George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +6.6 #86
Expected Predictive Rating +15.2 #33
Pace 63.1 #330
Improvement -2.5 #301

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #68 B- C B A+ C
Defense #116 C+ A- C- B+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #149 1.31 #47 +3.4 #71
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #136 0.74 #200 +0.6 #151
Three Pointers 38% #245 1.01 #189 -1.5 #244
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #112 +2.4 #112
Freethrows 22.7 #7 74% #150 16.7 #10
Second Chance 31.6% #150 1.02 #219 0.32 #163
Turnovers 14.6% #65
Total Offense +5.0 #68

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #307 1.19 #220 +2.3 #103
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #65 0.66 #61 -0.5 #215
Three Pointers 42% #164 1.01 #187 -0.3 #194
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #129 +1.5 #128
Freethrows 13.9 #34 74% #239 10.2 #323
Second Chance 26.8% #58 0.90 #31 0.24 #31
Turnovers 15.6% #236
Total Defense +1.7 #116

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #220 -1.8% #55
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.2% #103 -1.3% #159
Possession Length 18.4 #286 17.6 #232
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #233 0.13 #55
Improvement +0.7 #135 -3.2 #333

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 13.7% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.6% 5.0% 2.1%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.6% 99.6% 95.5%
Conference Champion 12.1% 17.8% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.8% 3.7% 1.8%
First Round9.4% 11.3% 7.3%
Second Round2.0% 2.7% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Home) - 52.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 24 - 34 - 6
Quad 39 - 213 - 7
Quad 411 - 025 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 228 Wofford W 70 - 46 89% +9  1 - 0 +17 -3 D C F +22 A+ A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 143 Winthrop W 96 - 90 79% +0  2 - 0 +4 +12 A+ F D+ -9 D- A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 335 New Hampshire W 61 - 44 96% +7  3 - 0 +3 -13 F C F +17 A+ C- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 305 Jacksonville W 79 - 57 94% +12  4 - 0 +11 +8 A+ F F +4 B B- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 178 Ohio W 92 - 69 78% +20  5 - 0 +22 +21 A B+ A+ +1 B D C+
 Tue, Nov 25 102 Florida Atlantic W 74 - 65 56% +11  6 - 0 +14 +17 A+ C A+ -1 C+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 213 James Madison W 82 - 66 88% +1  7 - 0 +10 +9 A+ F D- +2 A- C+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 193 Cornell W 99 - 81 86% +5  8 - 0 +13 +14 A+ F D -1 D A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 64 @Virginia Tech L 62 - 73 31% -10  8 - 1 +1 +0 C- B F -0 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 244 Old Dominion W 73 - 61 90% +10  9 - 1 +4 -4 D- F C- +8 B+ D+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 336 Loyola Maryland W 86 - 79 96% -1  10 - 1 -7 +8 F C A+ -15 C- F F
 Sun, Dec 28 206 Penn W 83 - 79 87% +3  11 - 1 -2 +7 C+ A- A+ -9 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 208 @La Salle W 80 - 75 73% -5  12 - 1 1 - 0 +5 +16 F A+ A+ -10 C- B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 123 Rhode Island W 61 - 50 76% +4  13 - 1 2 - 0 +10 -2 B- F A+ +14 A A+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 183 @Fordham W 67 - 58 69% +1  14 - 1 3 - 0 +10 +4 D+ D+ C +7 A- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 51 Virginia Commonwealth W 86 - 80 47% +1  15 - 1 4 - 0 +14 +20 A A+ A+ -6 C C+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 259 @Loyola Chicago W 82 - 74 81% -3  16 - 1 5 - 0 +5 +15 C+ A+ C+ -9 F D F
 Mon, Jan 19 60 George Washington W 78 - 77 52%
 Sat, Jan 24 123 @Rhode Island W 69 - 68 54%
 Wed, Jan 28 149 Davidson W 73 - 64 80%
 Sat, Jan 31 127 @St. Bonaventure W 74 - 72 56%
 Wed, Feb 4 132 Duquesne W 81 - 73 78%
 Sat, Feb 7 175 Saint Joseph's W 76 - 65 84%
 Tue, Feb 10 116 @Richmond W 74 - 73 52%
 Fri, Feb 13 60 @George Washington L 75 - 80 31%
 Wed, Feb 18 70 Dayton W 71 - 69 57%
 Wed, Feb 25 175 @Saint Joseph's W 73 - 68 67%
 Sat, Feb 28 127 St. Bonaventure W 77 - 69 76%
 Tue, Mar 3 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 71 - 78 27%
 Sat, Mar 7 32 Saint Louis L 74 - 79 35%
Totals 23 - 7 12 - 6 +7 +5 B- C B +2 C+ A- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.3 3.5 1.2 0.2 12.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 7.0 10.4 5.1 0.8 0.0 24.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 7.0 9.4 3.1 0.1 20.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.3 8.5 2.6 0.1 18.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.3 6.3 1.9 0.1 13.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.1 8th
9th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.4 9.0 14.7 18.6 19.4 16.1 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 98.0% 1.2    1.0 0.2
16-2 80.8% 3.5    2.2 1.2 0.0
15-3 45.1% 4.3    1.6 2.3 0.4 0.0
14-4 15.2% 2.5    0.4 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 1.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.1% 12.1 5.5 4.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 71.7% 21.7% 50.0% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 63.9%
17-1 1.3% 53.2% 19.0% 34.1% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 42.2%
16-2 4.3% 32.0% 16.0% 16.0% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.0 2.9 19.0%
15-3 9.6% 24.1% 14.4% 9.7% 10.9 0.1 0.3 1.8 0.1 7.3 11.3%
14-4 16.1% 15.1% 11.0% 4.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.1 0.2 13.6 4.6%
13-5 19.4% 10.8% 8.9% 1.9% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.7 0.3 17.4 2.1%
12-6 18.6% 6.1% 5.6% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.8 0.4 17.5 0.5%
11-7 14.7% 4.4% 4.2% 0.2% 11.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 14.1 0.2%
10-8 9.0% 2.6% 2.5% 0.1% 11.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.8 0.1%
9-9 4.4% 1.3% 1.3% 12.0 0.1 4.3
8-10 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.1% 7.8% 3.3% 10.9 88.9 3.6%