Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +8.9 63
Results Rating +11.0 54
Consistency 0.13 93
Pace 78.3 12
Improvement -5.1 346

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 55 B C B B A-
Defense B- 105 B- C+ B- B D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 50% 2 C+ 60% 131 +7.7 9
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 281 D+ 36% 263 -3.5 337
Three Pointers 37% 252 B 37% 44 +0.1 173
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- +1.9 8 B- +2.1 100
1st FG Attempt B 1.10 64
Second Chance C+ 32.4% 117 D+ 0.98 260 C 0.32 158
Opponents' Steals B- 8.3% 77
Other Turnovers B- 6.5% 84
Turnovers B 14.8% 64
Freethrows B 0.35 41 C+ 74% 135 B 0.26 44
Total Offense B +6.3 55

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 118 C 11.1% 186
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 162 B- 3.8% 89
Three Pointers D- 76% 333 B- 0.5% 87
Total C 56% 158 C- 6.2% 253

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 210 B 53% 57 -2.5 94
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 318 C 38% 159 -1.8 40
Three Pointers 46% 40 C+ 33% 151 +2.3 292
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 266 B- -2.5 79
1st FG Attempt B- 0.98 116
Second Chance B- 27.9% 85 D+ 1.09 272 C+ 0.30 158
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.7% 91
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 166
Turnovers B- 18.1% 96
Freethrows B 0.27 67 C+ 71% 116 B 0.19 61
Total Defense B- +2.6 105

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 223 C 11.0% 170
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 320 D 2.7% 308
Three Pointers C+ 82% 123 C- 0.6% 215
Total D+ 60% 280 C- 4.9% 233

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.3 26 17.2 173
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 33 0.17 181
Consistency 0.11 92 0.11 112
Improvement -1.9 285 -3.3 325

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 77 65 55
Results Rating Rank 73 55 47
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 14 12 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 6% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2% 6% 1%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 11.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 5% 1%
First Round1% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cincinnati (Away) - 26.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 10
Quad 27 - 49 - 14
Quad 32 - 011 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 325 Oral Roberts W 95 - 71 97% +9  91% 1 - 0 B +11 D+ -3 D- B+ D- A +10 A C+ C
 Sun, Nov 9 34 Texas A&M W 87 - 63 41% +14  95% 2 - 0 A+ +35 A +12 B+ C+ A+ A+ +22 A+ A A+
 Wed, Nov 12 331 Prairie View W 94 - 67 97% +16  93% 3 - 0 B+ +13 C +1 D A- C+ A +9 D+ A+ C-
