Texas
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#40
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#73
Pace68.7#207
Improvement+0.9#109

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#30
First Shot+3.6#81
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#6
Layup/Dunks+3.0#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#276
Freethrows+4.4#10
Improvement+0.2#154

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#67
First Shot+0.6#149
After Offensive Rebounds+3.5#10
Layups/Dunks+1.3#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#57
Freethrows-2.8#333
Improvement+0.7#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 10.5% 10.6% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.2% 44.4% 16.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.9% 43.0% 16.8%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 8.8
.500 or above 71.0% 71.2% 32.3%
.500 or above in Conference 48.6% 48.7% 24.5%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 4.2% 9.7%
First Four6.8% 6.8% 3.2%
First Round41.0% 41.2% 14.2%
Second Round23.6% 23.7% 7.7%
Sweet Sixteen7.1% 7.1% 0.6%
Elite Eight2.6% 2.6% 0.0%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 99.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 12
Quad 23 - 28 - 14
Quad 32 - 010 - 14
Quad 47 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 2 Duke L 60-75 17%     0 - 1 +7.7 +2.0 +5.0
  Sat, Nov 8 320 Lafayette W 97-60 98%     1 - 1 +24.5 +20.8 +4.3
  Wed, Nov 12 359 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-58 99%     2 - 1 +17.2 +6.3 +9.4
  Sat, Nov 15 347 UMKC W 71-55 99%     3 - 1 +1.1 +1.8 +1.1
  Tue, Nov 18 348 Rider W 99-65 99%     4 - 1 +19.1 +16.4 +0.6
  Mon, Nov 24 63 Arizona St. L 86-87 63%     4 - 2 +7.9 +10.2 -2.3
  Wed, Nov 26 29 North Carolina St. W 102-97 43%     5 - 2 +19.3 +31.2 -12.1
  Wed, Dec 3 25 Virginia L 69-88 52%     5 - 3 -7.1 +4.5 -13.0
  Mon, Dec 8 203 Southern W 95-69 95%     6 - 3 +20.1 +18.7 +0.8
  Fri, Dec 12 6 @Connecticut L 63-71 14%     6 - 4 +16.1 +6.3 +9.4
  Tue, Dec 16 315 Le Moyne W 95-53 98%     7 - 4 +30.0 +8.1 +19.6
  Mon, Dec 22 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-55 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 84 Mississippi St. W 81-72 80%    
  Tue, Jan 6 15 @Tennessee L 70-78 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 16 @Alabama L 83-91 23%    
  Wed, Jan 14 10 Vanderbilt L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 45 Texas A&M W 82-78 66%    
  Wed, Jan 21 21 @Kentucky L 74-80 28%    
  Sat, Jan 24 19 Georgia L 83-84 48%    
  Wed, Jan 28 28 @Auburn L 76-81 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 47 @Oklahoma L 77-79 44%    
  Tue, Feb 3 86 South Carolina W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Feb 7 60 Mississippi W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 49 @Missouri L 78-80 44%    
  Tue, Feb 17 35 LSU W 78-75 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 19 @Georgia L 81-87 28%    
  Wed, Feb 25 13 Florida L 76-78 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 45 @Texas A&M L 79-81 43%    
  Wed, Mar 4 20 @Arkansas L 76-82 29%    
  Sat, Mar 7 47 Oklahoma W 80-76 65%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 3.1 0.6 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.4 1.7 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.7 3.9 0.3 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 5.0 1.3 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.7 3.2 0.1 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.2 0.8 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 5.0 2.5 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.4 3.8 0.4 0.0 8.1 12th
13th 0.4 2.3 3.5 1.0 0.0 7.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.7 1.4 0.1 5.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.2 0.2 4.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 4.0 6.9 10.0 13.3 14.8 14.1 12.6 9.5 6.2 3.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 79.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.1% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 19.4% 80.6% 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.6% 100.0% 13.5% 86.5% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 100.0%
13-5 3.6% 99.8% 9.8% 90.0% 5.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 6.2% 98.9% 7.7% 91.2% 6.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.8%
11-7 9.5% 96.1% 4.1% 92.0% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 95.9%
10-8 12.6% 86.1% 2.3% 83.8% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.0 2.9 2.2 0.6 0.0 1.8 85.8%
9-9 14.1% 58.9% 1.6% 57.3% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.7 2.8 0.1 5.8 58.2%
8-10 14.8% 20.8% 0.9% 19.9% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.8 20.1%
7-11 13.3% 3.7% 0.3% 3.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.8 3.5%
6-12 10.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.2%
5-13 6.9% 6.9
4-14 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 4.0
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 44.2% 2.3% 41.9% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 3.3 4.8 7.5 7.8 6.2 6.0 5.8 0.4 0.0 55.8 42.9%