Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#225
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#174
Pace65.9#282
Improvement-0.8#240

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#244
First Shot-1.2#209
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#286
Layup/Dunks+1.2#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#292
Freethrows+0.1#175
Improvement+0.6#120

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#197
First Shot+0.5#154
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#282
Layups/Dunks-0.6#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#91
Freethrows+1.2#110
Improvement-1.4#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.6% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 25.8% 53.4% 24.2%
.500 or above in Conference 34.0% 63.3% 32.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 3.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 1.3% 7.6%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round1.0% 1.6% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 5.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 65 - 13
Quad 48 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 339 Georgia St. W 71-49 84%     1 - 0 +7.8 -4.3 +12.5
  Mon, Nov 10 104 @Pittsburgh L 66-78 15%     1 - 1 -4.7 -4.0 -0.7
  Fri, Nov 14 355 IU Indianapolis L 83-90 89%     1 - 2 -24.2 -8.9 -14.5
  Tue, Nov 18 297 @Detroit Mercy W 72-62 53%     2 - 2 +5.5 -2.8 +8.4
  Fri, Nov 21 144 Oakland W 97-91 43%     3 - 2 +4.0 +12.9 -9.2
  Mon, Nov 24 14 @Louisville L 46-87 2%     3 - 3 -19.7 -16.6 -4.9
  Wed, Nov 26 68 @Cincinnati W 64-56 9%     4 - 3 +19.2 +6.2 +13.5
  Fri, Nov 28 347 NJIT W 73-55 86%     5 - 3 +2.8 -0.8 +4.5
  Tue, Dec 2 53 @Butler L 68-84 7%     5 - 4 -2.8 +4.4 -8.1
  Wed, Dec 10 216 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-80 37%     5 - 5 -15.4 -5.6 -10.7
  Fri, Dec 19 54 @Akron L 70-87 6%    
  Mon, Dec 22 143 @Wright St. L 65-73 24%    
  Tue, Dec 30 168 Massachusetts L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 182 Ohio W 75-74 53%    
  Tue, Jan 6 309 @Ball St. W 68-66 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 244 @Western Michigan L 71-73 43%    
  Tue, Jan 13 332 Northern Illinois W 77-67 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 131 @Bowling Green L 66-75 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 118 Kent St. L 76-80 38%    
  Tue, Jan 27 317 @Central Michigan W 72-70 57%    
  Sat, Jan 31 168 @Massachusetts L 70-76 29%    
  Tue, Feb 3 54 Akron L 73-84 16%    
  Wed, Feb 11 118 @Kent St. L 73-83 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 244 Western Michigan W 74-70 64%    
  Tue, Feb 17 317 Central Michigan W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 163 @Toledo L 72-78 28%    
  Tue, Feb 24 108 Miami (OH) L 72-77 34%    
  Tue, Mar 3 211 @Buffalo L 71-74 38%    
  Fri, Mar 6 131 Bowling Green L 69-72 40%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.1 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.1 1.5 0.1 8.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.1 2.7 0.2 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.7 3.9 0.5 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.4 5.4 0.9 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.1 1.6 0.1 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.7 2.0 0.1 11.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.6 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.1 1.6 0.2 7.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.4 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.5 6.7 10.5 13.6 15.1 14.9 12.4 9.5 6.1 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 70.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 34.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 15.0% 15.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 6.6% 6.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 7.7% 7.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.8% 5.8% 5.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
12-6 3.2% 4.8% 4.8% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.1
11-7 6.1% 3.2% 3.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.9
10-8 9.5% 2.0% 2.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.3
9-9 12.4% 1.4% 1.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.3
8-10 14.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 14.7
7-11 15.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.1
6-12 13.6% 13.6
5-13 10.5% 10.5
4-14 6.7% 6.7
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 99.0 0.0%