Preseason Rankings
LSU
Southeastern
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#52
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.7#128
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#52
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#53
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 4.3% 4.4% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 10.3% 10.6% 2.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.4% 33.1% 11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.6% 32.3% 11.2%
Average Seed 7.5 7.5 8.5
.500 or above 64.0% 65.2% 30.7%
.500 or above in Conference 30.2% 30.8% 12.5%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.3% 15.8% 32.7%
First Four4.7% 4.8% 2.7%
First Round30.0% 30.7% 9.7%
Second Round17.8% 18.3% 4.2%
Sweet Sixteen6.1% 6.3% 1.4%
Elite Eight2.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.4%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Tarleton St. (Home) - 96.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 33 - 110 - 14
Quad 47 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2025 274   Tarleton St. W 77-57 97%    
  Nov 10, 2025 312   New Orleans W 87-65 98%    
  Nov 13, 2025 210   Florida International W 80-64 93%    
  Nov 18, 2025 326   Alcorn St. W 80-57 98%    
  Nov 21, 2025 182   Nebraska Omaha W 82-67 91%    
  Nov 28, 2025 114   Drake W 65-58 73%    
  Dec 03, 2025 100   @ Boston College W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 07, 2025 12   Texas Tech L 68-75 26%    
  Dec 13, 2025 44   SMU L 74-76 45%    
  Dec 19, 2025 243   SE Louisiana W 80-62 94%    
  Dec 22, 2025 341   Prairie View W 87-62 98%    
  Dec 29, 2025 281   Southern Miss W 85-65 96%    
  Jan 03, 2026 35   @ Texas A&M L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 06, 2026 70   South Carolina W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 10, 2026 41   @ Vanderbilt L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 14, 2026 7   Kentucky L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 17, 2026 37   Missouri W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 20, 2026 5   @ Florida L 69-83 13%    
  Jan 24, 2026 17   @ Arkansas L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 28, 2026 33   Mississippi St. L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 31, 2026 70   @ South Carolina L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 07, 2026 51   Georgia W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 10, 2026 17   Arkansas L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 14, 2026 16   @ Tennessee L 62-72 21%    
  Feb 17, 2026 36   @ Texas L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 21, 2026 18   Alabama L 81-84 39%    
  Feb 25, 2026 30   @ Mississippi L 69-76 29%    
  Feb 28, 2026 47   Oklahoma W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 03, 2026 22   @ Auburn L 69-78 24%    
  Mar 07, 2026 35   Texas A&M W 72-71 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 2.5 1.2 0.1 4.8 6th
7th 0.4 2.6 2.1 0.2 5.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 3.3 0.7 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.8 1.7 0.1 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 4.5 1.1 0.0 8.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.3 2.6 0.2 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.6 0.5 0.0 8.9 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.0 1.1 0.0 9.8 14th
15th 0.2 1.1 3.4 3.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.2 15th
16th 0.7 2.1 3.4 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 10.1 16th
Total 0.7 2.2 4.6 7.2 9.5 11.1 12.0 12.1 10.5 9.1 7.3 5.7 3.6 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 63.2% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 31.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 29.5% 70.5% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 45.2% 54.8% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.3% 100.0% 10.4% 89.6% 3.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.4% 99.7% 8.8% 90.8% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 3.6% 98.6% 5.7% 92.9% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.5%
11-7 5.7% 95.1% 2.1% 93.0% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 95.0%
10-8 7.3% 86.3% 1.6% 84.7% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.2 1.0 86.1%
9-9 9.1% 70.1% 0.9% 69.2% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.6 0.6 0.0 2.7 69.8%
8-10 10.5% 40.1% 0.4% 39.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 1.1 0.0 6.3 39.9%
7-11 12.1% 13.9% 0.1% 13.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.0 10.4 13.8%
6-12 12.0% 2.8% 0.1% 2.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.7 2.7%
5-13 11.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.2%
4-14 9.5% 9.5
3-15 7.2% 7.2
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 32.4% 1.1% 31.2% 7.5 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.3 4.9 4.8 5.1 2.9 0.1 67.6 31.6%