Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.0 129
Expected Predictive Rating +3.8 104
Pace 69.5 157
Improvement +7.3 4

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #236 D+ C+ C- C- B-
Defense B- #64 B- C D+ A B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 229 60% 133 -0.4 189
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 310 31% 350 -3.5 338
Three Pointers 49% 34 30% 317 +1.4 124
1st FG Attempt 0.97 253 -2.5 252
Second Chance 32.8% 113 1.01 203 0.33 132
Turnovers 17.9% 245
Freethrows 0.27 289 76% 64 0.21 242
Total Offense -2.4 236

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 285 53% 66 +3.7 64
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 49 37% 143 -1.7 311
Three Pointers 39% 238 33% 144 +1.2 131
1st FG Attempt 0.95 74 +3.2 75
Second Chance 31.4% 219 1.00 133 0.31 189
Turnovers 15.6% 254
Freethrows 0.22 10 69% 37 0.15 9
Total Defense +4.4 64

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.7 94 -0.9 52
Shot Type Accuracy -3.1 293 -2.3 85
Possession Length 17.5 195 17.3 185
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 134 0.17 153
Improvement +1.1 #123 +6.2 #4

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 13.0
.500 or above 97.0% 99.4% 91.5%
.500 or above in Conference 96.9% 99.4% 91.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 1.3% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 69.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 37 - 48 - 11
Quad 49 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 314 Lafayette W 85 - 76 90% +6  93% 1 - 0 C- -3 B- +4 F+ A+ A D- -8 C- F F+
 Sat, Nov 8 215 Drexel W 76 - 65 78% +1  44% 2 - 0 B- +5 C- -1 D D- B B +6 A+ F D
 Wed, Nov 12 59 @Virginia Tech L 59 - 94 17% -20  1% 2 - 1 F -23 F -13 F C+ F D- -8 D- D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 185 @Penn L 74 - 83 52% -1  30% 2 - 2 D+ -7 D -6 C F D+ C -1 D- A- B-
 Thu, Nov 20 127 @UNLV L 85 - 99 38% -4  17% 2 - 3 D -9 C +0 C- F B+ D- -7 C+ D- D+
 Sun, Nov 30 216 Princeton W 60 - 58 69% +1  65% 3 - 3 C -1 F+ -9 F A+ F B+ +8 C- D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 138 Temple W 70 - 69 53% +2  55% 4 - 3 C+ +2 C +1 D- A- F+ C+ +1 C- B A-
 Tue, Dec 9 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 65 98% +14  87% 5 - 3 C -1 B- +4 C D+ B- D+ -4 F A+ F
 Thu, Dec 11 68 @Syracuse L 63 - 71 19% -2  24% 5 - 4 C+ +3 D- -7 F+ C- C- A +10 B+ B+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 360 Delaware St. W 67 - 51 96% +12  99% 6 - 4 C- -2 F -10 F B- D A- +8 A D C+
 Mon, Dec 22 236 Coastal Carolina L 62 - 68 81% -2  30% 6 - 5 D- -13 F -16 F F+ D- B- +3 B- D- C
 Wed, Dec 31 24 @Saint Louis L 79 - 102 6% -12  7% 6 - 6 0 - 1 C- -3 A+ +19 B- A+ A+ F -24 F B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 110 Davidson L 56 - 62 55% +5  84% 6 - 7 0 - 2 D+ -5 F -11 F+ C+ C B +4 A+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 107 Duquesne W 97 - 90 OT 54% -0  36% 7 - 7 1 - 2 B +8 B+ +9 A C+ A- C- -2 C- D C
 Sun, Jan 11 137 @Richmond W 67 - 65 41% +8  99% 8 - 7 2 - 2 B- +6 D- -7 C- D C+ A+ +14 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 135 St. Bonaventure W 68 - 64 63% +4  72% 9 - 7 3 - 2 C+ +3 D- -6 D+ F+ D+ A- +9 A+ B- D
 Mon, Jan 19 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 72 - 79 13% -0  37% 9 - 8 3 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 A D F A- +8 B+ C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 97 Dayton W 81 - 74 49% +3  54% 10 - 8 4 - 3 B +9 B- +4 C C+ A+ B +5 B+ D- B+
 Tue, Jan 27 275 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 64 71% +20  99% 11 - 8 5 - 3 A- +17 A +12 A- A+ C B+ +6 B B F+
 Sat, Jan 31 227 @La Salle W 67 - 58 60% +7  89% 12 - 8 6 - 3 B +8 D+ -2 B- D+ F A +11 B+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 83 George Washington W 76 - 73 44% +4  73% 13 - 8 7 - 3 B- +7 C- -0 B+ D- F+ B+ +7 A C- B
