North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -11.5 333
Results Rating -13.1 346
Consistency 0.11 11
Pace 74.9 31
Improvement +3.7 48

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 212 C C- D+ D B-
Defense F 363 D F F B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 313 C- 56% 245 -3.7 307
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 318 B- 42% 59 -2.3 291
Three Pointers 53% 9 C 34% 173 +6.3 22
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 101 C -0.3 180
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 159
Second Chance D 25.6% 310 B 1.12 60 C- 0.29 234
Opponents' Steals D 11.1% 318
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 203
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 295
Freethrows F+ 0.24 349 A- 78% 14 D 0.19 308
Total Offense C- -1.6 212

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 204 D+ 12.4% 265
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 252 D+ 6.9% 296
Three Pointers F 69% 360 F 2.4% 363
Total C- 53% 237 D+ 6.4% 267

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 110 D+ 62% 284 +3.2 290
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 316 F 46% 354 -0.5 152
Three Pointers 43% 119 C 34% 201 +1.0 237
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 319 D+ +2.9 299
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 309
Second Chance F+ 36.8% 354 F+ 1.20 357 F 0.44 362
Turnovers from Steals F 5.7% 360
Other Turnovers D 6.4% 297
Turnovers F 12.1% 363
Freethrows B- 0.28 110 B- 71% 81 B- 0.20 91
Total Defense F -9.9 363

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 215 F 3.6% 363
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 127 D 1.9% 329
Three Pointers D+ 86% 254 D+ 0.4% 285
Total C- 57% 209 F 2.0% 364

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 145 16.1 17
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 260 0.23 348
Consistency 0.11 110 0.11 73
Improvement -0.9 228 +4.6 15

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 343 335 323
Results Rating Rank 351 343 336
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 11 10 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 14% 0% 29%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 50.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 46 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 4 @Florida L 64 - 104 0% -21  3% 0 - 1 D- -13 D -5 F A- D- C- -3 A+ F B-
 Wed, Nov 12 19 @Tennessee L 66 - 99 1% -15  6% 0 - 2 D- -12 D+ -3 C- B+ F D -6 C+ F C+
 Wed, Nov 19 229 @Wofford L 78 - 86 16% -1  42% 0 - 3 D -9 D+ -3 B- F C D -5 C F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 226 Southern Miss L 83 - 92 23% +0  52% 0 - 4 D- -13 B +6 A+ F F F -19 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 331 Prairie View L 82 - 85 48% +5  83% 0 - 5 D- -14 C- -2 A+ C- F F -12 D- C+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 260 SIU Edwardsville L 63 - 72 39% -1  28% 0 - 6 F+ -18 D- -7 D+ C- D F -11 D F F
 Sun, Dec 7 11 @Gonzaga L 58 - 109 1% -26  1% 0 - 7 F -29 F -12 D+ C- D F -12 D- F B-
 Sat, Dec 13 77 @Dayton L 61 - 84 3% -21  8% 0 - 8 D- -12 D- -6 F B C D- -7 F B- F+
 Thu, Dec 18 264 @Charleston Southern L 90 - 113 20% -12  0% 0 - 9 F -26 C+ +2 B- D C+ F -25 F B- F+
