Richmond
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.1 #116
Expected Predictive Rating +2.7 #124
Pace 70.0 #154
Improvement -2.9 #313

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #100 B D- C+ A F
Defense #159 C+ C- C B A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #334 1.28 #69 -2.2 #261
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #56 0.74 #188 +2.4 #67
Three Pointers 41% #176 1.21 #4 +4.2 #48
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #61 +4.4 #61
Freethrows 20.8 #29 76% #76 15.8 #23
Second Chance 27.2% #272 0.89 #334 0.24 #322
Turnovers 15.6% #121
Total Offense +2.9 #100

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #352 1.25 #289 +4.2 #54
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #64 0.79 #242 -2.1 #328
Three Pointers 46% #47 0.92 #70 -0.6 #204
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #128 +1.6 #127
Freethrows 15.6 #101 67% #21 10.5 #306
Second Chance 28.2% #99 1.24 #346 0.35 #255
Turnovers 17.0% #150
Total Defense +0.2 #159

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.7% #328 -2.5% #26
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 11.6% #31 -0.6% #170
Possession Length 16.9 #134 17.3 #184
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #40 0.16 #121
Improvement -0.9 #234 -2.0 #302

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.7% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 12.1
.500 or above 89.9% 92.9% 78.4%
.500 or above in Conference 50.7% 56.5% 27.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.7% 5.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 1.7% 0.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 79.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 43 - 6
Quad 37 - 511 - 11
Quad 48 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 262 East Carolina W 87 - 72 86% +10  1 - 0 +6 +8 A- F B+ -2 C+ C D
 Tue, Nov 11 138 William & Mary W 90 - 86 68% +1  2 - 0 +2 +9 F A+ B- -7 A- D F
 Wed, Nov 19 339 VMI W 87 - 54 94% +21  3 - 0 +19 +12 A+ F A- +9 C D A+
 Sat, Nov 22 362 Gardner-Webb W 102 - 67 97% +28  4 - 0 +16 +13 B+ C- B+ +0 F B B+
 Thu, Nov 27 147 Furman L 72 - 73 59% -6  4 - 1 -0 +1 B+ D- F -1 C F A
 Fri, Nov 28 170 Charlotte W 71 - 66 65% +8  5 - 1 +4 -0 C+ D- D +5 B+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 79 @Belmont W 84 - 76 24% -0  6 - 1 +18 +10 A+ F B- +8 A+ D- B
 Sat, Dec 6 244 Old Dominion W 86 - 77 84% +4  7 - 1 +1 +4 C- C+ A+ -3 B+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 13 126 Southern Illinois W 93 - 84 OT 66% +2  8 - 1 +8 +3 A+ F B+ +3 A+ D A+
 Wed, Dec 17 169 @Elon L 70 - 73 54% +2  8 - 2 -1 -2 B+ C+ F +0 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 358 The Citadel W 80 - 56 96% +11  9 - 2 +6 +2 B+ F B- +6 C- A- A+
 Sun, Dec 28 217 Charleston Southern L 72 - 77 81% -4  9 - 3 -11 -5 C F C- -6 B F C
 Wed, Dec 31 60 George Washington L 85 - 99 39% -10  9 - 4 0 - 1 -8 +18 A+ D+ A+ -27 F F D+
 Sun, Jan 4 183 @Fordham W 83 - 75 56% +2  10 - 4 1 - 1 +9 +20 A+ C+ A+ -10 D+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 7 127 @St. Bonaventure W 89 - 80 43% +7  11 - 4 2 - 1 +14 +17 B+ C+ B -3 A+ F F
 Sun, Jan 11 175 Saint Joseph's L 65 - 67 75% -8  11 - 5 2 - 2 -6 -7 F F A+ +1 C B C-
 Wed, Jan 14 208 La Salle W 78 - 69 80%
 Sat, Jan 17 32 @Saint Louis L 74 - 88 9%
 Wed, Jan 21 123 Rhode Island W 74 - 70 64%
 Sat, Jan 24 60 @George Washington L 77 - 86 20%
 Tue, Jan 27 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 74 - 84 17%
 Sat, Jan 31 149 Davidson W 74 - 68 70%
 Sat, Feb 7 123 @Rhode Island L 71 - 73 41%
 Tue, Feb 10 86 George Mason L 73 - 74 48%
 Sat, Feb 14 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 77 - 81 34%
 Wed, Feb 18 149 @Davidson L 71 - 72 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 127 St. Bonaventure W 78 - 74 65%
 Sat, Feb 28 259 @Loyola Chicago W 79 - 73 70%
 Tue, Mar 3 70 Dayton L 72 - 74 43%
 Sat, Mar 7 132 @Duquesne L 80 - 81 45%
Totals 18 - 12 9 - 9 +3 +3 B D- C+ +0 C+ C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.1 2.2 0.2 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.4 4.6 0.7 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 8.0 7.1 1.4 0.1 18.4 6th
7th 0.9 6.6 7.4 1.6 0.0 16.5 7th
8th 0.2 3.8 7.3 1.8 0.1 13.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 5.8 2.6 0.2 10.3 9th
10th 0.5 3.9 3.1 0.3 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.9 0.8 0.0 3.4 12th
13th 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.7 4.4 10.0 14.2 18.6 18.6 15.2 9.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 18.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.5% 8.7% 8.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.8% 5.7% 5.7% 11.2 0.1 0.0 1.7
12-6 4.9% 6.0% 6.0% 11.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.6
11-7 9.8% 3.4% 3.4% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.4
10-8 15.2% 2.2% 2.2% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 14.8
9-9 18.6% 0.9% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 18.4
8-10 18.6% 0.8% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 18.5
7-11 14.2% 0.4% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.2
6-12 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
5-13 4.4% 4.4
4-14 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 11.8 98.5 0.0%