Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.3 #272
Expected Predictive Rating -9.4 #316
Pace 66.6 #240
Improvement +2.2 #78

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #239 C C- D C- B
Defense #290 C C F+ C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #178 1.12 #218 -0.7 #199
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #336 0.75 #193 -3.3 #330
Three Pointers 50% #33 0.97 #246 +3.2 #81
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #200 -0.8 #200
Freethrows 0.30 #197 68% #305 0.20 #228
Second Chance 32.2% #142 0.93 #326 0.30 #221
Turnovers 18.8% #320
Total Offense -2.5 #239

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #239 1.03 #39 +3.6 #65
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #142 0.84 #302 -1.3 #289
Three Pointers 42% #158 1.15 #336 -3.2 #307
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #204 -0.9 #205
Freethrows 0.29 #166 79% #362 0.23 #247
Second Chance 31.2% #205 1.02 #139 0.32 #179
Turnovers 12.0% #358
Total Defense -3.8 #290

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #47 -0.6% #117
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.7% #239 2.2% #223
Possession Length 18.1 #259 17.7 #242
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #263 0.18 #214
Improvement -2.0 #294 +4.2 #11

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 79.8% 67.9% 86.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Home) - 36.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 62 - 9
Quad 31 - 113 - 20
Quad 44 - 57 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 316 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 72% +2  1 - 0 -9 +6 C F+ A -16 C- F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 304 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 69% -7  1 - 1 -19 -9 D F D- -11 F+ D+ C+
 Sun, Nov 9 140 North Texas L 62 - 64 23% -4  1 - 2 -1 -1 F D+ B +0 C+ A+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 99 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 9% -14  1 - 3 -13 +11 A+ F+ D+ -25 C- F F
 Sun, Nov 16 96 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 20% -12  1 - 4 -11 +3 A- D F -15 C+ F F+
 Fri, Nov 21 319 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 74% -9  1 - 5 -30 -10 D+ F F+ -22 F D- F
 Tue, Nov 25 108 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 17% -18  1 - 6 -17 -8 F B C- -12 C- C F
 Wed, Nov 26 231 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 41% -1  1 - 7 -16 -15 C C F -4 C+ A- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 327 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 75% +2  2 - 7 -2 +8 D+ B B+ -10 F C- D
 Sat, Dec 6 214 Princeton W 73 - 68 49% -1  3 - 7 -1 +5 B- A+ C -6 C+ C+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 358 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 85% -6  3 - 8 -27 -8 F A+ F -18 D- C- D-
 Wed, Dec 17 97 San Francisco L 71 - 85 14% -12  3 - 9 -9 +12 C- A- A+ -23 F B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 52 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 7% +1  4 - 9 +12 +14 A+ D- A+ -2 A+ D F+
 Wed, Dec 31 116 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 13% +7  5 - 9 1 - 0 +10 -3 A B- F +13 A+ C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 80 Dayton L 68 - 70 16% +6  5 - 10 1 - 1 +2 +3 B C C -1 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 134 Davidson L 64 - 79 32% -10  5 - 11 1 - 2 -16 -6 F+ B+ C- -12 D D+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 67 @George Washington L 66 - 101 6% -20  5 - 12 1 - 3 -24 -10 C+ F F -11 D A+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 88 George Mason L 74 - 82 18% +3  5 - 13 1 - 4 -5 +9 A A- C+ -15 C F D-
 Fri, Jan 16 80 @Dayton L 51 - 78 7% -6  5 - 14 1 - 5 -17 -13 F D+ F -4 D+ A+ C
 Tue, Jan 20 151 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 18% +3  5 - 15 1 - 6 -10 -2 B+ F F -9 B- A- F
 Sat, Jan 24 115 Duquesne L 59 - 71 27% -4  5 - 16 1 - 7 -12 -12 F+ D+ C -1 C A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 27 149 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 73 36%
 Fri, Jan 30 53 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67 - 87 3%
 Tue, Feb 3 199 La Salle L 70 - 71 48%
 Fri, Feb 6 134 @Davidson L 64 - 75 15%
 Fri, Feb 13 25 Saint Louis L 68 - 87 4%
 Wed, Feb 18 196 @Fordham L 65 - 72 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 149 @Saint Joseph's L 66 - 76 18%
 Sat, Feb 28 123 Richmond L 71 - 77 29%
 Wed, Mar 4 25 @Saint Louis L 65 - 90 1%
 Sat, Mar 7 67 George Washington L 73 - 84 15%
Totals 7 - 24 3 - 15 -6 -3 C C- D -4 C C F+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.0 0.0 2.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.9 0.5 0.0 9.1 12th
13th 0.1 2.5 9.6 10.3 2.3 0.1 24.9 13th
14th 11.7 25.1 19.2 5.2 0.3 0.0 61.5 14th
Total 11.8 27.7 29.6 19.6 8.3 2.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 2.4% 2.4
5-13 8.3% 8.3
4-14 19.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.6
3-15 29.6% 29.6
2-16 27.7% 27.7
1-17 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.3%