 Sun, Nov 16 198 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 85 - 69 90% +9  93% 4 - 0 B +11 C +1 C+ B D+ A- +8 A B C
 Wed, Nov 19 55 South Florida W 103 - 95 57% +2  70% 5 - 0 A- +15 A+ +16 A+ C+ F+ C- -2 F A B+
 Sat, Nov 22 253 Nicholls St. W 95 - 81 93% +12  98% 6 - 0 B- +6 C+ +2 B F B B- +2 C+ F+ B+
 Thu, Nov 27 65 Northwestern W 86 - 81 50% +2  61% 7 - 0 B+ +14 A- +11 F+ A+ A B- +3 B- D- B-
 Tue, Dec 2 105 Sam Houston St. W 93 - 83 77% +0  43% 8 - 0 B +11 B +7 B- A+ D B- +3 D- A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 61 Grand Canyon W 84 - 78 50% +2  70% 9 - 0 A- +15 A+ +16 A+ D+ C+ C -1 B D- F+
 Sat, Dec 13 51 Oklahoma L 76 - 85 42% -4  14% 9 - 1 C+ +2 C -0 C- F A+ B- +2 C+ A- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 360 UMKC W 91 - 79 99% +6  94% 10 - 1 D+ -8 C +1 A+ F F+ F -10 F C+ D-
 Sun, Dec 21 205 Cal St. Fullerton W 94 - 89 90% +10  100% 11 - 1 C -0 B- +4 A- D+ D- D -5 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 239 Bethune-Cookman W 103 - 77 93% +13  89% 12 - 1 A +19 A +13 C- A A B- +2 F+ A- A
 Sat, Jan 3 12 @Texas Tech L 80 - 102 11% -12  2% 12 - 2 0 - 1 C +0 B+ +7 B+ C A+ D -6 C D F
 Tue, Jan 6 45 Central Florida W 87 - 76 51% +6  89% 13 - 2 1 - 1 A +20 C+ +2 A+ F D A+ +16 A+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 10 8 @Iowa St. L 71 - 83 8% -3  32% 13 - 3 1 - 2 B+ +12 B +6 B+ F B B+ +7 A+ B- C-
 Tue, Jan 13 46 Baylor L 79 - 94 52% -13  0% 13 - 4 1 - 3 D+ -7 B +7 B B+ B F -14 F D B+
 Sat, Jan 17 97 Kansas St. W 84 - 83 73% +2  66% 14 - 4 2 - 3 C+ +4 B+ +9 D+ A+ A+ D -5 D+ F A+
 Tue, Jan 20 50 @TCU L 65 - 68 30% +1  59% 14 - 5 2 - 4 B +11 C +0 C- B C A +11 C+ B+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 8 Iowa St. L 71 - 84 19% -18  0% 14 - 6 2 - 5 B- +5 B- +5 B C- B+ C -0 B F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 99 @Utah W 81 - 69 53% +1  58% 15 - 6 3 - 5 A +20 A- +11 A- B- A- A +9 A A+ F+
 Wed, Feb 4 22 BYU W 99 - 92 31% +5  86% 16 - 6 4 - 5 A +21 A+ +17 A+ A A+ B- +3 D A A+
 Sat, Feb 7 3 @Arizona L 47 - 84 5% -19  1% 16 - 7 4 - 6 D -9 F -17 F F+ B A +10 A C B
 Tue, Feb 10 69 @Arizona St. L 76 - 85 39% -4  5% 16 - 8 4 - 7 C+ +3 C +1 B+ F D B- +3 A+ F C-
 Sat, Feb 14 50 TCU L 92 - 95 OT 53% -5  0% 16 - 9 4 - 8 B- +5 A+ +15 A+ D A+ F -10 C- C+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 18 Kansas L 69 - 81 26% -14  0% 16 - 10 4 - 9 C+ +3 C+ +2 C B B C+ +1 B D B+
 Sat, Feb 21 66 @Colorado L 69 - 83 39% -8  4% 16 - 11 4 - 10 C- -2 D+ -4 D D- F+ B- +2 B- D B
 Tue, Feb 24 57 West Virginia W 91 - 84 OT 58% +4  84% 17 - 11 5 - 10 B+ +14 A+ +19 A+ B- A D -5 C- D- C-
 Sat, Feb 28 42 @Cincinnati L 74 - 80 27%
 Tue, Mar 3 45 @Central Florida L 83 - 89 29%
