Richmond
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#115
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#148
Pace68.3#227
Improvement-0.7#241

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#108
First Shot+3.9#72
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#257
Layup/Dunks-2.2#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#111
Freethrows+4.4#14
Improvement-1.2#288

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#149
First Shot+0.7#137
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks+5.9#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#291
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement+0.4#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.0% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.5 11.4 11.9
.500 or above 77.1% 83.8% 61.4%
.500 or above in Conference 51.3% 55.5% 41.6%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.7% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.8% 5.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round3.3% 3.9% 2.1%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Neutral) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 53 - 8
Quad 36 - 49 - 12
Quad 49 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 259 East Carolina W 87-72 86%     1 - 0 +6.7 +7.4 -1.5
  Tue, Nov 11 130 William & Mary W 90-86 66%     2 - 0 +3.1 +8.3 -5.6
  Wed, Nov 19 342 VMI W 87-54 94%     3 - 0 +18.8 +11.6 +9.2
  Sat, Nov 22 356 Gardner-Webb W 102-67 95%     4 - 0 +19.0 +15.5 +1.2
  Thu, Nov 27 160 Furman L 72-73 64%     4 - 1 -1.5 -0.5 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 28 196 Charlotte W 75-69 70%    
  Wed, Dec 3 94 @Belmont L 73-78 30%    
  Sat, Dec 6 216 Old Dominion W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Dec 13 142 Southern Illinois W 76-71 68%    
  Wed, Dec 17 190 @Elon W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Dec 20 358 The Citadel W 83-63 97%    
  Sun, Dec 28 282 Charleston Southern W 82-69 88%    
  Wed, Dec 31 62 George Washington L 79-82 40%    
  Sun, Jan 4 212 @Fordham W 71-67 62%    
  Wed, Jan 7 119 @St. Bonaventure L 69-72 41%    
  Sun, Jan 11 175 Saint Joseph's W 80-72 75%    
  Wed, Jan 14 214 La Salle W 78-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 50 @Saint Louis L 72-82 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 106 Rhode Island W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 62 @George Washington L 76-85 22%    
  Tue, Jan 27 53 @Virginia Commonwealth L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 135 Davidson W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Feb 7 106 @Rhode Island L 72-76 36%    
  Tue, Feb 10 74 George Mason L 70-72 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 53 Virginia Commonwealth L 72-76 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 135 @Davidson L 70-72 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 119 St. Bonaventure W 72-69 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 265 @Loyola Chicago W 75-69 70%    
  Tue, Mar 3 78 Dayton L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Mar 7 126 @Duquesne L 79-81 42%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 3.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.0 0.7 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.9 4.5 1.4 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.1 2.5 0.2 9.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.1 3.9 0.4 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.5 4.5 1.3 0.1 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.6 1.3 0.1 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.4 1.0 0.1 5.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 3.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.3 6.5 9.4 12.0 13.3 13.4 11.6 10.0 7.4 4.7 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 89.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 75.3% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 45.0% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 10.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 69.2% 41.0% 28.2% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.8%
16-2 0.4% 50.0% 25.4% 24.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 33.0%
15-3 1.1% 24.7% 20.8% 3.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 4.9%
14-4 2.6% 17.1% 15.1% 2.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 2.3%
13-5 4.7% 12.9% 12.1% 0.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.1 1.0%
12-6 7.4% 7.9% 7.9% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 6.8
11-7 10.0% 5.6% 5.6% 11.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 9.5
10-8 11.6% 1.9% 1.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 11.4
9-9 13.4% 1.2% 1.2% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.3
8-10 13.3% 1.0% 1.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.1
7-11 12.0% 0.8% 0.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.9
6-12 9.4% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4
5-13 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 6.5
4-14 4.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.2% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.6 0.3%