Akron
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.5 76
Expected Predictive Rating +6.9 85
Pace 75.6 27
Improvement -4.7 342

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 53 B A- B- D+ B-
Defense C+ 140 C C- B- C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 154 B 64% 64 +2.6 90
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 290 B- 41% 72 -1.4 259
Three Pointers 45% 91 B- 36% 92 +3.7 62
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 89 B +4.0 58
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 50
Second Chance B- 33.0% 102 A 1.26 8 A- 0.42 24
Turnovers B- 15.7% 112
Freethrows D 0.26 322 B 76% 44 D+ 0.20 272
Total Offense B +6.5 53

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 57% 53 C+ 10.4% 140
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 301 C- 6.1% 255
Three Pointers D 79% 294 C- 1.1% 237
Total C+ 59% 105 C 5.5% 182

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 206 C 57% 165 -0.7 149
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 236 B- 35% 82 -1.3 90
Three Pointers 44% 95 D+ 36% 257 +2.5 298
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 208 C +0.3 190
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 195
Second Chance D+ 32.6% 274 C+ 1.00 127 C- 0.32 222
Turnovers B- 18.6% 75
Freethrows B- 0.28 101 C- 73% 231 C+ 0.20 116
Total Defense C+ +1.0 140

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 91 D 7.8% 311
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 41 C 5.1% 156
Three Pointers C- 85% 207 C+ 1.1% 117
Total C 55% 162 D+ 4.4% 279

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 36 17.5 224
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 54 0.16 133
Improvement -6.1 #362 +1.4 #107