 Sat, Mar 7 6 Houston L 71 - 81 18%
Totals 18 - 13 6 - 12 +9 B +6 A+ B- A- B- +3 B C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C+ D+ B B- 50% 28% 37% A- B C+ D+ C B B C+ B B- B C C+ B- 38% 16% 46% D+ B- B- D+ C+ B- B C+ B
1.18 60% 36% 37% +2 +2 1.10 32% 1.0 .32 15% .35 74% .26 1.05 53% 38% 33% -2 +1 0.98 28% 1.1 .30 18% .27 71% .25
Nov
4		 Oral Roberts D+ F A C- F+ 55% 10% 35% B+ D- B B+ B+ D- A+ A- A+ A D- A+ A+ A+ 38% 8% 54% D- A B D- C+ C C- A- C+
1.11 45% 50% 33% -6 +3 0.95 37% 1.3 .46 18% .43 77% .33 0.83 61% 0% 18% -15 +2 0.75 23% 1.1 .25 19% .32 68% .22
Nov
9		 Texas A&M A B+ C+ D B- 50% 9% 41% A+ B+ B- C C+ A+ B+ C B+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 4% 60% C- A+ B- A+ A A+ B- F C
1.20 64% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.09 32% 0.9 .30 12% .35 73% .25 0.87 47% 0% 26% -13 +2 0.81 32% 0.6 .20 22% .30 82% .25
Nov
12		 Prairie View C D- D- C+ D- 45% 16% 39% B- D B B A- C+ B D B- A A- C D+ C 41% 19% 40% F D+ A+ B- A+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.19 52% 33% 36% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.2 .51 18% .41 70% .29 0.85 46% 36% 35% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 15% .21 57% .12
Nov
16		 TX A&M Corpus Christi C A+ B- F C 47% 10% 43% A- C+ B- B B D+ B- A+ A A- B+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 13% 33% F A A F+ B C F+ F F
1.09 79% 40% 18% 0 +2 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 22% .44 81% .36 0.88 47% 14% 22% -15 +2 0.76 21% 1.1 .23 18% .41 77% .31
Nov
19		 South Florida A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 16% 31% A A+ B C- C+ F+ A+ F B C- F A+ F F 33% 4% 63% C+ F B A A B+ F A D+
1.26 69% 56% 53% +17 +2 1.40 34% 0.9 .31 23% .41 62% .25 1.16 67% 0% 41% +8 +2 1.22 35% 0.9 .33 18% .45 67% .30
Nov
22		 Nicholls St. C+ A+ F A+ B 52% 16% 32% B- B F F F B B+ A+ A+ B- F B+ A+ C 22% 24% 54% A C+ D F F+ B+ C+ C+ C+
1.17 76% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.21 19% 0.8 .15 18% .41 93% .38 0.99 92% 29% 25% -2 -2 0.95 29% 1.3 .36 20% .26 65% .17
Nov
27		 Northwestern A- B- F F F 45% 22% 33% B- F+ A A+ A+ A A+ A A+ B- D- F A+ B 39% 24% 37% C+ B- B- F D- B- F C+ F
1.18 61% 18% 18% -11 0 0.80 41% 1.3 .54 14% .52 79% .41 1.11 68% 58% 17% -1 0 1.00 27% 1.7 .45 14% .48 73% .35
Dec
2		 Sam Houston St. B B D F C 54% 11% 35% A+ B- A A+ A+ D A+ D+ A B- C- F F+ F+ 25% 17% 58% B- D- B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A-
1.18 66% 33% 26% -1 +2 1.06 40% 1.4 .54 19% .44 68% .30 1.05 60% 50% 40% +8 0 1.17 31% 0.3 .10 18% .17 82% .14
Dec
6		 Grand Canyon A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 51% 24% 24% B+ A+ C- D D+ C+ A+ C A+ C C+ C- A B+ 40% 14% 46% D+ B D+ D- D- F+ A+ A+ A+
