Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.3 182
Expected Predictive Rating -2.0 195
Pace 74.7 36
Improvement -1.9 264

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 156 C B D C C
Defense C- 222 C- C+ C F+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 106 C 58% 164 +1.7 111
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 61 C+ 40% 115 +1.4 100
Three Pointers 36% 292 C 34% 157 -2.5 266
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 209 C+ +0.8 139
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 152
Second Chance C+ 31.3% 162 A- 1.19 24 B 0.37 60
Turnovers D 18.9% 304
Freethrows B- 0.33 92 D- 67% 340 C 0.22 171
Total Offense C +0.2 156

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A 67% 8 B 8.8% 70
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 68 B- 3.5% 76
Three Pointers C- 82% 228 B- 0.6% 114
Total B+ 64% 35 B- 4.7% 78

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 168 D 63% 309 +2.2 256
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 263 D+ 40% 258 -0.6 139
Three Pointers 43% 107 C+ 33% 110 +0.1 189
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 237 C- +1.3 234
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 236
Second Chance B- 27.9% 80 C- 1.04 213 C+ 0.29 120
Turnovers C 17.0% 170
Freethrows F 0.39 355 C 72% 169 F+ 0.28 352
Total Defense C- -1.5 222

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 315 D 7.5% 319
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 36% 327 D 2.1% 324
Three Pointers D+ 88% 297 D- 0.1% 346
Total D 62% 318 D- 3.3% 337

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 97 16.8 92
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 163 0.22 333
Improvement +4.3 #19 -6.2 #363

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 212 183 152
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 10 - 8
Conference Finish 8 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.8
.500 or above 88% 95% 74%
.500 or above in Conference 46% 61% 15%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 66.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 10
Quad 411 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 173 Marshall L 72 - 78 60% -5  11% 0 - 1 D -10 F -18 C- F F A +9 D B A+
 Sat, Nov 8 316 Albany W 83 - 62 85% +7  75% 1 - 1 B +8 D -4 F A+ D- A+ +11 A C- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 296 Le Moyne W 94 - 80 81% +11  97% 2 - 1 C+ +3 B +6 A B+ F+ D+ -4 B- C- F
 Sun, Nov 16 292 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 77 81% +12  99% 3 - 1 C- -3 D- -7 D- A+ F B- +3 C C C
 Fri, Nov 21 151 College of Charleston L 65 - 69 44% +1  50% 3 - 2 C- -4 D- -7 B- B F B- +3 B+ F F+
 Sat, Nov 22 228 Green Bay L 75 - 79 59% -4  17% 3 - 3 D+ -8 D+ -3 F A+ C- D -5 D+ B F+
 Mon, Nov 24 160 Oregon St. W 73 - 65 45% +2  73% 4 - 3 B- +8 C +1 D+ A+ D+ A- +7 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 164 Harvard W 78 - 71 58% +10  98% 5 - 3 C+ +4 C- -1 A F F B +5 B+ C+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 310 Umass Lowell W 80 - 60 84% +8  84% 6 - 3 B +8 F+ -8 C- D- F+ A+ +14 B- A- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 135 Boston College W 76 - 74 39% +3  69% 7 - 3 C+ +4 B- +4 D A+ F C -1 A C+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 86 Florida St. W 103 - 95 22% +5  77% 8 - 3 A- +15 A+ +16 A A+ B+ C- -2 F+ A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 20 145 Kent St. L 59 - 69 53% -5  14% 8 - 4 0 - 1 D- -12 F -19 F F F+ A- +7 B- B+ C
