Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.6 124
Expected Predictive Rating +2.1 128
Pace 65.3 268
Improvement -1.6 249

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 168 C+ C D B B-
Defense C+ 96 C C A- D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 137 C+ 60% 113 +1.9 108
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 278 B- 42% 71 -1.2 248
Three Pointers 44% 121 D+ 32% 260 +0.3 163
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 88 C +0.3 160
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 142
Second Chance B- 32.9% 106 D 0.94 306 C 0.31 181
Turnovers D 19.4% 327
Freethrows B+ 0.36 34 C 72% 192 B 0.26 46
Total Offense C -0.3 168

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 136 B- 54% 85 -0.5 154
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 258 B+ 33% 37 -1.8 55
Three Pointers 42% 153 D 37% 303 +2.2 289
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 256 C -0.6 156
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 178
Second Chance C 30.8% 196 C 1.03 176 C 0.32 196
Turnovers A- 21.3% 13
Freethrows D 0.35 311 B- 70% 71 D+ 0.25 290
Total Defense C+ +2.9 96

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 221 17.9 278
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 32 0.14 85
Improvement -1.1 #248 -0.5 #225

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.7 12.4
.500 or above 89% 99% 87%
.500 or above in Conference 30% 61% 25%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Home) - 14.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 64 - 9
Quad 36 - 310 - 12
Quad 48 - 318 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 328 Stetson W 93 - 62 93% +17  97% 1 - 0 A- +17 B- +5 C+ A+ F+ A +11 B- B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 76 Tulsa L 65 - 82 31% -9  5% 1 - 1 D -9 D -6 C- B F D+ -5 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 341 Stonehill W 80 - 57 94% +12  88% 2 - 1 B- +8 C +1 C+ C- F+ B +6 B+ D A+
 Fri, Nov 14 324 Albany W 80 - 61 92% +6  64% 3 - 1 B- +6 C+ +2 F+ A- B- B +4 A+ F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 84 @Yale W 86 - 77 24% +0  42% 4 - 1 A +19 A+ +15 A B D+ B- +4 A F A
 Mon, Nov 24 166 Towson L 55 - 62 62% -2  34% 4 - 2 D+ -7 F -11 F A+ F C+ +2 C- B+ B
 Tue, Nov 25 218 Vermont W 80 - 65 71% +7  83% 5 - 2 B+ +12 A- +10 B A- F B- +4 B F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 149 Temple W 90 - 75 59% +7  81% 6 - 2 A- +15 A +14 A+ D+ A+ C+ +2 C+ B- B-
 Tue, Dec 2 274 Brown W 66 - 56 87% +4  80% 7 - 2 C +1 D -5 F+ B+ D B+ +6 A+ C+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 59 @Providence L 71 - 90 19% -5  18% 7 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -3 A+ F F D+ -4 F C- A+
 Tue, Dec 9 83 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 45% -2  6% 7 - 4 C+ +2 F+ -8 B D- F A +10 B- A+ B
 Tue, Dec 16 346 Canisius W 62 - 45 94% +3  45% 8 - 4 C +1 F -12 F+ F F A+ +15 B+ A- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 284 Northeastern W 85 - 77 88% +6  89% 9 - 4 C- -2 B+ +9 B+ A C+ F+ -10 F B+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 283 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 88% -7  11% 9 - 5 0 - 1 D- -14 F -20 F C- F B +5 F D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 99 @George Mason L 50 - 61 30% -4  7% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C- -3 F -15 C- F F A +11 C+ A D+
 Wed, Jan 7 220 La Salle L 72 - 79 80% -2  38% 9 - 7 0 - 3 D- -13 C +1 B- C+ F F -15 F F B
 Sat, Jan 10 111 @Davidson W 70 - 45 36% +14  99% 10 - 7 1 - 3 A+ +31 B+ +9 A+ F B A+ +27 A+ A+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 50 Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 84 30% -8  0% 10 - 8 1 - 4 C -1 B- +5 A+ F D D -7 C- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 131 @Richmond W 69 - 68 41% -2  13% 11 - 8 2 - 4 B- +6 D+ -4 D C- F A- +10 C- B A-
 Sat, Jan 24 99 George Mason W 74 - 65 52% +5  93% 12 - 8 3 - 4 B +11 A +13 B- C+ A+ C -0 B D- D+
 Tue, Jan 27 90 @Dayton W 81 - 76 OT 28% -3  30% 13 - 8 4 - 4 B+ +14 B +7 C+ D- B B+ +7 F A- A+
 Sun, Feb 1 104 @Duquesne L 61 - 76 33% -8  3% 13 - 9 4 - 5 D+ -8 D- -7 C- D+ D C- -2 D D A-