1.20 68% 58% 33% +10 0 1.22 23% 1.0 .23 17% .48 71% .34 1.11 57% 38% 27% -6 +1 0.93 35% 1.2 .43 13% .21 62% .13
Dec
13		 Oklahoma C F B B- D+ 43% 20% 37% B+ C- F+ F F A+ D A C- B- A- D+ D- B- 33% 16% 51% C C+ B+ B A- C- C D- C-
1.05 42% 42% 36% -5 0 0.93 22% 0.7 .16 7% .24 81% .19 1.18 50% 44% 39% +2 0 1.07 30% 1.2 .35 12% .32 80% .25
Dec
18		 UMKC C A+ D A+ A+ 62% 17% 21% B+ A+ C+ F F F+ B B- B+ F C+ A+ F F+ 38% 13% 49% F F C B- C+ D- F F F
1.18 76% 33% 45% +14 +2 1.34 38% 0.6 .24 21% .31 74% .23 1.02 52% 14% 41% 0 +1 1.04 27% 0.8 .22 16% .34 82% .28
Dec
21		 Cal St. Fullerton B- D B- A+ A- 40% 12% 47% B A- C+ F D+ D- B- D- C D C B F F+ 42% 11% 47% F F F+ F F B- F A+ D
1.18 57% 43% 48% +10 +1 1.25 31% 0.8 .26 21% .34 67% .22 1.12 59% 33% 44% +7 +1 1.19 31% 1.3 .40 18% .52 50% .26
Dec
29		 Bethune-Cookman A F A+ A- D 67% 9% 24% A+ C- B A+ A A A+ A+ A+ B- D F D F 26% 26% 47% A F+ A- A- A- A D- D- F+
1.29 43% 60% 38% -6 +4 0.96 37% 1.4 .51 10% .59 81% .47 0.97 64% 50% 36% +6 -2 1.11 22% 0.9 .19 24% .36 73% .26
Jan
3		 Texas Tech B+ B- F C+ B- 42% 18% 40% A+ B+ D A C A+ C+ A- B- D B- C F D+ 19% 30% 51% A+ C B- F D F A- D- B+
1.05 60% 27% 33% -2 +1 1.00 19% 1.1 .21 10% .28 74% .20 1.34 58% 42% 47% +11 -3 1.19 33% 1.3 .43 9% .20 79% .16
Jan
6		 Central Florida C+ D D- A+ A 50% 13% 38% A A+ D- F F D A+ B A+ A+ A F A+ A+ 42% 10% 48% F A+ A F C D+ D A+ C
1.08 50% 33% 56% +7 +2 1.21 18% 0.4 .07 20% .54 77% .42 0.94 48% 50% 17% -15 +2 0.75 28% 1.5 .43 14% .33 65% .21
Jan
10		 Iowa St. B C+ D B+ B+ 32% 21% 47% B- B+ F A+ F B A+ A+ A+ B+ B- A C A+ 44% 28% 28% B+ A+ A+ F B- C- F F F
0.98 60% 30% 36% +1 -1 1.02 10% 1.3 .13 21% .45 81% .36 1.14 59% 29% 36% -1 -1 0.98 28% 1.3 .38 14% .48 80% .38
Jan
13		 Baylor B D D- B D+ 59% 6% 35% A+ B A C B+ B D- F F F C- F F F 43% 17% 40% F F B- F D B+ A D- B+
1.16 53% 33% 37% -2 +3 1.06 38% 1.0 .38 15% .21 58% .12 1.38 65% 56% 52% +17 +1 1.38 36% 1.3 .48 18% .25 79% .20
Jan
17		 Kansas St. B+ F D C D- 53% 11% 37% A D+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ D C F D D 32% 16% 52% B- D+ F+ F+ F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.18 43% 33% 33% -9 +2 0.89 38% 1.4 .55 10% .38 83% .31 1.17 61% 56% 38% +7 0 1.16 38% 1.2 .47 23% .09 40% .04
Jan
20		 TCU C F+ F A+ D- 66% 11% 23% A+ C- B+ C+ B C F+ F F A D A A B- 51% 14% 35% F+ C+ C A B+ A A+ A+ A+
0.95 46% 17% 42% -8 +3 0.92 32% 1.1 .34 21% .18 50% .09 1.00 65% 29% 28% -1 +2 1.04 36% 0.8 .31 21% .22 50% .11
Jan
24		 Iowa St. B- D+ C+ B- B 33% 17% 50% B+ B B F C- B+ A+ A A+ C A- F D+ A- 41% 7% 51% F+ B D+ F F A+ F F F
1.01 53% 38% 35% -1 0 1.00 31% 0.8 .25 20% .41 78% .32 1.19 53% 67% 38% +3 +2 1.12 41% 1.6 .67 26% .52 78% .40
