Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -5.5 261
Results Rating -4.6 241
Consistency 0.14 122
Pace 75.2 28
Improvement -0.6 215

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 200 D+ C- B- B- B
Defense D 305 D+ D B- F+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 178 D 53% 309 -2.1 256
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 325 B- 42% 66 -2.8 309
Three Pointers 49% 29 D 31% 300 +2.1 107
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 49 D -3.8 309
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 269
Second Chance D+ 27.0% 278 B- 1.10 81 C- 0.30 209
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 201
Other Turnovers B+ 5.8% 34
Turnovers B- 15.5% 95
Freethrows B- 0.33 113 C+ 73% 165 B- 0.24 116
Total Offense C- -1.2 200

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F 27% 362 B- 9.2% 82
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 329 C- 6.0% 252
Three Pointers F 68% 363 C- 1.0% 224
Total F 41% 360 B- 4.8% 88

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 32 C- 61% 249 +4.6 327
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 334 C- 39% 221 -1.8 41
Three Pointers 40% 205 C- 35% 244 +0.4 203
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 349 D+ +2.0 257
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 285
Second Chance D- 34.8% 330 C 1.04 205 D 0.36 303
Turnovers from Steals B- 11.0% 69
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 159
Turnovers B- 18.4% 79
Freethrows D- 0.37 335 D- 76% 341 F+ 0.28 353
Total Defense D -4.4 305

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 64 C+ 12.1% 126
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 159 C 5.0% 161
Three Pointers C+ 82% 119 D 0.2% 340
Total B- 52% 105 C+ 6.2% 133

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 79 16.5 41
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 265 0.20 294
Consistency 0.14 272 0.09 14
Improvement -1.5 266 +0.9 135

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 268 258 245
Results Rating Rank 247 242 226
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 n/a
.500 or above 11% 32% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 33 - 73 - 8
Quad 412 - 815 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 248 @East Carolina L 89 - 92 36% -2  20% 0 - 1 C- -5 C+ +3 C B+ C D- -7 D+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 232 UNC Asheville W 93 - 90 55% -1  38% 1 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ F A D- -7 F+ F A
 Tue, Nov 11 257 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95 - 94 38% +3  75% 2 - 1 C -1 A +14 A+ D- C+ F -16 D- F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 143 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 68 18% +1  46% 2 - 2 C+ +2 F -10 F B D A+ +13 A C- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 80 @Florida St. L 72 - 98 8% -14  0% 2 - 3 F+ -16 F -10 D- F C- C -1 C C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 204 Youngstown St. L 61 - 67 38% -4  10% 2 - 4 D -8 F -13 F F C- B +4 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 336 Texas San Antonio L 64 - 77 72% +1  69% 2 - 5 F -25 F -20 F D+ C- D+ -4 B D+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 294 Houston Christian W 80 - 62 70% +6  91% 3 - 5 B- +7 C+ +3 C+ C- A+ B +5 C+ C+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 216 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 69 52% +4  75% 4 - 5 C+ +2 B +6 A- B- B- D+ -4 F A+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 362 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 84 82% +3  62% 5 - 5 D -11 C- -1 D D- A F -11 F D C