 Tue, Dec 30 244 @Eastern Michigan L 74 - 80 50% -2  31% 8 - 5 0 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -3 F C+ A+ D+ -4 C C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 166 Bowling Green L 100 - 101 OT 58% -0  37% 8 - 6 0 - 3 C- -4 B- +5 A+ B- D F+ -10 F+ B+ F
 Tue, Jan 6 208 @Ohio L 83 - 86 44% -3  22% 8 - 7 0 - 4 C- -3 C+ +3 B- F C D -5 F B C
 Sat, Jan 10 313 Ball St. W 79 - 71 85% +3  75% 9 - 7 1 - 4 C- -4 C +2 A F C+ D -6 F+ C D
 Tue, Jan 13 284 @Western Michigan W 85 - 82 61% +4  79% 10 - 7 2 - 4 C -1 B+ +8 D+ A+ D+ F+ -9 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 319 @Northern Illinois L 68 - 70 71% -3  8% 10 - 8 2 - 5 D -9 F -11 F D F C+ +2 B C+ D-
 Tue, Jan 20 169 Toledo W 84 - 82 59% +2  66% 11 - 8 3 - 5 C -2 C+ +4 B+ B+ D+ D -5 F+ B- A
 Fri, Jan 23 213 @Buffalo W 68 - 67 45% +7  78% 12 - 8 4 - 5 C +1 D- -6 F B- D A- +7 C- C+ B-
 Tue, Jan 27 85 @Miami (OH) L 84 - 86 15% +3  76% 12 - 9 4 - 6 B- +8 A+ +14 B+ A+ B+ D- -7 A- F D+
 Sat, Jan 31 244 Eastern Michigan W 70 - 67 72% +4  89% 13 - 9 5 - 6 C- -4 C- -1 D+ C A+ C- -3 D+ B+ A-
 Tue, Feb 3 274 Central Michigan W 95 - 89 78% -1  44% 14 - 9 6 - 6 C- -4 A+ +15 A+ A A- F -18 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 238 @Coastal Carolina L 91 - 94 3OT 50% +4  68% 14 - 10 C- -4 C+ +3 D A D D- -6 F B- F+
 Fri, Feb 13 76 @Akron L 92 - 99 14% -5  11% 14 - 11 6 - 7 C+ +4 A- +9 A+ C- D+ D -5 C+ C+ D+
 Tue, Feb 17 85 Miami (OH) L 77 - 86 31% -5  2% 14 - 12 6 - 8 D+ -5 C +0 A- C+ C- D -5 D+ A F
 Sat, Feb 21 213 Buffalo W 82 - 77 67%
 Tue, Feb 24 313 @Ball St. W 74 - 69 68%
 Sat, Feb 28 166 @Bowling Green L 75 - 79 35%
 Tue, Mar 3 208 Ohio W 83 - 78 66%
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 10 -1 C +0 D- C+ C C- -2 C D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ C C+ 41% 49% 36% C C C+ A- B D B- D- C C- D D+ C+ C- 39% 18% 43% C- C- B- C- C+ C F C F+
1.09 58% 40% 34% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.2 .37 19% .33 67% .22 1.11 63% 40% 33% +1 0 1.05 28% 1.0 .29 17% .39 72% .24
Nov
3		 Marshall F C- A F+ D+ 43% 22% 35% B- C- F F F F A+ F A+ A F A C+ D 33% 14% 53% F D D- A+ B A+ F C- F
0.88 57% 45% 29% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.4 .10 25% .58 58% .34 0.96 82% 29% 33% +6 +1 1.16 36% 0.8 .29 32% .34 74% .25
Nov
8		 Albany D D+ B F F 44% 14% 42% B- F B+ A+ A+ D- A+ F+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% D- A A F C- A+ F D F
1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34 0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29
Nov
13		 Le Moyne B B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C A A- C B+ F+ C+ A- B- D+ C A+ B B 46% 9% 46% F+ B- B- F C- F F A- D
1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26 1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27
Nov
16		 Central Connecticut St. D- F+ D+ C D 40% 19% 40% D+ D- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F C- B- C- A+ D- B- 43% 31% 27% D- C A+ F C C F A+ F
1.08 48% 36% 35% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.3 .56 22% .41 48% .20 0.99 62% 27% 38% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.6 .25 17% .48 68% .32
