Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +12.9 #40
Expected Predictive Rating +12.7 #42
Pace 78.3 #17
Improvement +4.2 #22

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #46 A- C+ B- B+ A-
Defense #42 C C+ A+ C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #130 1.26 #82 +3.1 #83
2 Pt. Jumpers 11% #340 0.87 #45 -2.9 #315
Three Pointers 49% #44 1.10 #64 +6.1 #26
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #36 +6.3 #37
Freethrows 19.9 #70 74% #144 14.7 #63
Second Chance 34.5% #74 1.01 #230 0.35 #117
Turnovers 15.2% #103
Total Offense +7.1 #46

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #296 1.09 #95 +3.6 #71
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #175 0.77 #206 -0.1 #190
Three Pointers 45% #61 1.04 #218 -2.9 #294
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #161 +0.6 #161
Freethrows 17.0 #174 72% #141 12.2 #197
Second Chance 29.3% #123 1.05 #190 0.31 #147
Turnovers 20.9% #16
Total Defense +5.7 #42

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.7% #31 -0.6% #120
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 9.4% #49 -0.7% #167
Possession Length 14.7 #13 17.8 #266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #120 0.16 #123
Improvement +1.5 #93 +2.7 #46

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.6% 2.8% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 11.1% 17.5% 6.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 66.9% 79.6% 58.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.1% 78.9% 57.3%
Average Seed 8.3 7.9 8.7
.500 or above 98.5% 99.7% 97.6%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 86.3% 63.6%
Conference Champion 3.1% 5.5% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four8.5% 6.5% 9.9%
First Round62.6% 76.2% 53.1%
Second Round32.2% 40.8% 26.1%
Sweet Sixteen8.2% 10.9% 6.2%
Elite Eight2.6% 3.6% 2.0%
Final Four0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Away) - 41.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 9
Quad 26 - 210 - 12
Quad 33 - 013 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 276 Northwestern St. W 98 - 68 97% +19  1 - 0 +20 +12 D+ A B- +6 B+ C+ A-
 Thu, Nov 6 334 Texas Southern W 104 - 70 98% +12  2 - 0 +20 +16 A+ D+ A+ +1 F C A+
 Sun, Nov 9 62 @Oklahoma St. L 63 - 87 53% -14  2 - 1 -12 -8 F F F -3 C B- D
 Fri, Nov 14 50 Central Florida L 74 - 86 70% +2  2 - 2 -4 -1 F A C- -2 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 186 Montana W 86 - 81 94% +10  3 - 2 +0 +11 A+ F C -11 F A C+
 Fri, Nov 21 312 Manhattan W 109 - 68 98% +21  4 - 2 +29 +21 A+ D- A+ +6 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120 - 84 100% +23  5 - 2 +9 +15 B+ C C -12 F B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 117 Florida St. W 95 - 59 83% +22  6 - 2 +39 +15 A A+ C+ +21 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 88 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 73 63% +4  7 - 2 +18 +18 B A+ A -0 B F C+
 Sun, Dec 7 30 SMU L 80 - 93 OT 43% -5  7 - 3 +2 -2 C C- C +6 A+ D D-
 Sun, Dec 14 305 Jacksonville W 112 - 75 98% +24  8 - 3 +26 +26 A+ A+ C -3 F C+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 321 East Texas A&M W 118 - 77 98% +22  9 - 3 +28 +22 A+ A+ C+ -1 A+ C+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 317 Prairie View W 111 - 82 98% +22  10 - 3 +17 +12 A C+ B+ -1 C+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 3 44 LSU W 75 - 72 65% +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +12 +3 A- C F +9 A A- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 27 @Auburn W 90 - 88 31% -0  12 - 3 2 - 0 +20 +19 A+ A+ C +1 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 54 Oklahoma W 83 - 76 71% +1  13 - 3 3 - 0 +14 +10 B F A+ +4 B D A+
 Tue, Jan 13 20 @Tennessee L 82 - 87 2OT 26% +3  13 - 4 3 - 1 +14 +7 A F A- +8 A+ A- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 41 @Texas L 83 - 85 41%
 Wed, Jan 21 66 Mississippi St. W 84 - 77 76%
 Sat, Jan 24 69 South Carolina W 81 - 73 77%
 Sat, Jan 31 23 @Georgia L 86 - 92 28%
 Tue, Feb 3 14 @Alabama L 88 - 96 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 12 Florida L 80 - 84 36%
 Wed, Feb 11 53 Missouri W 85 - 79 70%
 Sat, Feb 14 9 @Vanderbilt L 79 - 89 17%
 Wed, Feb 18 65 Mississippi W 80 - 73 75%
 Sat, Feb 21 54 @Oklahoma L 81 - 82 49%
 Wed, Feb 25 26 @Arkansas L 84 - 90 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 41 Texas W 86 - 82 63%
 Tue, Mar 3 25 Kentucky W 81 - 80 52%
 Sat, Mar 7 44 @LSU L 80 - 82 42%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 8 +13 +7 A- C+ B- +6 C C+ A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.7 3.3 0.3 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.3 4.9 5.3 0.9 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 2.3 7.3 2.1 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 6.1 4.2 0.3 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 6.1 1.0 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.5 4.9 2.5 0.1 8.0 9th
10th 0.1 2.1 3.8 0.5 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.2 1.2 0.0 4.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 15th
16th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 8.1 13.5 17.7 18.8 16.0 11.0 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 77.0% 0.6    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 46.9% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.2% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 18.5% 81.5% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.8% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.5% 100.0% 9.7% 90.3% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 5.9% 99.4% 7.9% 91.5% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-6 11.0% 97.9% 5.3% 92.6% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.5 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 97.8%
11-7 16.0% 93.8% 2.2% 91.6% 8.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.9 5.0 3.8 1.8 0.3 1.0 93.6%
10-8 18.8% 83.0% 1.4% 81.6% 9.0 0.1 0.2 1.4 3.6 4.7 4.4 1.3 3.2 82.8%
9-9 17.7% 64.2% 1.1% 63.0% 9.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.7 4.5 2.9 0.0 6.3 63.8%
8-10 13.5% 29.8% 0.6% 29.3% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 0.1 9.5 29.4%
7-11 8.1% 8.4% 0.1% 8.4% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 7.5 8.4%
6-12 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 0.8%
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 66.9% 2.4% 64.6% 8.3 33.1 66.1%