Rice
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#213
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#289
Pace64.5#307
Improvement-0.4#216

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#226
First Shot-0.6#190
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#255
Layup/Dunks-6.7#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#32
Freethrows-2.2#308
Improvement-0.7#256

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#210
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#246
Layups/Dunks+0.9#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#75
Freethrows-2.7#319
Improvement+0.3#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.2
.500 or above 7.6% 10.7% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 20.9% 23.8% 16.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 21.6% 19.0% 25.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Home) - 58.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 33 - 94 - 16
Quad 47 - 410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 80 @Oregon L 63-67 11%     0 - 1 +6.2 -1.5 +7.5
  Tue, Nov 11 139 Stephen F. Austin L 69-81 43%     0 - 2 -13.7 -1.2 -12.9
  Fri, Nov 14 308 East Texas A&M W 71-64 77%     1 - 2 -4.0 -1.0 -2.6
  Mon, Nov 17 14 @Tennessee L 66-91 2%     1 - 3 -4.1 +3.9 -8.6
  Thu, Nov 20 195 Tarleton St. L 74-90 57%     1 - 4 -21.2 -6.0 -14.3
  Mon, Nov 24 163 Kennesaw St. L 84-89 OT 40%     1 - 5 -5.7 -1.9 -3.2
  Tue, Nov 25 164 @Florida Gulf Coast L 63-78 OT 29%     1 - 6 -12.7 -18.0 +7.0
  Wed, Nov 26 296 Oral Roberts W 81-62 65%     2 - 6 +11.6 +13.4 +0.7
  Wed, Dec 3 203 Texas St. W 67-65 59%    
  Sat, Dec 13 172 Arkansas St. W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Dec 20 264 @Pepperdine L 69-70 46%    
  Wed, Dec 31 91 @Tulsa L 65-77 13%    
  Sat, Jan 3 70 Memphis L 68-76 23%    
  Wed, Jan 7 92 @Wichita St. L 64-76 14%    
  Sun, Jan 11 196 Charlotte W 70-68 57%    
  Wed, Jan 14 231 @Texas San Antonio L 71-73 42%    
  Wed, Jan 21 148 Temple L 74-75 49%    
  Sun, Jan 25 91 Tulsa L 68-74 28%    
  Wed, Jan 28 259 @East Carolina L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 196 @Charlotte L 67-71 36%    
  Wed, Feb 4 123 North Texas L 63-66 39%    
  Sun, Feb 8 107 @UAB L 68-79 17%    
  Wed, Feb 11 111 Florida Atlantic L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 259 East Carolina W 73-68 67%    
  Sun, Feb 22 152 @Tulane L 69-75 29%    
  Wed, Feb 25 81 South Florida L 73-80 26%    
  Sun, Mar 1 148 @Temple L 71-77 29%    
  Wed, Mar 4 123 @North Texas L 60-69 21%    
  Sun, Mar 8 231 Texas San Antonio W 74-70 62%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 2.3 0.7 0.1 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.4 3.0 4.4 1.1 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.6 2.3 0.2 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.4 3.3 0.3 13.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.3 4.1 0.8 0.0 14.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 15.2 12th
13th 0.3 1.5 3.5 4.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 13.1 13th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.1 8.0 11.8 14.1 14.6 13.4 11.3 8.8 5.7 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 86.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 62.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 13.6% 13.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 10.4% 10.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.8% 8.3% 8.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.8% 2.9% 2.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 1.8
11-7 3.3% 3.1% 3.1% 13.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.2
10-8 5.7% 2.5% 2.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.5
9-9 8.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
8-10 11.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.3
7-11 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 14.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.1
4-14 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
3-15 8.0% 8.0
2-16 4.1% 4.1
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 99.5 0.0%