Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#127
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#216
Pace66.9#261
Improvement-1.0#255

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#221
First Shot-4.9#315
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#32
Layup/Dunks-2.1#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
Freethrows-2.1#305
Improvement+1.1#78

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#71
First Shot+4.8#50
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#253
Layups/Dunks-0.8#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#28
Freethrows+2.8#43
Improvement-2.0#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.2 10.3 10.1
.500 or above 11.1% 21.2% 7.5%
.500 or above in Conference 5.3% 7.5% 4.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.3% 30.2% 39.8%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Home) - 26.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 8
Quad 22 - 63 - 14
Quad 33 - 46 - 18
Quad 46 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 111 @Florida Atlantic L 78-83 OT 34%     0 - 1 +1.5 -3.7 +5.9
  Thu, Nov 6 358 The Citadel W 76-47 95%     1 - 1 +12.2 -3.3 +17.3
  Tue, Nov 11 244 Central Connecticut St. L 59-60 82%     1 - 2 -8.7 -11.4 +2.6
  Sat, Nov 15 148 @Temple W 76-71 47%     2 - 2 +8.0 +2.3 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 18 235 Hampton W 63-52 81%     3 - 2 +3.8 -8.4 +13.1
  Fri, Nov 21 135 Davidson L 49-59 52%     3 - 3 -8.2 -12.0 +1.6
  Sun, Nov 23 152 Tulane L 90-93 OT 59%     3 - 4 -3.1 +4.2 -7.0
  Wed, Nov 26 179 Harvard W 73-60 74%     4 - 4 +8.6 +3.5 +6.1
  Wed, Dec 3 40 LSU L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Dec 6 345 New Haven W 73-56 94%    
  Wed, Dec 10 181 @Massachusetts W 72-71 52%    
  Mon, Dec 22 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-62 97%    
  Sun, Dec 28 336 Le Moyne W 80-64 92%    
  Sat, Jan 3 104 @Georgia Tech L 64-69 31%    
  Tue, Jan 6 29 North Carolina St. L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 9 @Louisville L 63-83 3%    
  Tue, Jan 13 38 @Clemson L 60-73 12%    
  Sat, Jan 17 64 Syracuse L 68-71 38%    
  Wed, Jan 21 99 Pittsburgh W 67-66 50%    
  Sat, Jan 24 66 @Notre Dame L 62-71 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 39 Virginia L 66-73 27%    
  Tue, Feb 3 2 @Duke L 58-82 2%    
  Sat, Feb 7 44 Miami (FL) L 68-75 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 95 Stanford L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 67 California L 69-72 39%    
  Tue, Feb 17 55 @Florida St. L 69-80 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 42 @SMU L 67-80 13%    
  Tue, Feb 24 37 Wake Forest L 67-74 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 44 @Miami (FL) L 65-78 13%    
  Tue, Mar 3 63 @Virginia Tech L 66-75 20%    
  Sat, Mar 7 66 Notre Dame L 65-68 39%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 1.7 0.1 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 2.8 0.6 0.0 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.4 2.1 0.1 6.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.3 0.6 0.0 7.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.1 2.5 0.2 11.2 15th
16th 0.3 2.4 6.9 4.5 0.6 0.0 14.7 16th
17th 0.4 3.0 7.3 6.3 1.6 0.0 18.6 17th
18th 1.9 6.2 8.3 6.0 1.7 0.2 24.2 18th
Total 1.9 6.5 11.6 15.9 17.5 15.8 12.1 7.8 5.5 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 33.3%
12-6 0.2% 33.8% 6.2% 27.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 29.5%
11-7 0.7% 9.7% 9.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 9.7%
10-8 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.4%
9-9 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 2.9 0.7%
8-10 5.5% 5.5
7-11 7.8% 7.8
6-12 12.1% 12.1
5-13 15.8% 15.8
4-14 17.5% 17.5
3-15 15.9% 15.9
2-16 11.6% 11.6
1-17 6.5% 6.5
0-18 1.9% 1.9
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.2%