Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.4 244
Expected Predictive Rating -6.1 263
Pace 66.2 244
Improvement -3.7 316

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 294 C- D+ C- D D
Defense C 163 C+ C+ C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 169 C 58% 159 +0.3 167
2 Pt. Jumpers 55% 30 D+ 35% 263 +2.1 71
Three Pointers 33% 331 C 34% 188 -4.1 315
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.9 305 C -0.6 193
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 222
Second Chance D+ 27.5% 266 D+ 0.96 288 D+ 0.26 288
Turnovers C- 17.9% 254
Freethrows D- 0.25 338 C 73% 166 D 0.18 319
Total Offense D+ -4.7 294

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 216 D 13.8% 322
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 174 C- 6.2% 258
Three Pointers C- 82% 243 C+ 0.8% 167
Total D+ 51% 290 D- 7.4% 334

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 88 B- 55% 93 +0.9 211
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 148 C- 40% 257 +0.7 251
Three Pointers 36% 308 C+ 33% 148 -2.7 69
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 201 C+ -1.2 125
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 139
Second Chance C 30.0% 162 C+ 1.00 131 C+ 0.30 144
Turnovers C- 16.3% 208
Freethrows C 0.31 212 D+ 74% 260 C- 0.23 227
Total Defense C +0.3 163

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 283 C 11.2% 167
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 14% 8 B 7.6% 54
Three Pointers C- 86% 248 C- 0.6% 234
Total C+ 54% 150 C+ 6.6% 100

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 302 17.0 123
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 234 0.21 310
Improvement -2.4 #305 -1.3 #262

