Minnesota
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +9.4 58
Results Rating +6.5 89
Consistency 0.17 288
Pace 59.5 363
Improvement +5.2 25

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B- 76 B C C+ C+ B-
Defense B 50 B- A- B- A- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 198 A- 67% 21 +3.3 70
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 339 C- 36% 222 -2.8 310
Three Pointers 48% 41 C+ 35% 145 +4.1 51
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 74 B +3.6 72
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 57
Second Chance C 29.7% 199 C 1.04 161 C 0.31 173
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 161
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 147
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 146
Freethrows B 0.34 72 D+ 69% 281 C+ 0.23 125
Total Offense B- +4.4 76

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A 67% 7 C+ 9.9% 118
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A+ 49% 6 C+ 4.7% 163
Three Pointers A- 94% 8 D- 1.7% 338
Total A+ 75% 1 C+ 5.3% 137

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 320 C+ 57% 154 -3.5 66
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 52 C 38% 180 +1.8 316
Three Pointers 42% 143 B- 32% 79 -1.0 141
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 39 B- -1.8 105
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 89
Second Chance B 26.8% 61 A 0.86 10 A- 0.23 19
Turnovers from Steals B 11.2% 61
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 136
Turnovers B- 18.7% 71
Freethrows B+ 0.24 20 C 72% 196 A- 0.17 16
Total Defense B +5.1 50

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 255 C 11.8% 143
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 39% 340 D+ 3.3% 275
Three Pointers B- 80% 66 C- 0.7% 203
Total C- 58% 232 C- 5.0% 222

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 261 19.0 356
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 181 0.09 9
Consistency 0.12 180 0.13 254
Improvement +3.3 38 +1.8 88

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 73 61 51
Results Rating Rank 107 82 68
Conference Record 6 - 14 7 - 13 9 - 11
Conference Finish 13 12 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.7
.500 or above 12% 24% 2%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: UCLA (Home) - 43.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 11
Quad 23 - 47 - 15
Quad 31 - 37 - 18
Quad 47 - 015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 362 Gardner-Webb W 87 - 60 99% +25  99% 1 - 0 B- +6 C- -2 A- D+ F B+ +7 A A C
 Sat, Nov 8 345 Alcorn St. W 95 - 50 98% +30  98% 2 - 0 A+ +29 A +12 D A+ C+ A+ +18 A+ B- A-
 Wed, Nov 12 47 @Missouri L 60 - 83 32% -3  46% 2 - 1 D -9 D+ -3 C+ D+ C- F+ -9 F B- D-
