North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +15.4 26
Results Rating +18.3 19
Consistency 0.15 151
Pace 69.5 145
Improvement -3.1 303

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 28 B+ B A B- C+
Defense B+ 36 A- A- D A A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 128 A- 67% 26 +4.7 33
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 268 B- 42% 61 -0.3 197
Three Pointers 42% 162 B- 36% 85 +1.9 114
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 117 B+ +5.6 29
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 32
Second Chance B- 33.8% 82 B- 1.12 63 B 0.38 56
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.3% 20
Other Turnovers A- 5.3% 13
Turnovers A 12.6% 8
Freethrows B 0.35 40 D 69% 304 B- 0.24 107
Total Offense A- +9.0 28

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 58% 43 B 8.2% 40
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 101 B 3.3% 57
Three Pointers B- 87% 116 A- 0.1% 6
Total B 63% 44 B+ 3.9% 22

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 311 A- 49% 15 -6.1 22
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 15 B+ 33% 23 +1.6 308
Three Pointers 38% 271 C+ 33% 142 -2.1 93
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.4 19 A- -5.2 27
1st FG Attempt A- 0.89 22
Second Chance B+ 25.3% 27 B+ 0.89 22 A- 0.23 16
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 275
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 293
Turnovers D 14.6% 307
Freethrows A 0.20 2 B- 70% 76 A 0.14 3
Total Defense B+ +6.3 36

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 37% 15 C+ 12.5% 107
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 146 C 4.8% 177
Three Pointers B 78% 41 C- 0.7% 205
Total B+ 47% 27 C 5.8% 156

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.7 35 19.2 361
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 60 0.10 14
Consistency 0.09 15 0.12 172
Improvement -0.9 234 -2.2 297

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 36 27 22
Results Rating Rank 26 20 15
Conference Record 10 - 8 12 - 6 13 - 5
Conference Finish 7 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed 8 6 4
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 6% 7% 2%
Top 6 Seed 72% 77% 52%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 99%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 99%
Average Seed 6.0 5.8 6.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 99%
Second Round70% 71% 62%
Sweet Sixteen24% 26% 17%
Elite Eight7% 8% 5%
Final Four2% 2% 1%
Championship Game1% 1% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Virginia Tech (Home) - 78.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 27 - 7
Quad 24 - 111 - 8
Quad 39 - 020 - 8