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 264 240 213
Conference Record 4 - 14 5 - 13 7 - 11
Conference Finish 12 10 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 20% 3% 26%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Toledo (Away) - 25.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 41 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 14
Quad 47 - 610 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 283 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 71% +8  81% 1 - 0 B+ +12 D -6 F A D A+ +18 A B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 101 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 12% -11  8% 1 - 1 C- -4 D -5 F C- B+ C+ +1 C+ B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 323 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 80% -3  21% 1 - 2 F -20 F+ -10 F C+ B+ F -10 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 252 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 41% -1  45% 2 - 2 B- +8 D -5 C D- F A+ +13 A+ D+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 170 Oakland W 97 - 91 47% +1  58% 3 - 2 C+ +2 A- +11 A+ F C- F+ -9 F C+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 12 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3% 3 - 3 F -19 F -18 F D+ D+ C- -3 D+ B+ F+
 Wed, Nov 26 46 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 5% +9  98% 4 - 3 A +22 B- +5 C A+ F A+ +18 A+ A B
 Fri, Nov 28 315 NJIT W 73 - 55 78% +3  52% 5 - 3 B- +6 D+ -3 A- D F A +10 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 78 @Butler L 68 - 84 9% -7  8% 5 - 4 D+ -5 C +0 C- C C- D- -7 D F B
 Wed, Dec 10 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 43% -12  3% 5 - 5 F+ -18 D- -8 C+ F B+ F -11 B F D+
 Fri, Dec 19 76 @Akron L 72 - 93 9% -15  1% 5 - 6 0 - 1 D -10 C- -2 F C+ A F+ -8 C+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 149 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 23% -1  30% 5 - 7 C- -3 F+ -9 D- F C+ B+ +6 C A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 182 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 50% +2  66% 6 - 7 1 - 1 C+ +2 C- -2 D+ D+ A B- +3 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 208 Ohio L 67 - 68 55% +9  87% 6 - 8 1 - 2 D+ -7 F+ -8 B- F C C+ +1 D A+ A
 Tue, Jan 6 313 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 57% +13  73% 7 - 8 2 - 2 A- +16 A +14 A+ A F B+ +6 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 284 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 49% -1  41% 7 - 9 2 - 3 F -21 F -15 D+ F F+ D- -7 F D- A-
 Tue, Jan 13 319 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 80% +3  49% 8 - 9 3 - 3 B- +5 D -5 D+ F A- A +9 B A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 166 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 25% -6  16% 8 - 10 3 - 4 C- -3 A +11 A D+ A F -15 F F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 145 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 41% -3  11% 8 - 11 3 - 5 C- -3 F -10 F D+ A A- +7 C- A+ A
 Tue, Jan 27 274 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 47% -9  30% 8 - 12 3 - 6 F -39 F -18 D+ F F F -18 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 182 @Massachusetts L 67 - 70 28% -4  1% 8 - 13 3 - 7 C -1 D+ -3 C F+ F C+ +2 B+ B+ F
 Tue, Feb 3 76 Akron L 64 - 66 20% +0  36% 8 - 14 3 - 8 C+ +3 F -11 C D+ F A+ +14 A+ B B+
 Sat, Feb 7 174 @Appalachian St. L 60 - 65 27% -3  7% 8 - 15 C- -3 D- -8 F A A B +4 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 145 @Kent St. L 91 - 95 21% +2  54% 8 - 16 3 - 9 C -0 A+ +17 A+ C D- F -17 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 284 Western Michigan L 62 - 76 71% +2  69% 8 - 17 3 - 10 F -24 F -16 D- F C+ F+ -9 B+ F F
 Tue, Feb 17 274 Central Michigan W 66 - 54 69% +9  95% 9 - 17 4 - 10 C+ +2 F -11 C+ C- F A+ +14 A B+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 169 @Toledo L 70 - 77 26%
 Tue, Feb 24 85 Miami (OH) L 72 - 80 22%
 Tue, Mar 3 213 @Buffalo L 70 - 74 34%
 Fri, Mar 6 166 Bowling Green L 69 - 70 47%
Totals 10 - 20 5 - 13 -4 D+ -5 F C D C +0 C C D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C D+ C C 39% 55% 33% D C- D+ D+ D+ C- D- C D C B- C- C+ C+ 42% 21% 36% C- C+ C C+ C+ C- C D+ C-
1.02 58% 35% 34% -1 -1 0.99 27% 1.0 .26 18% .25 73% .18 1.08 55% 40% 33% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 16% .31 74% .18
Nov
3		 Georgia St. D F C F F 49% 30% 21% D F A+ C A D F F F A+ A+ B C+ A+ 36% 26% 38% D A D+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ A
1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11 0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16
Nov
10		 Pittsburgh D F D F+ F 45% 28% 26% D+ F C D- C- B+ A- A+ A+ C+ A- F A+ C+ 48% 22% 30% C C+ A+ F B- F F A+ C
0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 0 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30 1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 0 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20
Nov
14		 IU Indianapolis F+ F+ F D F 33% 28% 39% F F B- D+ C+ B+ F C+ F+ F D+ B F F 48% 16% 36% F F C- F F A+ D D- D
1.06 53% 25% 32% -7 -1 0.86 40% 1.1 .44 17% .32 76% .24 1.15 63% 33% 45% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.7 .48 23% .21 77% .17
Nov
18		 Detroit Mercy D B- F+ C+ C+ 41% 22% 37% D+ C C- F D- F A F C+ A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 24% 48% 28% A+ A+ B- F+ D+ B- D F F
1.03 63% 30% 35% +1 0 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 19% .44 60% .26 0.89 46% 42% 0% -15 -5 0.63 30% 1.1 .33 17% .31 94% .29
Nov
21		 Oakland A- A A+ A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% C+ A+ F C+ F C- C A+ B F+ C F F F 51% 12% 37% F F B D C+ F+ B- B+ B
1.31 73% 82% 45% +22 0 1.45 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 87% .21 1.22 57% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.17 27% 1.2 .32 11% .30 70% .21
Nov