 Sat, Nov 15 227 Green Bay W 72 - 65 OT 92% +1  56% 3 - 1 C +0 F -12 D+ F B+ A+ +12 A- A- B+
 Tue, Nov 18 347 Chicago St. W 66 - 54 98% +6  91% 4 - 1 C- -4 F+ -10 F F B- A- +7 B- B- B+
 Sat, Nov 22 128 San Francisco L 65 - 77 75% -6  0% 4 - 2 D -10 D+ -4 A D+ F D- -7 D- C B-
 Thu, Nov 27 75 Stanford L 68 - 72 56% -1  33% 4 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +3 A A D- C+ +0 A+ F D
 Fri, Nov 28 43 Santa Clara L 75 - 86 39% -18  0% 4 - 4 C +1 B+ +8 C- A+ A D- -7 F B+ C-
 Wed, Dec 3 40 Indiana W 73 - 64 47% +1  49% 5 - 4 1 - 0 A +19 B- +5 B A+ F A+ +15 A+ A D-
 Wed, Dec 10 7 @Purdue L 57 - 85 9% -15  0% 5 - 5 1 - 1 C- -4 D -6 F+ D A- C -0 C+ D+ B-
 Sun, Dec 14 307 Texas Southern W 89 - 53 96% +20  94% 6 - 5 A+ +24 B+ +8 A+ D C A+ +16 A A+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 196 Campbell W 78 - 50 91% +18  97% 7 - 5 A +23 A- +11 A A+ C- A+ +16 A- A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 339 Fairleigh Dickinson W 60 - 43 98% +7  78% 8 - 5 C+ +2 F -14 F C+ F A+ +19 A A+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 65 @Northwestern W 84 - 78 41% -2  20% 9 - 5 2 - 1 A +18 A+ +19 A+ A- B- C -1 D+ A+ F
 Tue, Jan 6 24 Iowa W 70 - 67 37% +6  91% 10 - 5 3 - 1 A- +16 C+ +2 B+ F A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 9 59 USC L 69 - 70 OT 62% -3  23% 10 - 6 3 - 2 B- +5 C+ +3 B- B- C+ B- +3 D+ A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 13 30 Wisconsin L 75 - 78 42% +1  67% 10 - 7 3 - 3 B +9 B+ +9 A F+ A+ C -1 D+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 5 @Illinois L 67 - 77 8% -2  28% 10 - 8 3 - 4 A- +15 B+ +9 B A+ B B +5 B+ A- B+
 Tue, Jan 20 36 @Ohio St. L 74 - 82 OT 23% -2  17% 10 - 9 3 - 5 B +9 B- +5 C+ D+ A B +4 B+ D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 13 Nebraska L 57 - 76 26% -4  27% 10 - 10 3 - 6 C- -3 D+ -4 B+ F C+ C -1 C A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 28 30 @Wisconsin L 63 - 67 22% +8  85% 10 - 11 3 - 7 B+ +14 C -0 A D- D+ A+ +13 C A+ A+
 Sun, Feb 1 117 @Penn St. L 75 - 77 63% -6  2% 10 - 12 3 - 8 C+ +4 B+ +8 C+ A+ C+ D+ -4 B F C+
 Wed, Feb 4 10 Michigan St. W 76 - 73 24% +8  97% 11 - 12 4 - 8 A +20 A+ +19 A+ D+ A+ C+ +1 A- C- D
 Sun, Feb 8 102 Maryland L 62 - 67 77% +1  55% 11 - 13 4 - 9 C- -3 B- +4 B+ C+ C F+ -9 D- B- C+
 Sat, Feb 14 48 @Washington L 57 - 69 32% -8  15% 11 - 14 4 - 10 C+ +2 C- -2 B- C F B- +2 F F A+
 Tue, Feb 17 84 @Oregon W 61 - 44 48% +5  89% 12 - 14 5 - 10 A+ +27 C +1 B D F A+ +28 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 113 Rutgers W 80 - 61 81% +10  85% 13 - 14 6 - 10 A +19 A+ +20 A+ C+ C+ B- +3 C- A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 24 1 @Michigan L 67 - 77 4% -6  12% 13 - 15 6 - 11 A +20 A +12 A+ F A+ B+ +7 C- C A+