 Sat, Feb 7 131 Richmond W 82 - 77 64% -0  49% 14 - 9 5 - 5 C+ +4 B+ +7 C- A+ C+ C- -3 D+ A- B
 Tue, Feb 10 79 @George Washington L 70 - 75 23% -7  0% 14 - 10 5 - 6 B- +5 C- -1 C- C- D+ B +6 D A- A
 Sat, Feb 14 151 Fordham L 66 - 70 OT 70% +6  85% 14 - 11 5 - 7 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ D D+ C+ +1 C+ D+ B-
 Tue, Feb 17 22 Saint Louis L 69 - 80 14%
 Sat, Feb 21 220 @La Salle W 69 - 66 61%
 Wed, Feb 25 135 @St. Bonaventure L 71 - 73 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 136 Saint Joseph's W 70 - 66 65%
 Wed, Mar 4 104 Duquesne W 74 - 73 55%
 Sat, Mar 7 151 @Fordham L 64 - 65 48%
Totals 17 - 14 8 - 10 +3 C +0 B+ C B- C+ +3 D+ C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ B- D+ C 40% 28% 44% B- C+ B- D C D B+ C B C+ B- B+ D C 40% 18% 42% D+ C C C C A- D B- D+
1.08 60% 42% 32% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.9 .31 19% .36 72% .26 1.05 54% 33% 37% -1 0 1.02 31% 1.0 .32 21% .35 70% .25
Nov
3		 Stetson B- A+ A F C+ 40% 16% 44% C+ C+ A+ A- A+ F+ A+ A- A+ A A D B- B+ 38% 15% 48% D- B- D+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ D+
1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32 0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22
Nov
7		 Tulsa D C+ F D+ D+ 43% 19% 38% C+ C- B+ C B F A+ A- A+ D+ C A+ F C 47% 16% 38% B- C F F F A+ F A+ D+
1.00 61% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.1 .36 25% .39 79% .30 1.26 57% 14% 47% +3 +1 1.11 45% 1.6 .72 21% .47 63% .29
Nov
11		 Stonehill C B+ A+ F C 55% 14% 31% A- C+ B- F+ C- F+ A A+ A+ B A A+ B+ A- 28% 14% 58% C+ B+ D D+ D A+ F D+ F
1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30 0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30
Nov
14		 Albany C+ D D F F 51% 12% 37% B+ F+ A- C+ A- B- A+ A+ A+ B A+ F A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A+ F F F A- D C+ D+
1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44 0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
18		 Yale A+ F A+ A+ A 46% 14% 40% B+ A A D- B D+ A B A B- B C- A- A+ 52% 15% 33% F+ A F D F A F F F
1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27 1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36
Nov
24		 Towson F C A+ F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F B- A+ A+ F A- F B- C+ F B D- D- 23% 52% 25% A+ C- C+ A B+ B F C F
0.90 57% 71% 5% -16 0 0.71 29% 1.7 .50 24% .35 63% .22 1.01 70% 35% 36% +2 -5 0.95 34% 0.6 .22 20% .39 68% .26
Nov
25		 Vermont A- A- F D+ C 52% 5% 43% A+ B A+ F A- F A+ D- A+ B- C- F A- B+ 29% 9% 62% D+ B D F F A+ F B F
1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49 1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32
Nov
26		 Temple A A+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% D+ A+ F A+ D+ A+ A- F C C+ D+ A C+ C+ 39% 22% 39% C C+ A+ F B- B- F C F
1.29 81% 40% 43% +14 0 1.30 17% 1.6 .27 9% .36 61% .22 1.07 61% 30% 33% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.3 .24 16% .56 76% .43
Dec
2		 Brown D C+ F+ F F+ 44% 20% 36% C+ F+ B B B+ D A C- A- B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 52% 27% 21% B- A+ F A+ C+ C+ F F+ F
1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30 0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25
Dec
6		 Providence D+ D F A+ A+ 32% 14% 54% B A+ C F F F C- F F D+ F F F F 32% 13% 55% C+ F C+ D C- A+ C B C+
1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13 1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26
Dec
9		 McNeese St. F+ A- A+ D- B 42% 11% 47% B+ B F A+ D- F A+ A+ A+ A A D+ D+ B 51% 14% 35% D- B- B A+ A+ B D+ A+ B-
0.94 67% 50% 29% +2 +1 1.08 17% 1.8 .30 31% .57 85% .48 0.96 48% 43% 35% -4 +2 0.98 31% 0.5 .15 16% .33 63% .21
Dec
16		 Canisius F D- F D F 37% 8% 56% B+ F+ A- F F F D- A+ C A+ A+ B- C A- 43% 29% 29% C B+ C+ A+ A- A+ D D+ D
0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22 0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23
Dec
22		 Northeastern B+ C A+ C A- 36% 24% 40% D- B+ A+ C A C+ D D- D- F+ B- A+ F F 49% 2% 49% F F D- A+ B+ B F F F
1.31 61% 83% 35% +13 -1 1.26 47% 1.0 .47 17% .30 69% .20 1.19 55% 0% 50% +9 +3 1.27 32% 0.7 .21 20% .48 76% .37
Dec
31		 Loyola Chicago F F C F F 38% 21% 40% C F B F C- F B F C B B- F F F 44% 8% 49% D- F F B D- A+ B+ F C-