 Sat, Feb 7 87 @George Mason L 52 - 60 24% +0  43% 13 - 9 7 - 4 C +1 F -10 F A+ F A +10 A+ C+ D
 Tue, Feb 10 167 Fordham W 68 - 62 70%
 Wed, Feb 18 135 @St. Bonaventure L 71 - 74 40%
 Sat, Feb 21 275 Loyola Chicago W 77 - 65 86%
 Wed, Feb 25 87 George Mason L 68 - 69 45%
 Sat, Feb 28 116 @Rhode Island L 66 - 70 35%
 Wed, Mar 4 110 @Davidson L 65 - 70 33%
 Sat, Mar 7 227 La Salle W 72 - 63 79%
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 7 +2 C- -2 D+ C+ C- B- +4 B- C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ F+ D D+ 37% 14% 49% B- D+ C+ C- C+ C- D+ B C- B- B C+ C+ B- 35% 26% 39% B B- C- C+ C D+ A B A
1.05 60% 31% 30% -3 +1 0.97 33% 1.0 .33 18% .27 76% .21 1.02 53% 37% 33% -2 -1 0.95 31% 1.0 .31 16% .22 69% .19
Nov
3		 Lafayette B- D+ B+ F F 45% 16% 39% B+ F+ A- A A+ A B+ A+ A+ D- C+ D- B C- 44% 19% 37% C C- D- F F F+ F A+ C
1.20 56% 44% 23% -6 +1 0.91 40% 1.4 .54 10% .35 86% .30 1.08 54% 40% 30% -3 +1 0.96 31% 1.3 .38 13% .37 52% .19
Nov
8		 Drexel C- C F C D 44% 25% 31% C+ D C- F D- B A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ C- A+ 39% 23% 39% C+ A+ F+ F+ F D B- C+ B-
1.06 57% 17% 33% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .24 14% .49 87% .42 0.91 36% 8% 36% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.1 .39 17% .24 64% .15
Nov
12		 Virginia Tech F F B+ F F 34% 20% 46% C+ F B- C C+ F F A F D- F A D+ D- 44% 20% 36% D D- C+ D- D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.80 42% 45% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 26% .09 80% .07 1.27 78% 25% 36% +8 +1 1.18 32% 1.3 .41 9% .18 58% .10
Nov
17		 Penn D B C- D+ C- 36% 14% 50% C+ C B F F D+ C- C C- C C+ C+ F D- 47% 22% 31% F D- D+ A+ A- B- D- F F
0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16 1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 +1 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31
Nov
20		 UNLV C D+ F B- D+ 37% 19% 44% C C- C- F F B+ A+ C A D- C- A F+ B- 55% 25% 20% C- C+ F B+ D- D+ F B- F
1.07 52% 27% 36% -3 0 0.96 28% 0.7 .20 15% .50 71% .35 1.24 61% 31% 40% +1 +1 1.06 51% 0.7 .37 15% .72 67% .49
Nov
30		 Princeton F+ B D- F F 40% 14% 47% C+ F B- A+ A+ F D B+ C- B+ A+ F D+ D 18% 27% 56% A+ C- A F D+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 65% 33% 15% -11 +1 0.81 31% 1.7 .52 21% .26 77% .20 0.93 38% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.7 .31 21% .14 43% .06
Dec
6		 Temple C D- A F F+ 41% 9% 50% B+ D- A+ F A- F+ A+ A+ A+ C+ D+ F B+ C- 35% 22% 43% C+ C- F A+ B A- F C+ F+
1.11 50% 50% 27% -7 +2 0.91 49% 0.8 .41 19% .41 86% .35 1.09 63% 50% 30% +2 0 1.04 45% 0.5 .24 17% .46 75% .34
Dec
9		 Coppin St. B- A- A+ C C 23% 6% 70% C+ C F A+ D+ B- B A+ A D+ F F A F 27% 43% 29% A+ F A+ A+ A+ F A F B
1.28 73% 67% 36% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 15% .42 88% .36 0.96 71% 45% 27% +4 -4 1.02 18% 0.3 .06 16% .23 85% .19
Dec
11		 Syracuse D- A+ F F F 36% 20% 44% C- F+ B- D- C- C- A+ F+ A+ A C+ A+ F B 43% 29% 27% A- B+ A+ F B+ D+ F A+ D+
0.91 69% 11% 15% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.9 .31 20% .49 67% .32 1.02 59% 27% 43% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.5 .25 14% .47 54% .25
Dec
18		 Delaware St. F C- F D F 38% 15% 48% C- F A+ F B- D C+ F D+ A- A+ A- A- A 37% 35% 29% C- A F+ D+ D C+ A- B+ A-
0.99 61% 14% 30% -5 +1 0.94 44% 0.9 .41 21% .34 61% .21 0.76 32% 28% 27% -16 -2 0.65 30% 0.8 .26 21% .21 64% .13
Dec
22		 Coastal Carolina F D+ B F F 33% 20% 47% B+ F D F F+ D- F+ A D+ B- D F A+ C+ 25% 42% 34% A+ B- B- F D- C D+ C+ C-
0.87 50% 45% 19% -12 0 0.78 23% 0.8 .19 15% .23 79% .18 0.95 62% 50% 17% -3 -4 0.89 23% 1.4 .31 15% .28 71% .20
Dec
31		 Saint Louis A+ C F B+ B- 37% 21% 42% C+ B- A A+ A+ A+ A C+ A F F A+ F F 39% 7% 54% B- F B+ B- B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.21 53% 18% 36% -5 0 0.92 36% 1.4 .49 9% .40 75% .30 1.56 76% 25% 62% +29 +2 1.63 28% 1.0 .28 11% .19 64% .12
