Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#299
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#220
Pace64.8#297
Improvement+1.0#121

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#281
First Shot-2.9#264
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#231
Layup/Dunks-5.3#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#209
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+2.8#15

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#287
First Shot-4.7#323
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#87
Layups/Dunks+0.7#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#254
Freethrows-0.4#218
Improvement-1.8#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.3% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 15.3% 25.6% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 22.9% 29.0% 19.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 13.1% 18.2%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round0.9% 1.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 138   @ Texas St. L 44-64 14%     0 - 1 -15.6 -21.7 +4.2
  Nov 14, 2024 356   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 62%     1 - 1 -7.4 -6.5 -0.9
  Nov 16, 2024 259   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 32%     1 - 2 -10.4 -4.8 -6.1
  Nov 21, 2024 144   @ Oakland W 68-64 15%     2 - 2 +8.0 +6.0 +2.5
  Nov 25, 2024 351   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 59%     3 - 2 -8.6 -1.7 -6.9
  Nov 26, 2024 301   Northern Arizona W 72-68 50%     4 - 2 -3.3 -4.4 +1.2
  Nov 30, 2024 298   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 61%     4 - 3 -19.2 +0.5 -18.7
  Dec 03, 2024 86   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 7%     4 - 4 -12.7 -6.8 -8.4
  Dec 15, 2024 150   Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-76 33%    
  Dec 21, 2024 136   Wright St. L 69-75 29%    
  Dec 28, 2024 134   @ Davidson L 64-76 14%    
  Jan 04, 2025 338   Northern Illinois W 72-66 72%    
  Jan 07, 2025 203   @ Toledo L 70-78 22%    
  Jan 11, 2025 131   Akron L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 14, 2025 196   @ Central Michigan L 64-73 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 267   @ Bowling Green L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 21, 2025 157   Ohio L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 331   Buffalo W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 28, 2025 198   @ Miami (OH) L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 01, 2025 271   @ Western Michigan L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 04, 2025 110   Kent St. L 59-67 24%    
  Feb 11, 2025 270   @ Ball St. L 65-69 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 203   Toledo L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 18, 2025 198   Miami (OH) L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 338   @ Northern Illinois W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 25, 2025 267   Bowling Green W 71-69 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 196   Central Michigan L 67-70 40%    
  Mar 04, 2025 157   @ Ohio L 68-79 18%    
  Mar 07, 2025 110   @ Kent St. L 56-70 11%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.7 0.7 0.1 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.9 1.4 0.1 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.0 2.4 0.2 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.3 3.7 0.4 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.2 4.7 0.9 0.0 14.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.6 4.9 1.0 0.0 16.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.2 5.4 4.0 0.8 0.0 14.3 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 2.5 3.3 1.9 0.5 0.0 9.7 12th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.4 6.9 10.7 13.8 14.3 14.4 12.2 9.0 6.3 3.8 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 82.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 56.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 13.1% 13.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 13.2% 13.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.0% 7.7% 7.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.1% 6.2% 6.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.0
11-7 3.8% 4.3% 4.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.6
10-8 6.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.1
9-9 9.0% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.8
8-10 12.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.1
7-11 14.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.3
6-12 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.3
5-13 13.8% 13.8
4-14 10.7% 10.7
3-15 6.9% 6.9
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%