 Sat, Feb 28 35 UCLA L 67 - 69 44%
 Wed, Mar 4 40 @Indiana L 66 - 73 26%
 Sat, Mar 7 65 Northwestern W 70 - 66 64%
Totals 14 - 17 7 - 13 +9 B- +4 B- B B- B +5 C+ D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- A- C- C+ B 38% 22% 48% B- B C C C C+ B D+ C+ B C+ C B- B- 33% 25% 42% B+ B- B A A- B- B+ C A-
1.15 67% 36% 35% +4 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .31 16% .34 69% .23 1.01 57% 38% 32% -2 -1 0.97 27% 0.9 .23 19% .24 72% .25
Nov
3
Gardner-Webb C- A+ F C B+ 52% 13% 35% B+ A- C+ F+ D+ F A+ F+ A+ B+ B- A+ D+ A- 37% 29% 33% A+ A D+ A+ A C F A+ F
1.21 84% 17% 35% +12 +2 1.29 38% 0.9 .34 19% .52 67% .34 0.83 53% 7% 35% -11 -1 0.78 25% 0.5 .11 19% .47 59% .28
Nov
8
Alcorn St. A C- D- F F+ 63% 6% 31% A D A+ B- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ D A+ 35% 48% 17% A+ A+ C+ B+ B- A- D+ A+ C
1.36 60% 33% 27% -3 +4 1.04 58% 1.3 .73 17% .64 86% .55 0.72 47% 17% 38% -13 -4 0.69 24% 0.8 .20 23% .28 60% .17
Nov
12
Missouri D+ C A+ F C+ 33% 27% 40% C C+ A F D+ C- B+ F D F+ F D F F 28% 26% 46% A+ F A+ F B- D- C C- C-
0.97 53% 67% 22% -1 -1 0.98 39% 0.6 .22 18% .33 53% .18 1.34 85% 42% 48% +18 -1 1.35 13% 3.0 .39 15% .38 70% .27
Nov
15
Green Bay F A- D- F D+ 35% 21% 44% C D+ D+ F F B+ A+ F A- A+ C A+ A A 41% 16% 43% C- A- B+ A A- B+ F+ A+ C
1.01 71% 30% 29% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.7 .20 11% .61 51% .32 0.91 57% 25% 27% -7 +1 0.90 19% 0.9 .16 20% .42 63% .26
Nov
18
Chicago St. F+ B- B F F+ 29% 17% 54% D- F B F F B- A+ C+ A+ A- C C- A+ C+ 31% 47% 22% A B- B+ D+ B- B+ B+ A+ A
1.05 67% 43% 27% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.5 .20 18% .52 78% .41 0.86 53% 39% 18% -6 -4 0.82 23% 1.0 .23 19% .20 60% .12
Nov
22
San Francisco D+ C+ F A+ B+ 62% 10% 28% A+ A C+ F D+ F A+ F A+ D- A- C F D- 38% 17% 45% C D- D B C B- D+ D+ D
1.03 58% 25% 45% +4 +3 1.15 28% 0.9 .25 19% .59 50% .29 1.22 50% 38% 48% +6 0 1.15 36% 1.0 .36 17% .36 74% .27
Nov
27
Stanford C+ C- D A+ A+ 33% 15% 51% B A D+ A+ A D- B- D C+ C+ A F A+ A+ 47% 10% 43% C- A+ F D+ F D C D- C-
1.06 54% 33% 45% +6 0 1.15 24% 1.8 .44 22% .36 72% .26 1.12 46% 60% 23% -11 +2 0.84 47% 1.1 .50 12% .32 78% .25
Nov
28
Santa Clara B+ C+ F D- D+ 43% 11% 46% B C- A- A+ A+ A A+ C+ A+ D- D+ A F F 26% 17% 57% B+ F A+ F B+ C- B+ C+ B
1.13 60% 20% 29% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.3 .50 17% .49 74% .36 1.29 64% 33% 53% +17 0 1.36 19% 1.8 .35 15% .19 73% .14
Dec
3
Indiana B- B+ F C B 38% 18% 45% A- B B+ A+ A+ F A+ D A+ A+ A- A+ A- A+ 39% 12% 49% C+ A+ A+ F A D- C A+ A-
1.10 60% 29% 33% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.4 .47 24% .54 70% .38 0.97 53% 33% 29% -6 +1 0.92 14% 1.4 .20 11% .34 60% .20
Dec
10
Purdue D C D+ F F+ 27% 27% 45% C F+ F+ A- D A- B+ A A- C D- F+ D+ C 32% 34% 34% A C+ F+ B D+ B- F B+ F+
