Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#46
Expected Predictive Rating+16.8#23
Pace84.0#7
Improvement-1.6#304

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#51
First Shot+4.8#55
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#90
Layup/Dunks+7.6#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#289
Freethrows+1.9#78
Improvement+0.4#138

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#54
First Shot+2.1#105
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#42
Layups/Dunks-0.1#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#131
Freethrows+1.2#111
Improvement-2.0#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 4.2% 4.4% 1.2%
Top 6 Seed 13.7% 14.4% 5.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 55.4% 56.8% 38.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 54.7% 56.1% 37.8%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 8.7
.500 or above 94.6% 95.5% 83.6%
.500 or above in Conference 46.7% 47.9% 33.6%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 4.2% 7.2%
First Four8.7% 8.7% 8.5%
First Round50.7% 52.1% 34.0%
Second Round27.1% 28.2% 14.4%
Sweet Sixteen7.8% 8.2% 3.6%
Elite Eight2.6% 2.7% 0.9%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Sam Houston St. (Home) - 92.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 26 - 310 - 11
Quad 34 - 014 - 11
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 296 Oral Roberts W 95-71 97%     1 - 0 +13.6 -2.0 +11.3
  Sun, Nov 9 60 Texas A&M W 87-63 68%     2 - 0 +30.3 +12.9 +16.5
  Wed, Nov 12 332 Prairie View W 94-67 98%     3 - 0 +13.8 +4.8 +5.8
  Sun, Nov 16 226 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 85-69 94%     4 - 0 +9.0 +2.1 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 19 81 South Florida W 103-95 75%     5 - 0 +12.1 +15.9 -5.0
  Sat, Nov 22 270 Nicholls St. W 95-81 96%     6 - 0 +5.2 +6.8 -3.6
  Thu, Nov 27 56 Northwestern W 86-81 56%     7 - 0 +14.6 +12.8 +1.6
  Tue, Dec 2 170 Sam Houston St. W 91-76 92%    
  Sat, Dec 6 98 Grand Canyon W 85-79 70%    
  Sat, Dec 13 52 Oklahoma W 86-85 53%    
  Thu, Dec 18 335 UMKC W 95-70 99%    
  Sun, Dec 21 324 Cal St. Fullerton W 102-79 98%    
  Mon, Dec 29 217 Bethune-Cookman W 91-73 95%    
  Sat, Jan 3 24 @Texas Tech L 78-85 27%    
  Tue, Jan 6 68 Central Florida W 92-86 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 4 @Iowa St. L 76-88 14%    
  Tue, Jan 13 28 Baylor W 86-85 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 54 Kansas St. W 92-88 65%    
  Tue, Jan 20 51 @TCU L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 4 Iowa St. L 79-85 30%    
  Sat, Jan 31 125 @Utah W 86-81 68%    
  Wed, Feb 4 7 BYU L 80-85 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 11 @Arizona L 79-90 17%    
  Tue, Feb 10 83 @Arizona St. W 85-84 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 51 TCU W 82-78 64%    
  Wed, Feb 18 18 Kansas L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 72 @Colorado W 85-84 51%    
  Tue, Feb 24 71 West Virginia W 78-72 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 65 @Cincinnati L 81-82 48%    
  Tue, Mar 3 68 @Central Florida W 89-88 49%    
  Sat, Mar 7 5 Houston L 71-77 30%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.5 0.7 0.1 5.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 3.7 1.3 0.1 7.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.4 2.7 0.2 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.8 0.5 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 5.4 1.3 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.8 5.1 2.4 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.2 3.6 0.5 8.9 10th
11th 0.1 2.6 4.4 0.9 0.1 8.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 4.5 1.8 0.1 7.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.6 0.3 6.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 5.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.1 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 4.6 7.9 11.0 12.8 13.3 13.9 11.7 9.1 5.7 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 86.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 62.7% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 24.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 8.2% 91.8% 2.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.8% 100.0% 15.4% 84.6% 3.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.9% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 4.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.4% 99.6% 7.0% 92.6% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 5.7% 99.5% 4.5% 95.0% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
11-7 9.1% 98.0% 2.4% 95.5% 7.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.5 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 97.9%
10-8 11.7% 94.0% 1.4% 92.6% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 3.0 2.8 1.5 0.4 0.7 94.0%
9-9 13.9% 83.4% 1.1% 82.3% 9.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.1 3.5 3.3 1.4 0.0 2.3 83.2%
8-10 13.3% 56.3% 0.3% 56.1% 10.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.7 2.9 0.1 5.8 56.2%
7-11 12.8% 26.7% 0.1% 26.6% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.2 0.2 9.4 26.6%
6-12 11.0% 8.2% 0.1% 8.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 10.1 8.1%
5-13 7.9% 0.4% 0.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9 0.4%
4-14 4.6% 4.6
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 55.4% 1.4% 53.9% 8.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.3 3.9 5.6 7.6 8.3 9.1 8.8 7.6 0.4 44.6 54.7%