 Sun, Dec 21 39 @Miami (FL) L 67 - 105 1% -18  3% 0 - 10 F -21 D -6 D- B+ F F -13 F+ D- D
 Sun, Dec 28 188 Columbia L 82 - 90 26% -1  31% 0 - 11 D- -13 C +1 B F+ B F -14 F A F
 Thu, Jan 1 167 @Austin Peay L 83 - 102 10% -8  9% 0 - 12 0 - 1 F+ -16 C +1 B- F D+ F -16 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 197 @Lipscomb L 74 - 82 13% -2  40% 0 - 13 0 - 2 D+ -7 C- -1 C- D C- D -6 A F F
 Thu, Jan 8 312 West Georgia L 73 - 85 52% -6  0% 0 - 14 0 - 3 F -24 F -10 F A+ F+ F -14 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 199 Queens L 82 - 89 28% -2  27% 0 - 15 0 - 4 D- -12 D -4 C D B+ D- -8 C+ F D-
 Thu, Jan 15 342 @North Alabama W 105 - 91 41% +10  80% 1 - 15 1 - 4 C+ +5 A+ +24 A+ A- A F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 173 @Central Arkansas L 69 - 98 11% -23  1% 1 - 16 1 - 5 F -27 D- -6 D+ F C- F -20 F F F
 Thu, Jan 22 287 Eastern Kentucky W 87 - 85 45% +2  67% 2 - 16 2 - 5 D -8 C+ +2 B- B D+ F -10 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 292 Bellarmine W 117 - 114 OT 47% +6  86% 3 - 16 3 - 5 D+ -8 A+ +15 A+ A- A F -23 F F F
 Thu, Jan 29 328 Stetson L 77 - 84 58% -6  2% 3 - 17 3 - 6 F -21 D- -6 D- C- D+ F -15 D- D F
 Sat, Jan 31 197 Lipscomb L 94 - 100 27% +2  58% 3 - 18 3 - 7 D -11 A +13 A A C- F -24 F D+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 312 @West Georgia W 81 - 73 30% -1  30% 4 - 18 4 - 7 C+ +2 D+ -2 B F F B +4 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 199 @Queens L 72 - 91 13% -5  22% 4 - 19 4 - 8 F -18 D- -7 D+ F F F -11 C- F F+
 Wed, Feb 11 257 @Florida Gulf Coast L 81 - 90 19% -7  9% 4 - 20 4 - 9 D- -11 C +1 C- D+ C+ F -12 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 305 @Jacksonville L 56 - 63 29% -4  4% 4 - 21 4 - 10 D- -13 F -11 C- C- F D+ -3 C+ F F+
 Thu, Feb 19 167 Austin Peay L 76 - 77 22% +5  77% 4 - 22 4 - 11 C- -4 F+ -8 F C D+ B +4 A- D- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 328 @Stetson L 71 - 76 35% +3  56% 4 - 23 4 - 12 D- -13 D+ -3 D+ C+ C- F -10 F C C
 Thu, Feb 26 257 Florida Gulf Coast W 76 - 70 38% -1  33% 5 - 23 5 - 12 C- -2 D+ -3 F C+ C C+ +1 A+ F+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 305 Jacksonville W 77 - 76 51%
Totals 6 - 23 6 - 12 -11 C- -2 A C B- F -10 C A- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- B- C C 34% 25% 53% B- C D B C- D+ F+ A- D F D+ F C D+ 41% 16% 43% D D F+ F+ F F B- B- B-
1.06 56% 42% 34% 0 +1 1.03 26% 1.1 .29 19% .24 78% .19 1.23 62% 46% 34% +3 +1 1.10 37% 1.2 .44 12% .28 71% .17
Nov
6		 Florida D F F F F 38% 17% 45% A- F D A+ A- D- A A+ A+ C- D+ F A+ A+ 47% 3% 50% D- A+ F F F B- F A D+
0.80 41% 20% 23% -17 0 0.69 17% 1.6 .26 20% .34 86% .30 1.30 67% 100% 14% -9 +3 0.90 63% 1.4 .87 18% .43 64% .27
Nov
12		 Tennessee D+ F B D- D+ 33% 9% 58% A- C- B- A B+ F F F F D C+ F B+ B- 42% 15% 43% D+ C+ F F F C+ D+ C- D+
0.87 44% 40% 28% -9 +1 0.85 27% 1.1 .30 22% .20 50% .10 1.30 59% 63% 30% +2 +1 1.08 63% 1.4 .84 18% .39 71% .27
Nov
19		 Wofford D+ C F A B- 36% 12% 53% C B- F B F C F D+ F D C- F A+ C+ 50% 4% 46% F C F F F C- F+ A D+
1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10 1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25
Nov
22		 Southern Miss B A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 18% 58% D A+ F A+ F F F A+ F F D F A+ F 52% 30% 19% D- F F D- F F F+ A+ C+