0.87 57% 36% 22% -9 -2 0.80 14% 1.2 .16 14% .27 73% .20 1.30 73% 50% 38% +11 -2 1.19 44% 1.1 .50 14% .39 68% .27
Dec
14
Texas Southern B+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 8% 63% C A+ D+ D D C B+ C+ B+ A+ C C- A+ A 33% 31% 37% B+ A A- A+ A+ A+ B F D+
1.28 79% 25% 43% +14 +1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 16% .43 72% .31 0.76 56% 40% 17% -10 -2 0.80 20% 0.6 .11 24% .25 92% .23
Dec
21
Campbell A- A+ F A- A 44% 22% 33% C A C- A+ A+ C- F A+ F A+ D+ D+ A+ A- 38% 21% 41% A- A- C- A+ A+ A+ D- F F
1.29 85% 20% 40% +11 0 1.24 30% 2.0 .61 18% .18 89% .16 0.82 60% 38% 19% -9 0 0.85 34% 0.4 .13 28% .44 79% .34
Dec
29
Fairleigh Dickinson F D+ F D F 26% 15% 60% C- F B C- C+ F F F F A+ F+ A+ A A 21% 21% 57% B+ A C- A+ A+ A D+ A+ B-
0.99 58% 14% 32% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 20% .25 50% .12 0.71 67% 11% 25% -12 -1 0.76 33% 0.3 .10 23% .30 57% .17
Jan
3
Northwestern A+ A A+ D A+ 50% 13% 37% A A+ B- A A- B- A+ A+ A+ C F C- A- D+ 37% 23% 40% C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ D- C-
1.27 70% 67% 29% +7 +2 1.20 35% 1.1 .39 17% .47 85% .40 1.18 79% 42% 29% +5 0 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 6% .32 80% .26
Jan
6
Iowa C+ B+ A+ F B+ 40% 18% 42% B- B+ F F F A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F B- A+ 31% 29% 40% A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A C A
1.03 67% 63% 26% +3 0 1.09 11% 0.7 .07 15% .48 75% .36 0.98 44% 53% 33% 0 -2 0.98 36% 0.6 .21 21% .24 77% .18
Jan
9
USC C+ B F B+ B 20% 22% 59% D B- A- D B- C+ C- F D- B- D D- C- D+ 38% 27% 35% B D+ F A+ A+ A+ A- F B-
1.05 60% 27% 37% 0 -1 1.00 36% 0.8 .29 17% .27 60% .16 1.07 67% 46% 35% +6 -1 1.13 45% 0.3 .12 24% .34 82% .28
Jan
13
Wisconsin B+ A A+ D- A+ 38% 27% 35% C A F C F+ A+ A+ D- A+ C F+ A- F D- 20% 18% 62% A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ D+ C+ C- C+
1.16 67% 62% 29% +7 -1 1.15 13% 1.0 .13 8% .40 67% .27 1.21 70% 33% 42% +9 -1 1.18 21% 1.2 .24 11% .31 78% .24
Jan
17
Illinois B+ A+ F C- B 19% 30% 52% C- B B+ A+ A+ B F A+ F+ B C+ F C B- 22% 22% 57% A+ B+ D A+ A- B+ D- D- F+
1.09 80% 25% 32% -1 -3 0.94 31% 1.4 .42 11% .05 100% .05 1.25 60% 50% 35% +4 -1 1.07 46% 0.9 .43 16% .37 84% .31
Jan
20
Ohio St. B- A+ F C B- 29% 27% 45% C C+ D C D+ A A+ A A+ B D- D+ A B+ 33% 28% 39% C+ B+ D+ C D+ C- B+ B A-
1.05 71% 23% 32% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 13% .41 80% .33 1.17 72% 47% 29% +4 -1 1.07 37% 1.1 .40 14% .30 72% .22
Jan
24
Nebraska D+ A+ C- D- B 27% 13% 60% A B+ D- F F C+ C+ F D C C+ F C C 42% 9% 49% D C B- A+ A+ C- A+ F B+
0.88 77% 33% 28% -1 0 1.00 18% 0.4 .08 20% .23 50% .12 1.17 64% 80% 35% +7 +2 1.19 25% 0.5 .13 12% .16 100% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28