 Sat, Dec 13 312 @West Georgia W 91 - 85 52% +9  99% 6 - 5 C -0 B+ +9 C- A C+ F+ -9 D+ F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 296 Georgia St. W 90 - 67 70% +8  78% 7 - 5 1 - 0 B+ +12 A+ +15 D- A A+ C- -2 F B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 20 202 James Madison W 96 - 92 OT 49% -3  14% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 B +6 D+ D+ A F+ -8 B- F C+
 Thu, Jan 1 228 @Coastal Carolina W 82 - 81 OT 32% +3  68% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +0 C+ +2 D B C- C- -2 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 3 240 @Old Dominion W 93 - 86 34% +13  98% 10 - 5 4 - 0 B- +6 B- +4 B- C+ C+ C+ +0 A- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 185 @South Alabama L 71 - 87 26% -9  4% 10 - 6 4 - 1 F+ -15 D -5 F+ D A- F+ -9 F B A+
 Thu, Jan 15 240 Old Dominion W 87 - 84 57% -2  34% 11 - 6 5 - 1 C- -4 B +6 A C- C- F -11 F C- C-
 Sat, Jan 17 228 Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 OT 55% +2  59% 11 - 7 5 - 2 D -11 D -5 F B- A+ D -5 B C- A
 Thu, Jan 22 145 Arkansas St. L 68 - 85 37% -9  4% 11 - 8 5 - 3 F -19 F -13 F A D+ D+ -5 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 151 Troy L 78 - 83 38% -4  7% 11 - 9 5 - 4 D+ -8 B+ +8 B- A+ A F -16 D F A-
 Fri, Jan 30 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 79 - 76 72% +2  61% 12 - 9 6 - 4 D -9 D- -8 F D F+ C -1 D- D B+
 Sat, Jan 31 301 @Louisiana L 60 - 69 49% -6  1% 12 - 10 6 - 5 D- -14 F+ -8 F C- F D- -7 F D+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 234 Texas St. L 71 - 77 56% -3  37% 12 - 11 6 - 6 D- -13 D -6 D+ D- A- D- -7 B F C
 Wed, Feb 11 170 Appalachian St. L 65 - 81 44% -8  0% 12 - 12 6 - 7 F -20 D- -7 C- F F F -14 D- D C-
 Sat, Feb 14 186 Marshall W 101 - 87 47% +11  83% 13 - 12 7 - 7 B +9 A- +10 A+ D+ C C- -2 C+ A D+
 Thu, Feb 19 296 @Georgia St. L 64 - 66 48% -4  7% 13 - 13 7 - 8 D+ -7 F -10 F F A+ B- +3 B+ D D-
 Sat, Feb 21 170 @Appalachian St. L 74 - 89 23% -3  22% 13 - 14 7 - 9 D- -13 C +0 C+ F+ D- F -13 F D C+
 Wed, Feb 25 202 @James Madison L 66 - 82 28% -1  59% 13 - 15 7 - 10 F+ -15 F -10 F D+ C D -5 F A+ A+
 Fri, Feb 27 186 @Marshall W 99 - 82 26% +1  51% 14 - 15 8 - 10 A +18 A+ +18 A- A+ A+ C -1 D D B
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 -6 C- -1 D D B D -4 D C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D B- D D 39% 24% 49% B D+ D+ B- C- B- B- C+ B- D C- C- C- D+ 44% 15% 40% D- D+ D- C D B- D- D- F+
1.07 53% 42% 31% -4 +1 0.96 27% 1.1 .30 15% .33 73% .24 1.15 61% 39% 35% +2 +1 1.08 35% 1.0 .36 18% .37 76% .25
Nov
4		 East Carolina C+ D D B- D+ 55% 11% 35% A+ C B B+ B+ C A+ F A D- F+ B A+ C- 45% 22% 33% D- D+ F F F C- F A- F
1.11 53% 33% 37% -2 +2 1.04 35% 1.3 .45 17% .45 60% .27 1.14 64% 33% 22% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.2 .54 16% .61 63% .39
Nov
8		 UNC Asheville C+ D A+ D+ C 47% 14% 39% B- C+ D+ F F A A+ B A+ D- D+ F A+ F 40% 37% 23% D F+ C- F F A F+ F F
1.16 52% 75% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 0.6 .17 11% .55 72% .39 1.12 62% 63% 25% +8 -2 1.13 31% 1.4 .45 22% .38 83% .32
Nov
11		 Florida Gulf Coast A A A+ A+ A+ 34% 6% 60% B+ A+ F B D- C+ F+ F F F C+ F D- D 39% 20% 41% F+ D- F B F C+ A A+ A+
1.30 72% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.45 21% 1.2 .24 15% .29 67% .19 1.29 57% 50% 38% +4 0 1.10 55% 1.0 .53 18% .18 45% .08