24		 Louisville F F F F F 33% 42% 25% F+ F C F+ D+ D+ B C B- C- B F F D 40% 10% 50% C+ D+ B- B+ B+ F+ C A+ B
0.69 44% 20% 17% -19 -3 0.58 25% 0.7 .18 19% .31 71% .22 1.30 57% 60% 46% +11 +2 1.27 32% 0.9 .30 12% .32 68% .22
Nov
26		 Cincinnati B- F A+ C- C 26% 24% 50% D+ C C+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+ 42% 6% 52% F A+ A+ C+ A B C+ F C-
0.98 20% 67% 32% -5 -1 0.89 25% 1.9 .46 26% .45 86% .39 0.85 52% 33% 23% -11 +2 0.84 22% 1.0 .22 18% .26 79% .21
Nov
28		 NJIT D+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% F+ A- D+ D- D F F D- F A A+ C A A 27% 29% 44% B+ A D- F F A+ A F B-
1.10 72% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.16 31% 0.9 .28 20% .22 67% .15 0.83 33% 38% 25% -12 -2 0.73 30% 1.4 .42 29% .23 82% .19
Dec
2		 Butler C F F A+ D 59% 16% 25% A C- C- B- C C- C+ A+ A D- A+ F F D- 51% 17% 32% C- D D F F B C+ F C-
1.03 47% 0% 54% -5 +2 0.96 26% 1.0 .26 18% .24 92% .22 1.27 42% 50% 60% +6 +1 1.17 39% 1.6 .64 17% .34 79% .27
Dec
10		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- B- A+ D+ C 44% 9% 47% B C+ F A+ F B+ C F F F C B+ A+ A- 59% 20% 20% D B D F F D+ F F F
0.98 65% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 16% 1.4 .22 17% .27 47% .13 1.21 59% 30% 20% -6 +2 0.94 25% 2.3 .57 14% .40 83% .33
Dec
19		 Akron C- F F+ F+ F 55% 13% 32% A- F C+ C C+ A A+ F A F+ D F A+ B 65% 12% 23% F C+ F C- F F B F C+
1.01 38% 29% 29% -14 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28 1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19
Dec
22		 Wright St. F+ F+ F A- F 57% 19% 25% B+ D- F+ F F C+ C- D+ D+ B+ D C+ A C+ 49% 18% 33% D- C C- A+ A+ B F A+ F
0.94 50% 20% 38% -6 +2 0.92 23% 0.8 .17 16% .28 69% .19 1.03 64% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.5 .18 19% .58 63% .36
Dec
30		 Massachusetts C- D+ C C D+ 53% 28% 19% C- D+ C- D- D+ A A+ D+ A+ B- D+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 31% 39% A A+ A- D+ B F B+ C B+
1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42 1.01 61% 22% 26% -9 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Ohio F+ A- F A+ B+ 33% 33% 33% F B- C- F F C A+ F+ A+ C+ F C- B- D- 28% 26% 46% B D C A+ A+ A B- D+ C+
1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32 1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21
Jan
6		 Ball St. A C A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 48% C+ A+ A+ C A F F B+ F B+ A C+ C+ B- 43% 20% 36% C- C+ B+ A+ A+ F C- F F+
1.29 60% 57% 55% +19 0 1.40 48% 1.0 .48 24% .14 83% .11 0.90 42% 33% 31% -9 0 0.84 21% 0.3 .06 12% .30 87% .26
Jan
10		 Western Michigan F B- D F D- 49% 6% 45% A D+ F F F F+ F F F D- F B+ F F 31% 38% 31% A+ F F+ C D- A- F D+ F
0.94 64% 33% 26% -3 +3 1.02 18% 0.7 .12 17% .18 60% .11 1.19 77% 31% 46% +9 -3 1.14 37% 1.0 .37 21% .52 74% .38
Jan
13		 Northern Illinois D A+ C F C+ 36% 36% 28% F D+ F D+ F A- F A D- A F A+ A+ B 35% 16% 49% B- B A A+ A+ D- C+ A B
1.06 76% 38% 25% +3 -2 1.03 15% 1.0 .15 14% .24 80% .19 0.81 67% 13% 24% -8 0 0.86 23% 0.5 .11 19% .32 58% .19
Jan
17		 Bowling Green A B A+ B A+ 38% 24% 38% D A B- F D+ A F A+ D+ F C B- F F 51% 24% 24% B+ F D- F+ F+ D+ D- D F+
1.19 63% 58% 37% +8 0 1.18 32% 0.8 .26 14% .24 86% .21 1.28 56% 33% 67% +10 0 1.22 32% 1.0 .32 15% .37 76% .28
Jan
24		 Kent St. F A+ F F F 33% 35% 32% F F C F+ D+ A F A+ D+ A- C- C D+ D 32% 26% 42% A C- B+ A+ A+ A F D F
0.96 71% 5% 25% -12 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22 0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37
Jan
27		 Central Michigan F C+ A+ F D+ 38% 21% 40% D+ D+ F A+ F F C+ D C F C F F F 50% 20% 30% F F D+ A B- F F D- F
0.86 61% 50% 26% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.6 .28 25% .37 67% .25 1.32 57% 73% 53% +15 +1 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 12% .39 73% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Massachusetts D+ A+ B+ F C+ 30% 30% 41% F C D F F+ F D A+ B C+ D+ F A+ A 55% 16% 30% F B+ B- A B+ F F D- F
1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31 1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43
Feb
3		 Akron F A+ F A B- 32% 32% 36% F C C+ F+ D+ F C+ F C- A+ A+ C A A+ 31% 9% 59% C- A+ A D- B B+ B- C B-
0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19 0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18
Feb
7		 Appalachian St. D- F C+ F F 30% 37% 33% F F D- A+ A A F D F B C+ F A+ B 56% 10% 33% F C+ C- A+ A+ F F A+ F+
0.93 44% 40% 17% -12 -3 0.72 23% 1.9 .44 9% .10 67% .07 1.01 56% 60% 19% -7 +3 0.94 32% 0.4 .12 11% .49 54% .26
Feb
11		 Kent St. A+ A+ A B A+ 33% 33% 33% F A+ A F C D- F A F F A+ F F F 28% 26% 47% A F C+ F F F F F F
1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14 1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47
Feb
14		 Western Michigan F C F A+ D 38% 28% 34% F+ D- F A F C+ F F F F+ A+ A+ F A 54% 19% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
0.96 60% 13% 44% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .22 12% .16 56% .09 1.18 31% 22% 54% -10 +1 0.85 39% 1.3 .50 11% .40 83% .33
Feb
17		 Central Michigan F A+ B- C- B 36% 36% 29% F C+ C- C- C- F D A+ C A+ D+ C+ A+ A 31% 38% 31% A A D A+ B+ B+ F A+ C-
1.00 73% 40% 33% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 27% .31 80% .25 0.81 60% 39% 13% -9 -3 0.79 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 50% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 0.7 2.3 7th
8th 0.1 6.7 6.4 0.1 13.2 8th
9th 6.1 16.3 1.3 23.7 9th
10th 0.4 19.0 5.1 0.0 24.6 10th
11th 8.0 12.5 0.3 20.8 11th
12th 11.3 1.4 0.0 12.7 12th
13th 2.2 0.0 2.2 13th
Total 22.0 39.1 28.4 9.4 1.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 1.1% 3.8% 3.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.1
7-11 9.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.3
6-12 28.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 28.4
5-13 39.1% 39.1
4-14 22.0% 22.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 22.0%