Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#51
Expected Predictive Rating+15.7#27
Pace81.6#9
Improvement-3.2#347

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#52
First Shot+5.2#59
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#88
Layup/Dunks+7.5#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#305
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement-0.4#217

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#72
First Shot+0.2#161
After Offensive Rebounds+3.5#9
Layups/Dunks+1.2#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#221
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#293
Freethrows+2.4#51
Improvement-2.8#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 6.9% 7.0% 1.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.9% 45.1% 25.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.6% 44.8% 25.6%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 9.2
.500 or above 93.3% 93.5% 78.0%
.500 or above in Conference 34.5% 34.6% 20.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 6.6% 9.4%
First Four8.8% 8.8% 6.3%
First Round40.0% 40.2% 23.8%
Second Round19.3% 19.4% 10.5%
Sweet Sixteen4.6% 4.6% 0.7%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 99.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 26 - 39 - 12
Quad 34 - 013 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 299 Oral Roberts W 95-71 96%     1 - 0 +13.6 -1.0 +10.3
  Sun, Nov 9 46 Texas A&M W 87-63 58%     2 - 0 +32.2 +13.9 +17.4
  Wed, Nov 12 325 Prairie View W 94-67 97%     3 - 0 +14.2 +4.7 +6.4
  Sun, Nov 16 213 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 85-69 93%     4 - 0 +9.7 +3.3 +4.7
  Wed, Nov 19 86 South Florida W 103-95 74%     5 - 0 +11.5 +16.6 -6.3
  Sat, Nov 22 257 Nicholls St. W 95-81 95%     6 - 0 +5.7 +6.2 -2.5
  Thu, Nov 27 58 Northwestern W 86-81 54%     7 - 0 +14.3 +11.9 +2.2
  Tue, Dec 2 125 Sam Houston St. W 93-83 85%     8 - 0 +9.4 +8.4 -0.1
  Sat, Dec 6 92 Grand Canyon W 84-78 67%     9 - 0 +11.7 +15.6 -3.9
  Sat, Dec 13 45 Oklahoma L 76-85 47%     9 - 1 +2.2 +3.6 -1.2
  Thu, Dec 18 346 UMKC W 92-67 99%    
  Sun, Dec 21 267 Cal St. Fullerton W 99-80 96%    
  Mon, Dec 29 227 Bethune-Cookman W 88-71 95%    
  Sat, Jan 3 27 @Texas Tech L 79-86 24%    
  Tue, Jan 6 57 Central Florida W 89-85 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 4 @Iowa St. L 76-90 9%    
  Tue, Jan 13 32 Baylor W 87-86 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 68 Kansas St. W 91-86 68%    
  Tue, Jan 20 53 @TCU L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 4 Iowa St. L 79-87 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 120 @Utah W 86-82 65%    
  Wed, Feb 4 9 BYU L 79-86 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 3 @Arizona L 78-93 8%    
  Tue, Feb 10 60 @Arizona St. L 83-85 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 53 TCU W 81-78 62%    
  Wed, Feb 18 17 Kansas L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 63 @Colorado L 85-86 45%    
  Tue, Feb 24 65 West Virginia W 78-73 67%    
  Sat, Feb 28 78 @Cincinnati L 79-80 50%    
  Tue, Mar 3 57 @Central Florida L 86-88 42%    
  Sat, Mar 7 8 Houston L 71-78 28%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.4 2.7 1.0 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.9 1.9 0.2 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.4 0.9 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 5.6 1.5 0.1 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 5.4 3.2 0.2 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.6 4.8 0.8 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.7 5.2 1.8 0.1 8.9 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 4.3 2.7 0.2 8.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.2 0.5 7.3 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.4 0.7 0.0 5.3 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.2 16th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.5 6.8 10.2 13.0 15.1 14.7 12.4 9.4 6.4 3.6 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 45.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 18.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 10.8% 89.2% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.7% 100.0% 4.3% 95.7% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.6% 100.0% 3.2% 96.8% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-6 3.6% 99.6% 1.9% 97.7% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-7 6.4% 98.5% 1.1% 97.4% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.5%
10-8 9.4% 94.5% 1.1% 93.4% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.7 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.5 94.4%
9-9 12.4% 83.6% 0.2% 83.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.4 2.9 1.0 0.0 2.0 83.6%
8-10 14.7% 55.2% 0.2% 55.0% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 3.0 0.1 6.6 55.1%
7-11 15.1% 26.0% 0.1% 25.9% 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 0.1 11.2 25.9%
6-12 13.0% 7.1% 0.1% 7.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 12.1 7.0%
5-13 10.2% 0.8% 0.8% 11.2 0.1 0.0 10.1 0.8%
4-14 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 6.8 0.0%
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 44.9% 0.5% 44.4% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.5 5.7 7.6 8.5 8.2 7.6 0.3 55.1 44.6%