Air Force
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#286
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#349
Pace58.3#362
Improvement+0.2#175

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#240
First Shot-1.2#211
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#257
Layup/Dunks-2.6#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#57
Freethrows-1.5#264
Improvement+0.2#167

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#301
First Shot-2.3#249
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#289
Layups/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#227
Freethrows+0.0#198
Improvement+0.1#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 52.3% 49.1% 57.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Neutral) - 60.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 5
Quad 21 - 71 - 12
Quad 32 - 83 - 20
Quad 44 - 57 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 214   North Alabama L 57-73 47%     0 - 1 -21.6 -12.4 -11.1
  Nov 07, 2024 174   Jacksonville St. W 73-67 40%     1 - 1 +2.2 +4.3 -1.6
  Nov 11, 2024 342   LIU Brooklyn L 54-63 78%     1 - 2 -23.5 -15.0 -10.1
  Nov 15, 2024 132   Belmont L 71-79 32%     1 - 3 -9.5 +2.2 -12.5
  Nov 21, 2024 109   @ California L 69-78 11%     1 - 4 -2.2 +1.8 -4.6
  Nov 24, 2024 361   Mercyhurst W 82-48 85%     2 - 4 +16.3 +17.9 +5.1
  Nov 27, 2024 320   Sacramento St. L 61-63 70%     2 - 5 -13.9 -10.4 -3.7
  Nov 30, 2024 136   @ Wright St. L 57-70 15%     2 - 6 -8.6 -9.2 -1.0
  Dec 02, 2024 198   @ Miami (OH) L 60-73 23%     2 - 7 -11.7 -3.5 -9.9
  Dec 07, 2024 327   Stony Brook W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 16, 2024 180   @ Northern Colorado L 67-75 21%    
  Dec 21, 2024 53   @ Boise St. L 57-76 4%    
  Dec 31, 2024 104   UNLV L 61-69 24%    
  Jan 04, 2025 177   Wyoming L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 07, 2025 37   @ San Diego St. L 52-74 2%    
  Jan 11, 2025 194   San Jose St. L 64-66 43%    
  Jan 14, 2025 48   @ Nevada L 54-74 3%    
  Jan 17, 2025 255   @ Fresno St. L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 22, 2025 37   San Diego St. L 55-71 8%    
  Jan 25, 2025 52   Utah St. L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 28, 2025 99   @ Colorado St. L 57-72 9%    
  Feb 01, 2025 194   @ San Jose St. L 61-69 24%    
  Feb 04, 2025 48   Nevada L 57-71 11%    
  Feb 08, 2025 65   New Mexico L 66-79 13%    
  Feb 11, 2025 104   @ UNLV L 58-72 11%    
  Feb 18, 2025 177   @ Wyoming L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 22, 2025 255   Fresno St. W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 25, 2025 99   Colorado St. L 60-69 21%    
  Mar 01, 2025 65   @ New Mexico L 63-82 5%    
  Mar 04, 2025 53   Boise St. L 60-73 12%    
  Mar 08, 2025 52   @ Utah St. L 59-78 5%    
Projected Record 6 - 25 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.3 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.1 6.6 3.7 1.2 0.1 17.9 9th
10th 0.4 4.2 10.7 9.5 4.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 29.8 10th
11th 3.7 11.1 13.4 8.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 38.8 11th
Total 3.7 11.5 17.6 19.9 17.2 13.0 8.1 4.8 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.6% 0.6
9-11 1.1% 1.1
8-12 2.3% 2.3
7-13 4.8% 4.8
6-14 8.1% 8.1
5-15 13.0% 13.0
4-16 17.2% 17.2
3-17 19.9% 19.9
2-18 17.6% 17.6
1-19 11.5% 11.5
0-20 3.7% 3.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%