1.16 83% 56% 48% +22 -1 1.44 9% 1.5 .14 25% .19 80% .15 1.29 64% 63% 20% +7 0 1.15 45% 1.1 .52 14% .42 62% .26
Nov
23		 Prairie View C- B- A+ A+ A+ 36% 11% 53% B- A+ C D C- F B+ C- B F F D- B- F 24% 39% 37% A D- F A+ C+ D F A- F
1.12 63% 80% 46% +16 +1 1.36 38% 1.0 .38 29% .42 73% .31 1.16 69% 43% 30% +2 -3 1.00 45% 0.5 .23 14% .52 70% .36
Dec
2		 SIU Edwardsville D- F B D D 35% 14% 51% B+ D+ F+ A+ C- D F A+ F F B+ D- D C- 45% 15% 40% F D F B- F F F B D
0.97 44% 43% 31% -7 +1 0.90 24% 1.3 .30 18% .13 100% .13 1.10 48% 43% 37% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.9 .39 14% .34 63% .21
Dec
7		 Gonzaga F F A- F C- 9% 29% 62% D- D+ D- B+ C- D F+ F F F F A+ F F+ 40% 31% 29% C+ D- F+ F F B- C+ D+ C+
0.75 40% 44% 26% -7 -3 0.82 17% 1.0 .17 23% .22 62% .13 1.41 78% 28% 53% +13 -1 1.26 42% 1.8 .74 16% .28 72% .20
Dec
13		 Dayton D- F D- F F 35% 20% 45% B- F B C+ B C C- C- C- D- F F A F 45% 9% 45% D F F A+ B- F+ A+ A+ A+
0.89 44% 30% 26% -12 0 0.78 34% 1.0 .34 22% .30 69% .20 1.22 76% 80% 28% +8 +2 1.22 39% 0.8 .31 13% .28 47% .13
Dec
18		 Charleston Southern C+ C B- C- C+ 40% 16% 44% B+ B- F A+ D C+ C A B F F F F F 25% 10% 65% B F A- D B- F+ D F F
1.12 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 16% 1.5 .24 11% .35 80% .28 1.41 80% 50% 51% +24 0 1.50 23% 1.0 .23 15% .29 85% .25
Dec
21		 Miami (FL) D F+ F C F+ 27% 14% 59% B- D- C- A+ B+ F B A+ A+ F F F B+ F 47% 16% 36% C F+ F B+ D- D F C F
0.89 46% 0% 34% -8 0 0.86 22% 1.5 .33 27% .29 88% .25 1.40 73% 78% 30% +11 +1 1.27 50% 1.0 .50 13% .44 69% .31
Dec
28		 Columbia C F+ A+ B+ B- 42% 10% 48% B+ B F C+ F+ B F A+ F+ F D- F F F 51% 12% 37% D- F A+ F A F F+ F F
1.14 48% 67% 38% +2 +2 1.08 17% 1.0 .17 11% .19 92% .17 1.25 65% 50% 47% +13 +2 1.31 20% 1.2 .24 15% .35 81% .28
Jan
1		 Austin Peay C D- C+ A C+ 37% 10% 53% B B- F F F D+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ F A+ C+ 39% 18% 44% C C+ F F F F C- D D+
1.07 53% 40% 41% +4 +1 1.12 20% 0.6 .11 19% .43 81% .35 1.31 54% 55% 26% -4 0 0.95 40% 1.6 .65 8% .32 78% .25
Jan
3		 Lipscomb C- F B B- D+ 23% 12% 65% B- C- C F D C- F A+ F D A A+ C A- 26% 18% 56% A A F C- F F F A F+
1.05 43% 43% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 18% .07 100% .07 1.16 47% 20% 34% -6 0 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 8% .34 68% .23
Jan
8		 West Georgia F A- F F F 41% 7% 52% B- F C- A+ A+ F+ F C+ F F D- F C- F 30% 36% 34% B- F C F F F+ D- F F
1.02 70% 25% 21% -7 +2 0.93 29% 1.6 .47 18% .19 73% .14 1.19 63% 47% 33% +4 -3 1.06 29% 1.4 .42 13% .32 85% .27
Jan
10		 Queens D A- B D C 38% 15% 47% C+ C F A- D B+ F A+ F D- D- A+ B+ B 45% 5% 49% F C+ F F F D- F+ C D-
1.13 70% 44% 32% +4 +1 1.12 23% 1.3 .29 12% .19 83% .16 1.23 68% 0% 30% -1 +2 1.05 38% 1.4 .54 12% .38 75% .28
Jan
15		 North Alabama A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 30% 13% 57% D+ A+ B- A A- A C+ A+ A F D- D F+ F 60% 10% 31% F F F+ F F F C- B- C
1.49 69% 57% 45% +15 0 1.33 38% 1.3 .50 10% .30 95% .28 1.30 61% 40% 38% +4 +3 1.15 36% 1.6 .58 13% .33 65% .21
Jan
17		 Central Arkansas D- F+ A+ C C- 24% 14% 63% D+ D+ F F F C- B D- C+ F D- F D- F 33% 11% 56% D+ F F D+ F F C- F D
0.98 50% 57% 34% +1 0 1.04 19% 0.6 .11 20% .32 67% .21 1.39 67% 67% 39% +10 +1 1.24 39% 1.1 .45 10% .28 78% .22
