Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#226
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#309
Pace73.4#82
Improvement+2.6#25

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#161
First Shot-0.6#190
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#103
Layup/Dunks-2.6#263
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#171
Freethrows+2.5#39
Improvement+3.2#7

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#280
First Shot-1.7#235
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#277
Layups/Dunks+0.7#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#324
Freethrows+1.2#113
Improvement-0.6#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.3% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 22.7% 34.7% 16.4%
.500 or above in Conference 35.3% 42.3% 31.6%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.4% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 4.5% 7.8%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round1.7% 2.2% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 34.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 74 - 12
Quad 48 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 301   @ Western Carolina L 71-79 OT 58%     0 - 1 -12.8 -18.3 +6.8
  Nov 15, 2021 29   @ Ohio St. L 58-89 5%     0 - 2 -15.3 -11.6 -2.7
  Nov 19, 2021 251   Norfolk St. L 84-90 69%     0 - 3 -13.8 +2.8 -16.1
  Nov 23, 2021 267   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-68 61%     1 - 3 +8.4 +10.5 -1.6
  Nov 24, 2021 139   Southern Utah L 73-87 33%     1 - 4 -12.1 -3.5 -7.9
  Nov 28, 2021 355   Chicago St. W 75-57 95%     2 - 4 -3.2 -13.5 +8.8
  Dec 01, 2021 194   @ Duquesne L 73-77 34%    
  Dec 07, 2021 122   Oakland L 72-75 40%    
  Dec 19, 2021 290   Robert Morris W 81-74 75%    
  Dec 28, 2021 165   Akron W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 01, 2022 213   @ Ball St. L 77-81 37%    
  Jan 04, 2022 136   Miami (OH) L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 08, 2022 70   @ Buffalo L 77-90 12%    
  Jan 11, 2022 72   @ Ohio L 71-84 13%    
  Jan 15, 2022 116   Toledo L 77-80 39%    
  Jan 18, 2022 310   @ Northern Illinois W 72-69 59%    
  Jan 22, 2022 298   @ Western Michigan W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 25, 2022 262   Eastern Michigan W 80-74 68%    
  Jan 29, 2022 137   Kent St. L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 01, 2022 302   @ Central Michigan W 80-78 57%    
  Feb 05, 2022 310   Northern Illinois W 75-66 77%    
  Feb 08, 2022 137   @ Kent St. L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 12, 2022 136   @ Miami (OH) L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 15, 2022 70   Buffalo L 80-87 27%    
  Feb 19, 2022 213   Ball St. W 80-78 57%    
  Feb 22, 2022 165   @ Akron L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 298   Western Michigan W 78-70 74%    
  Mar 01, 2022 72   Ohio L 74-81 28%    
  Mar 04, 2022 116   @ Toledo L 74-83 22%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.8 3.2 0.8 0.1 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.4 5.9 3.2 0.6 0.0 15.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 4.8 6.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 16.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.5 4.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 3.5 1.3 0.1 9.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.5 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.5 5.0 7.2 10.1 11.8 13.5 13.0 10.8 8.7 6.9 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 91.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 77.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-4 61.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 20.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
14-6 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.2% 18.2% 18.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.6% 13.3% 13.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.3% 12.1% 12.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-6 2.5% 5.9% 5.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4
13-7 4.1% 7.1% 7.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.8
12-8 6.9% 5.7% 5.7% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.5
11-9 8.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.5 0.1 0.1 8.5
10-10 10.8% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.5
9-11 13.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.8
8-12 13.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.5
7-13 11.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.8
6-14 10.1% 10.1
5-15 7.2% 7.2
4-16 5.0% 5.0
3-17 2.5% 2.5
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 98.1 0.0%