Quad 45 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 173 Central Arkansas W 94 - 54 95% +24  98% 1 - 0 A+ +36 A- +9 B A+ A- A+ +24 A+ C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 18 Kansas W 87 - 74 49% +2  42% 2 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +20 A+ D+ C- A- +8 C+ B+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 230 Radford W 89 - 74 97% +11  85% 3 - 0 B +8 D+ -3 D- C+ A A +9 A+ A- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 352 NC Central W 97 - 53 99% +20  99% 4 - 0 A+ +27 A +12 C+ A+ B+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 146 Navy W 73 - 61 94% +10  99% 5 - 0 B +10 C- -1 B D- D+ A +11 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 133 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 70 90% +8  89% 6 - 0 A- +17 B +6 B+ A D+ A +11 A B+ F+
 Thu, Nov 27 10 Michigan St. L 58 - 74 33% -4  21% 6 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +3 C C+ A- C- -2 C B- C
 Tue, Dec 2 23 @Kentucky W 67 - 64 37% -2  21% 7 - 1 A +22 B+ +8 D A+ D+ A+ +15 A A+ C-
 Sun, Dec 7 82 Georgetown W 81 - 61 85% +7  83% 8 - 1 A+ +24 B +6 A D+ A A+ +18 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 300 South Carolina Upstate W 80 - 62 98% +8  86% 9 - 1 B- +7 B+ +9 B+ C+ A+ C -1 B- C F
 Tue, Dec 16 135 East Tennessee St. W 77 - 58 93% +10  78% 10 - 1 A- +17 A +13 A- A A+ A- +8 A+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 20 36 Ohio St. W 71 - 70 55% +4  80% 11 - 1 A- +15 B +6 B- B+ A+ A +9 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 248 East Carolina W 99 - 51 97% +24  96% 12 - 1 A+ +40 A +13 A+ B+ B- A+ +23 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 80 Florida St. W 79 - 66 85% +7  86% 13 - 1 1 - 0 A- +17 B +6 C- B+ A+ A+ +12 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 31 @SMU L 83 - 97 42% -5  10% 13 - 2 1 - 1 C+ +4 A +14 A+ D- A- F -10 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 71 Wake Forest W 87 - 84 83% +8  97% 14 - 2 2 - 1 B +8 A +12 A- A+ C D+ -3 D- C+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 75 @Stanford L 90 - 95 67% +5  95% 14 - 3 2 - 2 B- +6 A+ +17 A+ A+ A F -11 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 67 @California L 78 - 84 64% -11  0% 14 - 4 2 - 3 B- +6 B+ +8 A- C C+ C- -2 C+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 21 90 Notre Dame W 91 - 69 87% +14  97% 15 - 4 3 - 3 A+ +25 A+ +18 A+ A+ A- A- +8 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 20 @Virginia W 85 - 80 29% -4  18% 16 - 4 4 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +23 A+ D+ A+ B +4 A C- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 143 @Georgia Tech W 91 - 75 85% +12  96% 17 - 4 5 - 3 A +20 A+ +17 C+ A A+ B- +3 B- C+ C-
 Mon, Feb 2 74 Syracuse W 87 - 77 84% +14  95% 18 - 4 6 - 3 A- +15 A- +11 A+ C A- B +4 C+ A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 2 Duke W 71 - 68 24% -6  0% 19 - 4 7 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +14 A+ D+ A+ A+ +12 A+ D+ D-
 Tue, Feb 10 39 @Miami (FL) L 66 - 75 45% -4  0% 19 - 5 7 - 4 B- +8 C- -1 D+ C A- A +9 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 101 Pittsburgh W 79 - 65 89% +13  97% 20 - 5 8 - 4 A- +16 A- +9 A F+ A+ A- +7 D+ A+ B-
 Tue, Feb 17 27 @North Carolina St. L 58 - 82 40% -13  1% 20 - 6 8 - 5 D+ -6 D -5 F C+ B D+ -3 A- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 74 @Syracuse W 77 - 64 67% +4  74% 21 - 6 9 - 5 A+ +24 B+ +9 A+ F A A+ +16 A+ A C-
