Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#164
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#168
Pace77.0#31
Improvement+0.6#141

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#230
First Shot-6.0#340
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#18
Layup/Dunks+1.3#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#341
Freethrows-1.0#246
Improvement+1.0#103

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#111
First Shot+0.7#148
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#83
Layups/Dunks-4.5#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#7
Freethrows-2.7#334
Improvement-0.4#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.0% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 13.8
.500 or above 87.7% 94.1% 81.1%
.500 or above in Conference 64.0% 76.2% 51.8%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.5% 2.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.2% 5.0% 3.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 50.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 66 - 8
Quad 411 - 418 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 161 Marshall L 72-78 61%     0 - 1 -9.1 -12.5 +4.2
  Sat, Nov 8 310 Albany W 83-62 85%     1 - 1 +9.4 -1.2 +9.4
  Thu, Nov 13 312 Le Moyne W 94-80 86%     2 - 1 +2.2 +4.0 -3.0
  Sun, Nov 16 278 Central Connecticut St. W 84-77 80%     3 - 1 -2.3 -0.7 -2.3
  Fri, Nov 21 169 College of Charleston L 65-69 51%     3 - 2 -4.6 -6.8 +2.0
  Sat, Nov 22 283 Green Bay L 75-79 72%     3 - 3 -10.6 -0.8 -9.9
  Mon, Nov 24 154 Oregon St. W 73-65 47%     4 - 3 +8.4 +4.0 +4.8
  Wed, Dec 3 192 Harvard W 78-71 67%     5 - 3 +1.9 -0.1 +1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 304 Umass Lowell W 80-60 84%     6 - 3 +9.0 -6.0 +13.3
  Wed, Dec 10 156 Boston College W 76-74 47%     7 - 3 +2.3 +5.4 -3.1
  Sat, Dec 13 113 Florida St. W 103-95 35%     8 - 3 +11.5 +17.2 -6.9
  Sat, Dec 20 124 Kent St. L 59-69 51%     8 - 4 0 - 1 -10.6 -15.9 +5.4
  Tue, Dec 30 216 @Eastern Michigan W 73-72 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 117 Bowling Green L 73-74 48%    
  Tue, Jan 6 189 @Ohio L 77-79 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 306 Ball St. W 77-66 84%    
  Tue, Jan 13 280 @Western Michigan W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Jan 17 328 @Northern Illinois W 81-75 73%    
  Tue, Jan 20 170 Toledo W 82-79 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 196 @Buffalo L 76-77 46%    
  Tue, Jan 27 106 @Miami (OH) L 76-84 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 216 Eastern Michigan W 76-70 71%    
  Tue, Feb 3 323 Central Michigan W 81-69 87%    
  Sat, Feb 14 59 @Akron L 79-91 13%    
  Tue, Feb 17 106 Miami (OH) L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 196 Buffalo W 79-74 67%    
  Tue, Feb 24 306 @Ball St. W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Feb 28 117 @Bowling Green L 70-77 28%    
  Tue, Mar 3 189 Ohio W 80-76 66%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 7.0 4.3 0.6 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 6.5 4.8 0.7 0.0 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.4 5.1 0.9 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.6 3.8 4.8 1.2 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.3 2.4 3.8 1.2 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.6 1.1 0.1 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.6 6.5 9.9 13.7 15.6 15.8 13.5 9.5 5.7 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 85.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 52.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 23.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 18.0% 18.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.0% 16.3% 16.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.7% 13.4% 13.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.3
13-5 5.7% 10.3% 10.3% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.2
12-6 9.5% 8.5% 8.5% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 8.7
11-7 13.5% 6.0% 6.0% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 12.7
10-8 15.8% 4.5% 4.5% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 15.0
9-9 15.6% 2.9% 2.9% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 15.1
8-10 13.7% 1.3% 1.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.5
7-11 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 9.9
6-12 6.5% 6.5
5-13 3.6% 3.6
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 95.8 0.0%