James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#182
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#166
Pace64.9#301
Improvement+1.2#101

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#122
First Shot+2.4#113
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#214
Layup/Dunks-1.5#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#25
Freethrows+0.4#150
Improvement+1.5#74

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#288
First Shot-4.0#307
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#145
Layups/Dunks-2.3#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#201
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement-0.3#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 12.7% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.3
.500 or above 78.0% 88.2% 69.5%
.500 or above in Conference 75.7% 86.8% 66.4%
Conference Champion 10.2% 16.0% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round9.4% 12.7% 6.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 55 - 9
Quad 412 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 65 @Akron L 71-85 12%     0 - 1 -2.6 -3.4 +1.2
  Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84-70 96%     1 - 1 -7.5 +1.3 -8.9
  Wed, Nov 12 308 @Longwood L 72-82 64%     1 - 2 -15.3 -4.4 -10.9
  Sat, Nov 15 211 @LIU Brooklyn L 79-88 45%     1 - 3 -9.3 +0.3 -8.8
  Tue, Nov 18 139 Towson W 81-75 50%     2 - 3 +4.5 +18.6 -13.3
  Mon, Nov 24 187 @Florida International W 80-72 39%     3 - 3 +9.2 +11.2 -1.7
  Tue, Nov 25 234 Nebraska Omaha W 88-77 60%     4 - 3 +6.9 +18.7 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 29 77 @George Mason L 66-82 13%     4 - 4 -5.3 +2.4 -8.6
  Wed, Dec 3 350 NC Central W 67-62 90%     5 - 4 -10.3 -4.6 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 6 233 Norfolk St. W 68-67 70%     6 - 4 -6.1 +0.6 -6.5
  Wed, Dec 17 215 @Old Dominion L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Dec 20 230 @Georgia Southern L 78-79 48%    
  Sun, Dec 28 21 @Arkansas L 67-87 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 153 @Arkansas St. L 76-81 32%    
  Wed, Jan 7 161 Marshall W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 215 Old Dominion W 77-72 67%    
  Thu, Jan 15 231 @Appalachian St. L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 161 @Marshall L 73-78 33%    
  Thu, Jan 22 179 South Alabama W 71-68 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 240 Texas St. W 73-67 70%    
  Thu, Jan 29 143 @Troy L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Jan 31 201 @Southern Miss L 73-75 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 325 Louisiana W 73-62 84%    
  Thu, Feb 12 334 Georgia St. W 79-67 87%    
  Sat, Feb 14 231 Appalachian St. W 70-65 69%    
  Wed, Feb 18 244 @Coastal Carolina W 74-73 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 334 @Georgia St. W 76-70 71%    
  Wed, Feb 25 230 Georgia Southern W 81-76 69%    
  Fri, Feb 27 244 Coastal Carolina W 76-70 71%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.1 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 10.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.8 2.6 0.7 0.1 11.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.5 5.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.2 4.5 0.8 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 5.6 1.5 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.5 0.2 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.7 0.5 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.6 1.1 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.5 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.5 0.2 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.2 7.0 9.6 12.8 14.3 14.4 12.8 9.9 6.0 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.0
16-2 95.4% 1.4    1.2 0.2
15-3 80.4% 2.8    2.0 0.7 0.1
14-4 50.9% 3.1    1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.7% 2.0    0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 5.4 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 45.9% 45.9% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.5% 37.2% 37.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.4% 36.0% 36.0% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2
14-4 6.0% 28.6% 28.6% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 4.3
13-5 9.9% 21.3% 21.3% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.0 7.8
12-6 12.8% 13.7% 13.7% 14.4 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 11.1
11-7 14.4% 7.0% 7.0% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 13.4
10-8 14.3% 3.1% 3.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.9
9-9 12.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.6
8-10 9.6% 1.0% 1.0% 15.3 0.1 0.0 9.5
7-11 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.0
6-12 4.2% 4.2
5-13 2.2% 2.2
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.1 2.9 0.4 90.6 0.0%