Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.1 #175
Expected Predictive Rating -0.1 #166
Pace 69.5 #178
Improvement +3.5 #36

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #246 D C C C B-
Defense #115 C+ C D+ A- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #232 1.17 #171 -0.9 #218
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #292 0.62 #331 -3.1 #321
Three Pointers 48% #49 0.84 #341 -0.4 #197
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #302 -4.4 #301
Freethrows 16.4 #241 78% #38 12.8 #168
Second Chance 33.4% #109 1.01 #231 0.34 #141
Turnovers 16.4% #162
Total Offense -2.8 #246

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #277 1.16 #172 +2.2 #106
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #32 0.76 #178 -2.5 #339
Three Pointers 38% #257 1.02 #197 +1.4 #132
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #146 +1.0 #148
Freethrows 13.5 #27 73% #186 9.8 #337
Second Chance 32.3% #248 1.04 #180 0.34 #228
Turnovers 14.9% #280
Total Defense +1.7 #115

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #111 -2.2% #36
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.8% #329 0.1% #185
Possession Length 17.7 #209 17.2 #173
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #174 0.18 #216
Improvement +0.2 #168 +3.2 #26

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.1
.500 or above 32.8% 45.8% 19.9%
.500 or above in Conference 32.0% 44.9% 19.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 2.1% 8.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Home) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 34 - 56 - 14
Quad 48 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 326 Lafayette W 85 - 76 87% +6  1 - 0 -4 +6 F A+ B+ -10 C F F
 Sat, Nov 8 238 Drexel W 76 - 65 73% +1  2 - 0 +4 -0 D- F C+ +4 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 12 64 @Virginia Tech L 59 - 94 12% -20  2 - 1 -23 -11 F C+ F -10 F D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 206 @Penn L 74 - 83 45% -1  2 - 2 -9 -5 D+ F D- -3 F A+ B+
 Thu, Nov 20 134 @UNLV L 85 - 99 30% -4  2 - 3 -10 +4 C+ F A -12 C F D+
 Sun, Nov 30 221 Princeton W 60 - 58 58% +1  3 - 3 -1 -5 F A+ F +4 C- D A-
 Sat, Dec 6 140 Temple W 70 - 69 42% +2  4 - 3 +2 +2 F A+ F -0 C C+ A+
 Tue, Dec 9 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 65 97% +14  5 - 3 -1 +6 C- C C+ -7 F A+ F
 Thu, Dec 11 61 @Syracuse L 63 - 71 11% -2  5 - 4 +4 -3 F C C- +7 A C D+
 Thu, Dec 18 356 Delaware St. W 67 - 51 92% +12  6 - 4 -1 -6 F C C- +6 A D- C+
 Mon, Dec 22 268 Coastal Carolina L 62 - 68 78% -2  6 - 5 -15 -15 F F F -0 C F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 32 @Saint Louis L 79 - 102 5% -12  6 - 6 0 - 1 -6 +20 C+ A+ A+ -28 F B F
 Sat, Jan 3 149 Davidson L 56 - 62 55% +5  6 - 7 0 - 2 -8 -8 F B D+ -1 A+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 132 Duquesne W 97 - 90 OT 52% -0  7 - 7 1 - 2 +6 +9 A+ C B -5 C- D+ C
 Sun, Jan 11 116 @Richmond W 67 - 65 25% +8  8 - 7 2 - 2 +8 -4 C- D B- +12 A+ B F
 Wed, Jan 14 127 St. Bonaventure L 72 - 73 50%
 Mon, Jan 19 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67 - 82 9%
 Sat, Jan 24 70 Dayton L 66 - 72 28%
 Tue, Jan 27 259 @Loyola Chicago W 72 - 71 55%
 Sat, Jan 31 208 @La Salle L 69 - 70 46%
 Wed, Feb 4 60 George Washington L 74 - 81 25%
 Sat, Feb 7 86 @George Mason L 65 - 76 16%
 Tue, Feb 10 183 Fordham W 69 - 66 63%
 Wed, Feb 18 127 @St. Bonaventure L 69 - 75 29%
 Sat, Feb 21 259 Loyola Chicago W 75 - 68 76%
 Wed, Feb 25 86 George Mason L 68 - 73 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 123 @Rhode Island L 65 - 71 27%
 Wed, Mar 4 149 @Davidson L 65 - 70 33%
 Sat, Mar 7 208 La Salle W 72 - 67 68%
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 -1 -3 D C C +2 C+ C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.3 0.3 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.4 4.4 0.7 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.9 6.2 1.2 0.1 14.4 7th
8th 0.3 4.8 7.6 1.9 0.1 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 2.3 7.9 2.9 0.2 13.3 9th
10th 0.7 6.0 4.4 0.3 11.4 10th
11th 0.1 3.1 5.4 0.8 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 4.0 1.5 0.0 6.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 13th
14th 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.1 14th
Total 0.2 1.5 4.5 9.4 15.5 18.9 18.0 14.5 9.5 5.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 15.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 3.1% 3.1% 12.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 12.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
11-7 5.1% 1.2% 1.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 5.0
10-8 9.5% 0.8% 0.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
9-9 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5
8-10 18.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 18.0
7-11 18.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 18.9
6-12 15.5% 15.5
5-13 9.4% 9.4
4-14 4.5% 4.5
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.1 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%