College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.2 #155
Expected Predictive Rating +2.5 #128
Pace 69.8 #158
Improvement +3.7 #33

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #145 C C B- B+ C-
Defense #176 C+ B- F B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #274 1.32 #36 +0.8 #145
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #143 0.72 #220 +0.3 #158
Three Pointers 43% #148 0.87 #328 -2.0 #259
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #200 -0.9 #200
Freethrows 20.3 #50 74% #143 15.0 #55
Second Chance 28.7% #239 1.07 #145 0.31 #196
Turnovers 15.5% #109
Total Offense +0.6 #145

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #331 1.21 #249 +3.3 #77
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #82 0.74 #149 -1.1 #268
Three Pointers 44% #84 0.98 #133 -1.0 #221
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #143 +1.2 #142
Freethrows 15.1 #77 69% #59 10.5 #309
Second Chance 31.2% #202 0.92 #44 0.29 #102
Turnovers 13.0% #346
Total Defense -0.3 #176

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.9% #250 -1.9% #43
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.0% #188 -0.3% #176
Possession Length 17.3 #169 17.3 #191
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #127 0.19 #229
Improvement +0.7 #137 +3.0 #37

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 13.4% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 13.7
.500 or above 90.3% 95.9% 86.1%
.500 or above in Conference 93.5% 97.7% 90.4%
Conference Champion 17.2% 25.2% 11.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round11.1% 13.4% 9.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 42.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 37 - 58 - 11
Quad 411 - 319 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 95 @Liberty L 75 - 90 21% -8  0 - 1 -6 +14 A- A+ D+ -22 F F F
 Sat, Nov 8 102 Florida Atlantic L 77 - 94 32% -15  0 - 2 -12 +10 C D+ A -22 C F F
 Fri, Nov 14 361 South Carolina St. W 88 - 61 95% +14  1 - 2 +9 +11 C+ C+ A+ -1 C A F
 Mon, Nov 17 165 Drake L 62 - 71 65% -5  1 - 3 -13 -12 F D- C- -1 B- B A
 Fri, Nov 21 168 Massachusetts W 69 - 65 54% -1  2 - 3 +3 -1 F A+ A- +5 C- C+ A-
 Sun, Nov 23 94 Yale L 63 - 74 29% -9  2 - 4 -5 -6 F F B- +0 C- A+ D+
 Mon, Nov 24 251 Evansville W 78 - 59 70% +12  3 - 4 +14 +5 B- C C+ +8 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 79 Belmont L 73 - 96 35% -19  3 - 5 -19 -0 F B A+ -18 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 10 75 @South Florida L 75 - 81 16% -2  3 - 6 +5 +8 D B+ B -3 B- B- D-
 Sun, Dec 14 170 Charlotte W 74 - 67 65% +4  4 - 6 +3 -1 B- C D- +4 B+ A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 358 The Citadel W 82 - 78 94% -2  5 - 6 -14 -5 C F D- -9 F B D
 Sun, Dec 21 179 @Northern Kentucky W 85 - 74 45% +4  6 - 6 +13 +8 A- B- C +4 C- A A+
 Mon, Dec 29 238 Drexel W 72 - 63 77% -1  7 - 6 1 - 0 +2 +6 B+ A+ D- -3 C B- C-
 Wed, Dec 31 169 @Elon W 85 - 81 43% +7  8 - 6 2 - 0 +6 +5 F A- D+ +1 A+ A- F
 Mon, Jan 5 138 William & Mary W 88 - 79 58% +6  9 - 6 3 - 0 +7 +3 A- F D- +3 A+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 242 Hampton W 74 - 70 78% +5  10 - 6 4 - 0 -4 +7 C+ C+ A- -11 B F F
 Thu, Jan 15 166 @Towson L 68 - 70 43%
 Sat, Jan 17 274 @Stony Brook W 72 - 68 63%
 Thu, Jan 22 191 Campbell W 81 - 76 69%
 Sat, Jan 24 169 Elon W 80 - 76 65%
 Thu, Jan 29 110 @Hofstra L 69 - 76 26%
 Sat, Jan 31 236 @Northeastern W 79 - 78 55%
 Thu, Feb 5 302 N.C. A&T W 82 - 70 86%
 Mon, Feb 9 118 UNC Wilmington W 73 - 72 52%
 Thu, Feb 12 110 Hofstra L 72 - 73 47%
 Sat, Feb 14 191 @Campbell L 78 - 79 47%
 Thu, Feb 19 302 @N.C. A&T W 79 - 73 69%
 Sat, Feb 21 185 Monmouth W 74 - 69 68%
 Thu, Feb 26 242 @Hampton W 72 - 70 57%
 Sat, Feb 28 118 @UNC Wilmington L 70 - 75 31%
Totals 18 - 12 12 - 6 +0 +1 C C B- +0 C+ B- F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.7 5.5 5.1 2.6 0.7 0.1 17.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.1 8.8 5.5 1.3 0.0 21.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 6.4 9.8 4.6 0.7 0.0 22.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 4.2 7.2 2.4 0.2 14.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.3 2.0 0.1 9.5 5th
6th 0.5 3.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 2.1 0.3 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.6 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.2 8.3 13.0 16.6 17.9 16.2 11.7 6.4 2.7 0.7 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 98.5% 2.6    2.3 0.3 0.0
15-3 80.3% 5.1    3.5 1.5 0.1
14-4 47.1% 5.5    2.4 2.4 0.7 0.0
13-5 16.6% 2.7    0.6 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.2% 17.2 9.7 5.4 1.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 29.5% 29.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.7% 25.3% 25.3% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0
15-3 6.4% 21.4% 21.4% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 5.0
14-4 11.7% 17.6% 17.6% 13.3 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 9.6
13-5 16.2% 14.6% 14.6% 13.5 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.1 13.8
12-6 17.9% 11.8% 11.8% 13.8 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 15.8
11-7 16.6% 8.2% 8.2% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 15.3
10-8 13.0% 4.3% 4.3% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.4
9-9 8.3% 3.5% 3.5% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.0
8-10 4.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 4.2
7-11 1.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 13.6 88.9 0.0%