St. John's
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.2#18
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#45
Pace75.0#48
Improvement-2.0#312

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#23
First Shot+7.7#20
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#107
Layup/Dunks+6.3#20
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#230
Freethrows+5.4#3
Improvement-2.6#348

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#14
First Shot+12.5#2
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#357
Layups/Dunks+0.3#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#50
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#11
Freethrows+3.6#13
Improvement+0.6#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
#1 Seed 2.6% 3.6% 1.4%
Top 2 Seed 7.5% 10.5% 3.8%
Top 4 Seed 31.2% 39.6% 20.6%
Top 6 Seed 59.7% 69.7% 47.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.2% 97.0% 90.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 92.2% 95.9% 88.0%
Average Seed 5.7 5.2 6.4
.500 or above 99.5% 99.8% 99.1%
.500 or above in Conference 98.2% 98.7% 97.5%
Conference Champion 28.1% 31.4% 23.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% 1.3% 3.4%
First Round93.2% 96.3% 89.2%
Second Round71.4% 77.4% 63.9%
Sweet Sixteen36.9% 42.7% 29.6%
Elite Eight16.2% 18.8% 13.0%
Final Four7.3% 8.8% 5.4%
Championship Game3.1% 4.0% 2.0%
National Champion1.1% 1.3% 0.8%

Next Game: Kentucky (Neutral) - 56.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 7
Quad 28 - 214 - 9
Quad 37 - 021 - 9
Quad 43 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 157 Quinnipiac W 108-74 96%     1 - 0 +31.1 +17.4 +8.2
  Sat, Nov 8 16 Alabama L 96-103 61%     1 - 1 +7.4 +10.0 -1.4
  Sat, Nov 15 120 William & Mary W 93-60 94%     2 - 1 +32.9 +8.6 +20.1
  Thu, Nov 20 305 Bucknell W 97-49 99%     3 - 1 +37.2 +12.9 +20.6
  Mon, Nov 24 4 Iowa St. L 82-83 32%     3 - 2 +21.0 +22.2 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 25 32 Baylor W 96-81 64%     4 - 2 +28.5 +24.2 +4.0
  Wed, Nov 26 28 Auburn L 74-85 61%     4 - 3 +3.4 +9.2 -6.4
  Sat, Dec 6 60 Mississippi W 63-58 85%     5 - 3 +11.0 -8.1 +19.1
  Sat, Dec 13 172 Iona W 91-64 96%     6 - 3 +23.1 +8.9 +12.0
  Tue, Dec 16 109 DePaul W 79-66 93%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +13.6 +7.9 +5.6
  Sat, Dec 20 21 Kentucky W 80-78 56%    
  Tue, Dec 23 200 Harvard W 85-62 98%    
  Wed, Dec 31 89 @Georgetown W 82-74 78%    
  Sat, Jan 3 73 Providence W 91-79 88%    
  Tue, Jan 6 57 @Butler W 83-79 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 38 @Creighton W 77-75 56%    
  Tue, Jan 13 99 Marquette W 85-70 92%    
  Sat, Jan 17 39 @Villanova W 74-72 56%    
  Tue, Jan 20 58 Seton Hall W 77-66 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 101 @Xavier W 83-74 80%    
  Wed, Jan 28 57 Butler W 86-76 83%    
  Tue, Feb 3 109 @DePaul W 80-69 83%    
  Fri, Feb 6 6 Connecticut L 72-73 46%    
  Mon, Feb 9 101 Xavier W 86-71 91%    
  Sat, Feb 14 73 @Providence W 88-82 72%    
  Wed, Feb 18 99 @Marquette W 82-73 80%    
  Sat, Feb 21 38 Creighton W 80-72 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 6 @Connecticut L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 39 Villanova W 77-69 76%    
  Tue, Mar 3 89 Georgetown W 85-71 90%    
  Fri, Mar 6 58 @Seton Hall W 74-69 66%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 2.1 5.5 8.2 7.2 3.6 0.9 28.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 3.0 8.0 11.6 10.1 5.3 1.1 39.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 2.4 5.5 5.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.3 2.4 0.6 0.1 8.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.3 7.0 11.1 14.8 16.3 16.1 13.5 8.3 3.6 0.9 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
19-1 100.0% 3.6    3.4 0.2
18-2 86.9% 7.2    5.6 1.6
17-3 60.6% 8.2    5.0 3.1 0.1
16-4 34.3% 5.5    2.4 2.7 0.4 0.0
15-5 13.1% 2.1    0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 28.1% 28.1 18.1 8.9 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.9% 100.0% 57.4% 42.6% 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 3.6% 100.0% 46.9% 53.1% 2.2 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 8.3% 99.9% 40.7% 59.2% 3.0 0.8 1.9 3.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 99.9%
17-3 13.5% 100.0% 34.6% 65.3% 3.9 0.3 1.1 3.6 4.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 16.1% 99.9% 28.8% 71.2% 4.9 0.1 0.3 1.9 4.1 4.7 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.9%
15-5 16.3% 99.6% 24.2% 75.4% 5.8 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.8 4.7 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.5%
14-6 14.8% 98.4% 20.6% 77.8% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.1 4.1 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 98.0%
13-7 11.1% 95.6% 14.9% 80.6% 7.8 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.5 94.8%
12-8 7.0% 86.3% 12.6% 73.7% 8.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 1.0 84.3%
11-9 4.3% 69.7% 7.9% 61.9% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.0 1.3 67.1%
10-10 2.4% 48.8% 4.7% 44.1% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.2 46.3%
9-11 1.1% 19.2% 2.7% 16.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 16.9%
8-12 0.4% 9.0% 7.5% 1.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6%
7-13 0.2% 0.2
6-14 0.1% 9.1% 9.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 94.2% 24.9% 69.2% 5.7 2.6 4.9 9.9 13.8 14.6 13.9 12.4 9.8 6.2 4.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 5.8 92.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 1.3 72.0 24.3 3.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 100.0% 1.7 45.8 43.8 6.3 4.2