Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#137
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#140
Pace64.8#289
Improvement+0.0#174

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#110
First Shot+4.1#64
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#289
Layup/Dunks-4.5#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#22
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#67
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement-0.3#209

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#174
First Shot+0.9#141
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#247
Layups/Dunks+2.5#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#35
Freethrows-2.8#315
Improvement+0.2#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 10.7% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.7
.500 or above 78.6% 85.3% 63.6%
.500 or above in Conference 79.7% 83.3% 71.5%
Conference Champion 8.3% 9.5% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round9.3% 10.7% 6.1%
Second Round1.6% 2.0% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 46 - 10
Quad 412 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 37   @ Xavier L 59-73 14%     0 - 1 -0.2 -3.4 +2.6
  Nov 22, 2021 164   James Madison W 74-69 57%     1 - 1 +5.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Nov 23, 2021 266   George Washington W 77-69 77%     2 - 1 +2.4 +11.4 -8.1
  Nov 24, 2021 123   East Tennessee St. L 51-57 47%     2 - 2 -3.2 -14.3 +10.4
  Dec 06, 2021 169   Towson W 70-65 69%    
  Dec 09, 2021 228   Detroit Mercy W 77-69 78%    
  Dec 12, 2021 48   @ West Virginia L 63-74 16%    
  Dec 19, 2021 289   Southern W 76-64 86%    
  Dec 21, 2021 167   Cleveland St. W 69-64 67%    
  Dec 28, 2021 302   Central Michigan W 80-67 88%    
  Jan 01, 2022 116   Toledo W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 04, 2022 213   @ Ball St. W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 08, 2022 72   @ Ohio L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 11, 2022 310   Northern Illinois W 72-59 89%    
  Jan 14, 2022 165   Akron W 69-64 68%    
  Jan 18, 2022 262   @ Eastern Michigan W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 22, 2022 70   @ Buffalo L 73-81 24%    
  Jan 25, 2022 298   Western Michigan W 75-63 86%    
  Jan 29, 2022 226   @ Bowling Green W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 01, 2022 136   @ Miami (OH) L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 05, 2022 262   Eastern Michigan W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 08, 2022 226   Bowling Green W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 12, 2022 165   @ Akron L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 15, 2022 116   @ Toledo L 71-75 35%    
  Feb 19, 2022 72   Ohio L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 22, 2022 213   Ball St. W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 26, 2022 302   @ Central Michigan W 77-70 74%    
  Mar 01, 2022 310   @ Northern Illinois W 69-62 74%    
  Mar 04, 2022 70   Buffalo L 76-78 44%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 8.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.6 4.6 3.1 1.2 0.1 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 5.5 2.9 0.6 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.3 1.8 4.9 5.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 15.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 5.3 1.8 0.2 15.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.6 3.8 1.1 0.1 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.5 2.7 0.7 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.3 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.0 3.4 5.5 7.6 10.3 11.8 12.9 12.9 10.9 9.0 5.8 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 92.6% 1.5    1.3 0.2
17-3 67.5% 2.6    1.7 0.8 0.1
16-4 36.9% 2.2    0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
15-5 13.1% 1.2    0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.6 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.5% 61.1% 48.1% 13.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 25.0%
18-2 1.6% 43.2% 37.0% 6.2% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.9 9.8%
17-3 3.8% 30.9% 29.8% 1.1% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.6 1.5%
16-4 5.8% 21.8% 21.4% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.6 0.4%
15-5 9.0% 18.0% 17.7% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 7.4 0.3%
14-6 10.9% 12.6% 12.6% 13.5 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 9.5
13-7 12.9% 7.9% 7.9% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 11.9
12-8 12.9% 5.3% 5.3% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.2
11-9 11.8% 5.0% 5.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.2
10-10 10.3% 2.8% 2.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.0
9-11 7.6% 2.5% 2.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.4
8-12 5.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 5.5
7-13 3.4% 3.4
6-14 2.0% 2.0
5-15 1.2% 1.2
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 9.4% 9.1% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.3 90.6 0.3%