0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22 0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22
Jan
3		 George Mason F B+ F D C- 26% 19% 55% C C- D- F F F F+ F F A B A+ F C 38% 24% 38% B- C+ A+ F A D+ F A+ C-
0.80 67% 22% 31% -3 -1 0.94 20% 0.4 .08 21% .18 33% .06 0.98 56% 10% 50% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.5 .20 14% .49 58% .28
Jan
7		 La Salle C B+ F A B 24% 11% 64% C B- A+ F C+ F A+ C- A+ F D- B F F 56% 9% 35% F F D+ F F B F B+ F
1.12 64% 0% 41% +4 0 1.11 44% 0.8 .36 25% .37 67% .25 1.23 63% 33% 50% +11 +3 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 20% .65 67% .43
Jan
10		 Davidson B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 42% 20% 38% B+ A+ F C F B F B F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 38% F A+ A+ A+ A+ A F B F
1.16 79% 67% 35% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 17% .20 70% .14 0.75 57% 0% 13% -16 +2 0.75 13% 0.8 .10 22% .40 63% .25
Jan
14		 Virginia Commonwealth B- B+ A+ C+ A+ 39% 14% 47% B- A+ D+ F F D A+ F A- D C A+ D- C 42% 4% 54% D- C- A F D+ F F+ A+ C-
1.11 63% 71% 35% +7 +1 1.18 27% 0.5 .13 19% .44 63% .28 1.25 60% 0% 38% +3 +2 1.13 26% 1.6 .42 7% .45 64% .29
Jan
21		 Richmond D+ C C F F+ 48% 17% 35% A D A- F C- F A+ A- A+ A- C C- D- C- 31% 21% 48% D C- A- C B A- C- A+ A-
1.00 59% 38% 19% -8 +1 0.89 39% 0.9 .33 22% .48 77% .37 0.99 60% 40% 39% +5 -1 1.10 20% 1.0 .20 19% .34 58% .20
Jan
24		 George Mason A B+ F D- C 48% 14% 39% A B- D A+ C+ A+ A+ B A+ C A F A- B+ 44% 22% 34% C- B C- F D- D+ F F F
1.24 67% 17% 29% -1 +2 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 7% .52 76% .40 1.09 50% 56% 29% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .47 79% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Dayton B F B- A+ C+ 43% 26% 30% C+ C+ C+ F D- B A+ A A+ B+ F+ B- F F 44% 18% 38% B- F C+ A+ A- A+ F C F
1.08 40% 42% 50% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .21 20% .60 78% .47 1.01 71% 29% 47% +11 +1 1.26 27% 0.9 .23 31% .64 76% .48
Feb
1		 Duquesne D- B- F B C 29% 22% 49% C- C- C- D D+ D C F F C- B A+ F D 41% 2% 56% D- D F+ C+ D A- F F F
0.94 62% 20% 36% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 20% .35 50% .17 1.17 53% 0% 43% +5 +3 1.17 36% 1.0 .36 22% .43 91% .39
Feb
7		 Richmond B+ D+ F D+ D 43% 19% 38% A- C- B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F F D 21% 30% 49% B+ D+ B A+ A- B A- F B-
1.21 56% 25% 31% -5 +1 0.93 35% 1.5 .52 16% .74 81% .60 1.13 45% 50% 42% +7 -3 1.11 23% 0.7 .16 18% .27 87% .23
Feb
10		 George Washington C- A+ C F+ C+ 27% 29% 44% F+ C- B- F C- D+ B F C- B F A+ C+ D- 43% 9% 48% C+ D F+ A+ A- A F+ B D
1.03 77% 36% 29% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.8 .27 19% .31 59% .18 1.11 79% 25% 33% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.7 .31 22% .38 70% .27
Feb
14		 Fordham D- F B+ C C- 24% 28% 48% D+ D+ F+ B D D+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ F+ C- B 44% 13% 44% F C+ A+ F D+ B- F A+ F
0.95 42% 43% 33% -3 -2 0.92 18% 1.1 .21 17% .46 62% .28 1.01 43% 50% 33% -6 +1 0.94 26% 1.4 .37 19% .41 61% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.5 0.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 0.5 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 3.3 0.1 5.2 5th
6th 0.2 6.3 1.2 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 3.4 8.5 0.2 12.1 7th
8th 0.8 12.1 3.8 16.7 8th
9th 0.2 9.0 13.4 0.6 23.1 9th
10th 0.1 3.9 12.8 2.0 0.0 18.7 10th
11th 0.7 5.5 2.8 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 1.1 1.5 0.0 2.7 12th
13th 0.5 0.1 0.6 13th
14th 14th
Total 2.3 11.3 25.4 31.1 21.2 7.7 1.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.0% 4.9% 4.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 1.0
10-8 7.7% 2.2% 2.2% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.5
9-9 21.2% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 21.0
8-10 31.1% 0.5% 0.5% 12.4 0.1 0.1 30.9
7-11 25.4% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.3
6-12 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 11.3
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 12.1 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 1.0%