Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#246
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#250
Pace76.1#45
Improvement-2.0#326

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#234
First Shot-0.3#185
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#301
Layup/Dunks-3.3#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#260
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#51
Freethrows-0.1#179
Improvement-4.6#365

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#254
First Shot+0.5#146
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#332
Layups/Dunks-1.1#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#98
Freethrows-1.7#283
Improvement+2.6#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.6% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 15.0
.500 or above 38.0% 45.2% 23.1%
.500 or above in Conference 53.8% 57.4% 46.2%
Conference Champion 4.1% 4.9% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.9% 4.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.9% 3.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 67.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 63 - 9
Quad 411 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 259 @East Carolina L 89-92 40%     0 - 1 -5.3 +5.6 -10.5
  Sat, Nov 8 218 UNC Asheville W 93-90 57%     1 - 1 -3.6 +3.7 -7.6
  Tue, Nov 11 164 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95-94 25%     2 - 1 +3.3 +17.9 -14.7
  Tue, Nov 18 104 @Georgia Tech L 66-68 13%     2 - 2 +5.5 -2.9 +8.5
  Fri, Nov 21 55 @Florida St. L 72-98 6%     2 - 3 -13.3 -4.5 -4.7
  Mon, Nov 24 189 Youngstown St. L 61-67 39%     2 - 4 -7.8 -9.8 +1.7
  Tue, Nov 25 231 Texas San Antonio L 64-77 47%     2 - 5 -17.0 -12.9 -3.6
  Sat, Nov 29 276 Houston Christian W 75-70 68%    
  Wed, Dec 3 194 Louisiana Tech W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Dec 6 356 @Gardner-Webb W 83-78 69%    
  Sat, Dec 13 311 @West Georgia W 77-76 51%    
  Thu, Dec 18 337 Georgia St. W 80-71 80%    
  Sat, Dec 20 147 James Madison L 77-79 43%    
  Thu, Jan 1 253 @Coastal Carolina L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Jan 3 216 @Old Dominion L 75-79 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 180 @South Alabama L 68-74 29%    
  Thu, Jan 15 216 Old Dominion W 78-76 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 253 Coastal Carolina W 79-76 62%    
  Thu, Jan 22 172 Arkansas St. L 82-83 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 131 Troy L 75-79 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 83-77 71%    
  Sat, Jan 31 304 @Louisiana W 73-72 50%    
  Wed, Feb 4 203 Texas St. W 73-72 53%    
  Wed, Feb 11 279 Appalachian St. W 73-68 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 183 Marshall L 81-82 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 337 @Georgia St. W 77-74 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 279 @Appalachian St. L 70-71 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 147 @James Madison L 74-82 24%    
  Fri, Feb 27 183 @Marshall L 78-84 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 3.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.9 4.4 1.0 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.1 2.0 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.6 3.4 0.3 9.2 8th
9th 0.4 3.4 4.9 0.8 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.3 1.8 0.1 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 2.0 0.2 8.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 3.5 6.4 9.2 11.2 13.3 12.9 12.4 10.6 8.1 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 95.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 78.7% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
14-4 47.6% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 32.6% 32.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.4% 23.0% 23.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-4 2.8% 22.1% 22.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.2
13-5 4.9% 11.1% 11.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.3
12-6 8.1% 7.4% 7.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 7.5
11-7 10.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 10.3
10-8 12.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.2
9-9 12.9% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 12.8
8-10 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.2
7-11 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 9.2% 9.2
5-13 6.4% 6.4
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.7 97.0 0.0%