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Utah A- D+ A A+ B 55% 11% 35% A A- B+ D+ B- A- D C D A B- C- A+ A 46% 19% 35% C A A- A+ A+ F+ F A D
1.19 53% 50% 42% +3 +2 1.13 35% 0.9 .32 12% .22 69% .15 1.02 54% 40% 28% -5 +1 0.94 25% 0.6 .15 12% .40 67% .27
Feb
4		 BYU A+ A+ D+ C- A+ 55% 11% 35% A+ A+ B+ A- A A+ A+ D- A+ B- A- F F C- 43% 8% 48% F D B A A A+ B+ C- B
1.27 73% 33% 32% +7 +2 1.20 31% 1.3 .41 10% .48 65% .31 1.18 54% 60% 45% +8 +2 1.22 33% 1.0 .33 20% .27 76% .21
Feb
7		 Arizona F B- F F F 16% 35% 49% D F D F F+ B A+ F C A D+ D A+ A 44% 35% 21% B A A F C B D+ A+ B-
0.63 56% 16% 22% -17 -3 0.62 19% 0.5 .09 16% .37 48% .17 1.12 68% 45% 17% +1 -1 1.02 32% 1.3 .41 16% .40 64% .25
Feb
10		 Arizona St. C B F A+ A- 33% 29% 38% D B+ D+ F F D A+ C A+ B- A+ A- A+ A+ 37% 25% 37% B A+ F C- F C- F D F
1.02 63% 29% 44% +5 -1 1.08 28% 0.4 .11 23% .47 74% .35 1.14 42% 31% 26% -12 -1 0.76 44% 1.3 .56 15% .55 80% .44
Feb
14		 TCU A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 51% 9% 40% A A+ C+ F D A+ A C A- F A A+ F C+ 51% 9% 40% F C- C+ C C+ F D- F+ F+
1.21 59% 60% 43% +8 +2 1.23 26% 0.8 .21 12% .34 70% .24 1.25 48% 0% 48% 0 +2 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 11% .40 78% .31
Feb
18		 Kansas C+ F A- D- D+ 46% 13% 41% A+ C B+ C+ B B A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ C F B+ 45% 16% 39% F+ B B- F D B+ B F C+
0.98 40% 43% 27% -12 +2 0.81 33% 0.9 .28 13% .34 76% .26 1.15 43% 38% 45% 0 +1 1.04 30% 1.5 .45 17% .27 88% .24
Feb
21		 Colorado D+ B- F F F+ 46% 10% 44% A+ D A F D- F+ A+ C A+ B- A D F B- 39% 17% 44% C- B- B- F D B B- D+ C+
0.96 59% 20% 24% -8 +2 0.90 37% 0.5 .20 21% .44 72% .31 1.15 48% 44% 42% +2 +1 1.07 29% 1.2 .35 17% .30 78% .23
Feb
24		 West Virginia A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 10% 42% A A+ A+ F B- A A+ D+ A+ D B B+ D C+ 48% 5% 47% F C- C+ F D- C- A+ A+ A+
1.25 56% 60% 45% +8 +2 1.23 38% 0.8 .29 14% .43 70% .30 1.15 54% 33% 37% 0 +3 1.07 31% 1.4 .44 15% .19 50% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.5 0.8 1.3 9th
10th 4.2 0.7 4.9 10th
11th 11.9 8.4 0.1 20.4 11th
12th 5.1 22.5 1.1 28.7 12th
13th 24.8 6.5 0.0 31.4 13th
14th 13.0 0.3 13.3 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 42.9 41.1 14.2 1.7 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 1.7% 31.3% 31.3% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.2 31.3%
7-11 14.2% 9.1% 9.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.1 12.9 9.1%
6-12 41.1% 1.3% 0.0% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 40.6 1.2%
5-13 42.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 42.9 0.1%
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 0.0% 2.4% 11.0 97.6 2.4%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 23.1%