Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#136
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#91
Pace64.6#292
Improvement-2.4#336

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#73
First Shot+6.0#31
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#286
Layup/Dunks-2.5#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#58
Freethrows+1.7#71
Improvement+0.3#144

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#243
First Shot-2.3#255
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks+4.2#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#351
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement-2.6#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 12.5% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.9 12.5 13.4
.500 or above 78.2% 88.9% 71.7%
.500 or above in Conference 81.3% 87.0% 77.8%
Conference Champion 9.8% 12.9% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.4% 1.0%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round9.3% 12.1% 7.6%
Second Round1.5% 2.5% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cincinnati (Home) - 37.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 34 - 57 - 10
Quad 411 - 218 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 88   @ Georgia Tech W 72-69 25%     1 - 0 +12.2 +1.7 +10.3
  Nov 13, 2021 320   Lamar W 104-75 90%     2 - 0 +17.1 +19.1 -3.2
  Nov 17, 2021 270   Stetson W 80-65 85%     3 - 0 +6.0 +7.4 -0.5
  Nov 27, 2021 190   @ Western Illinois L 67-79 51%     3 - 1 -10.3 -0.3 -10.8
  Dec 01, 2021 55   Cincinnati L 67-70 38%    
  Dec 04, 2021 175   @ Indiana St. L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 14, 2021 47   @ Clemson L 61-72 16%    
  Dec 18, 2021 177   Bellarmine W 73-67 70%    
  Dec 29, 2021 70   @ Buffalo L 75-83 22%    
  Jan 01, 2022 302   Central Michigan W 82-69 88%    
  Jan 04, 2022 226   @ Bowling Green W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 08, 2022 165   Akron W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 11, 2022 116   Toledo W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 298   @ Western Michigan W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 18, 2022 72   Ohio L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 22, 2022 310   Northern Illinois W 74-61 88%    
  Jan 25, 2022 213   @ Ball St. W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 29, 2022 262   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 01, 2022 137   Kent St. W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 05, 2022 165   @ Akron L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 08, 2022 298   Western Michigan W 77-65 86%    
  Feb 12, 2022 226   Bowling Green W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 15, 2022 72   @ Ohio L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 310   @ Northern Illinois W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 22, 2022 70   Buffalo L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 26, 2022 116   @ Toledo L 73-77 36%    
  Mar 01, 2022 302   @ Central Michigan W 79-72 73%    
  Mar 04, 2022 262   Eastern Michigan W 79-69 82%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 9.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.6 3.5 1.2 0.1 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.0 5.7 3.3 0.8 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.3 2.1 5.2 5.9 2.7 0.3 16.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 5.2 4.6 1.7 0.2 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.8 3.4 1.2 0.1 12.1 6th
7th 0.3 1.8 3.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.9 9th
10th 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.7 3.2 5.1 7.1 10.0 11.4 12.4 12.5 11.7 9.4 6.9 4.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
18-2 94.7% 1.8    1.5 0.3
17-3 70.9% 3.1    2.1 0.9 0.1
16-4 37.1% 2.5    1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0
15-5 13.8% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1
14-6 2.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 5.7 3.1 0.9 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.7% 55.4% 43.1% 12.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 21.6%
18-2 1.9% 43.2% 36.3% 6.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 10.7%
17-3 4.4% 29.6% 26.1% 3.4% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.1 4.7%
16-4 6.9% 20.1% 19.9% 0.3% 12.5 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 5.5 0.4%
15-5 9.4% 15.4% 15.4% 13.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 8.0
14-6 11.7% 11.0% 10.9% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 10.4 0.1%
13-7 12.5% 9.0% 9.0% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 11.4
12-8 12.4% 5.6% 5.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 11.7
11-9 11.4% 4.5% 4.5% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.9
10-10 10.0% 3.3% 3.3% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 9.7
9-11 7.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.0
8-12 5.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.1
7-13 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2
6-14 1.7% 1.7
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 9.5% 9.1% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.5 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.2 90.5 0.5%