Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.8 #146
Expected Predictive Rating +3.9 #104
Pace 76.7 #25
Improvement -2.3 #293

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #104 C+ B- D A C+
Defense #233 C- C C- D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #198 1.19 #140 +0.1 #171
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #252 0.63 #337 -2.5 #303
Three Pointers 45% #93 1.07 #104 +3.5 #68
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #144 +1.1 #144
Freethrows 0.38 #9 76% #71 0.29 #8
Second Chance 34.5% #75 1.09 #119 0.38 #70
Turnovers 18.5% #303
Total Offense +2.6 #104

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #192 1.18 #208 -0.4 #195
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #230 0.69 #74 +1.2 #98
Three Pointers 43% #122 1.10 #291 -2.7 #294
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #236 -1.9 #243
Freethrows 0.33 #280 72% #171 0.24 #278
Second Chance 29.1% #121 1.12 #282 0.33 #204
Turnovers 15.1% #260
Total Defense -1.8 #233

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #136 0.5% #214
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.3% #156 3.0% #236
Possession Length 16.3 #74 16.7 #70
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #220 0.20 #279
Improvement -1.7 #277 -0.6 #218

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 6.5% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.1 13.3
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.6%
.500 or above in Conference 98.6% 99.5% 96.0%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.0% 6.5% 4.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio (Home) - 73.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 38 - 49 - 8
Quad 412 - 320 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 113 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 51% -8  0 - 1 -6 +6 D A- C -10 F C+ D
 Fri, Nov 7 175 Cornell W 110 - 102 69% +8  1 - 1 +4 +16 A+ A- C -13 F D- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 121 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 55% +8  2 - 1 +9 +11 A+ B- D+ -2 A D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 316 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 83% +2  3 - 1 -2 +13 C- A C -16 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 16 150 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 51% -2  4 - 1 +5 -2 F A- F +6 B B- D+
 Tue, Nov 18 260 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 80% +16  5 - 1 +7 +0 C C+ F +5 B C- A+
 Sat, Nov 22 316 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 89% +14  6 - 1 +8 -1 B+ D F +6 B- B A-
 Wed, Dec 3 177 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 69% +3  7 - 1 +8 +19 A+ A B -12 F A+ C
 Sun, Dec 14 205 @Portland L 78 - 88 52% -0  7 - 2 -10 -5 D- B F -3 F+ B+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 174 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 46% +5  8 - 2 1 - 0 +12 -2 D+ C D +14 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 7 @Purdue L 60 - 101 3% -24  8 - 3 -17 -9 D- F+ D -5 D A D+
 Sat, Jan 3 319 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 89% +9  9 - 3 2 - 0 -9 -3 D- D D+ -6 F C A+
 Tue, Jan 6 129 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 57% +2  10 - 3 3 - 0 +2 +23 A+ A+ A+ -21 D F D
 Sat, Jan 10 327 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 78% -1  10 - 4 3 - 1 -9 +6 F A+ F -15 C+ F F
 Tue, Jan 13 203 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 52% +7  11 - 4 4 - 1 +6 +11 B- B+ C -5 C B F
 Fri, Jan 16 165 Toledo W 87 - 84 66% -0  12 - 4 5 - 1 -1 +7 C B- A+ -8 C F+ C+
 Tue, Jan 20 89 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 40% -6  12 - 5 5 - 2 -3 +12 B- A+ D -14 F A- F
 Sat, Jan 24 200 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 75 2OT 51% +3  13 - 5 6 - 2 +1 -3 C+ F F +4 A+ C- F
 Tue, Jan 27 209 Ohio W 87 - 80 74%
 Fri, Jan 30 60 @Akron L 83 - 94 14%
 Tue, Feb 3 165 @Toledo L 83 - 85 44%
 Sat, Feb 7 264 @Southern Miss W 81 - 78 62%
 Wed, Feb 11 200 Eastern Michigan W 79 - 73 73%
 Sat, Feb 14 297 @Ball St. W 78 - 72 70%
 Tue, Feb 17 129 @Bowling Green L 78 - 82 35%
 Tue, Feb 24 327 Central Michigan W 86 - 72 91%
 Sat, Feb 28 60 Akron L 86 - 91 31%
 Tue, Mar 3 319 @Northern Illinois W 83 - 75 76%
 Fri, Mar 6 257 Western Michigan W 86 - 77 80%
Totals 19 - 10 12 - 6 +1 +3 C+ B- D -2 C- C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.2 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.3 1.8 0.2 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 8.1 20.0 18.1 6.7 0.5 54.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 4.6 10.7 5.5 0.6 21.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 5.1 2.5 0.2 9.6 5th
6th 0.3 2.0 1.2 0.1 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.9 11.8 21.4 26.0 20.6 10.4 3.2 0.4 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 53.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 27.6% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2
14-4 3.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.4% 14.7% 14.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 3.2% 13.7% 13.7% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.7
14-4 10.4% 9.9% 9.9% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 9.4
13-5 20.6% 8.1% 8.1% 13.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 18.9
12-6 26.0% 5.4% 5.4% 13.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 24.6
11-7 21.4% 4.0% 4.0% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 20.5
10-8 11.8% 3.3% 3.3% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.4
9-9 4.9% 2.6% 2.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.7
8-10 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 1.2
7-11 0.2% 0.2
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 13.1 94.0 0.0%