Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +10.2 #53
Expected Predictive Rating +13.5 #38
Pace 69.1 #184
Improvement -0.8 #232

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #43 A- A+ C- C B
Defense #91 C+ B- C C+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #53 1.34 #26 +7.1 #14
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #238 0.79 #129 -0.8 #220
Three Pointers 39% #230 1.09 #80 +0.4 #162
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #31 +6.6 #31
Freethrows 18.7 #114 65% #353 12.1 #213
Second Chance 35.8% #47 1.23 #17 0.44 #24
Turnovers 17.7% #247
Total Offense +7.2 #43

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #348 1.07 #79 +6.5 #18
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #92 0.71 #115 -0.6 #219
Three Pointers 47% #36 1.07 #254 -4.3 #339
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #124 +1.7 #124
Freethrows 16.2 #125 74% #229 11.9 #221
Second Chance 27.7% #84 1.03 #169 0.29 #100
Turnovers 17.2% #137
Total Defense +2.9 #91

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.6% #79 -2.0% #39
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 11.2% #32 -1.3% #160
Possession Length 16.5 #103 18.3 #321
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #59 0.15 #101
Improvement -1.9 #294 +1.1 #114

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 4.4% 7.3% 2.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.4% 57.1% 35.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.0% 56.7% 34.8%
Average Seed 8.8 8.5 9.1
.500 or above 87.2% 94.6% 81.7%
.500 or above in Conference 40.1% 54.7% 29.4%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 2.4% 9.0%
First Four8.6% 9.0% 8.4%
First Round39.4% 51.9% 30.2%
Second Round17.1% 24.1% 12.1%
Sweet Sixteen3.1% 4.6% 2.1%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.4% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Home) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 55 - 11
Quad 23 - 39 - 14
Quad 31 - 010 - 14
Quad 49 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 275 @Howard W 88 - 67 90% +14  1 - 0 +17 +15 A+ A+ F +2 C- A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 7 224 Southeast Missouri St. W 89 - 84 93% +2  2 - 0 -1 +5 A+ D- F -7 F A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 339 VMI W 106 - 68 98% +11  3 - 0 +24 +18 D A+ A- +3 F A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 12 76 Minnesota W 83 - 60 71% +3  4 - 0 +28 +24 A+ A+ A+ +7 B A B
 Mon, Nov 17 317 Prairie View W 91 - 73 97% +19  5 - 0 +6 +6 B C+ C -1 B+ B- F
 Thu, Nov 20 282 South Dakota W 102 - 68 96% +14  6 - 0 +24 +17 A+ A F +6 B+ F A
 Tue, Nov 25 361 South Carolina St. W 98 - 66 99% +24  7 - 0 +14 +17 F A+ B+ -4 B- B F
 Fri, Nov 28 328 Cleveland St. W 86 - 59 98% +19  8 - 0 +14 +3 B- A+ F +10 B A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 71 @Notre Dame L 71 - 76 47% +1  8 - 1 +6 +6 C+ C F -0 C A+ B+
 Sun, Dec 7 18 @Kansas L 60 - 80 18% -8  8 - 2 -0 +1 C B- C- -3 A F C
 Thu, Dec 11 306 Alabama St. W 85 - 77 97% +11  9 - 2 -3 +17 A+ A+ C -19 F F F
 Sun, Dec 14 272 Bethune-Cookman W 82 - 60 96% +15  10 - 2 +13 +8 B+ A+ F +5 A F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 8 Illinois L 48 - 91 16% -17  10 - 3 -22 -10 F F F -17 B- F A
 Sat, Jan 3 12 Florida W 76 - 74 26% +1  11 - 3 1 - 0 +19 +14 A+ A B- +4 A- A+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 25 @Kentucky W 73 - 68 21% -0  12 - 3 2 - 0 +24 +12 A+ F C +12 A A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 65 @Mississippi L 69 - 76 45% +1  12 - 4 2 - 1 +5 +6 A+ D+ D+ -1 B+ C+ D-
 Wed, Jan 14 27 Auburn L 79 - 81 42%
 Sat, Jan 17 44 @LSU L 75 - 80 33%
 Tue, Jan 20 23 Georgia L 84 - 87 40%
 Sat, Jan 24 54 Oklahoma W 80 - 77 61%
 Tue, Jan 27 14 @Alabama L 82 - 93 15%
 Sat, Jan 31 66 Mississippi St. W 79 - 74 67%
 Sat, Feb 7 69 @South Carolina L 73 - 74 47%
 Wed, Feb 11 40 @Texas A&M L 79 - 85 30%
 Sat, Feb 14 41 Texas W 81 - 80 53%
 Wed, Feb 18 9 Vanderbilt L 77 - 84 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 26 @Arkansas L 79 - 87 22%
 Tue, Feb 24 20 Tennessee L 72 - 75 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 66 @Mississippi St. L 76 - 77 45%
 Tue, Mar 3 54 @Oklahoma L 77 - 80 39%
 Sat, Mar 7 26 Arkansas L 82 - 84 42%
Totals 18 - 13 8 - 10 +10 +7 A- A+ C- +3 C+ B- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.8 1.2 0.1 4.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 2.4 0.3 5.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.0 0.9 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.6 4.8 2.7 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 3.0 5.1 0.8 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 1.1 5.9 2.6 0.1 9.7 9th
10th 0.2 4.0 5.3 0.5 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.5 6.2 1.9 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.4 4.3 4.3 0.2 9.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.7 4.6 1.1 7.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 3.2 1.9 0.1 6.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.1 0.4 4.6 15th
16th 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.4 2.5 16th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.7 7.9 12.9 16.9 17.0 15.1 11.1 7.4 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 90.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 48.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 4.8% 95.2% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.7% 100.0% 3.9% 96.1% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.1% 99.4% 3.2% 96.2% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.4%
11-7 7.4% 96.6% 2.0% 94.6% 7.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 96.5%
10-8 11.1% 90.4% 1.0% 89.4% 8.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.0 3.4 1.8 0.4 1.1 90.3%
9-9 15.1% 76.5% 0.4% 76.2% 9.4 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.8 4.1 1.5 0.0 3.5 76.5%
8-10 17.0% 42.4% 0.4% 42.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 4.3 0.1 9.8 42.1%
7-11 16.9% 11.0% 0.2% 10.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.1 15.0 10.8%
6-12 12.9% 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.8 1.0%
5-13 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 7.9 0.1%
4-14 3.7% 3.7
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 44.4% 0.7% 43.8% 8.8 55.6 44.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%