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 92 76 59
Conference Record 15 - 3 16 - 2 17 - 1
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40% 40% 36%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.9 12.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 36% 39% 10%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round40% 40% 36%
Second Round6% 7% 4%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 90.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 38 - 28 - 6
Quad 417 - 025 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 210 James Madison W 85 - 71 89% +0  49% 1 - 0 B +8 C+ +3 F+ A+ B- B +4 C+ B A+
 Sat, Nov 8 250 Princeton W 104 - 69 92% +20  93% 2 - 0 A+ +27 A +14 A A A A +9 C A+ B-
 Sun, Nov 16 8 @Purdue L 79 - 97 7% -12  9% 2 - 1 B- +6 A- +10 C- A+ A C- -3 B- F A
 Fri, Nov 21 249 Iona W 96 - 75 87% +18  98% 3 - 1 A- +16 A- +10 A- A B B +4 B F+ A
 Sun, Nov 23 298 Evansville W 97 - 59 92% +13  87% 4 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +19 A A+ C A +11 B+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 81 Yale L 94 - 97 52% -6  2% 4 - 2 C+ +4 A+ +23 A+ A+ D F -19 F D+ D-
 Sat, Nov 29 269 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 105 - 81 93% +13  91% 5 - 2 A- +15 A +13 A+ B- D- C -1 B F B-
 Wed, Dec 3 330 Bucknell W 97 - 77 97% +11  80% 6 - 2 B- +6 A+ +18 A B+ A+ F -12 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 163 @Tulane W 88 - 71 68% +8  76% 7 - 2 A +20 A +13 A A+ D B+ +6 A- C+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 124 Murray St. L 100 - 115 68% -9  5% 7 - 3 D- -12 B+ +8 A- D- A+ F -18 F D- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 244 Eastern Michigan W 93 - 72 91% +15  97% 8 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +15 B A+ A C- -2 A+ F+ F+
 Sat, Jan 3 85 @Miami (OH) L 73 - 76 41% +1  58% 8 - 4 1 - 1 B- +7 C- -2 D- A+ F+ A +9 A+ F A+
 Tue, Jan 6 274 Central Michigan W 82 - 69 93% +10  95% 9 - 4 2 - 1 C+ +3 C +0 A+ A F B- +3 D+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 9 166 @Bowling Green W 77 - 67 68% +11  97% 10 - 4 3 - 1 B+ +13 C+ +3 C- A- D+ A +10 C B+ A-
 Tue, Jan 13 313 Ball St. W 87 - 77 96% +11  95% 11 - 4 4 - 1 C- -2 A- +10 B B+ A+ F -12 F D- D
 Sat, Jan 17 284 Western Michigan W 104 - 89 94% +2  56% 12 - 4 5 - 1 B- +5 A+ +24 A+ A+ B- F -19 F F+ C+
 Tue, Jan 20 213 @Buffalo W 82 - 63 76% +17  97% 13 - 4 6 - 1 A +19 B- +4 B- C- C- A+ +15 A+ B B
 Fri, Jan 23 208 @Ohio W 86 - 65 76% +15  99% 14 - 4 7 - 1 A +21 B +6 B- D C A+ +14 A+ C F+
 Tue, Jan 27 169 Toledo W 91 - 81 85% +0  53% 15 - 4 8 - 1 B- +6 A +11 B- A+ C+ D -5 F C A+
 Fri, Jan 30 145 Kent St. W 69 - 52 82% +11  94% 16 - 4 9 - 1 A- +15 D- -6 C+ D- D- A+ +22 A+ B B+
 Tue, Feb 3 244 @Eastern Michigan W 66 - 64 80% -0  52% 17 - 4 10 - 1 C +1 D- -7 F B D A- +8 D+ C- A
 Sat, Feb 7 146 @Troy L 69 - 79 64% -3  34% 17 - 5 D+ -6 C +1 C D A+ F+ -9 D+ D+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 182 Massachusetts W 99 - 92 86% +5  84% 18 - 5 11 - 1 C+ +3 A- +10 C+ A- B+ F+ -8 F B+ B-
 Tue, Feb 17 284 @Western Michigan W 90 - 73 86% +13  95% 19 - 5 12 - 1 B+ +13 A +13 A D B+ C+ +1 D- A+ F+
 Fri, Feb 20 313 @Ball St. W 78 - 65 90% +7  86% 20 - 5 13 - 1 B- +7 B- +5 D+ D+ A- B- +2 F+ D A-
 Tue, Feb 24 213 Buffalo W 89 - 76 90%
 Sat, Feb 28 145 @Kent St. W 87 - 83 64%
 Tue, Mar 3 274 @Central Michigan W 86 - 75 85%
 Fri, Mar 6 319 Northern Illinois W 89 - 68 97%
Totals 23 - 6 16 - 2 +8 B +7 B+ B B- C+ +1 B- B D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B B- B- B 39% 28% 45% B- B B- A A- B- D B D+ C+ C B- D+ C 38% 19% 44% C- C D+ C+ C- B- B- C- C+
1.18 64% 41% 36% +4 +1 1.12 33% 1.3 .42 16% .26 76% .20 1.07 57% 35% 36% 0 0 1.03 33% 1.0 .32 19% .28 73% .19
Nov
