Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#24
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#68
Pace66.3#257
Improvement-0.5#216

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#17
First Shot+8.3#14
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#174
Layup/Dunks-1.0#213
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#41
Freethrows+1.4#103
Improvement-1.6#299

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#44
First Shot+3.6#70
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#58
Layups/Dunks+7.2#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#185
Freethrows+0.2#177
Improvement+1.0#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.8% 2.7% 0.7%
Top 2 Seed 5.5% 7.8% 2.7%
Top 4 Seed 18.2% 24.2% 11.2%
Top 6 Seed 35.7% 44.3% 25.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 76.2% 83.5% 67.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.7% 82.2% 66.1%
Average Seed 6.6 6.2 7.1
.500 or above 96.6% 98.6% 94.3%
.500 or above in Conference 75.9% 80.0% 71.1%
Conference Champion 7.1% 8.7% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.8% 1.3%
First Four4.5% 3.7% 5.5%
First Round74.1% 81.6% 65.4%
Second Round50.2% 57.5% 41.8%
Sweet Sixteen23.0% 27.7% 17.7%
Elite Eight10.5% 12.9% 7.8%
Final Four4.5% 5.6% 3.3%
Championship Game2.0% 2.5% 1.3%
National Champion0.8% 1.1% 0.5%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Neutral) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 8
Quad 26 - 212 - 10
Quad 34 - 116 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 288   Bethune-Cookman W 94-61 98%     1 - 0 +23.4 +21.2 +3.0
  Nov 08, 2024 297   Northwestern St. W 86-65 98%     2 - 0 +10.9 +11.2 +0.3
  Nov 13, 2024 177   Wyoming W 96-49 94%     3 - 0 +43.1 +22.4 +21.0
  Nov 18, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 98-64 99.5%    4 - 0 +13.6 +9.3 +3.2
  Nov 21, 2024 101   Saint Joseph's L 77-78 80%     4 - 1 +3.9 +7.4 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2024 96   Syracuse W 79-74 79%     5 - 1 +10.6 +10.0 +0.7
  Nov 29, 2024 180   Northern Colorado W 89-64 94%     6 - 1 +21.0 +11.9 +9.1
  Dec 04, 2024 97   DePaul W 76-62 86%     7 - 1 +16.6 +7.8 +9.6
  Dec 08, 2024 30   Texas A&M W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 16, 2024 261   Oral Roberts W 87-64 98%    
  Dec 21, 2024 280   Lamar W 84-61 98%    
  Dec 31, 2024 83   Central Florida W 78-68 83%    
  Jan 04, 2025 60   @ Utah W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 07, 2025 49   @ BYU W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 8   Iowa St. L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 14, 2025 59   @ Kansas St. W 72-70 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 23   Arizona W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 21, 2025 25   @ Cincinnati L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 26, 2025 81   Oklahoma St. W 80-70 83%    
  Jan 29, 2025 78   TCU W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 6   @ Houston L 63-70 25%    
  Feb 04, 2025 13   Baylor W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 23   @ Arizona L 77-80 39%    
  Feb 12, 2025 51   Arizona St. W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 81   @ Oklahoma St. W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 18, 2025 78   @ TCU W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 45   West Virginia W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 24, 2025 6   Houston L 66-67 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 7   @ Kansas L 70-77 25%    
  Mar 05, 2025 85   Colorado W 77-66 83%    
  Mar 08, 2025 51   @ Arizona St. W 74-73 54%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 5.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.7 3.6 0.8 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.0 1.1 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.9 1.3 0.1 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.2 1.8 0.2 6.2 9th
10th 0.3 2.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.2 0.8 0.0 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.9 0.1 3.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 16th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.4 4.4 6.4 8.9 10.9 12.9 13.2 12.8 10.1 7.4 4.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 98.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 92.8% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
17-3 77.8% 1.9    1.2 0.6 0.1
16-4 46.5% 2.2    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
15-5 18.5% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.6 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.0% 100.0% 23.5% 76.5% 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.4% 100.0% 22.6% 77.4% 2.2 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.8% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 3.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 7.4% 100.0% 14.5% 85.5% 4.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 10.1% 99.7% 10.5% 89.3% 5.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.7 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 12.8% 98.9% 7.0% 91.9% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 3.1 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.8%
12-8 13.2% 96.0% 4.3% 91.7% 7.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.3 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.5 95.8%
11-9 12.9% 88.4% 2.9% 85.5% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.8 2.9 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.0 1.5 88.0%
10-10 10.9% 73.6% 2.0% 71.5% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.0 2.3 1.4 0.0 2.9 73.0%
9-11 8.9% 45.6% 0.9% 44.8% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.6 0.2 4.9 45.1%
8-12 6.4% 17.2% 0.5% 16.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.1 5.3 16.8%
7-13 4.4% 5.3% 0.5% 4.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 4.1 4.8%
6-14 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.4%
5-15 1.2% 1.2
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 76.2% 6.0% 70.1% 6.6 1.8 3.7 5.3 7.4 8.4 9.1 10.3 10.0 8.3 6.9 4.7 0.3 23.8 74.7%