North Texas
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#123
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#149
Pace62.2#346
Improvement+0.5#129

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#208
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#120
Layup/Dunks+1.3#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#348
Freethrows+4.8#10
Improvement+0.2#160

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot+4.8#49
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#213
Layups/Dunks+5.1#38
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#79
Freethrows-3.8#346
Improvement+0.3#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 6.6% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.3 12.9
.500 or above 74.8% 76.6% 48.3%
.500 or above in Conference 65.6% 66.8% 48.4%
Conference Champion 7.8% 8.1% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.8% 5.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round6.4% 6.6% 3.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 93.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 35 - 58 - 12
Quad 410 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 285 Northwestern St. W 80-53 88%     1 - 0 +17.3 +15.5 +6.7
  Sun, Nov 9 265 Loyola Chicago W 64-62 79%     2 - 0 -3.6 -8.1 +4.7
  Wed, Nov 12 169 @Oregon St. L 64-66 54%     2 - 1 -0.2 -1.2 +0.8
  Fri, Nov 14 30 @St. Mary's L 49-80 11%     2 - 2 -14.6 -12.1 -3.9
  Thu, Nov 20 317 Central Arkansas W 74-56 90%     3 - 2 +6.6 -2.8 +9.7
  Tue, Nov 25 240 Eastern Washington W 79-71 OT 84%     4 - 2 +0.4 -2.6 +2.7
  Sun, Nov 30 332 Prairie View W 76-60 93%    
  Tue, Dec 2 276 Houston Christian W 69-57 87%    
  Sun, Dec 7 51 TCU L 63-68 34%    
  Sun, Dec 14 180 @South Alabama W 63-62 56%    
  Wed, Dec 17 59 Santa Clara L 64-71 28%    
  Wed, Dec 31 70 @Memphis L 64-72 23%    
  Sun, Jan 4 91 Tulsa L 66-67 49%    
  Wed, Jan 7 81 South Florida L 71-72 46%    
  Sun, Jan 11 92 @Wichita St. L 63-69 29%    
  Sun, Jan 18 152 @Tulane L 68-69 50%    
  Wed, Jan 21 231 Texas San Antonio W 72-62 81%    
  Sat, Jan 24 259 East Carolina W 72-61 84%    
  Wed, Jan 28 91 @Tulsa L 64-70 30%    
  Sat, Jan 31 107 UAB W 70-68 55%    
  Wed, Feb 4 213 @Rice W 66-63 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 231 @Texas San Antonio W 69-65 63%    
  Thu, Feb 12 70 Memphis L 67-69 43%    
  Sun, Feb 15 148 @Temple L 70-71 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 152 Tulane W 71-65 70%    
  Sun, Feb 22 111 Florida Atlantic W 69-67 59%    
  Wed, Feb 25 196 @Charlotte W 66-64 57%    
  Sun, Mar 1 107 @UAB L 67-71 34%    
  Wed, Mar 4 213 Rice W 69-60 79%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.1 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.2 4.4 2.1 0.2 10.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.5 3.3 0.4 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.1 4.0 0.5 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.5 4.8 1.0 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 4.6 1.4 0.1 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.0 2.1 0.2 7.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.1 0.2 6.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.9 6.5 9.1 11.6 13.2 13.5 12.8 10.1 7.5 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 93.8% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 85.2% 2.1    1.5 0.6 0.1
14-4 53.9% 2.5    1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 20.9% 1.6    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 41.5% 34.0% 7.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 11.3%
16-2 1.0% 26.4% 25.0% 1.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.9%
15-3 2.5% 24.8% 24.3% 0.5% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.9 0.7%
14-4 4.7% 19.5% 19.5% 11.8 0.3 0.6 0.1 3.7
13-5 7.5% 15.1% 15.1% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.4
12-6 10.1% 10.4% 10.4% 12.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 9.1
11-7 12.8% 7.4% 7.4% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 11.8
10-8 13.5% 5.9% 5.9% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 12.7
9-9 13.2% 2.0% 2.0% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.0
8-10 11.6% 1.0% 1.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
7-11 9.1% 0.7% 0.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
6-12 6.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 3.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.9
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 93.6 0.1%