 Mon, Feb 23 14 Louisville W 77 - 74 48% +3  60% 22 - 6 10 - 5 A +19 A +12 A+ A+ A A- +7 A+ B- C-
 Sat, Feb 28 56 Virginia Tech W 80 - 72 79%
 Tue, Mar 3 41 Clemson W 73 - 68 69%
 Sat, Mar 7 2 @Duke L 67 - 80 11%
Totals 24 - 7 12 - 6 +15 A- +9 C B+ C+ B+ +6 B- D B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- A- B- B- B+ 40% 30% 42% C+ B+ B- B- B A B D B- B+ A- B+ C+ A- 34% 29% 38% A- A- B+ B+ A- D A B- A
1.22 67% 42% 36% +6 0 1.15 34% 1.1 .38 13% .35 69% .24 1.00 49% 33% 33% -5 -1 0.89 25% 0.9 .23 15% .20 70% .25
Nov
3		 Central Arkansas A- A+ F C- B- 48% 12% 40% B B A A+ A+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ 24% 29% 47% A+ A+ B D- C+ A+ A+ B- A+
1.25 80% 0% 33% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.5 .56 16% .35 82% .28 0.72 38% 13% 31% -14 -2 0.69 23% 1.2 .28 23% .15 67% .10
Nov
7		 Kansas A+ A+ A+ B A+ 42% 16% 42% A- A+ A+ F D+ C- A- C- B+ A- C- A- F C- 22% 34% 44% A+ C+ A+ F B+ A+ B+ A+ A
1.23 74% 67% 35% +12 +1 1.27 44% 0.4 .17 16% .29 65% .18 1.05 64% 29% 45% +6 -3 1.08 23% 1.4 .33 20% .27 67% .18
Nov
11		 Radford D+ B- F C- D- 37% 17% 46% C- D- B+ D- C+ A A+ F A+ A B- A A+ A+ 28% 25% 47% A A+ C+ A+ A- F+ F A+ C-
1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44 0.91 53% 27% 25% -11 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27
Nov
14		 NC Central A A B- C+ C+ 33% 15% 52% C C+ B A+ A+ B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 31% 28% 41% B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F D+ B C-
1.38 75% 43% 36% +8 0 1.19 43% 1.5 .64 14% .58 74% .43 0.76 24% 20% 32% -17 -1 0.65 26% 0.5 .13 13% .33 70% .23
Nov
18		 Navy C- F A+ A+ C+ 53% 6% 40% A+ B D+ F+ D- D+ A+ B- A+ A A+ A+ C A+ 42% 28% 30% C+ A+ B A+ A+ F A F B+
1.04 44% 67% 42% -1 +3 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .39 77% .30 0.87 40% 18% 33% -14 -1 0.73 27% 0.6 .16 9% .25 81% .20
Nov
25		 St. Bonaventure B C+ D A+ B+ 43% 20% 37% C+ B+ B A A D+ A+ C+ A+ A A+ B+ F A+ 43% 28% 28% C A A C B+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.19 60% 33% 47% +7 +1 1.17 33% 1.3 .43 18% .46 78% .36 0.98 42% 35% 41% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 13% .13 63% .08
Nov
27		 Michigan St. C+ A F F D+ 43% 11% 46% A+ C A+ F C+ A- A C A- C- A+ F F C- 45% 37% 18% B+ C C B B- C A+ D+ A+
0.96 65% 20% 19% -9 +2 0.87 32% 0.5 .16 13% .32 71% .23 1.22 48% 53% 56% +7 -2 1.12 40% 1.0 .40 16% .18 78% .14
Dec
2		 Kentucky B+ D+ B+ F D+ 31% 36% 33% D- D A+ A+ A+ D+ C F D A+ F B+ A+ A+ 45% 28% 28% B A A+ A+ A+ C- F+ D- F
1.05 50% 44% 20% -7 -2 0.82 48% 1.1 .52 19% .29 60% .17 1.00 76% 31% 8% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.6 .17 14% .40 77% .31
Dec
7		 Georgetown B B- A+ C A+ 22% 28% 50% D A F+ B+ D+ A B+ D- B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 32% 31% A- A+ A+ A A+ F A+ C A+
1.14 58% 67% 33% +8 -2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 13% .34 67% .22 0.86 48% 20% 21% -16 -2 0.68 22% 0.9 .20 6% .18 75% .13
Dec
13		 South Carolina Upstate B+ C D+ A+ B+ 46% 12% 42% B B+ D- A+ C+ A+ A F B C A- B D- C- 19% 39% 42% A+ B- B- D C F A+ B- A+
