10.4% 16.4% 15.5% 0.9% 11.1 0.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.7 1.0%
13-5 14.3% 14.0% 13.8% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 1.2 0.7 0.0 12.3 0.2%
12-6 16.4% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 15.0 0.0%
11-7 15.8% 5.7% 5.7% 11.8 0.3 0.6 0.1 14.9
10-8 13.7% 3.6% 3.6% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 13.2
9-9 9.3% 2.5% 2.5% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.1
8-10 5.6% 1.8% 1.8% 12.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.5
7-11 3.1% 1.1% 1.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
6-12 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
5-13 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.5% 8.7% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 5.1 3.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 90.5 0.9%