James Madison
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#167
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#103
Pace77.0#35
Improvement+0.0#182

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#206
First Shot+2.3#112
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#332
Layup/Dunks+2.2#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#202
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+1.3#71

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#132
First Shot+1.0#139
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#166
Layups/Dunks+1.5#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#132
Freethrows+1.9#82
Improvement-1.3#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 14.9% 10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 83.8% 93.3% 80.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.8% 80.8% 71.2%
Conference Champion 13.6% 18.6% 11.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.7% 1.6%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round11.4% 14.8% 10.1%
Second Round1.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Home) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 37 - 68 - 9
Quad 411 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 203   Old Dominion W 58-53 68%     1 - 0 +0.3 -14.8 +15.2
  Nov 16, 2021 163   @ Eastern Kentucky W 79-78 38%     2 - 0 +4.4 -5.5 +9.8
  Nov 19, 2021 139   George Mason W 67-64 55%     3 - 0 +1.9 -9.0 +10.8
  Nov 22, 2021 165   Kent St. L 69-74 50%     3 - 1 -4.7 -4.7 -0.1
  Nov 23, 2021 197   Wright St. W 78-76 56%     4 - 1 +0.7 -2.9 +3.4
  Nov 24, 2021 94   Murray St. L 62-74 30%     4 - 2 -6.4 -6.1 -0.7
  Nov 28, 2021 183   @ Florida Atlantic W 69-65 42%     5 - 2 +6.2 +3.0 +3.6
  Dec 07, 2021 44   Virginia L 58-65 27%    
  Dec 11, 2021 253   Radford W 72-64 78%    
  Dec 21, 2021 314   @ Morgan St. W 79-73 72%    
  Dec 28, 2021 206   @ Penn L 74-75 47%    
  Dec 31, 2021 144   @ Towson L 69-73 34%    
  Jan 03, 2022 155   @ Delaware L 72-75 37%    
  Jan 05, 2022 161   @ Drexel L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 09, 2022 125   Hofstra W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 11, 2022 142   Northeastern W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 15, 2022 331   @ William & Mary W 77-68 79%    
  Jan 17, 2022 289   @ Elon W 79-75 65%    
  Jan 20, 2022 287   UNC Wilmington W 77-67 82%    
  Jan 22, 2022 185   College of Charleston W 85-81 64%    
  Jan 27, 2022 161   Drexel W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 29, 2022 155   Delaware W 75-72 58%    
  Feb 03, 2022 142   @ Northeastern L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 05, 2022 125   @ Hofstra L 74-80 31%    
  Feb 10, 2022 289   Elon W 82-72 82%    
  Feb 12, 2022 331   William & Mary W 80-65 90%    
  Feb 17, 2022 185   @ College of Charleston L 82-84 44%    
  Feb 19, 2022 287   @ UNC Wilmington W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 26, 2022 144   Towson W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 13.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.8 5.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.5 5.0 1.3 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.6 5.5 1.1 0.0 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.0 5.5 1.3 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.7 1.3 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 3.8 1.1 0.1 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.6 7.2 10.0 12.2 14.1 13.9 12.0 9.5 6.4 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 98.8% 1.5    1.5 0.1
15-3 90.2% 3.2    2.6 0.6 0.0
14-4 68.4% 4.4    2.5 1.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 31.6% 3.0    0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 8.1 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 48.7% 38.5% 10.3% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7%
17-1 0.5% 39.9% 37.0% 2.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4.6%
16-2 1.5% 37.7% 37.5% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.4%
15-3 3.5% 32.9% 32.8% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.4 0.2%
14-4 6.4% 26.6% 26.6% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 4.7
13-5 9.5% 19.4% 19.4% 13.9 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 7.7
12-6 12.0% 15.8% 15.8% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 10.1
11-7 13.9% 11.1% 11.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 12.4
10-8 14.1% 8.9% 8.9% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 12.9
9-9 12.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 11.5
8-10 10.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.7
7-11 7.2% 2.8% 2.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 7.0
6-12 4.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.5
5-13 2.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-14 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.6% 11.5% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.0 3.3 1.2 88.5 0.0%