Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#95
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#89
Pace76.6#42
Improvement-1.7#311

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#116
First Shot+1.5#135
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#145
Layup/Dunks+2.1#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#200
Freethrows+1.6#90
Improvement+0.1#175

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#82
First Shot+2.4#98
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#114
Layups/Dunks+3.5#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#176
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement-1.8#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 11.6% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.6% 11.4% 4.3%
Average Seed 9.5 9.3 9.7
.500 or above 52.5% 69.1% 44.6%
.500 or above in Conference 17.7% 23.7% 14.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.4% 12.8% 19.7%
First Four2.2% 3.3% 1.6%
First Round5.5% 9.8% 3.4%
Second Round2.1% 3.8% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Neutral) - 32.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 9
Quad 23 - 45 - 13
Quad 35 - 210 - 15
Quad 46 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 156 Portland St. W 89-79 80%     1 - 0 +6.7 +4.6 +0.8
  Sat, Nov 8 191 Montana W 91-68 84%     2 - 0 +18.1 +8.9 +7.8
  Wed, Nov 12 186 Montana St. W 77-68 83%     3 - 0 +4.2 -2.2 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 304 Louisiana W 93-66 93%     4 - 0 +16.2 +14.1 +1.6
  Fri, Nov 21 116 Seattle L 69-77 70%     4 - 1 -7.8 -4.7 -2.8
  Thu, Nov 27 103 Minnesota W 72-68 54%     5 - 1 +8.5 +8.5 +0.4
  Fri, Nov 28 50 Saint Louis L 78-83 32%    
  Mon, Dec 1 274 Portland W 85-70 91%    
  Sun, Dec 7 129 UNLV W 86-80 73%    
  Sat, Dec 13 187 @San Jose St. W 75-71 65%    
  Wed, Dec 17 184 Texas Arlington W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Dec 20 72 Colorado L 78-80 41%    
  Sat, Dec 27 220 Cal St. Northridge W 88-76 86%    
  Tue, Dec 30 66 Notre Dame W 73-72 50%    
  Fri, Jan 2 9 Louisville L 75-86 17%    
  Wed, Jan 7 63 @Virginia Tech L 75-81 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 39 @Virginia L 71-80 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 26 North Carolina L 77-83 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 2 Duke L 70-84 10%    
  Sat, Jan 24 67 California W 78-77 51%    
  Wed, Jan 28 44 @Miami (FL) L 74-83 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 55 @Florida St. L 79-86 26%    
  Wed, Feb 4 38 Clemson L 71-75 38%    
  Sat, Feb 7 104 Georgia Tech W 76-72 64%    
  Wed, Feb 11 127 @Boston College W 72-71 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 37 @Wake Forest L 73-83 19%    
  Sat, Feb 21 67 @California L 75-81 31%    
  Wed, Feb 25 99 Pittsburgh W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 42 SMU L 80-83 38%    
  Wed, Mar 4 66 @Notre Dame L 69-75 30%    
  Sat, Mar 7 29 @North Carolina St. L 78-89 17%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.1 2.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.3 2.8 7th
8th 0.4 2.3 0.9 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.8 3.5 1.0 0.0 5.4 10th
11th 0.2 2.8 3.2 0.2 6.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 4.7 1.4 0.0 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.8 3.7 0.2 8.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.6 1.1 0.0 9.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.5 2.7 0.2 10.8 15th
16th 0.1 1.7 5.3 4.1 0.6 0.0 11.8 16th
17th 0.2 1.6 4.5 4.2 1.1 0.0 11.6 17th
18th 0.5 1.9 3.3 3.0 0.9 0.1 9.8 18th
Total 0.5 2.2 5.1 9.3 12.8 14.4 14.4 13.2 10.4 7.3 4.6 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 58.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 17.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 4.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.7% 86.4% 5.0% 81.4% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 85.7%
12-6 1.7% 75.3% 1.4% 73.9% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 74.9%
11-7 3.1% 58.3% 0.9% 57.4% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.3 57.9%
10-8 4.6% 31.5% 0.4% 31.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 3.2 31.2%
9-9 7.3% 13.9% 0.4% 13.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.0 6.3 13.5%
8-10 10.4% 2.9% 0.1% 2.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.1 2.8%
7-11 13.2% 0.4% 0.4% 11.1 0.1 0.0 13.2 0.4%
6-12 14.4% 14.4
5-13 14.4% 14.4
4-14 12.8% 12.8
3-15 9.3% 9.3
2-16 5.1% 5.1
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 6.8% 0.2% 6.6% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.0 0.1 93.2 6.6%