Wisconsin C F A+ A+ A 35% 9% 57% A A D- F+ D- D+ D- F F A+ A+ A- F C 26% 7% 67% C+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ F B F+
0.99 44% 75% 42% +5 +1 1.15 17% 0.8 .14 17% .21 55% .11 1.05 45% 33% 43% +5 +1 1.14 17% 0.6 .10 20% .43 73% .31
Feb
1
Penn St. B+ A+ A+ F C 36% 5% 59% A- C+ B- A+ A+ C+ A+ A A+ D+ B- B C- B 45% 22% 33% C+ B F F F C+ A+ F A+
1.18 81% 50% 27% +3 +2 1.11 32% 1.8 .56 19% .33 82% .27 1.21 57% 36% 35% 0 0 1.02 38% 1.7 .63 16% .17 89% .15
Feb
4
Michigan St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 33% 20% 47% B- A+ F+ A D+ A+ A+ C A+ C+ C+ A- C A- 34% 26% 40% C+ A- C+ D+ C- D B B+ B+
1.21 73% 0% 48% +7 0 1.16 10% 1.0 .10 10% .54 71% .39 1.16 59% 31% 35% -1 -1 0.98 39% 1.2 .45 14% .32 71% .22
Feb
8
Maryland B- F A+ A B 24% 2% 73% B+ B+ B- C C+ C C+ F D F+ F F A+ F 22% 27% 51% A+ D- C+ B- B- C+ D+ C+ C-
1.13 40% 100% 40% +4 +1 1.12 30% 1.0 .30 16% .31 57% .17 1.22 78% 73% 24% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.0 .34 18% .38 71% .27
Feb
14
Washington C- A+ A+ F B- 26% 17% 57% B+ B- D+ A- C F C D+ C- B- F F A F 34% 39% 27% A F A- F F A+ C+ A+ A
0.95 82% 57% 21% -2 0 0.98 23% 1.1 .26 22% .26 67% .17 1.15 79% 69% 27% +16 -3 1.29 30% 1.8 .55 22% .28 54% .15
Feb
17
Oregon C A+ D+ C B+ 19% 23% 57% D+ B A- F D F D- B+ D+ A+ D- A A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% D A+ A+ C A+ B+ A+ F A+
1.02 78% 36% 33% +3 -2 1.04 37% 0.5 .20 22% .21 80% .17 0.74 65% 29% 5% -15 +1 0.76 19% 1.2 .23 20% .04 100% .04
Feb
21
Rutgers A+ A- C- A+ A+ 39% 7% 54% A A+ F+ A+ C+ C+ F D+ F B- C C- D+ D+ 32% 34% 34% B- C- A+ C- A+ D- A+ C- A+
1.37 67% 33% 56% +21 +2 1.48 24% 1.4 .33 17% .14 71% .10 1.04 56% 41% 35% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.2 .22 12% .16 75% .12
Feb
24
Michigan A A+ F B- A+ 28% 11% 61% A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F A+ F B+ D- C F+ D+ 29% 10% 61% A C- B- D C A+ A+ F A+
1.04 80% 17% 33% +3 0 1.09 3% 3.0 .10 12% .11 83% .09 1.19 71% 40% 40% +10 +1 1.22 37% 1.5 .56 22% .10 100% .10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.3 0.3 9th
10th 3.3 6.8 10.1 10th
11th 2.9 18.0 1.0 21.8 11th
12th 1.0 23.2 11.8 0.0 35.9 12th
13th 12.7 16.2 0.7 29.5 13th
14th 2.2 2.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.1 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 16.0 42.2 33.7 8.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 8.1% 2.3% 2.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 7.9 2.3%
8-12 33.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.6 0.1%
7-13 42.2% 42.2
6-14 16.0% 16.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.1 99.8 0.2%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4% 13.3% 11.0 1.2 10.8 1.2
Lose Out 11.5%