Nov
21		 College of Charleston D- F+ A+ D B- 35% 22% 43% C+ B- C+ B+ B F C+ F D- B- D- D- A+ A 40% 15% 45% F+ B+ A+ F F F+ F F F
0.96 50% 70% 30% +2 0 1.04 32% 1.1 .35 22% .25 46% .11 1.02 68% 43% 14% -8 +1 0.87 11% 4.3 .48 13% .49 83% .41
Nov
22		 Green Bay D+ B- F F F 38% 16% 47% B- F B- A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ D F+ C+ A C- 56% 19% 26% D- D+ C- A B F+ F D- F
1.11 65% 29% 19% -9 +1 0.84 35% 2.1 .73 15% .45 85% .38 1.17 67% 38% 27% +2 +2 1.09 25% 0.9 .21 12% .59 80% .47
Nov
24		 Oregon St. C C B- F D 50% 20% 30% C+ D+ A A- A+ D+ C- F F+ A- F B C+ F+ 22% 20% 59% B+ D- C+ A+ A+ A+ B A- B+
1.10 56% 40% 20% -7 +1 0.90 41% 1.2 .49 17% .31 59% .18 0.98 90% 33% 33% +5 -1 1.11 24% 0.3 .07 24% .34 71% .24
Dec
3		 Harvard C- B C A+ A+ 45% 27% 29% D A D- F F F A F+ B+ B C+ F A+ B+ 42% 27% 31% B+ B+ D- A C+ C- C C+ C
1.07 64% 38% 50% +9 0 1.20 24% 0.7 .17 21% .36 67% .24 0.97 57% 60% 18% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.8 .24 18% .25 80% .20
Dec
6		 Umass Lowell F+ C- A- D- C- 50% 28% 22% D C- B- F D- F+ C D C- A+ A- F A+ B+ 57% 20% 24% F+ B- A C+ A- A+ F A+ D
1.05 57% 47% 31% +1 0 1.03 34% 0.8 .26 17% .27 71% .19 0.78 46% 67% 18% -7 +1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 26% .48 48% .23
Dec
10		 Boston College B- F B+ F D+ 43% 33% 24% D D A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+ C C- A+ A+ A+ 56% 4% 40% F A D- A C+ D F F F
1.08 43% 44% 25% -8 -1 0.84 44% 1.4 .59 21% .43 54% .23 1.05 60% 0% 11% -14 +3 0.80 35% 0.8 .28 13% .57 77% .44
Dec
13		 Florida St. A+ C+ F+ A+ A 49% 17% 34% A- A B- A+ A+ B+ B- C B- C- F A+ C+ D- 42% 7% 52% D F+ D- A+ A+ C+ D+ F D-
1.26 59% 30% 50% +7 +1 1.19 33% 1.6 .53 17% .31 71% .22 1.17 76% 25% 32% +5 +2 1.17 38% 0.5 .20 15% .33 83% .27
Dec
20		 Kent St. F D F A+ F 40% 32% 28% F+ F F+ F F F+ A C- A- A- B F A+ B- 33% 18% 49% C+ B- A+ F B+ C A D+ A-
0.83 53% 0% 46% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .17 20% .42 71% .30 0.98 50% 67% 25% -4 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .29 18% .29 76% .23
Dec
30		 Eastern Michigan D+ B- F F F 31% 31% 39% F F D A+ C+ A+ D F+ D- D+ C+ C- C C 53% 28% 19% D- C C B- C+ F F B F
1.01 61% 22% 26% -9 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18 1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42
Jan
3		 Bowling Green B- B+ D A+ A+ 54% 12% 35% A- A+ F+ A+ B- D A+ C A+ F+ D A- F F 54% 18% 29% C F+ A+ F B+ F F A- F
1.15 64% 33% 50% +11 +2 1.29 20% 1.7 .33 21% .51 71% .36 1.16 63% 30% 44% +6 +1 1.16 14% 1.2 .17 11% .58 67% .39
Jan
6		 Ohio C+ B- B- B+ B 44% 25% 32% C- B- D F F C D B D+ D F+ C F F 34% 17% 49% D+ F A+ F B C C- B C
1.12 60% 43% 39% +4 0 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 16% .27 76% .21 1.16 67% 44% 42% +10 0 1.23 19% 1.2 .22 16% .34 67% .23
Jan
10		 Ball St. C A+ D B A 33% 20% 47% C A D F F C+ A+ F A+ D C- A D- F+ 42% 15% 42% D F+ A F C D C- C- D+
1.15 87% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 29% 0.4 .13 17% .51 69% .35 1.03 55% 25% 36% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 15% .31 72% .22
Jan
13		 Western Michigan B+ C C+ C- D+ 29% 19% 52% D D+ B- A+ A+ D+ B A A F+ C+ F F+ F 32% 15% 53% D F D- F F D C D+ C-
