College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#151
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#213
Pace67.4#247
Improvement+2.3#29

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#143
First Shot+0.6#158
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#177
Layup/Dunks+0.8#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#222
Freethrows+1.3#112
Improvement-2.6#352

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#178
First Shot-2.2#251
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#85
Layups/Dunks+2.0#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#317
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#317
Freethrows+2.1#71
Improvement+4.9#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 11.6% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.1
.500 or above 64.9% 77.7% 56.4%
.500 or above in Conference 74.1% 79.9% 70.2%
Conference Champion 12.0% 15.5% 9.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.4% 2.8%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round9.2% 11.6% 7.6%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Home) - 40.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 76 - 12
Quad 411 - 317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 97 @Liberty L 75-90 21%     0 - 1 -6.7 +13.2 -21.7
  Sat, Nov 8 111 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 36%     0 - 2 -13.5 +6.6 -20.7
  Fri, Nov 14 347 South Carolina St. W 88-61 91%     1 - 2 +12.4 +13.5 +0.0
  Mon, Nov 17 143 Drake L 62-71 59%     1 - 3 -11.4 -9.3 -2.2
  Fri, Nov 21 181 Massachusetts W 69-65 56%     2 - 3 +2.5 -1.1 +3.7
  Sun, Nov 23 69 Yale L 63-74 22%     2 - 4 -3.0 -5.7 +1.8
  Mon, Nov 24 291 Evansville W 78-59 75%     3 - 4 +11.8 +2.5 +9.2
  Sun, Nov 30 94 Belmont L 73-76 40%    
  Wed, Dec 10 81 @South Florida L 74-84 17%    
  Sun, Dec 14 196 Charlotte W 73-68 68%    
  Wed, Dec 17 358 The Citadel W 81-64 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 198 @Northern Kentucky L 73-74 48%    
  Mon, Dec 29 262 Drexel W 72-64 77%    
  Wed, Dec 31 190 @Elon L 75-76 46%    
  Mon, Jan 5 130 William & Mary W 80-79 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 235 Hampton W 74-67 74%    
  Thu, Jan 15 128 @Towson L 65-70 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 251 @Stony Brook W 71-69 56%    
  Thu, Jan 22 219 Campbell W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 24 190 Elon W 78-73 66%    
  Thu, Jan 29 162 @Hofstra L 70-72 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 200 @Northeastern L 71-72 47%    
  Thu, Feb 5 313 N.C. A&T W 79-68 83%    
  Mon, Feb 9 113 UNC Wilmington L 70-71 49%    
  Thu, Feb 12 162 Hofstra W 73-69 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 219 @Campbell W 75-74 51%    
  Thu, Feb 19 313 @N.C. A&T W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 201 Monmouth W 74-68 69%    
  Thu, Feb 26 235 @Hampton W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 113 @UNC Wilmington L 67-73 28%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.5 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 12.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 3.5 4.6 2.7 0.7 0.1 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.6 4.1 5.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.4 3.7 5.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.4 6.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.6 3.1 0.4 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 3.5 0.9 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.7 1.5 0.1 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.6 0.2 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.2 2.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.5 4.6 6.9 9.8 11.7 14.0 14.1 12.0 9.3 6.6 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 96.6% 1.7    1.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 81.9% 3.2    2.2 0.9 0.1
14-4 53.6% 3.5    1.7 1.4 0.4 0.0
13-5 24.8% 2.3    0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.9% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.0% 12.0 6.8 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.5% 37.8% 37.8% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.8% 25.6% 25.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
15-3 3.9% 24.8% 24.8% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.9
14-4 6.6% 23.7% 23.7% 13.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 5.1
13-5 9.3% 18.6% 18.6% 13.7 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.6
12-6 12.0% 12.8% 12.8% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 10.5
11-7 14.1% 9.8% 9.8% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 12.7
10-8 14.0% 4.8% 4.8% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 13.4
9-9 11.7% 3.3% 3.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.4
8-10 9.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.7 0.1 0.2 9.6
7-11 6.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.8
6-12 4.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-13 2.5% 2.5
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.3 2.0 0.6 90.7 0.0%