Jan
22		 Eastern Kentucky C+ B- A+ C+ C+ 45% 12% 43% A- B- B B- B D+ D- B- D F B- C- F+ D+ 43% 9% 48% F D- D F F D+ C+ A+ A
1.22 65% 67% 36% +8 +2 1.22 38% 1.1 .41 17% .29 76% .22 1.20 52% 40% 38% +1 +2 1.07 35% 1.5 .53 15% .25 47% .12
Jan
24		 Bellarmine A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 9% 60% B A+ F A+ A- A C+ A+ B+ F F B- F F 55% 9% 36% F+ F C F F F C+ C- C+
1.48 83% 80% 46% +22 +1 1.48 26% 2.0 .52 11% .33 87% .28 1.44 76% 33% 42% +13 +3 1.34 21% 1.8 .38 8% .27 80% .22
Jan
29		 Stetson D- B- C F F 44% 10% 46% B+ D- D A- C- D+ C+ A+ B F C+ D- D- D 43% 13% 44% F D- F B- D F D+ B C-
1.11 65% 40% 25% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.3 .38 16% .29 82% .24 1.21 57% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.09 34% 0.9 .32 9% .32 65% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Lipscomb A C F A+ A- 33% 5% 62% A A B+ A- A C- C- A+ A- F F C F F 59% 5% 36% F F A- F D+ F B C- B-
1.29 61% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.22 37% 1.2 .43 18% .27 94% .25 1.37 69% 33% 45% +13 +4 1.34 18% 1.6 .29 8% .19 77% .15
Feb
5		 West Georgia D+ C+ A A- B 45% 11% 43% C+ B D F F F D+ C C- B B A+ A+ A+ 27% 30% 42% C A+ C- D+ D+ F B- C- B-
1.09 63% 50% 39% +7 +2 1.19 26% 0.6 .15 22% .31 72% .22 0.98 50% 20% 21% -16 -2 0.67 30% 1.1 .34 3% .24 71% .17
Feb
7		 Queens D- F+ F A+ C- 26% 19% 55% D D+ F F F F A+ C- A F F F B C- 33% 15% 53% C C- F D- F F+ A- F C-
1.04 50% 11% 46% +3 -1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 20% .45 72% .33 1.32 72% 50% 31% +4 0 1.11 41% 1.2 .50 12% .25 100% .25
Feb
11		 Florida Gulf Coast C F+ A+ C+ C- 29% 11% 61% C+ C- C F+ D+ C+ B- D C+ F D F F F 42% 32% 26% C F D C- D+ F F A+ F+
1.11 50% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 31% 0.9 .28 15% .39 71% .27 1.24 64% 53% 43% +11 -1 1.21 33% 1.1 .36 11% .46 53% .25
Feb
14		 Jacksonville F F A+ A+ D- 64% 2% 33% A+ C- B- F+ C- F F F F D+ A+ D- C- C+ 35% 16% 49% C- C+ B- F F F+ C+ F+ C-
0.96 48% 100% 43% 0 +4 1.10 33% 0.8 .26 22% .13 50% .07 1.08 40% 43% 33% -6 0 0.91 27% 2.1 .58 14% .28 79% .22
Feb
19		 Austin Peay F+ B- B+ F F 41% 18% 41% C F D+ B C D+ A+ A A+ B B+ B A+ A+ 63% 11% 27% F A- D+ F+ D- C- F C+ F
0.97 65% 44% 15% -8 0 0.88 27% 0.9 .24 19% .51 78% .40 0.99 49% 33% 20% -12 +3 0.84 30% 1.3 .40 15% .44 72% .32
Feb
21		 Stetson D+ F A+ C+ D+ 33% 20% 47% D+ D+ C- B C+ C- C- F D F F A+ F F 31% 13% 56% D- F F A+ C C B- A+ A
1.11 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.3 .41 16% .26 64% .17 1.19 73% 17% 44% +11 +1 1.25 40% 0.6 .26 19% .25 54% .13
Feb
26		 Florida Gulf Coast D+ C C+ F F 37% 10% 54% B F C- B+ C+ C A A- A+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ 37% 23% 40% D A+ C F F+ F D+ C- D+
1.10 58% 40% 21% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.2 .34 16% .45 81% .36 1.01 38% 46% 17% -16 0 0.70 30% 1.4 .41 7% .30 74% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 19.4 19.4 8th
9th 24.1 24.1 9th
10th 7.2 7.2 10th
11th 49.3 49.3 11th
12th 12th
Total 49.3 50.7 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 50.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.2 50.6
5-13 49.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 49.2
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.5%
Lose Out 36.0%