3		 James Madison C+ F A+ F F 51% 6% 43% A+ F+ A- A A+ B- A A A+ B B+ A+ F B- 42% 10% 48% F+ C+ D A+ B A+ B+ F D+
1.18 42% 67% 27% -11 +3 0.86 38% 1.3 .49 11% .45 79% .36 0.99 50% 0% 40% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.8 .24 26% .25 92% .23
Nov
8		 Princeton A B+ F A+ A 40% 11% 49% B- A C+ A+ A A C A+ B- A A- C+ D C 36% 15% 49% D+ C C+ A+ A+ B- C- A+ B-
1.35 68% 29% 42% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.5 .44 9% .30 81% .24 0.89 45% 38% 37% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 19% .32 65% .21
Nov
16		 Purdue A- B F B C+ 15% 35% 51% F+ C- A A+ A+ A A- B A- C- F+ A- C- B 39% 24% 37% C- B- F D+ F A F D F
1.09 63% 26% 36% -2 -3 0.91 32% 1.7 .53 14% .27 71% .19 1.34 75% 33% 37% +7 0 1.16 58% 1.3 .73 18% .39 78% .30
Nov
21		 Iona A- A+ C- A A 40% 25% 35% D+ A- C+ A+ A B A+ D+ A B D+ B A B 37% 22% 41% B- B D+ F F+ A F B+ D
1.24 74% 36% 40% +9 0 1.19 35% 1.4 .48 14% .38 68% .26 0.97 60% 33% 27% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.3 .35 22% .33 65% .22
Nov
23		 Evansville A+ A+ A C+ A- 42% 8% 50% A A A- A+ A+ C A+ C+ A+ A C- D- A+ A- 30% 26% 44% C- B+ D F F A+ F A- F
1.39 76% 50% 36% +10 +2 1.26 40% 2.1 .84 17% .47 74% .35 0.84 62% 45% 21% -6 -1 0.88 27% 1.6 .42 26% .44 65% .29
Nov
24		 Yale A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% B A+ B A+ A+ D F D- F F F F F F 45% 22% 33% C+ F F+ B- D+ D- D+ F F
1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11 1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36
Nov
29		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A A+ A+ A+ A+ 52% 7% 41% A- A+ D+ A+ B- D- D A+ C- C B A+ C+ A- 38% 11% 51% F B F D+ F B- C+ A B
1.35 75% 75% 50% +21 +3 1.50 26% 1.5 .39 19% .29 83% .24 1.04 50% 0% 31% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.2 .44 17% .26 59% .15
Dec
3		 Bucknell A+ A A A- A 40% 15% 45% B A D A+ B+ A+ B- F C F D+ A F F 29% 14% 58% C F F A+ C+ F A+ B+ A+
1.41 73% 50% 40% +12 +1 1.27 29% 1.6 .45 7% .36 65% .24 1.12 59% 25% 38% +2 0 1.07 34% 0.7 .25 13% .12 71% .08
Dec
6		 Tulane A C A+ A+ A 32% 12% 56% B- A A- A A+ D D+ A- C B+ C+ F A+ A- 25% 19% 56% B+ A- C B+ C+ D- C+ B B
1.24 56% 50% 43% +8 +1 1.20 42% 1.2 .52 20% .30 76% .23 1.00 57% 55% 22% -7 -1 0.86 22% 1.0 .22 11% .35 73% .25
Dec
13		 Murray St. B+ C- A+ A+ A- 51% 25% 25% B- A- B- F D- A+ B B B+ F D+ F F F 37% 17% 46% C F F B+ D- A+ D- A C-
1.21 55% 56% 44% +6 0 1.15 36% 0.7 .26 10% .34 76% .26 1.40 64% 60% 56% +21 0 1.44 44% 1.0 .44 22% .39 68% .26
Dec
19		 Eastern Michigan A+ A- A+ F B- 65% 12% 23% A+ B A A+ A+ A F A+ D- C- A+ A- B+ A+ 55% 13% 32% F A+ F C- F+ F+ F A F
1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19 1.01 38% 29% 29% -14 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28
Jan
3		 Miami (OH) C- B D- F F+ 32% 11% 57% B D- B- A+ A+ F+ F A+ D- A B- A+ A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C A+ F F F A+ F F+ F
1.02 65% 33% 27% -5 +1 0.94 32% 1.3 .43 21% .18 90% .16 1.06 58% 20% 26% -10 0 0.83 31% 1.5 .47 21% .53 83% .44
Jan
6		 Central Michigan C A A+ B A+ 44% 8% 48% B+ A+ B+ B+ A F F D F B- D A+ B- C 48% 16% 36% F D+ A+ B A+ A+ F F F
1.15 73% 75% 38% +12 +2 1.30 42% 1.3 .54 27% .17 67% .12 0.97 62% 29% 31% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.0 .18 24% .50 81% .41
Jan
9		 Bowling Green C+ B+ F C- C- 31% 13% 56% C C- B A A- D+ C- A- C+ A C+ D C- C- 43% 24% 33% A- C C- A+ B+ A- A- A A
1.07 65% 14% 32% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 19% .31 78% .24 0.93 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 28% 0.5 .15 21% .25 64% .16
Jan
13		 Ball St. A- C+ A+ C+ B- 38% 7% 55% A- B D- A+ B+ A+ C- A C+ F D F B- F 40% 14% 46% D F B- F D- D D F F+
1.26 62% 75% 35% +5 +2 1.16 27% 1.6 .42 12% .26 88% .23 1.12 60% 71% 30% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 79% .26
