IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Buffalo
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.6	#320
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.7	#122

Pace	73.1	#74
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#250

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#354

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.7	15.0

.500 or above	11.6%	16.2%	4.7%
.500 or above in Conference	12.7%	15.9%	8.0%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	34.3%	29.1%	42.3%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 60.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 7	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	302	Southern Miss	W	85-79	56%	1 - 0			-4.2	+11.5	-15.4
Nov 07, 2025	316	Green Bay	W	79-76	60%
Nov 11, 2025	77	@ DePaul	L	66-84	5%
Nov 18, 2025	187	Vermont	L	68-71	38%
Nov 24, 2025	276	VMI	L	74-77	42%
Nov 26, 2025	265	Bucknell	L	73-76	41%
Nov 29, 2025	353	@ Canisius	L	73-74	50%
Dec 06, 2025	113	St. Bonaventure	L	67-75	22%
Dec 09, 2025	295	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	77-82	32%
Dec 14, 2025	161	@ East Carolina	L	68-79	18%
Dec 20, 2025	274	@ Western Michigan	L	72-78	31%
Dec 30, 2025	299	@ Northern Illinois	L	76-80	35%
Jan 03, 2026	223	Ball St.	L	74-76	43%
Jan 10, 2026	139	@ Ohio	L	74-86	15%
Jan 13, 2026	135	Kent St.	L	72-79	30%
Jan 17, 2026	112	@ Miami (OH)	L	70-85	11%
Jan 20, 2026	95	Akron	L	75-86	16%
Jan 24, 2026	192	Massachusetts	L	77-80	40%
Jan 27, 2026	149	@ Bowling Green	L	69-81	16%
Jan 31, 2026	139	Ohio	L	77-83	30%
Feb 03, 2026	112	Miami (OH)	L	73-82	24%
Feb 11, 2026	223	@ Ball St.	L	71-79	25%
Feb 17, 2026	299	Northern Illinois	W	79-77	53%
Feb 21, 2026	192	@ Massachusetts	L	74-83	23%
Feb 24, 2026	95	@ Akron	L	72-89	8%
Feb 28, 2026	271	Central Michigan	W	75-74	51%
Mar 03, 2026	253	Eastern Michigan	L	74-75	47%
Mar 06, 2026	196	@ Toledo	L	75-84	20%
Projected Record						9 - 19	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.3	1st
2nd												0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1						0.6	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.7	0.5	0.0							1.3	3rd
4th										0.2	0.9	1.0	0.2								2.2	4th
5th									0.1	0.9	1.5	0.6	0.1								3.1	5th
6th								0.0	1.1	2.1	0.9										4.1	6th
7th								0.8	2.9	1.5	0.2										5.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.7	3.3	2.7	0.5											7.2	8th
9th					0.0	0.7	3.1	4.0	0.9	0.1											8.7	9th
10th				0.0	0.9	3.7	5.0	1.8	0.1												11.5	10th
11th			0.0	0.8	3.4	6.3	2.6	0.2													13.3	11th
12th		0.4	1.8	6.1	6.6	3.2	0.2														18.3	12th
13th	2.3	5.9	7.2	6.1	2.1	0.3															23.8	13th

Total	2.3	6.3	9.0	13.0	13.0	14.2	11.6	10.2	7.7	5.2	3.5	2.4	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0					Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	100.0%	0.1			0.1	0.0
14-4	33.3%	0.0		0.0
13-5	22.2%	0.1			0.1
12-6	4.0%	0.0				0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.1%																							0.1
14-4	0.1%																							0.1
13-5	0.3%		22.2%	22.2%		13.5														0.0	0.0			0.3
12-6	1.0%		4.0%	4.0%		14.0															0.0			0.9
11-7	2.4%		1.6%	1.6%		15.0																0.0		2.4
10-8	3.5%		4.3%	4.3%		15.3																0.1	0.0	3.4
9-9	5.2%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
8-10	7.7%		1.0%	1.0%		15.0																0.1		7.6
7-11	10.2%																							10.2
6-12	11.6%																							11.6
5-13	14.2%																							14.2
4-14	13.0%																							13.0
3-15	13.0%																							13.0
2-16	9.0%																							9.0
1-17	6.3%																							6.3
0-18	2.3%																							2.3

Total	100%		0.4%	0.4%	0.0%	14.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	99.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%