Nov
18		 Georgia Tech F F D+ C F 36% 5% 58% A+ F B- B- B D D F F A+ F A- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% D- A F A C- A+ F B F
0.88 20% 33% 34% -14 +2 0.78 33% 1.1 .37 19% .25 53% .13 0.90 71% 29% 16% -9 +1 0.86 41% 0.9 .38 29% .56 67% .38
Nov
21		 Florida St. F F+ B F F+ 30% 13% 57% B D- F F F C- A A+ A+ C D+ A+ C- C 28% 3% 68% C- C B F+ C C- F A D-
0.87 47% 43% 28% -8 0 0.88 21% 0.7 .14 20% .36 88% .32 1.18 65% 0% 34% +1 +2 1.07 29% 1.3 .38 13% .40 66% .26
Nov
24		 Youngstown St. F F+ A+ F F 41% 12% 47% B F D- F F C- F+ A+ C- B B- F C C 39% 10% 51% D C F+ F+ F A+ F C- F
0.90 50% 67% 22% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 19% .27 87% .24 0.99 56% 50% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .42 28% .37 72% .27
Nov
25		 Texas San Antonio F F F F F 27% 10% 63% C F F A+ D+ C- A+ F A+ D+ B+ A B+ B 35% 22% 43% B- B D- C D+ F+ F B F
0.87 46% 0% 20% -20 +1 0.63 27% 1.3 .36 16% .62 58% .36 1.05 47% 27% 29% -10 0 0.82 35% 0.9 .33 14% .58 68% .39
Nov
29		 Houston Christian C+ C- F A C 46% 9% 44% B C+ C C- C- A+ C+ F D- B C+ A A- B 52% 9% 39% F C+ C- B- C+ A C- B- C
1.20 60% 20% 42% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.1 .35 12% .31 56% .17 0.93 54% 25% 28% -7 +3 0.93 30% 0.8 .24 22% .29 67% .19
Dec
3		 Louisiana Tech B A+ A+ F A- 35% 6% 59% B A- D- A+ B- B- C+ B+ B- D+ D- F B- F 45% 14% 41% F+ F A+ A+ A+ D D+ A+ C+
1.15 76% 67% 28% +2 +2 1.10 27% 1.5 .40 16% .32 78% .25 1.03 64% 71% 30% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.6 .13 16% .30 53% .16
Dec
6		 Gardner-Webb C- F A+ B+ F+ 51% 7% 42% A D F A+ D- A A+ D- A F C A+ F F+ 60% 6% 33% F F C- F D C F F F
1.18 50% 50% 39% 0 +3 1.07 23% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .28 1.12 55% 0% 44% +1 +3 1.10 24% 1.1 .28 20% .47 82% .38
Dec
13		 West Georgia B+ D+ A+ C- D+ 45% 5% 49% B C- B A+ A C+ B A- B+ F+ C A- D C- 38% 27% 35% D- D+ F D- F A+ F F F
1.25 56% 67% 33% 0 +2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 14% .37 78% .29 1.17 56% 31% 35% -2 -1 0.96 49% 1.2 .57 23% .36 95% .34
Dec
18		 Georgia St. A+ F F A- F 40% 2% 58% A D- A B- A A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ C- F 29% 15% 56% F F D+ A+ B+ A- B- A- B+
1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52 1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19
Dec
20		 James Madison B D- A+ F D- 51% 8% 41% A D+ D+ C- D+ A A+ B+ A+ F+ C- F A+ A- 54% 8% 38% F B- F D+ F C+ F D F
1.22 50% 80% 25% -6 +2 0.95 27% 1.0 .27 8% .54 77% .41 1.17 59% 50% 21% -6 +3 0.96 45% 1.1 .50 18% .59 74% .43
Jan
1		 Coastal Carolina C+ C- A F D 29% 31% 40% C- D C+ A B C- A+ B- A+ C- B A+ D+ A- 35% 35% 30% B- A- F D+ F C F D- F
1.07 53% 50% 22% -5 -2 0.88 29% 1.3 .36 13% .48 75% .36 1.06 50% 20% 35% -9 -2 0.81 41% 1.0 .41 16% .42 78% .33
Jan
3		 Old Dominion B- C B C+ C+ 46% 21% 32% C+ B- C B- C+ C+ A A- A+ C+ B A- A A 38% 28% 34% C- A- D+ C- D+ F D- F+ F
1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34 1.06 52% 28% 27% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28
Jan
10		 South Alabama D D F F F 24% 2% 75% B F+ D- B- D A- A+ F+ A F+ D F F F 53% 27% 20% B- F F A+ B A+ F C+ F
0.98 54% 0% 27% -10 +1 0.85 24% 1.2 .28 14% .35 68% .24 1.20 63% 50% 60% +14 0 1.29 30% 0.8 .22 19% .43 64% .27
Jan
15		 Old Dominion B D A+ A+ A 44% 12% 44% B+ A C+ D C- C- A+ D- A F B- C- F F 40% 15% 45% F F F A C- C- B A B+