Jan
3		 Davidson F B- B F F 31% 26% 43% C- F+ C+ C C+ C A+ A- A+ B A+ C- B A+ 28% 23% 49% B A+ F F F A+ D- F F
0.92 62% 45% 17% -8 -1 0.83 31% 1.0 .31 18% .42 71% .30 1.02 36% 44% 32% -6 -1 0.87 39% 1.4 .54 23% .34 81% .28
Jan
7		 Duquesne B+ C+ A+ B- A 41% 14% 45% B+ A A- D- C+ A- A- B A C- C- F B- D 35% 18% 47% A C- F+ C+ D C A+ F A-
1.21 61% 75% 36% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.8 .31 14% .42 76% .32 1.12 62% 64% 32% +5 0 1.12 37% 1.0 .37 17% .23 87% .20
Jan
11		 Richmond D- A F F D+ 36% 18% 46% B+ C- D- B- D C+ F F F A+ A+ A D+ A 9% 49% 42% A+ A+ A C- B+ F A- A A
0.96 70% 20% 27% -4 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 16% .10 50% .05 0.93 40% 29% 38% -4 -6 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 10% .26 69% .18
Jan
14		 St. Bonaventure D- D+ D C- D 45% 12% 43% B+ D+ C- F F+ D+ C+ A+ B A- A+ A C+ A+ 39% 33% 28% B+ A+ D A B- D B+ C B+
1.03 55% 33% 33% -2 +2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 20% .30 88% .26 0.97 38% 33% 33% -10 -2 0.80 40% 0.8 .30 15% .21 75% .16
Jan
19		 Virginia Commonwealth C- D+ A A+ A- 55% 9% 36% A+ A D D+ D F B F C+ A- A A+ D+ A- 40% 9% 51% C- B+ A F C+ D+ B+ B A-
0.99 50% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 25% 0.9 .22 25% .35 63% .22 1.09 48% 20% 37% -3 +2 0.98 28% 1.4 .38 14% .32 70% .22
Jan
24		 Dayton B- B- C+ D C- 33% 10% 57% A- C C- B C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ D F+ A- 53% 15% 33% D+ B+ C- F D- B+ A+ A+ A+
1.08 59% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 16% .41 81% .33 0.99 41% 38% 39% -6 +2 0.93 28% 1.4 .38 20% .25 60% .15
Jan
27		 Loyola Chicago A A+ F B A- 44% 18% 38% B A- C+ A+ A+ C F F F B+ C- C- B C+ 19% 25% 57% A+ B D+ A B F+ A+ D A
1.29 75% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.8 .57 12% .10 50% .05 0.97 60% 38% 30% -3 -2 0.92 35% 0.7 .26 15% .20 73% .14
Jan
31		 La Salle D+ C- F A+ B- 29% 11% 60% C+ B- D C D+ F C- A- C+ A C- B- A+ A- 44% 25% 31% C B+ B A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
1.03 54% 0% 44% +4 +1 1.11 25% 1.1 .28 23% .24 75% .18 0.89 58% 36% 18% -8 0 0.85 30% 0.6 .18 12% .14 38% .05
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 George Washington C- B+ A B A- 35% 18% 47% C B+ C F D- F+ D- A+ C B+ A+ F+ B- A 25% 7% 67% A- A F A- C- B A- B- A-
1.09 67% 44% 38% +7 0 1.16 29% 0.8 .21 21% .24 85% .20 1.04 43% 50% 32% -4 +1 0.95 45% 0.9 .43 20% .25 71% .18
Feb
7		 George Mason F C+ F F F 21% 19% 60% C- F A+ A- A+ F F F F A A+ D A A 33% 35% 33% A+ A+ C+ C C+ D A+ F A+
0.86 60% 0% 21% -18 -1 0.64 44% 1.1 .49 23% .09 50% .04 1.00 47% 44% 27% -5 -2 0.87 29% 1.0 .29 13% .23 83% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.2 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 6.6 12.5 5.8 0.5 25.7 3rd
4th 0.2 7.1 18.4 7.3 0.5 33.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.9 11.3 4.9 0.2 18.2 5th
6th 0.2 4.5 4.7 0.2 9.7 6th
7th 0.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 0.9 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.3 2.8 11.0 24.0 30.2 21.2 8.8 1.7 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 1.7% 3.9% 3.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
13-5 8.8% 2.2% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.6
12-6 21.2% 1.6% 1.6% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 20.9
11-7 30.2% 1.0% 1.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 29.9
10-8 24.0% 0.6% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 23.8
9-9 11.0% 0.3% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 11.0
8-10 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 2.8
7-11 0.3% 0.3
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 12.6 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 0.1%