Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#33
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#73
Pace71.2#146
Improvement+1.1#90

Offense
Total Offense+9.2#19
First Shot+6.8#29
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#60
Layup/Dunks+4.9#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#193
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement+0.6#121

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#68
First Shot+2.4#95
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#86
Layups/Dunks+7.6#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#327
Freethrows+2.8#38
Improvement+0.5#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 8.9% 9.0% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 23.3% 23.5% 8.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.3% 64.6% 40.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.9% 63.1% 39.9%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 8.0
.500 or above 94.0% 94.2% 80.2%
.500 or above in Conference 61.7% 61.9% 43.7%
Conference Champion 5.1% 5.2% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 3.4% 4.2%
First Four5.4% 5.4% 3.6%
First Round61.7% 62.0% 38.4%
Second Round38.0% 38.3% 14.2%
Sweet Sixteen14.1% 14.3% 3.1%
Elite Eight5.4% 5.5% 0.8%
Final Four1.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Home) - 98.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 9
Quad 25 - 210 - 11
Quad 32 - 012 - 11
Quad 49 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 315 @Howard W 88-67 95%     1 - 0 +15.7 +11.6 +3.5
  Fri, Nov 7 211 Southeast Missouri St. W 89-84 95%     2 - 0 -1.2 +5.6 -7.2
  Sun, Nov 9 342 VMI W 106-68 99%     3 - 0 +23.8 +17.6 +3.5
  Wed, Nov 12 103 Minnesota W 83-60 86%     4 - 0 +24.5 +22.3 +5.2
  Mon, Nov 17 332 Prairie View W 91-73 98%     5 - 0 +4.8 +5.4 -2.1
  Thu, Nov 20 286 South Dakota W 102-68 97%     6 - 0 +24.2 +16.7 +5.6
  Tue, Nov 25 347 South Carolina St. W 98-66 99%     7 - 0 +17.4 +19.9 -2.5
  Fri, Nov 28 303 Cleveland St. W 96-72 99%    
  Tue, Dec 2 66 @Notre Dame W 74-72 56%    
  Sun, Dec 7 18 @Kansas L 73-79 29%    
  Thu, Dec 11 266 Alabama St. W 89-67 98%    
  Sun, Dec 14 217 Bethune-Cookman W 87-67 97%    
  Mon, Dec 22 13 Illinois L 79-84 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 17 Florida L 80-81 47%    
  Wed, Jan 7 16 @Kentucky L 77-84 25%    
  Sat, Jan 10 49 @Mississippi L 76-77 50%    
  Wed, Jan 14 23 Auburn W 81-80 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 40 @LSU L 79-81 44%    
  Tue, Jan 20 34 Georgia W 87-84 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 52 Oklahoma W 84-78 70%    
  Tue, Jan 27 10 @Alabama L 83-92 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 84 Mississippi St. W 83-74 80%    
  Sat, Feb 7 88 @South Carolina W 78-74 63%    
  Wed, Feb 11 60 @Texas A&M W 82-81 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 36 Texas W 80-76 63%    
  Wed, Feb 18 19 Vanderbilt W 83-82 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 25 @Arkansas L 78-82 36%    
  Tue, Feb 24 14 Tennessee L 76-78 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 84 @Mississippi St. W 80-77 62%    
  Tue, Mar 3 52 @Oklahoma L 80-81 50%    
  Sat, Mar 7 25 Arkansas W 81-79 57%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 2.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.7 3.5 3.1 0.6 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 4.3 1.0 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.5 2.0 0.1 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 4.0 3.9 0.4 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 4.7 1.3 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.6 4.0 3.1 0.2 7.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 4.1 0.7 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 3.6 1.7 0.1 6.6 11th
12th 0.4 2.6 2.5 0.3 5.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 0.9 0.1 3.9 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 4.8 7.2 9.7 12.1 13.9 13.3 11.7 9.2 6.7 4.1 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 94.8% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 72.3% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.0
14-4 42.7% 1.8    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 42.9% 57.1% 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.9% 100.0% 18.4% 81.6% 2.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.8% 100.0% 18.8% 81.3% 3.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.1% 100.0% 14.7% 85.3% 4.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 6.7% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 100.0%
12-6 9.2% 99.2% 8.3% 90.9% 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.5 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.1%
11-7 11.7% 96.5% 4.3% 92.2% 7.2 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.9 3.1 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.4 96.4%
10-8 13.3% 90.0% 2.8% 87.1% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.3 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 1.3 89.7%
9-9 13.9% 75.8% 1.1% 74.7% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.0 2.9 1.2 0.0 3.4 75.5%
8-10 12.1% 46.1% 0.3% 45.8% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.1 1.6 0.1 6.5 45.9%
7-11 9.7% 19.2% 0.4% 18.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.8 18.9%
6-12 7.2% 4.1% 0.4% 3.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.9 3.8%
5-13 4.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.6%
4-14 2.8% 2.8
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 64.3% 3.9% 60.4% 7.3 0.4 1.2 2.8 4.4 6.6 7.9 9.4 10.1 8.9 7.9 4.5 0.2 0.0 35.7 62.9%