1.22 55% 50% 45% +7 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32 1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17
Jan
17		 Coastal Carolina D F C F F 37% 18% 46% A F C+ C+ B- A+ A+ F C+ D A F A+ C+ 19% 38% 43% A+ B F A- C- A F F F
1.01 38% 40% 27% -12 0 0.79 30% 1.1 .32 7% .40 57% .23 1.07 44% 50% 25% -4 -4 0.87 34% 0.8 .26 20% .64 82% .52
Jan
22		 Arkansas St. F D- F F F 43% 6% 51% A F B A A D+ A D- B+ D+ B- F F F 47% 8% 45% F F A- A+ A+ B+ F+ F F
0.91 52% 0% 11% -22 +2 0.62 33% 1.3 .42 16% .42 65% .27 1.14 54% 75% 43% +7 +2 1.22 31% 0.7 .22 23% .40 83% .33
Jan
24		 Troy B+ B- A+ D- C+ 31% 8% 61% B B- D+ A+ A+ A B- B+ B F C+ D D+ 50% 0% 50% F D F F F A- F C- F
1.22 60% 100% 30% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.8 .52 13% .31 76% .23 1.30 55% 36% 0 +4 1.09 50% 1.2 .59 20% .47 75% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Louisiana Monroe D- D+ A+ F F 35% 23% 42% D- F F A- D F+ A+ A- A+ C D- B- C+ D 43% 18% 39% D D- D- C D B+ F F F
1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 -1 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43 1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37
Jan
31		 Louisiana F+ F D- C F 38% 21% 42% D F C- C- C- F F+ A+ C D- C- F+ F F 39% 28% 33% F F B F D+ C- D D+ D
0.97 44% 30% 35% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 87% .27 1.11 56% 46% 47% +8 -1 1.15 23% 1.2 .27 16% .27 71% .19
Feb
4		 Texas St. D D A+ F+ D+ 39% 14% 47% C D+ F A+ D- A- B C+ B D- B+ B+ A+ A 57% 18% 24% F B F F F C F F F
1.02 53% 71% 30% 0 +1 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 14% .37 73% .27 1.11 50% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 39% 1.4 .55 19% .39 91% .35
Feb
11		 Appalachian St. D- D F B- D 42% 9% 49% A- C- C+ F F F F D F F D B- B- D+ 49% 7% 44% F D- F C+ D C- F F F
0.98 50% 0% 36% -5 +2 0.95 32% 0.5 .15 18% .17 67% .11 1.22 64% 33% 30% 0 +3 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 15% .50 71% .36
Feb
14		 Marshall A- B- F A+ A+ 37% 8% 56% A A+ D+ D+ D+ C A+ A A+ C- A F+ D+ B- 34% 19% 47% D- C+ B A+ A D+ F F F
1.30 63% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 17% .50 81% .40 1.12 50% 45% 37% +1 0 1.03 27% 0.8 .22 15% .38 80% .31
Feb
19		 Georgia St. F F F F+ F 38% 7% 55% B+ F F D F A+ D- D- F+ B- A+ B+ B B+ 32% 30% 38% C- B+ D C- D D- D+ F F
0.93 43% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 9% .24 67% .16 0.96 39% 29% 29% -12 -2 0.75 31% 1.1 .33 13% .32 95% .30
Feb
21		 Appalachian St. C B- F B C 28% 11% 61% C+ C+ D F F+ D- C A+ B+ F F A+ C- F 40% 13% 47% D F D+ D D C+ F F F
1.04 60% 0% 36% -2 0 1.00 24% 0.7 .16 17% .27 88% .24 1.25 83% 17% 33% +7 +1 1.18 33% 1.1 .37 17% .63 78% .49
Feb
25		 James Madison F A+ F+ F F 28% 19% 53% D+ F F+ A D+ C D- C D D F A+ F F 49% 12% 40% F+ F C+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.94 73% 30% 18% -10 0 0.81 23% 1.2 .28 13% .29 72% .21 1.16 76% 0% 53% +16 +2 1.37 27% 0.5 .14 24% .49 81% .39
Feb
27		 Marshall A+ B F A+ A- 42% 15% 44% B+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A- C F+ D+ C+ D+ 41% 24% 35% D- D A F D B F B F
1.38 65% 13% 46% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.8 .58 11% .38 83% .31 1.14 71% 42% 33% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 20% .40 70% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.3 0.2 99.5
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.5 99.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 15.5 54.3 45.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.1%
Lose Out 65.0%