Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#53
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#84
Pace68.3#177
Improvement-0.8#278

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#65
First Shot+3.6#72
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#116
Layup/Dunks+3.0#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#177
Freethrows+1.3#84
Improvement+0.4#112

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#43
First Shot+5.9#29
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#241
Layups/Dunks+6.6#6
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#263
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement-1.2#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 11.1% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.6% 6.8% 1.3%
Average Seed 12.7 11.1 13.7
.500 or above 41.2% 65.7% 34.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 71.6% 55.9% 76.2%
First Four3.0% 3.8% 2.7%
First Round5.7% 9.5% 4.6%
Second Round2.1% 4.2% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 22.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 112 - 11
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 14
Quad 21 - 25 - 16
Quad 32 - 07 - 16
Quad 48 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 225   Northwestern St. W 73-49 92%     1 - 0 +18.3 +0.0 +19.6
  Nov 10, 2022 314   Texas Southern W 78-54 96%     2 - 0 +13.1 -0.9 +13.0
  Nov 14, 2022 137   Louisiana Tech W 64-55 84%     3 - 0 +8.0 -7.1 +15.5
  Nov 21, 2022 11   Creighton L 65-76 30%     3 - 1 +4.4 +7.5 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2022 248   Louisville W 70-38 90%     4 - 1 +27.5 -2.3 +30.5
  Nov 23, 2022 29   Ohio St. L 73-80 39%     4 - 2 +5.6 +13.0 -8.2
  Nov 30, 2022 186   Georgetown W 79-65 89%     5 - 2 +10.4 +1.6 +8.5
  Dec 07, 2022 250   Nicholls St. W 78-71 94%     6 - 2 -0.5 -3.7 +2.7
  Dec 13, 2022 161   Eastern Washington W 77-70 87%     7 - 2 +4.6 -0.3 +4.7
  Dec 17, 2022 327   Jackson St. W 102-52 95%     8 - 2 +40.6 +15.9 +19.9
  Dec 21, 2022 350   Houston Christian W 111-67 98%     9 - 2 +28.7 +9.2 +11.8
  Dec 27, 2022 355   South Carolina St. W 110-71 99%     10 - 2 +21.9 +16.7 +1.7
  Dec 31, 2022 15   @ TCU L 61-67 24%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +11.4 -5.1 +16.8
  Jan 03, 2023 7   Kansas L 72-75 35%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +10.9 +9.1 +1.6
  Jan 07, 2023 43   Oklahoma L 63-68 OT 58%     10 - 5 0 - 3 +2.8 -8.6 +11.6
  Jan 10, 2023 22   @ Iowa St. L 50-84 26%     10 - 6 0 - 4 -17.5 -11.3 -7.1
  Jan 14, 2023 10   @ Texas L 70-72 21%     10 - 7 0 - 5 +16.5 +3.9 +12.7
  Jan 17, 2023 14   Baylor L 74-81 42%     10 - 8 0 - 6 +5.0 +19.5 -15.9
  Jan 21, 2023 28   @ Kansas St. L 58-68 29%     10 - 9 0 - 7 +5.5 -2.0 +6.8
  Jan 25, 2023 23   West Virginia L 61-76 46%     10 - 10 0 - 8 -4.2 -5.1 +0.3
  Jan 28, 2023 106   @ LSU W 76-68 62%     11 - 10 +14.6 +19.0 -3.2
  Jan 30, 2023 22   Iowa St. W 80-77 OT 45%     12 - 10 1 - 8 +14.0 +9.6 +4.2
  Feb 04, 2023 14   @ Baylor L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 08, 2023 35   @ Oklahoma St. L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 11, 2023 28   Kansas St. L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 13, 2023 10   Texas L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 18, 2023 23   @ West Virginia L 68-74 27%    
  Feb 21, 2023 43   @ Oklahoma L 66-69 36%    
  Feb 25, 2023 15   TCU L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 28, 2023 7   @ Kansas L 66-76 18%    
  Mar 04, 2023 35   Oklahoma St. W 67-66 54%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 2.2 0.7 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.0 2.4 0.2 12.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 8.6 12.1 5.2 0.5 28.3 9th
10th 2.3 10.5 18.5 16.5 6.2 0.6 0.0 54.6 10th
Total 2.3 10.6 20.3 25.5 21.4 12.8 5.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.2% 97.6% 5.6% 91.9% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
8-10 1.5% 74.7% 6.7% 68.0% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 72.9%
7-11 5.3% 27.8% 6.7% 21.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 3.9 22.6%
6-12 12.8% 5.7% 5.0% 0.8% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.1 0.8%
5-13 21.4% 4.4% 4.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 20.4
4-14 25.5% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9 24.6
3-15 20.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.7 19.7
2-16 10.6% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 10.3
1-17 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.3
0-18
Total 100% 6.4% 4.0% 2.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.0 93.6 2.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3% 2.7% 16.0 2.7