Jan
17		 Western Michigan A+ B C A+ A+ 33% 15% 53% C- A+ A A+ A+ B- F A+ F F D- F F F 35% 21% 44% C F F+ D F+ C+ B- A B
1.53 67% 38% 55% +20 0 1.42 41% 1.5 .62 12% .15 89% .13 1.31 61% 64% 48% +16 0 1.33 37% 1.1 .40 18% .25 64% .16
Jan
20		 Buffalo B- C D- A+ B 29% 12% 59% C- B- D C+ C- C- A- C- B+ A+ C+ C A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% B A+ D- A+ B B A+ B+ A+
1.17 60% 33% 43% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 19% .33 74% .25 0.90 56% 40% 25% -7 0 0.87 32% 0.7 .23 19% .23 69% .16
Jan
23		 Ohio B C+ A+ D B 41% 30% 30% D- B- C+ F D C A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 38% 34% 29% A- A+ B+ F C F+ F F F
1.17 59% 56% 31% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.8 .29 16% .42 77% .32 0.88 33% 32% 25% -15 -2 0.68 23% 1.2 .28 12% .42 78% .33
Jan
27		 Toledo A C+ C+ B C+ 52% 9% 39% A- B- A+ A A+ C+ C A C+ D C- A+ F F+ 52% 10% 38% F F B F+ C A+ B C- B
1.30 61% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.15 49% 1.2 .57 17% .24 79% .19 1.16 59% 0% 55% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 21% .24 77% .18
Jan
30		 Kent St. D- D+ A+ D+ B- 29% 17% 54% D+ C+ D F+ D- D- F D- F A+ A- A A+ A+ 42% 22% 36% C+ A+ F A+ B B+ C- A+ B+
1.01 53% 67% 32% +2 0 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .22 67% .14 0.76 48% 27% 0% -25 0 0.52 45% 0.7 .30 22% .39 62% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Eastern Michigan D- F C+ F+ F 31% 9% 59% B- F D A+ B D F B F+ A- F A+ F D 32% 32% 36% B+ D+ F B+ C- A D- A+ C
0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18 0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19
Feb
7		 Troy C A+ F F+ C- 35% 17% 48% C+ C F+ B- D A+ D- C- D- F+ A+ A+ F D 38% 16% 46% B D+ A- F D+ F C F D-
1.08 72% 33% 28% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 11% .23 69% .16 1.23 37% 25% 52% +2 +1 1.08 26% 1.3 .35 11% .30 88% .26
Feb
13		 Massachusetts A- A+ C+ C B- 26% 22% 52% D- C+ C A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ F F F 46% 20% 34% D F A+ F B+ B- B+ B- B+
1.27 75% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.09 27% 1.4 .39 14% .64 88% .57 1.18 62% 73% 42% +13 +1 1.29 17% 1.8 .30 20% .27 65% .18
Feb
17		 Western Michigan A B F A+ A- 49% 9% 42% B+ A A- F D B+ D B C- C+ F A+ F F 20% 35% 45% A+ D- A+ A- A+ F+ B+ D- B-
1.33 67% 0% 48% +9 +2 1.25 38% 0.8 .29 10% .26 75% .20 1.08 82% 21% 44% +6 -3 1.07 17% 0.8 .14 13% .22 77% .17
Feb
20		 Ball St. B- B C F D 46% 14% 40% B+ D+ C F+ D+ A- C- D- D+ B- A+ A+ F F+ 40% 13% 48% D- F+ D+ D- D A- A+ B A+
1.16 65% 38% 26% -2 +1 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 15% .26 73% .19 0.97 37% 17% 48% -1 +1 1.02 27% 1.0 .27 21% .17 67% .11



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 7.4 28.1 35.9 1st
2nd 0.4 9.8 32.9 20.5 63.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.5 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.9 10.1 40.3 48.6 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 57.8% 28.1    9.1 19.0
16-2 18.4% 7.4    1.3 6.2
15-3 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 35.9% 35.9 10.4 25.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 48.6% 43.1% 43.0% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 5.9 14.1 0.9 0.0 27.7 0.1%
16-2 40.3% 37.8% 37.8% 0.0% 12.1 1.6 10.6 2.9 0.1 25.1 0.0%
15-3 10.1% 32.9% 32.9% 12.3 0.1 2.0 1.1 0.1 6.8
14-4 0.9% 23.8% 23.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 39.8% 39.7% 0.0% 11.9 60.3 0.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 20.9% 100.0% 11.8 0.1 28.0 67.5 4.4 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.4% 0.2% 11.7 0.1 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.7% 0.1% 11.0 0.1