1.25 57% 33% 43% +4 +2 1.14 23% 1.6 .37 9% .38 64% .24 0.97 45% 32% 38% -3 -4 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 11% .05 67% .04
Dec
16		 East Tennessee St. A A+ C- C- B+ 39% 7% 55% B+ A- C A+ A A+ A+ F A- A- B A+ A- A+ 28% 26% 46% A A+ A+ F B- F B- A B
1.27 76% 33% 33% +6 +2 1.18 29% 1.4 .42 12% .43 65% .28 0.95 54% 25% 29% -8 -1 0.83 18% 1.5 .26 12% .30 69% .20
Dec
20		 Ohio St. B C+ C- C- C+ 36% 15% 49% A B- B- A- B+ A+ D- F F A A+ F A+ A 24% 45% 31% A+ A+ B- A+ A+ F B- F C
1.10 58% 38% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.2 .37 11% .23 54% .12 1.08 50% 55% 27% +2 -4 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 9% .32 84% .27
Dec
22		 East Carolina A B- A+ A+ A+ 41% 16% 43% B A+ A D+ B+ B- A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 39% 33% 28% B A+ D- A+ A+ A A- B+ A-
1.30 62% 50% 50% +14 +1 1.31 41% 1.1 .43 16% .47 63% .30 0.67 45% 16% 13% -21 -2 0.56 38% 0.4 .15 22% .29 65% .19
Dec
30		 Florida St. B B+ C F C- 37% 15% 48% B C- A C B+ A+ B+ C- B A+ A+ D A A+ 26% 13% 61% B+ A+ B D C+ C- A- A+ A+
1.14 65% 38% 27% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .37 11% .32 70% .23 0.95 36% 43% 27% -11 0 0.80 28% 1.3 .35 13% .23 57% .13
Jan
3		 SMU A A- B- A+ A+ 29% 20% 51% C+ A+ C- F D- A- A- D+ B F F F F F 35% 16% 49% D- F A+ B- A+ F B A- B+
1.20 67% 40% 46% +12 -1 1.25 28% 0.7 .19 14% .32 68% .22 1.40 79% 56% 52% +23 0 1.49 22% 1.0 .22 10% .26 69% .18
Jan
10		 Wake Forest A A+ F C- A- 40% 11% 49% B A- A+ A+ A+ C A+ F+ A+ D+ D+ F D- F+ 29% 15% 56% C D- C+ B- C+ A- A+ B A+
1.22 78% 20% 32% +4 +1 1.13 43% 1.6 .70 20% .52 67% .35 1.18 63% 63% 39% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 18% .19 73% .14
Jan
14		 Stanford A+ B A+ C A+ 42% 28% 30% C A+ C+ A+ A+ A A+ F A F C F F F 38% 11% 51% B- F A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ A C+
1.23 62% 64% 33% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.6 .45 15% .52 63% .32 1.30 57% 67% 57% +20 +1 1.45 7% 0.0 .00 11% .35 65% .23
Jan
17		 California B+ A+ F+ C+ A 31% 20% 49% D+ A- C C C C+ A+ D+ A+ C- A+ C+ F C 25% 31% 43% A C+ B- F F A- B+ B- A-
1.11 73% 30% 33% +3 -1 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 16% .47 61% .29 1.19 46% 38% 45% +4 -2 1.06 25% 2.3 .56 18% .28 75% .21
Jan
21		 Notre Dame A+ A- A+ A- A+ 34% 8% 58% A A+ A- A+ A+ A- A F+ B+ A- A+ C+ C+ A+ 22% 37% 41% A+ A+ C- A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.32 67% 50% 39% +8 +1 1.21 32% 1.7 .55 12% .38 70% .26 1.00 38% 36% 33% -5 -3 0.85 35% 0.7 .25 7% .20 54% .11
Jan
24		 Virginia A+ B+ B A+ A+ 27% 35% 38% D- A+ D C D+ A+ A- D- B B D- A+ A+ A 37% 20% 43% B+ A D- B- C- C+ D B- D+
1.25 60% 42% 48% +10 -3 1.16 22% 0.9 .19 6% .34 68% .23 1.18 68% 30% 27% -2 0 0.98 44% 1.1 .47 16% .35 70% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Georgia Tech A+ A D+ F C 37% 23% 40% C+ C+ B- A+ A A+ F A+ D- B- A- B+ F C+ 44% 40% 16% A B- A- F C+ C- C+ F D+
1.27 67% 33% 27% -2 0 0.97 33% 1.4 .47 3% .17 92% .16 1.04 50% 30% 63% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.3 .35 17% .28 82% .23