1.26 60% 40% 33% 0 0 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 15% .35 80% .28 1.21 53% 63% 39% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.3 .47 15% .28 75% .21
Jan
17		 Northern Illinois F F F D- F 49% 15% 36% B- F D+ D+ D F A+ D+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A A- 43% 2% 55% F B F A C+ D- F D F
0.93 48% 29% 29% -9 +1 0.87 28% 1.0 .28 25% .55 70% .38 0.96 52% 0% 26% -10 +3 0.88 38% 0.6 .23 19% .51 70% .36
Jan
20		 Toledo C+ B- D- A+ B 45% 12% 43% B- B+ A- C+ B+ D+ A+ D A+ D D- F+ F F 36% 34% 30% B+ F+ B C B- A F D F
1.19 64% 33% 43% +8 +2 1.20 43% 1.0 .43 20% .39 68% .26 1.16 65% 50% 43% +10 -2 1.19 26% 1.0 .26 21% .45 80% .36
Jan
23		 Buffalo D- B- F+ F+ F+ 36% 28% 36% F+ F C+ B B- D B F C- A- F C- B- D 23% 26% 51% A+ C- A+ F C+ B- A A+ A+
1.03 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 20% .30 63% .19 1.01 82% 42% 33% +6 -2 1.11 17% 1.6 .28 18% .26 50% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Miami (OH) A+ B- A+ A A 27% 33% 39% F B+ A- A+ A+ B+ C+ C+ B- D- B- F B A 27% 9% 64% C- A- F F F D+ F B- F
1.25 64% 53% 40% +10 -2 1.18 36% 1.3 .45 15% .30 76% .23 1.28 58% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.7 .58 13% .65 74% .48
Jan
31		 Eastern Michigan C- B A+ F D- 55% 16% 30% A- D+ C- C C A+ A+ D+ A+ C- F F A+ D 30% 30% 41% B D+ B+ B+ B+ A- F F F
1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43 1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31
Feb
3		 Central Michigan A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 48% 8% 44% A- A+ C A+ A A- A+ C+ A+ F D+ C F F 35% 23% 42% C- F F D F A+ F C+ F
1.36 70% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.31 36% 1.5 .54 13% .46 71% .33 1.27 60% 40% 72% +25 -1 1.51 38% 1.2 .46 30% .49 67% .33
Feb
7		 Coastal Carolina C+ F A+ B D+ 31% 39% 31% D D A B A D B- F F+ D- C B F F 25% 34% 41% B+ F F+ A+ B- F+ B A+ A
1.09 21% 54% 37% -4 -3 0.89 39% 1.1 .44 14% .32 48% .15 1.12 56% 33% 48% +7 -3 1.10 31% 0.6 .19 12% .22 50% .11
Feb
13		 Akron A- B- A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% C+ A+ F A+ C- D+ C F D+ D F C C+ C 26% 22% 52% A C+ A- F C+ D+ F F F
1.18 62% 73% 42% +13 +1 1.29 17% 1.8 .30 20% .27 65% .18 1.27 75% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.09 27% 1.4 .39 14% .64 88% .57
Feb
17		 Miami (OH) C B F A+ A 40% 30% 30% D+ A- D A+ C+ C- C F F+ D C+ F F+ D+ 37% 18% 45% C+ D+ A+ D A F F B F
1.09 65% 27% 60% +11 -1 1.22 24% 1.1 .28 18% .28 56% .16 1.22 61% 56% 41% +9 0 1.20 13% 1.3 .17 10% .52 73% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 2.3 7.3 9.6 4th
5th 0.7 15.5 4.5 20.7 5th
6th 0.0 8.9 13.9 0.1 22.9 6th
7th 0.0 7.0 23.4 2.4 32.8 7th
8th 1.7 8.6 2.1 12.4 8th
9th 1.1 0.3 1.4 9th
10th 0.2 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 3.0 16.0 35.1 34.1 11.9 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 11.9% 5.4% 5.4% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 11.2
9-9 34.1% 3.4% 3.4% 14.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 32.9
8-10 35.1% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 34.2
7-11 16.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 15.8
6-12 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.3 97.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 13.4 6.7 49.5 39.7 4.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.7%
Lose Out 3.0%