Buffalo
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#321
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#92
Pace72.6#74
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#257
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.6 14.8
.500 or above 10.3% 14.3% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 11.0% 13.4% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 34.9% 30.5% 41.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 60.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 72 - 11
Quad 47 - 89 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 297   Southern Miss W 85-79 55%     1 - 0 -4.4 +11.7 -15.8
  Nov 07, 2025 319   Green Bay W 79-76 61%    
  Nov 11, 2025 80   @ DePaul L 66-85 4%    
  Nov 18, 2025 189   Vermont L 66-70 36%    
  Nov 24, 2025 284   VMI L 74-76 41%    
  Nov 26, 2025 273   Bucknell L 73-76 39%    
  Nov 29, 2025 351   @ Canisius W 74-73 51%    
  Dec 06, 2025 115   St. Bonaventure L 66-75 21%    
  Dec 09, 2025 295   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 78-83 34%    
  Dec 14, 2025 154   @ East Carolina L 67-79 15%    
  Dec 20, 2025 281   @ Western Michigan L 72-78 31%    
  Dec 30, 2025 306   @ Northern Illinois L 75-79 35%    
  Jan 03, 2026 225   Ball St. L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 10, 2026 150   @ Ohio L 74-86 15%    
  Jan 13, 2026 136   Kent St. L 72-79 26%    
  Jan 17, 2026 113   @ Miami (OH) L 69-85 10%    
  Jan 20, 2026 92   Akron L 75-87 16%    
  Jan 24, 2026 187   Massachusetts L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 27, 2026 152   @ Bowling Green L 69-81 15%    
  Jan 31, 2026 150   Ohio L 77-83 30%    
  Feb 03, 2026 113   Miami (OH) L 72-82 21%    
  Feb 11, 2026 225   @ Ball St. L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 17, 2026 306   Northern Illinois W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 21, 2026 187   @ Massachusetts L 73-83 20%    
  Feb 24, 2026 92   @ Akron L 72-90 7%    
  Feb 28, 2026 275   Central Michigan L 74-75 49%    
  Mar 03, 2026 256   Eastern Michigan L 74-75 47%    
  Mar 06, 2026 195   @ Toledo L 75-85 20%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.5 0.2 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.0 1.8 0.1 11.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 4.7 6.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 15.1 11th
12th 0.4 2.5 6.1 6.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 18.7 12th
13th 2.3 5.9 7.6 5.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 24.0 13th
Total 2.3 6.3 10.2 13.3 14.1 13.8 12.2 9.7 7.3 4.6 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 54.2% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 12.5% 12.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 5.3% 5.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 0.9% 6.6% 6.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.9% 4.3% 4.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.7
9-9 4.6% 1.3% 1.3% 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
8-10 7.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
7-11 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 19.5 0.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 12.2% 12.2
5-13 13.8% 13.8
4-14 14.1% 14.1
3-15 13.3% 13.3
2-16 10.2% 10.2
1-17 6.3% 6.3
0-18 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%