Feb
2		 Syracuse A- B D A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D- A+ B+ F C A- A+ C A+ B F D- C D 28% 41% 31% A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ D+ B D+ C+
1.20 61% 29% 53% +8 -1 1.15 38% 0.9 .34 15% .57 71% .41 1.06 73% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 28% 0.5 .15 14% .30 68% .21
Feb
7		 Duke A+ B A+ A A+ 23% 43% 34% F A+ F A D+ A+ B A+ A- A+ A A+ B A+ 49% 21% 30% A- A+ A+ F D+ D- A+ F A+
1.11 58% 48% 39% +7 -4 1.08 13% 1.0 .13 11% .25 79% .19 1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.7 .53 13% .11 83% .09
Feb
10		 Miami (FL) C- C F+ D+ D+ 32% 25% 44% C- D+ C C- C A- F A+ D A D- A- B+ B 44% 37% 19% A+ B+ A A+ A+ F D A C+
0.95 56% 29% 32% -4 -1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 16% .17 80% .14 1.08 70% 32% 30% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.8 .24 12% .37 61% .23
Feb
14		 Pittsburgh A- A+ C- A- A 38% 20% 42% C A F+ F F+ A+ C A- B- A- C+ C+ F D+ 49% 16% 35% D D+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ F A+
1.21 71% 36% 39% +8 0 1.18 19% 0.7 .13 6% .28 82% .23 0.99 58% 38% 41% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.8 .19 18% .15 75% .11
Feb
17		 North Carolina St. D B- F F F 33% 9% 59% B- F A+ F C+ B A+ B- A+ D+ A+ F F A 49% 18% 33% C- A- D F F F B+ A A
0.90 60% 0% 19% -16 +1 0.72 40% 0.7 .28 19% .40 71% .29 1.28 41% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 6% .27 69% .18
Feb
21		 Syracuse B+ A+ C C A+ 44% 25% 31% C- A+ D F F A A+ F B+ A+ B- C A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% A- A+ A A- A C- A- D+ B
1.13 81% 33% 33% +9 0 1.19 26% 0.8 .21 15% .48 54% .26 0.94 57% 40% 19% -7 -1 0.87 24% 0.9 .21 15% .28 69% .19
Feb
23		 Louisville A A+ A D A+ 42% 18% 40% A A+ C- A+ A+ A B+ F D A- A A+ C- A+ 33% 13% 55% A- A+ D A B- C- A+ B+ A+
1.16 71% 44% 30% +4 +1 1.12 22% 1.9 .41 14% .33 47% .16 1.11 50% 29% 37% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 15% .19 73% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 18.6 5.0 23.6 3rd
4th 1.6 29.2 0.9 31.7 4th
5th 0.0 10.8 4.9 15.8 5th
6th 1.1 17.7 0.1 18.9 6th
7th 3.3 4.5 7.8 7th
8th 2.0 2.0 8th
9th 0.3 0.3 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 6.6 34.7 52.8 6.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 6.0% 99.9% 6.0% 93.9% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 52.8% 99.8% 4.2% 95.6% 5.7 0.0 0.6 2.9 16.3 23.7 8.3 0.9 0.1 0.1 99.8%
11-7 34.7% 99.5% 2.7% 96.8% 6.3 0.0 0.5 5.4 14.9 10.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 0.2 99.5%
10-8 6.6% 96.9% 1.2% 95.7% 7.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.2 96.9%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.5% 3.6% 95.9% 6.0 0.5 99.5%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 3.2 1.4 18.1 48.6 23.6 8.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8% 100.0% 4.4 0.6 15.8 38.2 37.6 7.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.4% 99.8% 4.9 4.0 27.9 45.0 22.1 0.8
Lose Out 2.5% 94.9% 8.2 0.2 3.9 18.7 36.5 23.3 11.6 0.6