Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#271
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#318
Pace68.2#206
Improvement+3.7#13

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#227
First Shot-5.5#319
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#35
Layup/Dunks+1.6#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#345
Freethrows-0.9#236
Improvement+3.5#8

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#299
First Shot-4.1#307
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks-2.9#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#238
Freethrows-1.4#269
Improvement+0.2#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.9% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 11.8% 25.7% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 48.4% 35.3%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.9% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 7.0% 10.9%
First Four0.9% 0.6% 0.9%
First Round1.5% 2.7% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Away) - 16.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 272   @ Coastal Carolina L 56-60 39%     0 - 1 -7.0 -10.7 +3.2
  Nov 11, 2024 54   @ Butler L 65-85 5%     0 - 2 -7.3 -2.2 -5.1
  Nov 15, 2024 273   SIU Edwardsville L 60-79 62%     0 - 3 -28.1 -12.7 -16.2
  Nov 17, 2024 345   Canisius W 92-69 81%     1 - 3 +7.8 +12.4 -4.2
  Nov 20, 2024 224   South Dakota L 76-80 52%     1 - 4 -10.5 -7.5 -2.9
  Nov 27, 2024 229   @ Youngstown St. W 73-62 31%     2 - 4 +10.2 +6.8 +3.9
  Dec 03, 2024 46   @ Dayton L 69-77 4%     2 - 5 +5.6 +12.6 -8.5
  Dec 13, 2024 133   @ St. Thomas L 69-79 16%    
  Dec 15, 2024 187   @ North Dakota St. L 69-77 23%    
  Dec 20, 2024 247   Valparaiso W 75-73 55%    
  Dec 30, 2024 27   @ Michigan St. L 61-83 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 203   Toledo L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 07, 2025 267   Bowling Green W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 198   @ Miami (OH) L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 14, 2025 110   @ Kent St. L 60-73 13%    
  Jan 18, 2025 331   Buffalo W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 21, 2025 338   Northern Illinois W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 196   @ Central Michigan L 67-75 25%    
  Jan 28, 2025 270   @ Ball St. L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 299   Eastern Michigan W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 04, 2025 157   @ Ohio L 72-81 20%    
  Feb 11, 2025 131   @ Akron L 71-82 17%    
  Feb 15, 2025 198   Miami (OH) L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 18, 2025 331   @ Buffalo W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 196   Central Michigan L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 25, 2025 157   Ohio L 75-78 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 338   @ Northern Illinois W 73-71 55%    
  Mar 04, 2025 110   Kent St. L 63-70 28%    
  Mar 07, 2025 267   @ Bowling Green L 72-75 40%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.2 1.4 0.1 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 6.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 6.1 4.2 0.6 0.0 13.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.5 4.2 0.8 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.5 3.6 0.9 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 2.7 0.7 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.5 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.7 6.7 9.5 12.2 13.9 14.4 12.4 9.6 6.8 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 54.1% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 11.4% 11.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.0% 12.9% 12.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.5% 7.6% 7.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.3
12-6 4.4% 6.1% 6.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.2
11-7 6.8% 4.6% 4.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.5
10-8 9.6% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.3
9-9 12.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.2
8-10 14.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 14.2
7-11 13.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.8
6-12 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.2
5-13 9.5% 9.5
4-14 6.7% 6.7
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%